Service Plays Sunday 12/15/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Valentino

Very-First
200 DIME
Release of My Career

Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels

50 DIME
Sunday Night
Game of the Month

Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe ncaab 12-15

4-over-137-Nebraska

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Ma -36-33-1
Chargers, bears, Texans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philadelphia Joe

10* LA Lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mississippi Kid
Tampa Bay -5.5
Titans/ Texans Over 50.5
Carolina +7
Denver +11
Jags +7
Pitt/ Buffalo Under 37

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

CHICAGO +4.5
CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
12:33 AM
Under Matt Nagy, the Bears are 11-2 in the second half of the season. This week they're getting Akiem Hicks back, which is huge. Chicago has its mojo back and is playing a Packers team that hasn't impressed lately. Grab the points.

48-28-3 IN LAST 79 NFL ATS PICKS | +1706
14-3 IN LAST 17 GB ATS PICKS | +1069

3-0 IN LAST 3 CHI ATS PICKS | +300

WASHINGTON +6
PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
12:24 AM
The Redskins have covered three straight and even without Derrius Guice, they can keep it close versus injury-depleted Philadelphia. The Eagles are traveling on a short week, which won't help. Grab the points.

48-28-3 IN LAST 79 NFL ATS PICKS | +1706
11-6 IN LAST 17 PHI ATS PICKS | +426

2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS ATS PICKS | +93

UNDER 45
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 12/13
The Chiefs have an underrated defense, while Denver's stop unit continues to impress under Vic Fangio. Back the Under to improve to 6-0 in K.C.'s last six divisional games.

55-36-3 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +1525
OVER 45.5
JACKSONVILLE @ OAKLAND | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
FRI 12/13
Wish I'd jumped on this earlier, but I'll still go Over given the Raiders' lack of defensive talent and the Jaguars' lack of defensive effort. These are two of the four worst defenses in the NFL, per DVOA.

55-36-3 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +1525
2-1 IN LAST 3 OAK O/U PICKS | +90

L.A. RAMS -1.5
L.A. RAMS @ DALLAS | 12/15 | 4:25 PM EST
FRI 12/13
The Cowboys are 4-0 against the NFC East, 2-7 against everyone else. Those wins came against the Josh Rosen-led Dolphins and the Jeff Driskel-led Lions. The Rams are back on track and should keep rolling here.

48-28-3 IN LAST 79 NFL ATS PICKS | +1706
19-7 IN LAST 26 LAR ATS PICKS | +1106

UNDER 49
L.A. RAMS @ DALLAS | 12/15 | 4:25 PM EST
WED 12/11
This total is a bit inflated, especially given the Rams' commitment to the run and Dallas' recent offensive struggles. Go Under.

55-36-3 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +1525
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAR O/U PICKS | +90

ATLANTA +11
ATLANTA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/15 | 4:25 PM EST
WED 12/11
This is an absolutely terrible spot for the 49ers, coming off intense showdown games versus the Ravens and Saints and looking ahead to key division matchups against the Rams and Seattle. The Falcons lost Calvin Ridley and Desmond Trufant to season-ending injuries, but the 49ers have several key injuries of their own (Dee Ford, Weston Richburg, Richard Sherman). Atlanta is playing hard for embattled coach Dan Quinn. Facing their former offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan, you can expect maximum effort from the Falcons. Even if they fall behind by 17, Matt Ryan can cover through the back door. Take the points.

48-28-3 IN LAST 79 NFL ATS PICKS | +1706
18-12 IN LAST 30 ATL ATS PICKS | +455

12-7-1 IN LAST 20 SF ATS PICKS | +428

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports CBB Sunday

4 Unit Play. Take #784 Nebraska +12.5 over Purdue (4p.m., Sunday, December 15 BTN)

[rocky57]

The 'R' Factor (NHL The Swami) - Best Bet 10 Units Winnipeg Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

BUFFALO @ PITTSBURGH | 12/15 | 8:20 PM EST
FRI 12/13
No team is less appreciated than Buffalo, which has not lost ATS on the road since late last season. With all the hoopla surrounding Pittsburgh QB Devlin “Duck” Hodges, Buffalo’s Josh Allen is superior - even if he lacks a catchy nickname. Hodges will sorely miss WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee). The Steelers also are trending ATS, but an end to Duck Mania looms against the Bills' rugged defense.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 BUF ATS PICKS | +200

ARIZONA +3
CLEVELAND @ ARIZONA | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
FRI 12/13
This seems like a shaky spot for the fragile Browns, whose stretch of four wins in five games seems less impressive than the numbers indicate. Cleveland totaled between 13-27 points in the four of those contests and has stumbled ATS in its last four on the road. Leaving bone-chilling Cleveland to play in the desert makes the flighty Browns vulnerable.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
UNDER 40.5
CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 12/13
What two better teams for a game in which temperatures are expected to top out in the teens? Chicago QB Mitch Trubisky is throwing more these days while Green Bay counterpart Aaron Rodgers always throws, but catching those passes will be problematic in the ultra-cold conditions. The Under has been the Packers’ place in four of their last five games. The Bears went Under five times in a row before victimizing the soft defenses of Detroit and Dallas over the last two weeks.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
3-1 IN LAST 4 CHI O/U PICKS | +190

N.Y. GIANTS -3
MIAMI @ N.Y. GIANTS | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 12/13
Nine straight losses, a short week and a slumping star running back are just a few of the reasons to go with the underdog here. Still, all New York needs to do in order to avoid an ATS defeat is win by a field goal against a Miami team that is dealing with injuries to its top three receivers. Giants RB Saquon Barkley could bust out against the 30th-ranked defense while QB Eli Manning makes his second straight start after showing rust on Monday.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
8-4 IN LAST 12 NYG ATS PICKS | +354

MINNESOTA -2.5
MINNESOTA @ L.A. CHARGERS | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
THU 12/12
Rule of thumb on the Chargers: Go with them on the road and against them at home. Their home-field advantage is minimized by crowds that often are evenly split, as indicated by a 7-18 ATS trend, and Minnesota might have more fans at this one. Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has been sneaky good, and big-threat WR Adam Thielen (hamstring) is expected back after a four-game absence. Quite a small spread for teams with vasty different records.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 MIN ATS PICKS | +374

11-7-1 IN LAST 19 LAC ATS PICKS | +327

UNDER 48.5
SEATTLE @ CAROLINA | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/12
Both teams have piled up Overs this season, but this number is a tad high - especially with each club dealing with injuries on offense. The certain absence of RB Rashaad Penny (knee) puts a crimp in Seattle’s run-first approach. For Carolina, TE Greg Olsen has not exited concussion protocol and T Greg Little (ankle) is ailing. The Seahawks have impressed on the road, particularly on trips to the Eastern time zone. This marks their fifth this season, so the offense could be dragging a bit.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
5-1 IN LAST 6 SEA O/U PICKS | +390

UNDER 41.5
NEW ENGLAND @ CINCINNATI | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/12
It’s a rock-bottom total for a team led by Tom Brady, but it’s deserving. New England’s offense has played as if it's in quicksand lately, averaging 18.6 points over the last five games, while Cincinnati’s has been listless all season without WR A.J. Green. The Patriots have been Under in six of their last eight on the road and 18 of 25 overall. The Bengals are on a 12-4 Under run. If snow or rain appears a day earlier than the forecast suggests, the offenses would face another impediment.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
7-4 IN LAST 11 CIN O/U PICKS | +267

TENNESSEE -3
HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/12
Since QB Ryan Tannehill was elevated to starter, the Titans are 6-1. With considerable help from RB Derrick Henry, they have averaged 37.5 points over the last four weeks as Tannehill became the second QB to record a passer rating of at least 130 in such a stretch. Houston can score in bunches, too, but its defense has backtracked without DE J.J. Watt while Tennessee's ranks in the middle of the pack.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
10-4 IN LAST 14 TEN ATS PICKS | +557

6-3 IN LAST 9 HOU ATS PICKS | +270

ATLANTA +11
ATLANTA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/15 | 4:25 PM EST
WED 12/11
Letdowns are uncommon in the NFL. Here is a potential exception. San Francisco just staggered through two harrowingly tight games far from home: a loss at Baltimore, a win at New Orleans. Now comes Atlanta, which is better than its record (4-9) suggests. The Falcons’ three outright Ws since their bye have come by a combined 63 points. There were a pair of defeats, but one came against New Orleans. The 49ers have not covered in their last four games against sub-.500 foes. Take Atlanta.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
4-1 IN LAST 5 ATL ATS PICKS | +291

UNDER 40
PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 12/11
Philadelphia nearly ran out of receivers on Monday, and a backup QB offered to pitch in at the position. WR Alshon Jeffery (ankle), the best of the bunch, is out this weekend. OT Lane Johnson (foot) is iffy. Washington takes the field minus top RB Derrius Guice (knee). Neither team is an offensive heavyweight at full strength, so the defenses should dominate. The Eagles have been Under in four of the last five, and the Redskins similarly have been at 80 percent Under in the past 10. Take the Under.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
4-0 IN LAST 4 WAS O/U PICKS | +400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

BUFFALO @ PITTSBURGH | 12/15 | 8:20 PM EST
FRI 12/13
No team is less appreciated than Buffalo, which has not lost ATS on the road since late last season. With all the hoopla surrounding Pittsburgh QB Devlin “Duck” Hodges, Buffalo’s Josh Allen is superior - even if he lacks a catchy nickname. Hodges will sorely miss WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee). The Steelers also are trending ATS, but an end to Duck Mania looms against the Bills' rugged defense.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 BUF ATS PICKS | +200

ARIZONA +3
CLEVELAND @ ARIZONA | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
FRI 12/13
This seems like a shaky spot for the fragile Browns, whose stretch of four wins in five games seems less impressive than the numbers indicate. Cleveland totaled between 13-27 points in the four of those contests and has stumbled ATS in its last four on the road. Leaving bone-chilling Cleveland to play in the desert makes the flighty Browns vulnerable.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
UNDER 40.5
CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 12/13
What two better teams for a game in which temperatures are expected to top out in the teens? Chicago QB Mitch Trubisky is throwing more these days while Green Bay counterpart Aaron Rodgers always throws, but catching those passes will be problematic in the ultra-cold conditions. The Under has been the Packers’ place in four of their last five games. The Bears went Under five times in a row before victimizing the soft defenses of Detroit and Dallas over the last two weeks.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
3-1 IN LAST 4 CHI O/U PICKS | +190

N.Y. GIANTS -3
MIAMI @ N.Y. GIANTS | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 12/13
Nine straight losses, a short week and a slumping star running back are just a few of the reasons to go with the underdog here. Still, all New York needs to do in order to avoid an ATS defeat is win by a field goal against a Miami team that is dealing with injuries to its top three receivers. Giants RB Saquon Barkley could bust out against the 30th-ranked defense while QB Eli Manning makes his second straight start after showing rust on Monday.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
8-4 IN LAST 12 NYG ATS PICKS | +354

MINNESOTA -2.5
MINNESOTA @ L.A. CHARGERS | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
THU 12/12
Rule of thumb on the Chargers: Go with them on the road and against them at home. Their home-field advantage is minimized by crowds that often are evenly split, as indicated by a 7-18 ATS trend, and Minnesota might have more fans at this one. Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has been sneaky good, and big-threat WR Adam Thielen (hamstring) is expected back after a four-game absence. Quite a small spread for teams with vasty different records.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 MIN ATS PICKS | +374

11-7-1 IN LAST 19 LAC ATS PICKS | +327

UNDER 48.5
SEATTLE @ CAROLINA | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/12
Both teams have piled up Overs this season, but this number is a tad high - especially with each club dealing with injuries on offense. The certain absence of RB Rashaad Penny (knee) puts a crimp in Seattle’s run-first approach. For Carolina, TE Greg Olsen has not exited concussion protocol and T Greg Little (ankle) is ailing. The Seahawks have impressed on the road, particularly on trips to the Eastern time zone. This marks their fifth this season, so the offense could be dragging a bit.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
5-1 IN LAST 6 SEA O/U PICKS | +390

UNDER 41.5
NEW ENGLAND @ CINCINNATI | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/12
It’s a rock-bottom total for a team led by Tom Brady, but it’s deserving. New England’s offense has played as if it's in quicksand lately, averaging 18.6 points over the last five games, while Cincinnati’s has been listless all season without WR A.J. Green. The Patriots have been Under in six of their last eight on the road and 18 of 25 overall. The Bengals are on a 12-4 Under run. If snow or rain appears a day earlier than the forecast suggests, the offenses would face another impediment.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
7-4 IN LAST 11 CIN O/U PICKS | +267

TENNESSEE -3
HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/12
Since QB Ryan Tannehill was elevated to starter, the Titans are 6-1. With considerable help from RB Derrick Henry, they have averaged 37.5 points over the last four weeks as Tannehill became the second QB to record a passer rating of at least 130 in such a stretch. Houston can score in bunches, too, but its defense has backtracked without DE J.J. Watt while Tennessee's ranks in the middle of the pack.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
10-4 IN LAST 14 TEN ATS PICKS | +557

6-3 IN LAST 9 HOU ATS PICKS | +270

ATLANTA +11
ATLANTA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/15 | 4:25 PM EST
WED 12/11
Letdowns are uncommon in the NFL. Here is a potential exception. San Francisco just staggered through two harrowingly tight games far from home: a loss at Baltimore, a win at New Orleans. Now comes Atlanta, which is better than its record (4-9) suggests. The Falcons’ three outright Ws since their bye have come by a combined 63 points. There were a pair of defeats, but one came against New Orleans. The 49ers have not covered in their last four games against sub-.500 foes. Take Atlanta.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
4-1 IN LAST 5 ATL ATS PICKS | +291

UNDER 40
PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 12/11
Philadelphia nearly ran out of receivers on Monday, and a backup QB offered to pitch in at the position. WR Alshon Jeffery (ankle), the best of the bunch, is out this weekend. OT Lane Johnson (foot) is iffy. Washington takes the field minus top RB Derrius Guice (knee). Neither team is an offensive heavyweight at full strength, so the defenses should dominate. The Eagles have been Under in four of the last five, and the Redskins similarly have been at 80 percent Under in the past 10. Take the Under.

38-20-3 IN LAST 61 NFL PICKS | +1595
4-0 IN LAST 4 WAS O/U PICKS | +400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brett Anderson

DENVER +9.5
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
10:02 AM
The Chiefs have one of the NFL's best offenses but that's mostly due to their passing attack, and not only is Patrick Mahomes coming off a bruised hand to face a Denver defense that has allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards in the league, it's also expected to snow throughout this game. The Chiefs blew out the Broncos in Week 7, but Drew Lock has looked pretty good in his two starts, and the Chiefs are actually worse ATS at home than on the road this season. Grab the points.

38-23-1 IN LAST 62 NFL PICKS | +1266
UNDER 44.5
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
9:50 AM
The weather forecast says there's an 85% chance of snow throughout this game. Patrick Mahomes said earlier in the week that he could finally grip the ball after bruising his hand, but that might not be so easy with temps in the 20s and snow. Despite the O/U line having dropped a point and the Chiefs being involved, it's not likely we'll see a shootout here. Take the Under.

38-23-1 IN LAST 62 NFL PICKS | +1266
2-1 IN LAST 3 KC O/U PICKS | +90

WASHINGTON +6.5
PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
9:34 AM
The Eagles only have three active receivers on their roster after Nelson Agholor was ruled out and Alshon Jeffery was put on IR. They'll also be without Lane Johnson, Jordan Howard, Derek Barnett and possibly Ronald Darby. The Redskins have been competitive the last three weeks and should be able to keep it close. Take the points.

38-23-1 IN LAST 62 NFL PICKS | +1266
UNDER 41.5
NEW ENGLAND @ CINCINNATI | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 8:01 PM
Only four teams have had their games go Under the total more often than the Bengals, and one of them is the Patriots. Neither team has scored more than 22 points in a game since Week 8, and it's hard to envision the Bengals, whose top offensive output all season is 23, scoring much at all against the No. 1 defense by DVOA. Take the Under.

38-23-1 IN LAST 62 NFL PICKS | +1266
OAKLAND -6.5
JACKSONVILLE @ OAKLAND | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
MON 12/9
The Raiders have lost three straight by at least 21 points, but if there’s one team that’s been even worse it’s the Jaguars, who’ve lost their last five by at least 17 … and now they have to face the Raiders in what's likely their last-ever game in Oakland. Last year the Raiders were a 2.5-point underdog and won by 13 when they thought it could be their Oakland finale, and Jon Gruden will get them fired up for this one too. Lay the points.

38-23-1 IN LAST 62 NFL PICKS | +1266
2-1 IN LAST 3 JAC ATS PICKS | +94

2-1 IN LAST 3 OAK ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

FEATURED PICK
GREEN BAY -4.5
CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
MON 12/9
This line has steamed toward the Bears in the early going, and it's gotten to a point now where I think there's value on the Packers. They're typically a great home team in this part of the year, going 21-5 straight up since 2009, with Aaron Rodgers playing a full game in just two of those five losses. The Packers defense has enough talent to limit a suddenly solid Mitchell Trubisky, and the Packers run game should provide enough production to get the score into the 20s. I think the Packers win by six or seven.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
31-6 IN LAST 37 GB ATS PICKS | +2427

26-13-1 IN LAST 40 CHI ATS PICKS | +1201

FEATURED PICK
BUFFALO +2
BUFFALO @ PITTSBURGH | 12/15 | 8:20 PM EST
MON 12/9
I have some worries about the Steelers offense, as they appeared not to trust Devlin Hodges attacking downfield against a bad Arizona secondary. If you're willing to self-limit your offensive game plan, a good defense like that in Buffalo will make you pay. The elite Steelers defense thrives on turnovers, but Buffalo has done a great job protecting the ball with just three giveaways in its last eight games. Though this is in danger of being a look-ahead spot for the Bills with the Patriots on deck, I trust their coaching staff to keep the team focused and get this win.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
18-10 IN LAST 28 PIT ATS PICKS | +685

11-6-1 IN LAST 18 BUF ATS PICKS | +443

CINCINNATI +10
NEW ENGLAND @ CINCINNATI | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 12/13
I'll do it. I'll be the mark who goes against the Patriots coming off back-to-back losses. But I just don't think the offense is playing well enough to be favored by double digits on the road against anyone. The Bengals have been playing competitive football over the last month and they actually outplayed the Browns in the box score but were doomed by an early-pick six and settling for too many FGs. The Bengals' No. 2 red zone defense is up against the Pats' No. 27 red zone offense, so I'm not sure the Pats will be throwing a bunch of TDs on the scoreboard. And the Pats don't have the run game to attack Cincy's biggest weakness. This one stays closer than you think.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
14-8 IN LAST 22 CIN ATS PICKS | +519

TAMPA BAY -3.5
TAMPA BAY @ DETROIT | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 12/13
With Jameis Winston a go for this game, I'm willing to take a deep breath and back him as a road favorite. You beat the Bucs by throwing on them, but I'm not sure David Blough can do that as he continues to lose pieces around him, with Marvin Jones going on IR. Bo Scarbrough is also in doubt after missing practice Thursday, so good luck to the running game as well. Even without Mike Evans, Winston can run up the score on a banged-up Lions defense that doesn't get a lot of interceptions (five all year) and doesn't get stops on third downs (27th) or in red zone (29th). The Bucs are playing hard for Bruce Arians and will keep it up here.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
18-8-3 IN LAST 29 TB ATS PICKS | +908

8-2-1 IN LAST 11 DET ATS PICKS | +580

L.A. CHARGERS +2.5
MINNESOTA @ L.A. CHARGERS | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
THU 12/12
The Vikings seem like they're rolling, but they've covered just two of their last six. They also struggle on the road, going 3-4 ATS and SU on the year. The Chargers have been dominating opponents statistically for weeks but often find different ways to lose. But this is a healthier Chargers team that is about to hit its stride, and with Derwin James back, I believe they'll be able to slow down Kirk Cousins. The Vikings defense hasn't been as dominant as in recent years either, and Philip Rivers can have some success against them. With the Vikings in a clear lookahead spot with Green Bay on deck, this game has prime upset potential.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
29-8-3 IN LAST 40 MIN ATS PICKS | +1999

2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC ATS PICKS | +82

TENNESSEE -3
HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/12
The Titans are clearly the better team right now, with wins in six of their last seven and double-digit wins in their last three. DVOA also highlights a massive gap between these teams, with the Titans 22.7 percentage points better in their weighted formula. The Houston defense has fallen apart and now ranks 27th in DVOA and bottom two in both third down and red zone percentage. At home against a defense playing like that, Ryan Tannehill should continue to roll, and with the Titans defense ranking seventh in points per game, they should offer enough resistance for the home team to cover.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
22-15 IN LAST 37 TEN ATS PICKS | +534

OVER 46
INDIANAPOLIS @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/16 | 8:15 PM EST
WED 12/11
The Saints offense just lit up a great defense at home, and I don't see why they'll slow down against a solid but not great Colts unit here. Drew Brees looked excellent in that game, enough so that we can put worries of another late-season swoon to rest. Jacoby Brissett finally looked healthy last week, and I think he can lead the Colts offense to a nice point total, considering how well they do on third downs (No. 9 in NFL) and in the red zone (No. 7). Both these defenses just gave up 500-plus yards of offense in their last matchups, so why isn't this total higher?

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
UNDER 49
L.A. RAMS @ DALLAS | 12/15 | 4:25 PM EST
WED 12/11
The Rams defense has been fantastic of late aside from when they faced the unique Ravens offense, and as a result they've cashed the Under in seven of their last eight games. The Cowboys look a bit lost after losing back-to-back games as favorites, and though their defense could make this Under look foolish on its own, I think the Rams offense might come back to earth a little bit this week after a couple of elite performances. This play is about trusting an Under team to do it again with a high total.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
4-0 IN LAST 4 LAR O/U PICKS | +400

OAKLAND -6.5
JACKSONVILLE @ OAKLAND | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
WED 12/11
One of these teams is playing its last home game in front of a passionate fan base before leaving Oakland presumably forever. The other one looks like it's quit on the season, with the Jaguars getting blown out by at least 17 points in five straight. Even with the Raiders' recent issues, you can't make this line high enough for me to not lay the points. I worry about a bad Raiders secondary letting Jacksonville in through the back door, but their lead may be big enough to not even matter. The smartest bet is likely Raiders first half, but I'll trust them to get it done over 60 minutes too.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
8-4 IN LAST 12 JAC ATS PICKS | +357

8-4 IN LAST 12 OAK ATS PICKS | +349

MIAMI +3.5
MIAMI @ N.Y. GIANTS | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 12/11
How can the Giants be favored against anyone right now, especially laying more than a field goal? They collapsed in the second half against an Eagles team that has had issues, one the Dolphins beat the prior week. Miami is 7-2 ATS since Ryan Fitzpatrick rejoined the lineup, while the Giants have lost nine straight. The bearded one can throw it all over this awful Giants defense, one that shouldn't be trusted to hold onto a lead in the second half if they have one. Make sure you jump on this now and get the hook while you can.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
10-4 IN LAST 14 NYG ATS PICKS | +548

WASHINGTON +4.5
PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 12/11
The Eagles have struggled in the past when Lane Johnson has been absent from the lineup, as appears will be the case this week after he suffered a high ankle sprain in the win over the Giants. With their injuries and how bad the coverage has been for Philly, I like fading them on the road, even against a Washington team without much of a homefield advantage. Washington has been keeping games close with their run-heavy approach, and as a result they've covered their last three games, winning two. They should keep this one close as well, with a field goal either way deciding it.

24-14-1 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +858
19-13 IN LAST 32 WAS ATS PICKS | +465

3-1 IN LAST 4 PHI ATS PICKS | +188

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Book Breakers (SBB)
5-STAR Denver and Kansas City UNDER 45.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo cbb

1-Unit Play. Take #774 Fordham (-3.5) over Tennessee State (2 p.m.)
Better team, better conference. I just think Fordham has better players than Tennessee State. Throw in the home court advantage and this is a play. This number has been sinking all morning, but I don't really understand why. Yes, they are two bad teams. And Tennessee State has overperformed at the window early this season. But that's just because their expectation level was so absurdly low. I'll take a stab here with Jeff Neubauer's crew.

2-Unit Play. Take #777 Oklahoma State (+7) over Houston (3 p.m.)
Houston is an excellent program and Kelvin Sampson is an underrated coach. I like this team. But I don't think they are as good as this number suggests. This Cougars team has a lot of talent and athleticism. But they are still pretty young. They've lost to the only two good teams they have faced (BYU and Oregon) and they haven't blown out any of the mediocre mid-major teams they've faced, beating Rice, Texas State and UT-Arlington by eight points apiece. Are they going to beat Oklahoma State by more than eight points? I don't think so. The Cowboys should be in bounce back mode after a horrible loss to Wichita State. I think Oklahoma State will get back Isaac Likekele today and that should have a major impact on this team and this game.

2-Unit Play. Take #779 N.C. State (-2) over UNC-Greensboro (3 p.m.)
Greensboro is a fine team and they are going to be sky-high for this game. But I don't see them beating the Wolfpack. N.C. State is well coached and they have what you need to avoid upsets on the road: quality veteran guard play. Markell Johnson and C.J. Bryce are both seniors and junior Devon Daniels is in his fourth year. The Wolfpack are coming off a solid road win at Wake Forest and I think that they have the goods to get another here.

7-Unit Play. Take #792 North Carolina (-15.5) over Wofford (4 p.m.)
It has already been established that this year's North Carolina team is not nearly as good as last year's. That's fine. But they don't need to be to run Wofford out of the gym in this game. UNC is coming off back-to-back losses to legit opponents, getting demolished by Ohio State and then losing to Virginia. The Tar Heels have scored fewer than 50 points in each of those games. They've also been sitting on them for a week, having not played since Dec. 8. I don't think that this team is going to be screwing around even a little bit and Unlce Roy should give them the whip today. Last year the Heels went to Wofford in the season opener and were pushed hard before pulling away for an 11-point win. As a result, they won't take this team lightly. And now they get the return game in Chapel Hill and they should blow the Terriers out of the building. This is not the same caliber Wofford team. They lost their two best players and three starters. They also may be playing without point guard Storm Murphy, who has been battling injuries. So that would leave them without their coach and four starters from last year's team. Wofford lost by 19 at Missouri and Missouri is not good. They also lost by 19 at Butler and by 14 at South Florida. Are you telling me North Carolina can't win this game by 20+? Wofford has to face UNC and then Duke this week. So even if by some fluke they cover this spread and hang around in this game I'll go right back against them on Wednesday. I don't think it will come to that, though. I think that UNC is pissed off and motivated and they are ready to go apeshit on an overmatched opponent.

1-Unit Play. Take #803 Ohio State (-7) over Minnesota (6:30 p.m.)
Ohio State is ready to become the No. 1 team in the country and Minnesota

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #777 Oklahoma State (+12) over Houston (3 p.m.) AND Take #792 North Carolina (-10.5) over Wofford (4 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #803 Ohio State (-2) over Minnesota (6:30 p.m.) and Take #808 VCU (-6) over Missouri State (7 p.m.)