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The top LJP score tonight is a 4 on the Houston Rockets +4.5 over the LA Clippers. I would advise a 0.50 unit wager. The #2 and #3 plays tonight, at this time are San Antonio -3 over Brooklyn and Buffalo +119 over Philadelphia in the NHL. Both of those games achieve LJP scores of 3.
GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTAL THU, 12/19/19 - 8:00 PM
726 Houston / 725 UTEP Over 125.5 Pinnacle
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
We use 3 CBB Models, all developed differently to pick different ways. They help us SPOT Potential Totals and all 3 have agreed that this number is too low. It is not the only thing we use but it is a starting point. We also use techniques that as far as I know have not yet been discovered by others including books. While these are not fail proof techniques they have been very profitable over the last few years. We also use offensive and defensive efficiency numbers, pace, projected pace, venue trends, league and division trends, injuries, along with other more "Standard" Handicapping Principles to get our final number and possibly make a play rated at 1* 2* and 3*.
This is a very low number for a Houston Cougar game and about average for a UTEP Game. Both teams like the slow pace, the Minors a bit more and both play very good defense. But there is a good reason why we LOVE the OVER here and part of that has to do with a database entry that we are not going to talk about. We do need to keep some things private to continue to do what we do which is outsmart the books. The Minors have yet to play a team that has offensive skills like the Cougs and we expect Houston to score plenty. That should open up this game considerably especially in the 2nd half. Don't be alarmed if we are not looking great at halftime. We got this number early and since then it has dropped giving you much more value. We are seeing anywhere from 123.5 to 124.5 at most books at this writing. Get your best number and let's play..
Mid Morning Update: Sharp Money is driving this number up right now and we are now seeing 127 to 128 numbers. Still a play at this level
Pick Made: Dec 18 2019 8:09PM PST
GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTAL THU, 12/19/19 - 8:00 PM
720 South Alabama / 719 Appalachian St. Under 140.0 Westgate
dime bet
Analysis:
‹1* Play at your best number..UNDER
Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 8:00AM PST
GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTAL THU, 12/19/19 - 8:00 PM
722 Chicago St / 721 N.Illinois Under 140.0 Bookmaker
dime bet
Analysis:
1* Play at your best numbe…r UNDER
Utah Jazz {A} bet - Official betting series. Buy 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds, or take them on the money line. If this bet loses, then the potential {B} bet is on the 21st and the potential {C} bet is on the 23rd. Official recordkeeping for the {A} bet is on the money line. Series is over if the Jazz win the game outright tonight, even if they don't cover the spread.
The rest of today's VIP picks are only revealed to Pythagorean Betting System members.
OVER 5.5
DALLAS @ TAMPA BAY | 12/19 | 7:00 PM EST
6:59 PM
The Lightning have the best home power play in the league and they score the sixth most goals in the league. The Stars score the fifth fewest goals in the league but their defense should be slowed by the Lightning home offense. I like this over with Ben Bishop on the bench for this game.
19-14 IN LAST 33 NHL PICKS | +247
COLORADO -117
CAROLINA @ COLORADO | 12/19 | 9:00 PM EST
6:55 PM
The Aves are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games and 10-3-2 at home this season. This line is closer to a toss up since the Aves played last night and the Canes were off. But the Canes have 11 wins in 19 road games and they are facing a healthy Aves team that is playing their best hockey right now. Take the value in the Aves.
17-10 IN LAST 27 NHL ML PICKS | +502
VEGAS -133
VEGAS @ VANCOUVER | 12/19 | 10:00 PM EST
6:54 PM
The Golden Knights have won three straight and they are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. They will face a Vancouver team that has lost three straight games and six of their last 10. The Golden Knights have been playing much better as of late, take the value in the Knights on the road.
17-10 IN LAST 27 NHL ML PICKS | +502
2-1 IN LAST 3 LV ML PICKS | +120
N.Y. ISLANDERS +161
N.Y. ISLANDERS @ BOSTON | 12/19 | 7:00 PM EST
6:53 PM
The Bruins are 12-1-6 at home this season but they have lost six of their last seven games. Tuuka Rask has lost his last four games. The Islanders are 9-5-1 on the road this season, and they were just tagged for eight goals at home against the Predators. Look for the best defensive team in the league to come back with a strong effort and take advantage of the struggling Bruins.
17-10 IN LAST 27 NHL ML PICKS | +502
3-0 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS | +300
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYI ML PICKS | +77
PHILADELPHIA -139
BUFFALO @ PHILADELPHIA | 12/19 | 7:00 PM EST
6:52 PM
The Flyers have won six of their last 10 games and they are 11-2-4 at home this season. The Sabres have won five of their last 10 and they are 6-9-4 on the road this season. Carter Hart has been on fire with a 2.40 GAA and .912 save percentage on the season. Take the value in the Flyers at home.
17-10 IN LAST 27 NHL ML PICKS | +502
4-1 IN LAST 5 PHI ML PICKS | +276
UNDER 235.5
HOUSTON @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 12/19 | 10:30 PM EST
7:01 PM
I've been picking and choosing my spots with Clippers totals all season long and it's worked well. This matchup is one of those times when I believe the total is too high and overlooks how good the Clippers are defensively. There's going to be a playoff atmosphere to this game, and both teams will be looking to make a statement. No easy buckets. No Over.
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 NBA PICKS | +571
8-1 IN LAST 9 HOU O/U PICKS | +691
HOUSTON +5
HOUSTON @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 12/19 | 10:30 PM EST
6:59 PM
I'm really looking forward to watching this game, and I think the Rockets are a little undervalued by this line. The Rockets have only been underdogs four times this season, but they've covered in three of them. The Clippers, meanwhile, are 11-4 ATS at home this season, which is awesome. It's also unsustainable.
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 NBA PICKS | +571
5-1 IN LAST 6 LAC ATS PICKS | +390
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ATS PICKS | +187
UNDER 142.5
PORTLAND ST. @ LMU | 12/19 | 10:00 PM EST
6:52 PM
These are two bad defenses, which is why the total is set as high as it is, but it's too high. Neither team is strong offensively, and Loyola-Marymount moves at a snail's pace. With the Lions at home, and with them being the better team, they'll be able to dictate the pace of this game, which will help keep the score down.
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