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Fezzik | NFL Total - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 4:30PM
453 BUF / 454 NEP UNDER 38.0 William Hill triple-dime bet
Analysis: … Ram SF -6.5, 46
Rams In 1st meeting, Rams were dominated, lost 7-20
Despite it being a good spot for Rams
Rams had 10 days to prepare…..
SF ws off a MNF game vs. Clev
Despite that SF dominated
Winning Stats (331 yards, to 157)
Now the spot is better for SF SF was flat in loss to Atl
Blew a 9 point 4Q lead, gave up lead with :02 left
SF decimated at DLINE HOWEVER!
DL Cluster Injuries
DL Moore OUT, (11/25), DJ Jones OUT (12/14)
DE Dee Ford DT Julian Taylor ALSO OUT
… Buf NE -6.5 38.5
LIKE UNDER
Similar Game To Buf/PIT
Two Top 5 Defenses:
NE 1, Buf 3
Two Struggling Offenses:
Buf 22, NE 14
But Ne’s Offense has been MUCH worse late
Brady 5 straight games with QBR below 40!
I expect a copy of 1st meeting: Ne 16, BUF 10
NE 224 yards, 3.5 YPP
Buf 375 yards, 5.3 YPP
NE got a blocked punt TD
This total is 38 simply due to all the NE points they have gotten w/ T’os
+24 YTD!
… Hou TB +3, 50
Winston down 3 receivers now!?
Mike Evans 1333 yards OUT
Godwin 1157 yards OUT
Scotty Miller Hamstring? OUT
That would leave them with just 1 WR with over 90 yards……. (Perriman 409)
The Big Question: Will TBay get pressure on Watson
Tbay No 13 in Sacks (36YTD)
LEAN UNDER AGAIN
4 Unit Play. Take #644 Providence (pk) over Texas (2p.m., Saturday, December 21 FOX) This line is begging you to take Texas, but we will not bite and take the Friars in a true home game. Texas has played a weak schedule thus far for their impressive record.
4 Unit Play. Take #718 Florida -3.5 over Utah State (2:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 FS1) Florida is always a tough team to beat inside the state and they need this game more than does Utah State. The Gators played their best game of the season last time out against Providence and expect them to follow that up with another impressive victory on Saturday. The Aggies struggled with USF last time out and this is a much tougher opponent. Utah State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. Florida is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
8 Unit Play. Take #722 Butler -2 over Purdue (2:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 BTN) TOP COLLEGE HOOPS PLAY Purdue lost a ton of scoring last year when Carson Edwards left, and they will have trouble keeping pace with Butler in this game. The Bulldogs have a ton of quality wins this season included bating Stanford and Florida. Purdue beat Virginia but they have struggled in their other big games losing to Florida State, Texas, Marquette, and Nebraska. Butler is better than all 4 of those teams. Butler dominated Indiana last year before losing on a freak play to end the game and they have a bad taste in their month from that Crossroads Classic. Butler is 45-20 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 67 neutral site games. Purdue is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
4 Unit Play. Take #738 Ohio State -3 over Kentucky (5:15p.m., Saturday, December 21 CBS) Kentucky is really struggling to shoot the ball this year especially from the 3-point line. Ohio State got back on track last time out and expect them to win this game by 6-8 points. Kentucky just has not found the chemistry needed to be success this season at this point.
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