Friday 12-27-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Dec 27 '19, 10:05 PM in 13h
NHL | Kings vs Sharks
Play on: Sharks -140 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Sharks -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Dec 27 '19, 10:15 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Washington State vs Air Force
Play on: OVER 67 -110

235 Washington State at Air Force
Two teams facing opponents who are one dimensional offenses it rarely sees. Washington State threw the ball 192 times in its last three games. Air Force rarely passes the ball so it's something the team cannot duplicate in practice.
Air Force wants to run the football with 151 rushing attempts its last three contests. Washington State allows 4.9 yards per carry on the season and only saw 73 total rushing attempts its last three games.
This total seems a bit low considering each team can do what it wants offensively.
PLAY OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Dec 27 '19, 10:35 PM in 14h
NBA | Suns vs Warriors
Play on: Suns -3 -105 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Phoenix Suns -3
This is a huge letdown spot for the Golden State Warriors. They are coming off three straight wins, including their shocking upset of Houston as 11-point dogs on Christmas Day. Now the Warriors will be playing their 3rd game in 5 days and won’t be nearly as motivated to face Phoenix as they were Houston.
The Suns are in a great spot. They come in on three days’ rest, so they will be fresh and ready to go. And the Suns will be highly motivated for a win off seven straight losses against a brutal schedule. Phoenix is finally almost fully healthy and should be a good bet moving forward.
Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Phoenix) - after five or more consecutive losses, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 50-22 (69.4%) ATS since 1996. The Suns have won their last two meetings with the Warriors outright as underdogs, and both were on the road.
Golden State is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 home games vs. division opponents. The Suns are 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 games as road favorites. The Warriors are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a win. Golden State is 16-34-2 ATS in its last 52 games off an ATS win. Bet the Suns Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

227N CAROLINA -228 TEMPLE
N CAROLINA is 12-33 ATS (-24.3 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

229MICHIGAN ST -230 WAKE FOREST
MICHIGAN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

231OKLAHOMA ST -232 TEXAS A&M
TEXAS A&M is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

233USC -234 IOWA
IOWA is 60-30 ATS (27 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

235WASHINGTON ST -236 AIR FORCE
AIR FORCE is 18-44 ATS (-30.4 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, December 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (6 - 6) vs. TEMPLE (8 - 4) - 12/27/2019, 12:00:00 P
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (6 - 6) vs. WAKE FOREST (8 - 4) - 12/27/2019, 3:20:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WAKE FOREST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on a neutral field since 1992.
WAKE FOREST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (8 - 4) vs. TEXAS A&M (7 - 5) - 12/27/2019, 6:45:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 71-99 ATS (-37.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (8 - 4) vs. IOWA (9 - 3) - 12/27/2019, 8:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
USC is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (6 - 6) vs. AIR FORCE (10 - 2) - 12/27/2019, 10:15:00 P
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

Dec. 27- Military Bowl, Annapolis
Temple is 21-7 ATS in last 28 games as an underdog, 5-2 TY; Owls’ coach Carey was 0-6 SU in bowls at Northern Illinois- Temple lost three of its last four bowls, losing this game 34-26 (-12) three years ago. Three of Temple’s last four games stayed under. Mack Brown went 6-6 in his return to Chapel Hill; nine of their 12 games were decided by 7 or less points, including all six losses. UNC is 2-5-1 ATS in last eight games as a favorite; they lost their last three bowls, giving up 38 ppg- their last bowl win was in 2013. Tar Heels are 6-2 when they allow 25 or fewer points, 0-4 when they allow more. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six Military Bowls that didn’t involve host school Navy; average total in this bowl last five years is 60.8.

Pinstripe Bowl, Bronx
Michigan State had a 5-game losing skid after a 4-1 start, allowing 34+ points in all five losses; they’re 5-1 when they allow 17 or less points, 0-5 when they allow more. Spartans are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a favorite, 3-5 TY- they scored 10 or fewer points in five of their six losses. State split their last four bowls, scoring 42-0-42-6 points; five of their last seven games went under. Wake Forest won its last three bowls, scoring 42 ppg; they lost three of last four games (giving up 38.5 ppg) after 7-1 start. Deacons are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog, 1-1 TY. Big 14 teams won this bowl four of last five years; underdogs covered this bowl seven of last eight years, with average total of 56.2 in last six. Check the weather; NYC in December can be dicey.

Texas Bowl, Houston
Oklahoma State won four of its last five games after giving up 45 points in consecutive losses to Texas Tech/Baylor in October; Cowboys are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as an underdog, 2-1 TY. Four of their last five games went under the total. OSU won its last three bowls, scoring 38-30-38 points; they covered four of last five bowls. Texas A&M is 7-5, losing last two games, to Georgia/LSU- they lost 50-7 to LSU. Aggies are 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games as an underdog, 2-2 TY. A&M lost three of last four bowls, despite scoring 52-52 points in last two. Jimbo Fisher is 6-2 SU in bowls. A&M’s last three games went under. Big X teams are 5-2 SU in last seven Texas Bowls, beating SEC teams the last three years, with average total of 58.5 in last six.

Holiday Bowl, San Diego
USC won five of its last six games after a 3-3 start, scoring 31-41-52 points in last three games, which saved coach Helton’s job- freshman QB Slovis threw for 466 ypg in those games. USC allowed 26+ points in four of last five games; they’re 5-12 ATS in last 17 games as an underdog, 2-2 TY. Trojans are 3-2 in last five bowls, scoring 45+ points in the wins; they didn’t go bowling LY. Iowa won five of its last six games, giving up 17.7 ppg in winning last three; they’re 12-6 ATS in last 18 games as a favorite, 5-4 TY. Hawkeyes won their last two bowls, after losing previous five. Underdogs covered this game six of last seven games; Big 14 teams won this game last four years. Average total in last four Holiday Bowls, 45.8.

Cheez-It Bowl, Phoenix
Air Force won its last seven games since a 34-25 loss to Navy; Falcons actually threw for 327 yards at New Mexico. Flyboys are 12-18 ATS in last 30 games as a favorite, 5-4 TY. Four of their last five games went under. Falcons are in its first bowl in three years; they lost three of last five bowls, with average total of 69.8. Mike Leach is 7-7 in bowls, 2-3 at Washington State, with average total of 54. Coogs scored only 19.3 ppg in last four bowls. Wazzu was 3-0 TY, then blew a 49-17 third quarter lead, lost 67-63 at home to UCLA and their season fell apart. Coogs lost six of last nine games, scoring 41+ points in the wins; four of their last five games went over. Underdogs covered this bowl five of last seven years, with average total of 48.7 in last six.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

Friday, December 27

North Carolina @ Temple

Game 227-228
December 27, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
89.652
Temple
88.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 1
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 5
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Temple
(+5); Over

Michigan State @ Wake Forest

Game 229-230
December 27, 2019 @ 3:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
85.833
Wake Forest
84.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 1
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 4 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+4 1/2); Over

Oklahoma State @ Texas A&M

Game 231-232
December 27, 2019 @ 6:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
91.825
Texas A&M
102.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 11
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 7
54
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(-7); Under

USC @ Iowa

Game 233-234
December 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
97.554
Iowa
101.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 4
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(-2); Under

Air Force @ Washington St

Game 235-236
December 27, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
91.157
Washington St
90.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
Even
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 3
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(+3); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bowl Tech Trends - Week 2
Bruce Marshall

Friday, December 27

NORTH CAROLINA vs. TEMPLE (Military Bowl)... Mack Brown just 2-3-1 as chalk this year, 2-3 vs. spread away from Chapel Hill. Owls covered last 4 in 2019 in 8-4 spread season, 4-2 as dog, though Rod Carey was 0-6 SU and vs. spread in bowls with NIU.
UNC, based on Carey bowl marks.


MICHIGAN STATE vs. WAKE FOREST (Yankee Pinstripe Bowl)...MSU 3-9 vs. line TY, 8-17 vs. spread since 2018, 5-11 as chalk since 2018. Though Dantonio 6-1 vs. spread last seven bowls. Clawson 3-0 SU in bowls with Wake. Deacs 5-1 vs. line last 6 vs. non-ACC.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.


OKLAHOMA STATE vs. TEXAS A&M (Texas Bowl)...Gundy on 12-4 spread uptick since late 2018, has also won and covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 bowls. OSU also 14-4 as dog since 2015.
Oklahoma State, based on team trends.


SOUTHERN CAL vs. IOWA (Holiday Bowl)...SC no covers last 3 or 5 of last 6 bowls. Helton 1-8 vs. spread last 9 vs. non-Pac 12 foes. Ferentz has won and covered last 2 owls and is 7-4 last 11 in bowl games vs. line, and 9-3-1 vs. spread last 13 away from Iowa City.
Iowa, based on team trends.


WASHINGTON STATE vs. AIR FORCE (Cheez-it Bowl)...Leach no covers last 3 or 4 of last 5 bowl with Cougs. WSU also 4-8 vs. line last 12 vs. non-Pac 12, and just 1-6 vs. spread last 7 away from Pullman. Calhoun 13-3 vs. spread last 16 vs. non-MW foes.
Air Force, based on team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Bowl Tip Sheet
Joe Williams

Texas Bowl (ESPN, 6:45 p.m. ET)

Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M

-- The Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-4 straight up, 8-3-1 against the spread) from the Big 12 Conference will square off with the Texas A&M Aggies (7-5 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Southeastern Conference in the Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl in Houston, Tex. at NRG Stadium.

-- The Cowboys opened the season 3-0 SU/ATS, but the wins were against Oregon State, McNeese of the FCS and Tulsa. They lost a narrow 36-30 game at Texas Sept. 21 for their first loss, although they ended up with the cover. In fact, they covered their first five games of the season. They topped a very good Kansas State team 26-13 on Sept. 28, and fell against Texas Tech and Baylor in the following two weekends, mainly due to defensive lapses. They yielded 45 points in each of those games. They were better defensively during a four-game win streak against Iowa State, TCU, Kansas and West Virginia, yielding just 20.0 PPG, which is pretty outstanding for the Big 12. They were dumped 34-16 in 'Bedlam', the season-ending rivalry game against Oklahoma.

-- It's all about RB Chuba Hubbard for the Cowboys. He rushed 309 times for 1,936 yards and 21 touchdowns, averaging 6.3 yards per carry. Offensively, the Cowboys were 17th in total yards overall, posting 463.9 yards per game. They're 16th in rushing yards per contest (236.3), while ending up 71st in passing yards (227.7). They scored 33.4 points per game to rank 34th offensively. For the defense, they were 86th in total yards (418.1), 113th in passing yards (267.1) and 59th in rushing yards (151.0) allowed. They yielded 27.0 points per game to check in a mediocre 63rd.

-- The Aggies dropped four games this season, but those losses were against Alabama, Auburn, Clemson, Georgia and LSU. Two of those teams are in the playoffs, and all five were in the mix late into the season. What will we get from Oklahoma State?

-- Texas A&M ranked 71st in total yards (399.2), 54th in passing yards (247.1) and 77th in rushing yards (152.1) per game, while posting 30.0 points per game to rank 62nd in the nation. On defense, the Aggies were pretty strong, allowing 341.0 yards per game to rank 31st, they were 48th against the pass (211.7) and 29th against the run (129.3), which is the important stat as they try to contain Hubbard. That will be the prime matchup. They also allowed 22.7 points per game to rank 37th in the country.

-- The Aggies have made 41 previous bowl appearances dating back to 1922. That includes a 33-16 victory over Oklahoma State in the 1981 Independence Bowl. The Aggies have been exciting lately, win or lose. They blasted North Carolina State 52-13 last season in the Gator Bowl, while losing 55-52 to Wake Forest in the Belk Bowl in 2017. They have scored 21 or more points in nine straight games dating back to the 2009 Independence Bowl.

-- For the Cowboys, they have won three straight bowl appearances, including last season's 38-33 win over Missouri in the Liberty Bowl. They have won seven of the past nine bowl games overall. They last appeared in a bowl game in 2016, topping Colorado 38-8 in the Alamo Bowl. They lost the 2013 Cotton Bowl to Missouri by a 41-31 score, and the year before they topped Purdue 58-14 in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. They also won the 2010 Alamo Bowl in 2010, so Texas has been very good to the Cowboys, and they generally travel well with such close proximity to Stillwater. That will be important since this time they're playing a Texas-based school.

-- Oklahoma State heads into this one 12-2 ATS in the past 14 games as an underdog, and 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 overall. They're also 21-8 ATS in the past 29 non-conference tilts, and 9-2 ATS in the past 11 against teams with a winning overall record.

-- The Cowboys are also 4-1 ATS in the past five bowl games, and 5-1 ATS in the past six neutral-site games, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site games as an underdog.

-- Texas A&M is 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 as a favorite, and they're 11-1 ATS in their past 12 non-conference tilts.

-- The under is 4-1 in OK State's past five games overall, 5-0 in the past five neutral-site games and 5-0 in their past five bowl games.

-- The over is 5-2 in A&M's past seven neutral-site games, 9-3 in the past 12 non-conference tilts and 5-1 in their past six bowl outings.

-- These teams have a history, with Oklahoma State going 4-0-1 ATS in the past five meetings, with the over 6-2 in the previous eight.


Holiday Bowl (FOX Sports 1, 8:00 p.m.)

Southern California vs. Iowa

-- The San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl will feature the Southern California Trojans (8-4 straight up, 6-5-1 against the spread) against the Iowa Hawkeyes (9-3 straight up, 5-7 against the spread) at San Diego County Credit Union Stadium in San Diego, Calif.

-- Head coach Clay Helton has continued to put together wins despite a multitude of injuries and a fanbase which seemingly always wants him gone. USC beat Fresno State and Stanford to open the season, but lost to BYU 30-27 in overtime on Sept. 14. They topped a playoff-contending Utah team by a 30-23 score on Sept. 20 before an ugly loss at Washington on Sept. 28. A loss at Notre Dame on Oct. 12 had them at a crossroads at 3-3 SU/ATS. However, they rattled off wins in five of their final six games to turn things around, including road wins at Arizona State and California in November.

-- The Trojans lost QB JT Daniels (knee) to a season-ending knee injury in the opening game. Enter freshman QB Kedon Slovis, who was an unknown. All he did was emerge with 3,242 passing yards, connecting with WR Michael Pittman Jr. for 1,222 of them, as the offense rolled along despite the losses. In fact, they lost leading rusher RB Vavae Malepeai to injury for a long period, other key skill position members were also hurt, and at one point they were down to fifth-string RB Kenan Christon to serve as the workhorse. They overcame, and now they're pretty healthy heading into the Iowa game.

-- The offense posted 462.2 total yards per game to rank 18th in the nation, including fifth in the pass game at 335.9 yards. They were 113th with 126.3 rushing yards per game, again, they were devastated by injuries at that position. They ranked 36th with 33.2 points per game. Defensively they were 83rd in total yards allowed (415.3), 99th in passing yards allowde (248.9), 76th in rushing yards allowed (166.3) and 66th in points allowed (27.8).

-- Iowa was boring offensively, as they ranked just 98th in total yards (369.8), 67th in passing yards (230.3) and 97th in rushing yards (139.5) while ranking 99th in points per game (23.8). On defense, that's where Iowa had most of their success, allowing just 304.6 total yards per game to rank 12th in the nation, while checking in 11th with 184.2 passing yards per game. They were 25th against the run, too, giving up just 120.4 yards per outing while yielding only 13.2 PPG to rank fifth in the country.

-- These teams have met before in a bowl game, facing each other in the Orange Bowl back on Jan. 2, 2003, in a game which I actually attended. That day it was all USC, as they thrashed the Hawkeyes 38-17 with Pete Carroll at the helm for the Trojans. That's the only meeting in a bowl game between the institutions. USC played a Big Ten team last time they were in a bowl, falling 24-7 in the Cotton Bowl Classic against Ohio Stae on Dec. 29, 2017. Ovearll the Trojans have won eight of the past 10 against the Big Ten, however, in bowl games.

-- The Trojans are 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine against winning teams, but they're just 4-14 ATS in the past 18 as an underdog and 0-4 ATS in their past four bowl games. They're also 0-5 ATS in the past five vs. Big Ten, and 0-7 ATS in the past seven neutral-site games.

-- The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in the past eight non-conference battles, while going 3-1-1 ATS in the past five games in December.

-- USC has hit the over in five in a row, while going 11-4-1 in the past 16 neutral-site games.

-- The under is 8-2-1 in the past 11 games overall for Iowa, and 6-1-1 in their past eight as a favorite. However, the over is 5-0 in their past five appearances on a Friday, 4-1 in the past five bowl games and 3-1-1 in their past five non-conference tilts.


Cheez-It Bowl (ESPN, 10:15 p.m.)

Air Force vs. Washington State

-- The Cheez-It Bowl features the Air Force Falcons (10-2 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Mountain West Conference facing off against the Washington State Cougars (6-6 straight-up, 4-8 against the spread) from the Pac-12 Conference at Chase Field in Phoenix, Ariz.

-- It was a strange season for the Cougars. It went downhilll against UCLA on Sept. 21, as they blew a giant lead and fell 67-63 in a memorable game where QB Anthony Gordon threw for nine touchdowns -- and they lost! He ended up with 5,228 passing yards overall this season, spreading it out amongst a bevy of consistent receivers. You never knew what Washington State team would show up. They were thrashed at Utah 38-13, but lost a narrow 37-35 game at Oregon on Oct. 26, blowing a game they probably should've won outright. They blasted Stanford 49-22, they edged Oregon State 54-53 on Nov. 23, showing off the pass attack again, and they were dumped 31-13 in the Apple Cup vs. Washington.

-- Air Force did what they do best this season - run. The triple-option is still working wonders for the Falcons, as they won 10 and lost just two, a 30-19 loss at Boise State on Sept. 20, and a 34-25 loss at Navy, against a fellow triple-option team. They won seven in a row to close out the season, including against bowl teams Hawai'i and Utah State.

-- USAFA ranked 51st in total yards per game (424.0), while going for 131.0 passing yards per contest to rank 124th. They were third overall with 293.0 rushing yards per game, and that's where Washington State's D needs to focus. The Falcons scored 34.3 points per game to rank 22nd. Defensively, Air Force allowed 315.8 total yards to rank 16th, while ranking 40th against the pass (208.1), 11th against the run (107.7) and 19th in points scored (19.8).

-- Washington State was ridiculous offensively, and ridiculously bad defensively, which explains why they were just .500. They were sixth overall with 516.8 total yards per game, and fifth in passing yards with 444.3 yards per game. They barely ran the ball, posting just 72.5 yards per game to rank 129th in FBS. They were 10th in points scored at 39.2 per game. Defensively...ugh. They allowed 456.8 total yards per game to rank 113th, they were 122nd against the pass (286.8), and 78th against the run (170.0). They allowed 31.4 points per game to check in 94th.

-- The Cougs are 8-7 in 15 previous bowl games, including 2-3 in the past five appearances under Mike Leach. The won last season's Alamo Bowl against Iowa State by a 28-26 score.

-- The Falcons actually have a much lengthier bowl history, but lately they have been so-so. Air Force is 6-9 SU in their past 15 bowl games, although they did win the Arizona Bowl on Dec. 30, 2016 against South Alabama in their most recent appearance. Air Force is 1-4 SU all-time against the Pac-12 in bowl games, including a 55-36 loss to Cal in the most recent battle on Dec. 29, 2015.

-- Air Force is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall, and 5-2 ATS in the past seven bowl games. They're 21-7 ATS in the past 28 non-conference tilts, too.

-- Washington State is 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games overall, but they're 5-2 ATS in the past seven non-conference tilts, and 15-7 ATS in the past 22 as an underdog.

-- The under is 4-1 in the past five games overall, and 4-1 in the past five as a favorite. The under is 7-2 in the past nine non-conference battles, while going 4-1 in the past five as a favorite. The over is 4-0 in their past four neutral-site games, and 4-1 in the past five bowl games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

545CLEVELAND -546 BOSTON
CLEVELAND is 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) when the total is 210-219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

547PHILADELPHIA -548 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 173-222 ATS (-71.2 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game since 1996.

549OKLAHOMA CITY -550 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 26-53 ATS (-32.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

551MILWAUKEE -552 ATLANTA
MILWAUKEE is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

553INDIANA -554 MIAMI
INDIANA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

555PHOENIX -556 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, December 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (9 - 21) at BOSTON (21 - 7) - 12/27/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 90-120 ATS (-42.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 35-49 ATS (-18.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-6 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (23 - 10) at ORLANDO (13 - 17) - 12/27/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (13 - 20) - 12/27/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (27 - 5) at ATLANTA (6 - 25) - 12/27/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 106-75 ATS (+23.5 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 61-42 ATS (+14.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (21 - 10) at MIAMI (22 - 8) - 12/27/2019, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (11 - 19) at GOLDEN STATE (8 - 24) - 12/27/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-75 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-64 ATS (-22.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, December 27

Cavaliers–Celtics
Cleveland won three of its last five games; they’re 1-7 ATS in last eight road games. over is 7-1 in their last eight road games. Boston won/covered its last four games; they covered ix of their last seven home games. Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Cavaliers lost their last six games with Boston (1-4-1 ATS); they’re 1-4 ATS in last five trips to Beantown. Four of last six series games went over.

76ers-Magic
Philly won its last three games; they’re 4-6 ATS as a road favorite. Sixers’ last four games went over. Orlando lost six of its last eight games; they’re 2-4-1 ATS home underdog. Five of their last six games went over.

76ers lost three of last four games with the Magic; they’re 3-3 ATS in last six trips to the Magic Kingdom. Three of last four series games went under.

Thunder-Hornets
Oklahoma City won four of its last five games; they’re 6-3 ATS in last nine road games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Charlotte lost four of last five games; they’re 5-3 ATS in last eight home games. Three of their last four games went over.

Thunder won their last three games with the Hornets; they covered four of last five trips to Tobacco Road. Last three series games went under.

Bucks-Hawks
Milwaukee won 21 of its last 23 games; they’re 5-3 ATS in last eight road games. Over is 5-1 in their last six road games. Atlanta lost its last eight games; they’re 5-3 ATS in last eight home games. Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.

Bucks won nine of last ten games with the Hawks; they’re 2-2 ATS in last four trips to Atlanta. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Pacers–Heat
Indiana won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-3 ATS in last eight road games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Miami won seven of its last nine games; they covered three of last four home games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Pacers won their last four games with the Heat; they covered their last four trips to Miami. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Suns–Warriors
Phoenix lost its last seven games; they’re 5-7 SU on road, 2-1 ATS road favorite. Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Golden State won its last three games, all at home; they’re 6-5 ATS as a home favorite TY. Under is 8-1 in their last nine home games. 2

Suns won last two games with Golden State, covered last three; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five trips to the Bay Area. Five of last six series games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, December 27

Trend Report

Boston Celtics
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 18 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games when playing on the road against Boston

Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Charlotte is 6-15-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Oklahoma City
Charlotte is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Oklahoma City
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Charlotte is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Charlotte
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Oklahoma City is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Charlotte
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte

Orlando Magic
Orlando is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Orlando is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Orlando's last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando

Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Atlanta's last 24 games
Atlanta is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Atlanta is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
Milwaukee is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Milwaukee is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Miami Heat
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
Miami is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Miami is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Miami is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 11 games
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Indiana is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Miami

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Golden State is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Golden State is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games at home
Golden State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Golden State is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Phoenix's last 23 games
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Phoenix is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 27


UMass Lowell @ Loyola-Maryland

Game 1641-1642
December 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UMass Lowell
46.201
Loyola-Maryland
49.877
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola-Maryland
by 3 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola-Maryland
by 7
147
Dunkel Pick:
UMass Lowell
(+7); Under

Coppin State @ Mt St Mary's

Game 1643-1644
December 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coppin State
42.999
Mt St Mary's
43.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mt St Mary's
by 1
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mt St Mary's
by 5
137
Dunkel Pick:
Coppin State
(+5); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, December 27

Mass-Lowell beat Loyola MD the last two years, by 18-8 points; River Hawks won four of last six games after a 1-6 start (schedule #346)- they’re 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 15-20-3 points. Lowell split their four true road games; they’re experience team #176 that doesn’t sub much (bench minutes #336). Loyola is playing its first D-1 game in 20 days; they’re 6-4 vs schedule #325, 0-4 vs top 200 teams, 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200 (Lowell is #253). Greyhounds are experience team #203 that is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#71).

Coppin State lost its last three games, is 4-9 vs schedule #61; they’re 3-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with lone loss by 9 at UMBC. This is Coppin’s 12th true road game TY, their 7th in a row. Eagles have #318 eFG%, shooting 27.9% on arc (#322), 46.2% inside arc (#260), 67.3% on foul line (#245). Mt St Mary’s lost its last four games, is 2-9 vs schedule #122; Mountaineers are experience team #322 (starting four sophs, one junior) that is 2-4 vs teams not ranked in top 200- they’re shooting 26.7% on arc (#340), have #330 eFG%.