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Ytd: -21.8
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1-Unit Play. Take #611 UNC-Wilmington (+12) over William & Mary (7 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
Wilmington is an awful team, while William & Mary is a surprise team at the top of the CAA. However, I think that this could be a bit of a letdown spot for the Tribe after back-to-back huge road wins over Hofstra and Northeastern, respectively. They have Charleston on deck as well and I think that they may be mailing it in a bit today against an overmatched Seahawks squad. The reverse line movement on this team - it opened at 14 and has been bet down - is another red flag and this one is worth a dabble.
1-Unit Play. Take #614 Michigan (-5.5) over Purdue (7 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
Bet Purdue at home. Bet against Purdue on the road. That's pretty much it. They have been a mess away from home, including a 63-37 loss at Illinois the last time out. I think the Wolverines are going to circle the wagons here after getting pasted by Michigan State on Sunday. Until Purdue does absolutely anything on the road they are a team to fade.
1-Unit Play. Take #617 Detroit (+1.5) over Cleveland State (7 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
Neither one of these teams should be favored over any other team in college basketball. These teams are both pathetic. So when presented with that situation you take the points. Detroit has played an absolutely abusive schedule this year so they should be a bit battle hardened. The Titans also have the best player on the court in Antoine Davis, as well as the better coach.
1-Unit Play. Take #625 SIU-Edwardsville (+8.5) over Morehead State (7 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
1-Unit Play. Take #632 Wichita State (-6) over Memphis (7 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
Wichita State has one of the best home court advantages in the AAC and I think that it will be on full display this Thursday. The Shockers are definitely overrated right now. They've played a soft schedule and most of their biggest games have come at home. However, there is no denying how well they have played in Koch Arena. They've won five straight at home, including a blowout win over Ole Miss last Saturday. Memphis hasn't exactly been pressed on the road. And they are coming off kind of a red flag loss at home to Georgia last weekend. This team isn't the same without stud center James Wiseman. And now they are dealing with some other issues as well, as D.J. Jeffries (who didn't play in that UGA loss) is just getting over the flu while roommate (and fellow starter) Damion Baugh now has the flu. Neither may play. And even if they do they may not be effective. This young Tigers team hasn't played in a venue like this yet this year and I think that they are in for a rude awakening. They aren't at 100 percent and I think that they are going to get pounded here.
1-Unit Play. Take #640 Oral Roberts (-3.5) over North Dakota State (8 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
Oral Roberts has lost three straight. But all three have been on the road. They are actually undefeated at home this year, even though they have played a pretty easy schedule. NDSU isn't a great road team. And After three straight wins I think that they will stumble here. They've only been a mediocre team in Summit play the last four years. So after starting 2-0 I think they are due to trip up.
3-Unit Play. Take #658 Oregon (-3.5) over Arizona (9 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
I think that Oregon is going to hammer Arizona in this one and this might be a game I wish we had put more on. This is just Arizona's second true road game of the season. And it is one of the tougher venues in the Pac-12. I don't expect it to go well. Arizona has lost three of its last five games so it's not as if they have been hot. They are also coming off a peak effort in a total blowout of in-state rival Arizona State, so a letdown could be in order. Oregon has gone undefeated in their own gym so far this season and you know they are going to be sky high for this one after opening league play with back-to-back road games. I like the Ducks here.
1-Unit Play. Take #660 Stanford (-2.5) over Washington (9 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
Stanford has played a cupcake schedule this year. But they've actually played really well against it and I think that they will be fired up for this game. Washington is an incredibly young team. This is only their second true road game of the season, and the first came against Hawaii. This is the first conference road game for this young squad. I think a struggle might be in order.
1-Unit Play. Take #671 Chicago State (+31) over New Mexico State (9 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
NMSU hasn't beaten a D-I team this year by more than 25 points. That includes really bad teams like Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Southern. Chicago State may only be a D-I team in name only. But 31 is still a lot of points.
1-Unit Play. Take #676 Idaho (+2.5) over Montana State (9 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
This is another game where neither team should really be favored too often over anyone. And the fact that Montana State is favored on the road here is a little dodgy. Idaho is just 5-9 on the season, but three of their losses are by two points or less so they aren't that far away from having a winning record. I think they'll pick up a W here.
1-Unit Play. Take #685 Northern Arizona (+5.5) over Sacramento State (10 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
1-Unit Play. Take #689 Arizona State (+5) over Oregon State (11 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 9)
Oregon State has played an absolutely feeble schedule to this point in this season. They are in a letdown spot after their win over Colorado last Sunday (with the Buffs in their own letdown spot in that game). Arizona State should be set to rebound here after a horrific loss to Arizona last weekend. They've had to sit on that one all week so they should be ready to play. ASU is better than its record suggests. They've played a real schedule this year and all of their losses have come against Top 40 opponents. No shame there. This is a lot of points to be laying out when I actually think Arizona State is the better team.
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #604 UT-San Antonio (+11) over Louisiana Tech (7 p.m.) AND Take #689 Arizona State (+10) over Oregon State (11 p.m.)
4-Unit Play. #627 Take Louisiana (+9.5) over Georgia State (7 p.m., Thursday, January 9)
We cashed Louisana last time out as one of this week's 7-U underdogs that won outright. They'll have enough again to at the very least cover here. ULL can even up its Sun Belt record tonight as they go for three straight. Georgia State is coming off back-to-back conference losses just the same, so I'll say this one finishes up in favor of the home team but nowhere near the point spread.
4-Unit Play. #658 Take Oregon (-3.5) over Arizona (9 p.m., Thursday, January 9)
The Ducks have as impressive a resume as most teams so far this season. At 12-3 they don't have a bad loss and have even more strong wins. Arizona is a good team, but I think the Ducks in Eugene tonight minus a modest number is can't-miss. The Wildcats have played just one true road game, and that was a loss. Talented, but I don't yet trust this young team in a hostile environment. Quack Attack all the way in this one.
4-Unit Play. #663 Take Southern Miss (+10) over UTEP (9 p.m., Thursday, January 9)
The last few weeks have officially humbled the Miners. UTEP had started the season 8-1, but five of six in the loser's circle means they should not be laying this number, even to a bad Southern Miss team. Even going further back, UTEP has failed to score 70 points or more in eight of ten games. The Golden Eagles can put up enough of a fight to hang around in El Paso and cover this spread. Way too much credit being given to struggling team. Take the underdog in this one.
7-Unit Play. #676 Take Idaho (+2.5) over Montana Sate (9:30 p.m., Thursday, January 9)
A 5-9 record for the Vandals just looks like another losing record. But when you consider Idaho was 5-27 last year and one of the worst programs in the country, it shows this team is found a way to produce better basketball. And as much as we are backing the home team, this is equal parts fading a very unreliable road team in Montana State. The Vandals are coming off their best win of the year, an 11-point win at home over Portland State, good for their first conference victory of the year. That's two in a row overall at home, and I see another tonight. They host a Bobcats team that has lost five straight road games, including their last two games in the league away from home. In this series the home team has won five of the past six meetings, not to mention the underdog has gone 5-1 ATS in that same time. And in tonight's case that checks both boxes for the home underdog. Montana State is a completely fragile team on the road and at 1-6 overall its safe to say they can't be trusted away from Bozeman. They've only been a favorite three times this season, and never once on the road. Despite Idaho's status in the league, this is one they can and will get. The Vandals have covered three straight coming into tonight's match-up, while Montana State is scoring just 63 points in road games. The Vandals also have the Big Sky's second leading scorer in Trevon Allen and his 19.3 points. I'll take that individual skill and the team on its home floor coming off a confident win on campus. Another here. Vandals get their sixth win this year, surpasing all of last season's total. Idaho gets past Montana State, 76-71.
BOSTON +2
BOSTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 1/09 | 7:00 PM EST
2:47 PM
The Celtics got blown out last night for their second straight loss, but I think they rebound here against a Philly team missing Joel Embiid. Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as an underdog and has covered five of its last seven visits to Philadelphia. Grab the points.
45-31-1 IN LAST 77 NBA ATS PICKS | +1097
56-34-1 IN LAST 91 BOS ATS PICKS | +1889
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