Service Plays Saturday 1/11/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST

YESTERDAY 9:58 PM
OVER 44.5
MINNESOTA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/11 | 4:35 PM EST
This is a pretty good value position on the low side of a key number, even in this NFC divisional playoff involving two top-10 defensive units. The Vikings matched their season average with 26 points in their upset of the Saints last weekend with a balanced and effective offense. The 49ers rank second in the NFL with 30 points per contest and used the bye week to get healthy at some key positions. This one should clear the Over with room to spare.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK

YESTERDAY 1:11 PM
MINNESOTA +7
MINNESOTA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/11 | 4:35 PM EST
San Francisco's offense is one that is explosive and puts a lot of strain on opposing defenses. One defense that's built for that challenge though is Minnesota's. I don't know how much I can trust the Vikings OL in this game, but I do know their defense will be more than game to keep this one under a touchdown. Take Minnesota.

63-39 IN LAST 102 NFL ATS PICKS | +1970


BALTIMORE -9.5
TENNESSEE @ BALTIMORE | 1/11 | 8:15 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:11 AM
A banged-up Mark Ingram does take a little bit of bite out of the Ravens offense. But, as long as the biggest dog of them all, Lamar Jackson, is under center, there shouldn't be any issues offensively with the Ravens. Tennessee will need a much better effort this week from QB Ryan Tannehill, as the Titans can't depend on just Derrick Henry to keep this game close, much less knock out the Ravens. Take Baltimore.

63-39 IN LAST 102 NFL ATS PICKS | +1970
9-1 IN LAST 10 BAL ATS PICKS | +790

6-2 IN LAST 8 TEN ATS PICKS | +380

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK

THU 1/9
SAN FRANCISCO -7
MINNESOTA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/11 | 4:35 PM EST
After watching the Vikings beat the Saints, the urge is going to be to want to play them again here, but I'm going against that urge. The 49ers are getting at least one key piece of the defense back in Kwon Alexander and also potentially Dee Ford, and that's not great for a Minnesota offensive line that has had its issues. Adam Thielen's injury is also a concern for the Vikings as he was a big part of their wild-card win, as more than 50 percent of Kirk Cousins' passing yards went to him. Kyle Shanahan has had two weeks to prepare for this game, and I see his offense scoring plenty of points here as the 49ers roll.

10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +453
32-9-3 IN LAST 44 MIN ATS PICKS | +2192

13-8 IN LAST 21 SF ATS PICKS | +420

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

YESTERDAY 4:25 PM
UNDER 47
TENNESSEE @ BALTIMORE | 1/11 | 8:15 PM EST
Weather is going to play a factor in this game, and as long as it doesn't cause too many turnovers, this will be a low-scoring defensive battle with both teams trying to establish their running games. Both teams can rush the football and are going to chew up a lot of clock grinding out first downs. The kicking game is also going to be an issue with the weather. The Under has cashed in six straight home playoff games for the Ravens and six of the last seven playoff games for the Titans. Under is the play.

5-0 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS | +500


YESTERDAY 4:21 PM
TENNESSEE +9.5
TENNESSEE @ BALTIMORE | 1/11 | 8:15 PM EST
This is the playoffs and double digits in a game like this is a lot. The Ravens are dominating, having won 12 straight to end the season. But this game being played in sloppy conditions means anything can happen. The Titans can rush the football, and if they can get anything going with Derrick Henry and keep the ball away from Lamar Jackson, they could shock the Ravens. Ryan Tannehill is playing excellent football and led the NFL in passer rating. The Titans will do a good enough job defensively and enough on offense to keep this one within single digits. Take Tennessee.

5-0 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS | +500
2-1 IN LAST 3 BAL ATS PICKS | +91

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 1:25 PM
UNDER 47
TENNESSEE @ BALTIMORE | 1/11 | 8:15 PM EST
Both of these offenses are centered around running the ball, even if they go about it in different ways. That makes the Under the most appealing option on the board because I'm not willing to trust anybody as a double-digit favorite in a playoff game, nor am I excited about betting against the Ravens.

38-28-2 IN LAST 68 NFL PICKS | +730

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST

THU 1/9
BALTIMORE -9.5
TENNESSEE @ BALTIMORE | 1/11 | 8:15 PM EST
Derrick Henry has carried 66 times the past two weeks, and now he's facing a better run defense than the units he torched in Houston and New England. And this Ravens defense is completely rested. Since Week 4, Baltimore has fielded the NFL's best defense. The Ravens' blitzes will bother Ryan Tannehill. On the other side, Tennessee's defense struggles to contain mobile quarterbacks. Lay the points.

55-36-3 IN LAST 94 NFL ATS PICKS | +1536
11-3-1 IN LAST 15 TEN ATS PICKS | +782

9-5-1 IN LAST 15 BAL ATS PICKS | +349

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK

WED 1/8
BALTIMORE -9.5
TENNESSEE @ BALTIMORE | 1/11 | 8:15 PM EST
The Titans are legit, and they certainly deserve to be here, even as the sixth seed. But the Ravens are just too good to fade, winners of 12 straight with a 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 games. The Ravens' one weakness comes defending the run, so the Titans do have a pathway to keeping this game close. But if they fall behind at all -- and that defense isn't as good as they looked against a bad Pats offense -- I think they're toast and Baltimore can name their score. Don't overlook how well the Ravens defense has played during their hot streak, holding five playoff teams to 20 points or less. There aren't many teams that can keep up with them.

10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +453
12-7 IN LAST 19 BAL ATS PICKS | +430

23-18 IN LAST 41 TEN ATS PICKS | +296

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

NC STATE +2
NC STATE @ VA. TECH | 1/11 | 2:00 PM EST
8:09 AM
NC State's knack for keeping games close should pay off Saturday against a young Virginia Tech team. Expect the Wolfpack to finish this game strong and hand the Hokies their first home loss of the ACC season.

21-16-2 IN LAST 39 CBB ATS PICKS | +314
3-1 IN LAST 4 NCST ATS PICKS | +186

MARQUETTE +6
MARQUETTE @ SETON HALL | 1/11 | 4:00 PM EST
8:07 AM
Marquette has lost two of three games and been unsteady on the road. Yet Saturday is a spot where Seton Hall's five-game winning streak should be put to the test. Look for the Golden Eagles to hang around in this one. Grab Marquette.

21-16-2 IN LAST 39 CBB ATS PICKS | +314
3-1 IN LAST 4 SETON ATS PICKS | +197

TCU -3.5
OKLAHOMA ST. @ TCU | 1/11 | 2:00 PM EST
8:05 AM
TCU’s slower pace should allow the Horned Frogs an edge defensively to capitalize against the Cowboys. Grab TCU as it hands Oklahoma State its third straight loss.

21-16-2 IN LAST 39 CBB ATS PICKS | +314
4-0 IN LAST 4 OKLAST ATS PICKS | +400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KING CREOLE

2 - Over 44 - Vikings - 49ers
*Optimum OU line: 44 or less points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

5% NFL MAJOR WAGER GOM

SF -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharp Plays

My thought is as follows… 0.50 units on Xavier -3.5 & Samford +5.5. These games go at 2pm ET. I am taking one final shot here. If you don’t want to ride or probably die with me, it’s up to you. I am going with a 0.50 unit parlay on Samford +5, NC Wilmington +3, 49ers -327 over Minnesota, Celtics -506 over New Orleans, Green Bay -226 over Seattle, Clemson +5.5 over LSU. I am using his action for a combination of higher probability money lines with his keyed plays. Parlay will pay 7.32 units.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2500* Over 44.5 SF/Min
100* Titans +9.5
100* St Johns -3
100* Louisville -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise phones

4- baltimore
2- san francisco, san fran/minn over

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris - Football

4 unit: ND St/James Madison 49u

4 unit: Vikings +7

4 unit: Teaser: Vikings +13/50.5u

4 unit: Teaser: Vikings +13/Ravens -3

5 unit: Ten/Balt 47u

4 unit: Teaser: Ravens -3/53u

3 unit: Ravens -9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL(BOB BALFE) VIP
4:35 PM EST
Rotation #301-302
49ers -7 over Vikings
49ers/Vikings Over 44.5
The Vikings went down to New Orleans at got a huge win so nobody can say they don’t have a chance today. New Orleans has a great offense, but not many receivers other than Thomas. When it comes to San Francisco they can really spread the field and at home put up a ton of points. Minnesota is built like San Francisco on offense. This team has all of the right weapons to win this game, but they are just coming up against a better opponent. This 49ers team is so good and dinking and dunking down the field which is what the Viking Defense is really not great at. Home field advantage is key in the playoffs. Only special teams head out on the road and get themselves to the super bowl. This Vikings team has the players to do so on both sides of the ball, but I am not so sure the coaching. This should be good for a while, but the 49ers will eventually put their foot on the gas and then will come the Kirk Cousins mistakes in the process of coming back. Take the 49ers and the Over.

NFL
8:15 PM EST
Rotation #303-304
Titans +10 over Ravens
If I had to pick a Super Bowl team it would be the Ravens, but they drew a really tough opponent today because the Titans don’t allow the other team to touch the ball much on offense as they grind out the clock. I also believe that momentum is huge in the playoffs. The Ravens have not played a meaningful game for three weeks as they rested starters in week 17. It’s hard to crank it back up. Mark Andrews and Mark Ingram are not 100% and that would hurt the passing game. I love everything about Lamar Jackson, but know this one fact. All the flashy QB’s in the history of the NFL typically don’t win super bowls. Your prototypical QB wins in the playoff season. Jackson had an awful playoff debut last year and will have to prove he can play on this stage if we are going to book him as a double digit favorite. The Titans have been excellent at shutting down running QB’s this year. Baltimore would have to strike first in this game to have a chance at covering. This should be a low scoring game and if the Titans have the lead the Ravens won’t get the ball back much. Take Tennessee.