Service Plays Sunday 1/19/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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Cal Sports

Game: (313) Tennessee Titans at (314) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Jan 19 2020 3:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 51.5 (-110)

View Analysis


#314 5% OVER 51.5 Tennessee/Kansas City 3:05 PM
(with the play posted on Sunday there are often line moves. Play as a 5% play up to 52.5. At 53 or higher play as a 4%)
While weather is such an important issue and things can change in 7 days the early forecast is very good for an Over with mid 30’s and light winds. The Chiefs put ip 51 after one of the wort first quarters in play-off history. While Houston was the #29 team in pass D the Titans are not much better at #24. The Titans also don’t get enough credit for the offensive turnaround as they finished #1 in 8.0 yards per pass with KC #4. Overall on offense we have the #2 and #4 teams in yards/play. Tennessee fished the season with 9 of their last 12 games going Over and that includes both Play-off games failing to go over BUT versus the NFL’s #1 and #3 defenses.

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Vernon Croy

7 Unit San Francisco -7.5 over Green Bay (Sunday, January 19 at 6:40 PM ET)

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Doc Sports

6 Tennessee +7.5

2 San Fran -7

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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 19 2020 3:05PM
314 KAN -1.0(-120) William Hill vs 313 TEN triple-dime bet

Analysis: Two team 6 point teaser

SF -1.5 with KC -1

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Hank Goldberg

KANSAS CITY -7.5
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
1:35 AM
The Chiefs' 24-0 deficit to Houston last week was fluky. When they got going, they were unstoppable. They put up 51 versus the Texans and they'll get in the 30s against Tennessee. With Patrick Mahomes in total control, Damien Williams has scored four touchdowns the past two weeks, and Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are rolling. This is the Titans' fourth straight road game; that will take its toll. Lay the points.

29-13-3 IN LAST 45 NFL ATS PICKS | +1464
3-0 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +300

2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +90

SAN FRANCISCO -7.5
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
1:32 AM
The Packers have been to the West Coast twice this season and got blown out both times. They weren't great last week, they escaped. The 49ers shut down Dalvin Cook and they'll contain Aaron Jones. I like San Francisco to cover this one and, as things stand now, win the Super Bowl.

29-13-3 IN LAST 45 NFL ATS PICKS | +1464
8-4 IN LAST 12 GB ATS PICKS | +366

2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ATS PICKS | +89

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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK

12:34 AM
SAN FRANCISCO -7.5
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
The 49ers showed in their win over the Vikings that the defense is back in top form, and that's bad news for a Packers offense that couldn't muster 200 yards in the regular-season meeting between the two teams. Points should be hard to come by for Aaron Rodgers and Co., but I do think the 49ers can score enough to cover this number. Green Bay's weakness on defense is defending the run, and Kyle Shanahan's team ran more than it threw during the regular season before dominating the Vikings last week. I don't think we're getting 37-8 again, but I can see something like 27-13.

13-6 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +643
35-6 IN LAST 41 GB ATS PICKS | +2827

14-8 IN LAST 22 SF ATS PICKS | +520

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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker

YESTERDAY 2:23 PM
TENNESSEE +7.5
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
The last team to beat the Chiefs was Tennessee, and the Titans are better than they were in the Nov. 10 meeting. Derrick Henry has had one of the best consecutive three-game runs in NFL history and all three were against AFC division winners. The Chiefs' defense is not the ideal squad to slow Henry down. I’m on the hot Titans to keep rolling in the AFC Championship Game.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NFL ATS PICKS | +463
14-9 IN LAST 23 KC ATS PICKS | +408

11-8 IN LAST 19 TEN ATS PICKS | +204


Mike Tierney
TOP DOG

YESTERDAY 10:45 PM
KANSAS CITY -7.5
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
It might come as a surprise that four wild-card teams have survived three road games to reach the Super Bowl. However, all were storied franchises — the New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, New York Giants and Green Bay Packers — and most were led by accomplished coaches. Not that Tennessee and coach Mike Vrabel are slouches, but it’s a big ask for the Titans to maintain their lofty level. Since K.C. lost to the Titans 35-32 in QB Patrick Mahomes’ return from an injury hiatus, the Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS. The visitors have all of 154 net passing yards in the playoffs in a one-dimensional offense featuring incomparable RB Derrick Henry. That cannot continue indefinitely. QB Ryan Tannehill must play a bigger role for another upset, and here is doubting the offense he operates can keep up with the Chiefs’ scoring machine.

62-35-5 IN LAST 102 NFL PICKS | +2351
10-4 IN LAST 14 KC ATS PICKS | +555

12-7 IN LAST 19 TEN ATS PICKS | +429

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Virgobbi Sports

Championship round:

Ten +7.5 (-112)
sf -7 (-104)

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DR. CHUCK FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (311) Green Bay Packers at (312) San Francisco 49ers
Date/Time: Jan 19 2020 6:40 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Francisco 49ers -7.0 (-120)

View Analysis

This is just value deluxe....3x this spread isn't made up without a change of venue or injuries...and the SF d-line is A MENACE!
Rodgers didn't get hassled nearly enough against Seattle, but did survive the usual tough Russ Wilson comeback attempt and with a little help from the refs...the 49ers now don't have to invite the Seahawks for a rubber match winner take all game 3....thank God the NFL had their winner picked...and trust me the young coach/QB combo ain't LaFleur based!
Bosa and Ford will have ARod running left, right, back, and up the middle ALLLLLLL day....ARod Over rushing yards should be a very very solid prop play if you're looking for additional angles here...and we will have many more prop plays ready to go as well for this weekend as those are largely where the value normally lies deep in the NFL playoffs.

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TEDDY COVERS

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (311) Green Bay Packers at (312) San Francisco 49ers
Date/Time: Jan 19 2020 6:40 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Green Bay Packers 7.5 (-109)

View Analysis

3% Take Green Bay (#311)

If you’re making your bets this weekend based on regular season stats, you won’t end up on the Packers side on Sunday. Green Bay, despite their 13-3 regular season record, did not dominate their opponents week in and week out, and that stat sheet doesn’t look anywhere near as good as the 49ers. That’s why San Fran has been bet up from the -7 opener – wiseguys bet statistical profiles, not players.
The Packers were never a ‘blowout’ team at any point this season. Only five of their 14 wins came by more than one score, and the only teams Green Bay beat by more than two scores were Oakland and the Giants. Defense isn’t sexy; neither is running the football. With the notable exception of a couple of road games on the West Coast, the Packers defense was outstanding all year, while Aaron Jones rushed for more than 1000 yards and 16 touchdowns. Green Bay might not be a juggernaut, but they’re no pushover either. In this pointspread range, that matters, because we’re not asking the Packers to blow anybody out this week – just to hang tough.
The first meeting between these two teams was a 49ers blowout. It’s surely worth noting that game hinged on two early impact plays – Rodgers fumbled on the Packers first drive, letting the Niners get a quick 7-0 lead. Then Aaron Jones was marked inches short on a 4th down try and the rout was on.
That was then, this is now. The Packers haven’t lost since that defeat at San Fran, building momentum and confidence in the process. The 49ers are 1-6-1 ATS this season laying a TD or more; the lone spread victory coming against Kirk Cousins and the Vikings last week. It’s surely worth noting that Green Bay dominated that same Vikings team ON THE ROAD in Week 16, clinching the division in the process.
But more than any other factor, I just can’t lay more than a touchdown in a high-stakes playoff game with Jimmy Garoppolo against Aaron Rodgers. Garoppolo is fine when he’s playing with a lead, but I don’t trust him or his receiving corps to make big plays when facing adversity in a game of this magnitude. He’s thrown as many interceptions as touchdowns in his last four games combined; Rodgers has only four INT’s all season. The Packers went 7-2 SU and ATS against .500 or better opponents this season, and I trust their pedigree and experience far more than San Fran’s. Too many points! Take the Packers.
Line Parameter: 3% at +7.5 or higher, 2% at +7 or lower

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Tom Stryker

Packers-49ers under

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Vegas Synergy

4% SF 49ers -7/-7.5

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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

Double Plays
Titans +7.5
49ers -7.5

Single Play
Packers-49ers under 45

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Mike Tierney

UNDER 46
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:31 PM
By his standards, Aaron Rodgers’ endured a pedestrian season. He was dragged down by perhaps his weakest receiving group ever and an inconsistent ground attack. No performance was worse than against San Francisco, whose defense weathered a breakout of injuries to rule the league. It is healthy again, so Packer points will be scarce. The 49ers could seize an early lead and, revisiting their approach from last weekend, bleed the clock with the run game as QB Jimmy Garoppolo launched only 19 passes. Only some late Rodgers magic would threaten the Under.

62-35-5 IN LAST 102 NFL PICKS | +2351
8-3 IN LAST 11 SF O/U PICKS | +475