Super Bowl Sunday 2/2/20 Service Plays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited/Marco

5 Under 54
3 KC -1

[philinnyc]

Big Al Mcmordie--San Francisco
Big Al Mcmordie--UNDER San Fran/KC
Larry Ness--Kansas City
Ben Burns: Kansas City
Ben Burns: UNDER San Fran/KC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

6:30 pm est nfl
san francisco 49ers vs. Kansas city chiefs

pick: San francisco 49ers (+108)

risk: 11 units

6:30 pm est nfl
san francisco 49ers vs. Kansas city chiefs

pick: Over 53.5 (-101)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

3% 49ers +1.5 (playable down to pick 'em)

This game reminds me so much of the Broncos-Seahawks Super Bowl from six years ago. Denver, led by QB Peyton Manning, owned the league's #1 offense in terms of yards per game and points per game. Seattle owned the NFL's #1 defense in terms of yards per game and points per game. Denver was the small favorite, and everyone was betting on them because the public loves offense. But the Seattle defense ruled the day with a resounding 43-8 win.

I'm not calling for a blowout like that Broncos-Seahawks game, but I once again expect the better defense to win out over the public team with the popular offense. The funny thing is, the 49ers offense gained 30 more yards and scored 28 more points than KC's offense during the regular season. But the Niners are known for their suffocating defense, and their offense doesn't have a big-name QB like KC's Patrick Mahomes. Also, passing attacks are much sexier than ground-and-pound offenses. So the 49ers offense mostly goes under the radar. I expect the Niners offense to play with a massive chip on its shoulder here, and they're going against a subpar KC run defense.

I'm expecting a close game in which the team that has the ball last has a chance to win. But when it's all said and done, I trust the better defensive team 99% of the time. After all, "defense wins championships," and I expect that to hold today.

PLAY SAN FRANCISCO.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

Vancouver +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lv wolf
1st H SF+.5
1st H under 26.5

props
mosert under 79 rush
Mahomes under 36 pass attempts
under 1.5 yrd. Td rush -180
touchback starts game -185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 400 iona, 300 Quinnipiac, 400 miami/ pittsburgh over, 400 Bucks, 500 pistons, 400 Hurricanes puckline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TSP PROP
Super Bowl Prop Bet is Tyreek Hill OV76.5 (-110) receiving yards. Prices will vary by book. Before the site went down, Bookmaker had +103. I expect San Francisco to press on Kelce which should open up the other players. I think Hill's speed and the routes he runs will cause issues for the zone defense of San Francisco. If KC is winning, they will be using Hill to open up the game early and expand that lead. If KC is losing then the passing game will be a necessity and Hill could get cheap yards on the bend but don't break setup SF will take later in the game. So whether winning or losing, I think it plays good for Hill. Hopefully he opens the game with an 80 yard reception!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATFOX SB PICK:
Estimate 1: 31-29 KC and Over
Estimate 2: 25-23 SF and not seeing an edge onO/U

he number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In past simulated games, SF covered the spread 46 times, while KC covered the spread 37 times.
Edge against the spread = None
In past simulated games, SF won the game straight up 36 times, while KC won 48 times.
In past simulated games, 12 games went under the total, while 4 games went over the total.
Edge against the total = [COLOR=#28A745 !important]Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cousin Sal-
SF +1.5




- Jimmy G. MVP (+280)
- Chiefs by 7-10 (+750)
- 49ers by 7-10 (+800)
- Mahomes under 29.5 rushing yds. (-110)
- Jimmy G. 1st TD -1.5 yds. over Fury/Wilder rounds
- Gatorade color - yellow (Kobe) (+400)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness


Kansas City

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

7-Unit Play San Francisco/Kansas City GAME TOTAL UNDER 54.5
2-Unit Play PROP: 1st PLAY OF THE GAME WILL BE A RUN PLAY
2-Unit Play PROP: WILL THE 49ERS CONVERT A 4TH DOWN (YES -120)

[WeWantMoehr]

Matt Rivers

Individual Play Props

Patrick Mahomes - MVP - Yes (+115)


Patrick Mahomes - Total TD Passes - Over 2.5 (-125)

Patrick Mahomes - Total Completions - Over 25.5 - Yes (-115)

Patrick Mahomes - Total Rushing Yards - Over 34.5 (-115)

Tyreek Hill - Total Receiving Yards - Over 75.5 (-115)

Travis Kelce - Total Receptions - Over 6 1/2 (-110)

Jimmy Garoppolo - Total Completions - Over 19.5 (-130)


Team Props

Will either team score in the first 6:30 - Yes (-135)

Will either team score 3 straight times without the
other team scoring (conversions excluded) - No (+140)

Will either team score in the final 2 minutes of the first half - No (+240)

Total sacks by both teams - Over 4.5 (-150)

First-Half Points for Kansas City - Over 13.5 (-130)

Will Chiefs convert a 4th down attempt - Yes (-105)
(conversions by penalty do not count)

Will there be a two-point conversion attempt - Yes (Even)

Will there be a successful two-point conversion - Yes (+195)

Will the game be tied after 0-0 (tie determined after conversion) - Yes (-135)

Largest Lead of the Game - Under 14 1/2 Points (-130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker NFL Supers
Peabody super picks:
Kc super pick
Kc under super pick

We take:
49ers super pick
49ers over super pick

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE

4:32 PM
KANSAS CITY -1.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
You've heard that "defense wins championships" for years, and that's certainly true. Teams like the 49ers are the paradigm of what it takes to win games like this. But there's an X factor in Super Bowl LIV that cannot be accounted for in that simple phrase, and his name is Patrick Mahomes. The 2018 NFL MVP is a true difference maker, and no matter how well San Francisco prepares for Kansas City's offense, a veteran coach like Andy Reid and other-worldly playmaker like Mahomes should be able to adjust. The Chiefs have been my eventual NFL champions since they came back from 24 down to beat the Texans ... by 20. The 49ers are good, but KC's offense is a whole 'nother level than ones they have faced this season.

47-29-2 IN LAST 78 NFL ATS PICKS | +1487
13-6-2 IN LAST 21 KC ATS PICKS | +622