Friday 2-7-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

Feb 07 '20, 7:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Grizzlies vs 76ers
Play on: Grizzlies +6 -110 at YouWager

The Sixers, enter this matchup vs the Grizzlies on tired legs after being swept on a four-game road trip, which concluded with a 112-101 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks last night. All this action has taken place since Jan 30th which indicates a grueling schedule. I know the 76ers have been dominant at home this season winning 23 of 25 games, but Memphis comes in here with a full head of steam, having 13 of their L/16 games, with two of losses, coming to Boston and New Orleans. The Grizzlies have proven their a dangerous foe, and after only playing two games over the L/7 days are much fresher and Im betting willing and able to be competitive in this spot.
NBA Teams like the 76ers are 1-15 ATS /2-14 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with no rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws .
The Seventysixers are 2-15 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 15 fouls.
MEMPHIS is 15-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46%or better of their shots this season.
Play on Memphis to cover

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Feb 07 '20, 7:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Mavs vs Wizards
Play on: Wizards +3 -109 at GTBets

1* NBA Free Pick on Washington Wizards +3
Solid value here with the Wizards as a small home dog against the Mavs. Dallas is still without Doncic and could be missing another huge piece to the puzzle, as Porzingis is listed as questionable.
Porzingis suffered a broken nose in Wednesday's game against the Grizzlies. He was able to return, but it wouldn't be a shocker to see the Mavs give him the night off, especially given they play again tomorrow night in Charlotte.
Wizards have covered 5 of their last 8, including 2 of their first 3 in their current 6-game homestand. I would expect a big effort here from Washington in this one, as they have been off since Monday. Getting 3 days of rest is huge this time of year and should pay off big against the short-handed Mavs.
Wizards are 3-1-1 ATS last 5 times they have played with 3 or more days of rest. They are also 4-1 ATS last 5 as a home dog and 6-2 ATS last 8 at home overall. Take Washington!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Feb 07 '20, 7:08 PM in 2h
NHL | Red Wings vs Blue Jackets
Play on: Blue Jackets -1½ -121 at pinnacle

Blue Jackets -1.5
The Detroit Red Wings (13-38-4) slump into Columbus tonight for a matchup vs. the Blue Jackets (29-16-9). Starting goalies tonight, we're likely going to get Jimmy Howard (2-20-2, .884 save percentage seeking his first win since Oct. 29.) vs. Elvis Merzlikins (who made 32 saves in Tuesday's 1-0 overtime win over the Panthers).
The Jackets have scored 5 goals each in two victories - two apiece coming from Oliver Bjorkstrand and Cam Atkinson - over the Wings earlier this year and have taken 10 of the last 11 season series.
The Jackets come in allowing only 2.46 GPG compared the the Wings' 3.8 and they score 2.67 GPG compared the Wings' 2.05 GPG. Give me guys like Dubois, Werenski, and Atkinson any day over what the Wings can throw out there, plus a hot young goalie in the pipes...equals a recipe for success.
Some betting trends to consider. The Blue Jackets are 8-0-1 during their 10 game streak and they've grabbed at least one point in 23/25 games. The Red Wings are 5-20-2 on the road this season. Detroit are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games, are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against Columbus, and are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road. Columbus are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Red Wings on the back end of a back-to-back against the hottest team in the NHL? Yes please.
Jackets -1.5
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Friday 5* FREE NHL PL Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Feb 07 '20, 7:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Hawks vs Celtics
Play on: Hawks +9½ -104 at pinnacle

Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Hawks +9.5
The Key: Atlanta wants to avenge its 115-123 home loss to the Boston Celtics on February 3rd just a few days ago. The Hawks went on the road and upset the Timberwolves 127-120 on Wednesday and now should give the Celtics a run for their money. It’s a banged-up Celtics team that is listing Kemba Walker, Gordon Hayward and Jaylen Brown all as questionable tonight. Trae Young and Jeff Teague will both play for the Hawks tonight, and this team goes as Young goes. The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven matchups in Boston. Take Atlanta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Feb 07 '20, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Pistons vs Thunder
Play on: UNDER 216 -109

FREE PLAY on Pistons/Thunder under 216 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Feb 07 '20, 8:38 PM in 3h
NHL | Wild vs Stars
Play on: UNDER 5 +120

The set-up: The Stars return home after a successful 2-1 road trip, but eager to return to the winners circle after a 4-3 OT loss in Long Island in their finale. With much tougher games upcoming tomorrow night in St. Louis, followed by contests vs. Carolina, Toronto and Montreal, I believe the Stars double down on the defensive end vs. the Wild, who enter having to play the second game of a back-to-back, with Vancouver in Minnesota on Thursday night. The Wild struggle with offensive consistency on the road and I think fatigue will help in driving this number under the number as well.
The pick: Additionally note that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 home games after an OT loss in which it allowed four or more goals in. Considering the situational and statistical factors listed above, I believe this number is too high.
1* FREE PLAY on the under Wild/Stars.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Diamond

Feb 07 '20, 9:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Rockets vs Suns
Play on: OVER 234½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Feb 07 '20, 9:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Rockets vs Suns
Play on: Suns +2½ -110 at Bovada

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Phoenix Suns +2.5
The Houston Rockets are coming off a huge 121-111 road win over the Los Angeles Lakers last night. Now they’ll be playing for a second consecutive day and won’t have much left to give tonight against the Phoenix Suns. Russell Westbrook will sit this game out to rest after leading the Rockets with 40 points in their win last night. Phoenix is 57-32 ATS in its last 89 games off an upset loss as a road favorite. The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as road favorites. The Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. Give me the Suns.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Feb 07 '20, 10:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Heat vs Kings
Play on: Kings +1 -115 at Bovada

10* FREE NBA PICK (Kings +1)
I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a slim 1-point home dog against the Heat. Miami made headlines at the trade deadline with the acquisition of Andre Iguodala and that's a big move going forward for this team. However, he's not playing in this one. They also added Jae Crowder, who probably doesn't suit up either.
On top of that, Jimmy Butler has been downgraded to doubtful and Tyler Herro will also be out. I get Miami is a deep team, but not having Butler is a big deal, especially with how this team has struggled on the road.
Another thing here is they are facing a Kings team that has been playing better of late and are going to be well rested for this one. Sacramento has won 4 of their last 6. They haven't had to travel in over a week and have been off since hosting Minnesota on Monday.
Heat are 2-6 ATS last 8 times they have been listed as a road favorite, while the Kings are 15-4 4 ATS last 19 times they have suited up on 3 or more days of rest. Give me Sacramento +1!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Feb 07 '20, 10:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Heat vs Kings
Play on: Kings PK -110 at Bovada

Free Play on Kings PK -110