Friday 2-14-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony’s *5 star NHL free pick

New Jersey vs. Carolina, 02/14/2020 19:00 EDT

Total: +109/+6 Under

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Fp: can’t win if you can’t score and the devils rank near the bottom of the nhl in wins and points . With the scoring being 1 sided 7 goals to beat us will be a chore making the under my NHL free pick !

[Can'tPickAWinner]

by: Josh Inglis

NEW YORK RANGERS AT COLOMBUS BLUE JACKETS
CHEERING FOR GOALIES

The New York Rangers (3-2 SU, 2-3 O/U last five) have won five of their last seven (including four straight on the road) ahead of their Friday night matchup in Columbus versus the Blue Jackets (3-2 SU, 1-4 O/U last five). Both teams will be on the backend of a back-to-back with the Rangers 4-3 SU and 3-3-1 O/U in the second game of those scenarios while the Jackets record sits at 4-2 SU and 3-3 O/U in their last six B2Bs.

The Blue Jackets have seen just one Over at home in their last 11 home games while the Rangers have been getting steady goaltending on the road of late, hitting the Under in four of their last five road games. The teams split a pair of road victories earlier this season with the Under hitting in both contests. We are riding both teams’ Under trends and taking the Under 5.5 on Friday night.


TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS AT OTTAWA SENATORS
BATTLE OF ONTARIO

Looking for a big underdog on Saturday night? Take a look in Ottawa where the Senators, losers of six of seven, take on a Toronto Maple Leafs team that has won just two of the previous six matchups. These two teams met just two weeks ago on Saturday night and the Sens lost on the road in overtime as +230 dogs.

Ottawa hasn’t had much to play for this year, so getting up for a nationally televised game on Saturday night versus its provincial rivals shouldn’t be a problem. The +1.5 puckline has hit in all seven of Toronto’s last seven games and should be priced well for Saturday night. Feel free to take the Sens on the moneyline, but don’t forget about the +1.5.


NEW YORK ISLANDERS AT LAS VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS
GOALS IN THE DESERT

You might have to stay up late on Saturday night if you plan on watching our favorite Over bet on the board. The Islanders travel to Sin City as both clubs are riding profitable Over trends of late. The Knights are averaging 3.3 goals for and against in their last 10 and have hit the Over in eight of their last 10 games at home.

The Islanders lead the league in goals for over their last five (4.0/game) but are struggling to find consistency in net as they are rotating between Thomas Greiss (12 goals allowed in his last four starts and 3-0-1 O/U) and Semyon Varlamov (13 goals allowed in his last four starts and 3-1 O/U). We are taking the Over 6.5 on this Saturday nightcap and wouldn’t be surprised if it opens at 6 as both teams sit in the middle of the league in total O/U on the year.


EDMONTON OILERS AT CAROLINA HURRICANES
NO, MCDAVID, NO PROBLEM

The Carolina Hurricanes and the East’s second-best record (17-9) against Western Conference opponents host the Connor McDavid-less Oilers on Sunday at 4 ET. The Canes have only dropped one game in regulation at home in their last eight but are 5-2-1 O/U over that stretch.

We like the Canes’ moneyline but feel the price will be heavy on the juice and with the Oilers going 14-8 SU versus the East we might have to pass on the ML and look at taking the Over 6.

No team in the league is having higher scoring games than the Oilers over the last 10 games (7.2/game) and they have managed to score without their captain, putting up five against Chicago in their first game without McDavid. Take the Over.


GOALIE PROFILE: MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD, NEW JERSEY DEVILS

The Devils’ backstop has had a hot start to the month collecting back-to-back shutouts last week and has posted a 1.95 goals against over the last 30 days. The Devils are just 3-7 SU in their last 10 but Blackwood is 7-2 SU in his last nine decisions. Even with the shutouts, it may be difficult to trust the Devils and the Under as they are allowing the third-most scoring chances against over the last 30 days and sit 26th in team save percentage.

New Jersey will take on the Carolina Hurricanes on Friday and then the defensive juggernaut Blue Jackets on Sunday. Blackwood’s splits favor Friday’s road game as the goalie is 11-5 SU on the road compared to 6-14 SU at home, but check in on the game’s starters as Blackwood started on Thursday but could possibly play back-to-back with poor backup options in New Jersey.


INJURY UPDATE: F CAM ATKINSON, COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

Cam Atkinson missed nearly a month late in December and the Jackets went 10-4 SU. Since his return to the lineup, the Jackets are 5-3 SU but will be without Atkinson again for up to three weeks. The 90’s fad diet sits third amongst Columbus forwards in ice-time (17:39/g) while also playing top powerplay minutes.

The Blue Jackets aren’t known as an offensive team but have actually performed better with Atkinson in the lineup. In the games that forward missed this year, the Jackets averaged 2.83 goals per game and 17.2 percent on the powerplay (87 percent on the PK) and with the former 40-goal scorer in the lineup, they averaged just 2.4 goals per game and 9.1 percent on the PP (94.1 percent on the PK). Keep rolling with Columbus and take any discount that may come with Atkinson’s injury.


HAT TRICK TRENDS

• Favorites cleaned up last week going 31-16 with away favorites really dominating, finishing 11-2 over the last seven days. Much like last week, the puckline wasn’t as successful but still had a positive return hitting at 40 percent.

• The league’s best Over team on the road (66%), the Nashville Predators, head to St. Louis on Saturday for an afternoon game. The Blues aren’t known as an Over team but are 9-4-2 O/U in their last 15. The Preds are 8-2 O/U on totals of 5.5 this year and 18-7 O/U on totals of 6.

• The Washington Capitals are currently 9-1 O/U on first-period totals in their last 10. While there is usually a lot of juice on single 1P Over plays, first-period Under plays can be profitable with odds at even money or better. The Los Angeles Kings and Columbus Blue Jackets are both crushing 1P Unders of late with both teams going 1-9 O/U in their last 10.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, February 14


Buffalo @ Toledo

Game 879-880
February 14, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
50.724
Toledo
56.610
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 6
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 2 1/2
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-2 1/2); Under

Akron @ Central Michigan

Game 881-882
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
59.280
Central Michigan
51.883
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Akron
by 7 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Akron
by 3 1/2
155
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(-3 1/2); Under

IUPUI @ Northern Kentucky

Game 853-854
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
IUPUI
43.962
Northern Kentucky
55.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 11 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 17
148
Dunkel Pick:
IUPUI
(+17); Under

Quinnipiac @ St Peter's

Game 859-860
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Quinnipiac
42.282
St Peter's
52.563
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Peter's
by 10 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Peter's
by 5 1/2
136
Dunkel Pick:
St Peter's
(-5 1/2); Over

Davidson @ St Bonaventure

Game 865-866
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Davidson
62.651
St Bonaventure
59.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Davidson
by 2 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Bonaventure
by 4
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Davidson
(+4); Over

Brown @ Pennsylvania

Game 869-870
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brown
47.244
Pennsylvania
58.436
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pennsylvania
by 11
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pennsylvania
by 7
144
Dunkel Pick:
Pennsylvania
(-7); Under

Columbia @ Dartmouth

Game 851-852
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbia
43.110
Dartmouth
47.105
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dartmouth
by 4
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dartmouth
by 6
129 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbia
(+6); Under

Cornell @ Harvard

Game 867-868
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cornell
44.610
Harvard
59.678
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Harvard
by 15
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Harvard
by 13 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Harvard
(-13 1/2); Over

Yale @ Princeton

Game 855-856
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Yale
61.351
Princeton
52.600
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Yale
by 8 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Yale
by 3 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
Yale
(-3 1/2); Over

Monmouth @ Canisius

Game 861-862
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Monmouth
45.202
Canisius
49.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 4
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Canisius
by 1
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Canisius
(-1); Under

Fairfield @ Marist

Game 863-864
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
47.176
Marist
46.574
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fairfield
by 1
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marist
by 3
115
Dunkel Pick:
Fairfield
(+3); Over

Manhattan @ Iona

Game 871-872
February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Manhattan
50.078
Iona
48.770
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Manhattan
by 1
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 3 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Manhattan
(+3 1/2); Under

Denver @ South Dakota St

Game 875-876
February 14, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
43.122
South Dakota St
56.649
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota St
by 13 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota St
by 15 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+15 1/2); Under

IPFW @ Wright State

Game 873-874
February 14, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
IPFW
45.259
Wright State
54.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wright State
by 9
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wright State
by 12 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
IPFW
(+12 1/2); Under

Illinois-Chicago @ Wright State

Game 877-878
February 14, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois-Chicago
50.265
Wright State
58.861
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wright State
by 8 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wright State
by 11 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois-Chicago
(+11 1/2); Under

Rider @ Siena

Game 857-858
February 14, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rider
47.788
Siena
56.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Siena
by 9
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Siena
by 5
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Siena
(-5); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Rohit Ponnaiya


WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS AT BAYLOR BEARS

Things don't get any easier for No. 14 West Virginia as it comes off back-to-back losses. The Mountaineers fell to Oklahoma on the road last Saturday before losing at home to Kansas on Wednesday. They scored an average of just 54 points per game in those two contests and now take on No. 1 Baylor who has held foes to 58.3 ppg on 38.4 percent shooting this season.

Generally the best way to attack the 1-1-3 zone defense that Baylor employs is to utilize a pair of guards that can dribble and drive, as well as knock down the occasional jumper. Unfortunately for the Mountaineers, while they have strong players down low, they lack scoring punch in their backcourt. Look for the Bears to hold WVU Under its team total.


PURDUE BOILERMAKERS AT OHIO STATE BUCKEYES

Anyone who has been following the Big Ten this season knows that most schools are killing it at home and just getting shredded on the road. Purdue and Ohio State represent this trend as well as anyone, especially during the first half of games.

The Buckeyes have an average first-half scoring margin of plus-12.2 ppg at home (fifth-best in the country) but that drops to minus-1.8 on the road. The Boilermakers are no different, with a first-half margin of plus-11.7 ppg at home, which falls to minus-1.7 on the road.

With Purdue putting up just 27.6 first half ppg on the road, and Ohio State holding opponents to 25 first half ppg in Columbus, take Ohio State on the 1H spread.


GONZAGA BULLDOGS AT PEPPERDINE WAVES

The Zags have the No. 2 team in the country but they might not have the best betting value when they face Pepperdine on the road on Saturday. Gonzaga is coming off a 30-point rout of Saint Mary's but prior to that game they failed to cover in three straight contests.

Pepperdine is 25th in the country in scoring with 77.2 ppg and is 7-3 SU over their last 10 contests. They also played well against Gonzaga in the last meeting between the two squads, falling by a score of 75-70 on the road on January 4. A matter of fact, the Waves are 3-1 ATS in the last four games of the head-to-head with the Zags.

With Gonzaga usually a massive favorite, laying at least 10 points in 13 of their last 14 contests (and laying at least 20 points in seven of those), the underdog Waves have value on the spread.


UTAH UTES AT OREGON DUCKS

Utah is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the road in Pac-12 play, losing by scoring margins of 39, 19, 19, 16, 14 and 4 points. A common theme for Utah in those losses has been ice-cold shooting, far too many turnovers and a tendency to fall behind early. In three of those games, including Thursday night against Oregon State, the Utes were down at least 16 points by halftime.

On Sunday the Utes wrap up their Oregon road trip as they face the No. 17 Ducks. The Ducks are tied for first place in the Pac-12 after a come from behind win against Colorado on Thursday.

Led by guards Payton Pritchard (19.3 points and 6.0 assists per game) and Chris Duarte (14.0 ppg), the Ducks rank 19th in the country in offensive efficiency. And Pritchard and Duarte are especially effective at home where they shoot a combined 49 percent from the floor, including 41 percent from deep. Bet on Oregon to cover the first half spread.


MID-MAJOR TO WATCH: BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS (19-7, 17-9 ATS, 15-11 O/U)

BYU received 43 votes in the latest AP Top 25 Poll and is currently riding a five-game winning streak. Over their last 17 games the Cougars have gone 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS. BYU has the best group of outside shooters in the country, connecting on 10.9 made 3-point shots per game while shooting 42.5 percent from deep.

On Saturday, BYU heads to the Jenny Craig Pavillion (seriously that's what it's called) to take on the San Diego Toreros. The Toreros are at the bottom of the West Coast Conference standings and shoot just 41.2 percent from the floor. That's right: San Diego shoots worse from the field than BYU does from beyond the arc.


NATIONAL TITLE ODDS

Dayton has been flying up the NCAA futures odds board and is currently listed as high as +1,600 at some books. The Flyers are fifth in the country in scoring (81.6 ppg) and first in shooting percentage (52.3), and haven't lost a game since December. While detractors might point at the lack of stiff competition in the Atlantic 10 Conference, it's worth noting that the Flyers only two losses this season occured in overtime and one of them was against No. 3 Kansas.

On Saturday, Dayton is on the road against the Massachusetts Minutemen. The Minutemen allow 72.9 ppg on 46.5 percent shooting (328th in the country) and lost by 28 points to Dayton on January 11.


BETTING TRENDS

• The Toledo Rockets are just 1-10 ATS at home this season. On Friday they host the Buffalo Bulls who are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four games in the head-to-head. The Rockets look like a good fade as 2.5-point favorites.

• Over the last ten days SEC conference games have gone 13-4 O/U. If you're looking for a solid Over bet in SEC play this weekend, the matchup between Mississippi State and Arkansas looks good. Arkansas has cashed the Over in eight straight games while Miss State is 7-1 O/U in its previous eight contests.

• The top ATS team in the country are the North Florida Osprey who are 19-6 ATS, including 7-1 ATS over their last eight games. On Saturday, the Osprey host the North Alabama Lions. North Florida is 4-0 ATS in four games against North Alabama dating back to last season.