Service Plays Saturday 2/15/20

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Mike Barner

3-Point Shootout:

Duncan Robinson (+460)

The defending 3-point champion is the favorite this year at +300. Things are a little different this time around, with two new shots coming from six feet behind the 3-point line. I don't think Harris repeats, especially with him shooting just 40.8 percent from beyond the arc this season. For comparison, he shot 47.4 percent last campaign. I'll take a chance and roll with Duncan Robinson (+460) to be the winner. He's shot 43.7 percent from 3-point range this season and really has emerged as an important starter for the Miami Heat.

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For all copy and paste people do it right or stop

can you clarify that a bit?

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Raphael Esparza (VSI)'s Picks For CBB

5 Unit Play. Take #802 UCLA -3 over Washington

3 Unit Play. Take #799 Over 162.5 Gonzaga at Pepperdine

3Unit Play. Take #777 Over 127.5 Pacific at St. Mary's

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Strike Point Sports Picks For NHL

2 Unit Play. Take #21 New York Islanders (+1.5, -160)

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Scott Spreitzer's Picks For CBB

7 Unit Play: Take 730 Michigan St -6.5 over Maryland

3 Unit Play: Take 740 Missouri +4.5 over Auburn

3 Unit Play: Take 744 So. Carolina -3 over Tennessee

3 Unit Play: Take 765 Seton Hall -1.5 over Providence

2 Unit Play: Take 785 Tennessee Tech +9 over Tenn. St.

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Sportsline Computer

South Carolina St -147

Sam Houston -8.5

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Zack Cimini

PEPPERDINE +15
GONZAGA @ PEPPERDINE | 2/15 | 10:00 PM EST
3:00 PM
Earlier this season Pepperdine gave Gonzaga its toughest home test of the season. The Bulldogs were tied with Pepperdine at halftime and had to pull away late to defeat the Waves 75-70. Electric Pepperdine guard Colbey Ross scored 24 points in that matchup but had 10 turnovers. Expect Ross to cut back on his turnovers and Pepperdine to hang within an inflated number. Grab Pepperdine.

48-35-4 IN LAST 87 CBB ATS PICKS | +911
2-1 IN LAST 3 GONZAG ATS PICKS | +90

SOUTH CAROLINA -3.5
TENNESSEE @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 2/15 | 6:00 PM EST
2:56 PM
Pace of play is expected to be tight today with South Carolina against Tennessee. In the teams' first matchup, both teams produced a conference-low scoring output as the Vols won 56-55. Grab the value on a Gamecocks team that has won five of six and has quietly moved up to fourth place in the SEC.

48-35-4 IN LAST 87 CBB ATS PICKS | +911
3-0-1 IN LAST 4 TENN ATS PICKS | +300

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Sportsline Computer

SE Missouri St -142

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John Bollman

TAMPA BAY -188
PHILADELPHIA @ TAMPA BAY | 2/15 | 4:00 PM EST
3:47 PM
The Lightning are the hottest team in the NHL right now having won nine straight games. They are 19-7-2 at home leading the league scoring 4.0 goals per game. They give up the 10th fewest goals per game at home with 2.71 goals per game. The Flyers have also been hot going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, but they are just 13-14-3 on the road this season. The Lightning have already beat the Flyers once in Philly this season and they have bet the Flyers in four straight. Take the Lightning at home.

33-19-1 IN LAST 53 NHL PICKS | +1067
7-2 IN LAST 9 TB ML PICKS | +429

5-3 IN LAST 8 PHI ML PICKS | +77

OVER 6
PHILADELPHIA @ TAMPA BAY | 2/15 | 4:00 PM EST
3:47 PM
The Lightning lead the league in home goals per game at 4.0 and the Flyers average 2.9 road goals per game, so it is easy to see where this came from. The Lightning have the best home power play in the league at 33.3% effectiveness. The Lightning are 17-10 with the over at home while the Flyers are 19-11 with the over on the road. Take the over.

33-19-1 IN LAST 53 NHL PICKS | +1067
3-1 IN LAST 4 TB O/U PICKS | +198

WASHINGTON -133
WASHINGTON @ ARIZONA | 2/15 | 10:00 PM EST
3:44 PM
The Caps have been struggling recently winning only 11 of their last 20 games, however they looked like themselves again in the last two periods of the Aves game. They have the most road wins in the league with a 21-6-1 road record. The Coyotes have been seriously struggling without Darcy Kuemper to just a 2-5-3 record in their last 10 games. They are just 13-11-4 at home. Each of the last six years these teams have split the season series, and the Coyotes won the first matchup between these two. The Caps are tied for the most road goals per game in the league with 3.68 and they have the sixth best road power play in the league at 23.4% effectiveness.

33-19-1 IN LAST 53 NHL PICKS | +1067
12-7 IN LAST 19 WAS ML PICKS | +231

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Brandon Lovell

Must Win Highest Rated Blank Check CBB Lock #4


New Mexico State Aggies -13 over Utah Valley


New Mexico State comes into this game on a 14 game win streak and a month ago they beat Utah Valley by 14 on road. Here is the thing about that game. They did not play particularly well yet were still able to easily win by double digits. The difference there was their length and rebounding, which is still going to be a major problem for Utah Valley this evening. Add in the home crowd and emotion and this lines up to be a blowout.


Utah Valley has lost 3 straight and they are on back to back road games coming off an 8 point loss to UT Rio Grande Valley. They have also lost 7 of their last 9 games and those 2 wins in there, they easily could have lost.


This is a bad spot for Utah Valley and New Mexico State should jump all over them early and then continue to wear them down as the game goes along. I would be highly surprised if the Lobos won by less than 20. Should be an easy blowout here as New Mexico State is better, bigger and more athletic in every area. Lay the points

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LV Wolf
742 smu +2 (-120)

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Micah Roberts

UCLA -3
WASHINGTON @ UCLA | 2/15 | 10:00 PM EST
1:28 PM
UCLA has won six of its last eight games after suffering through a 4-9 run. The Bruins are playing hard and have had their rating boosted a few points over the past month. Over the same time span as UCLA rising, the Huskies have basically quit, losing their last seven games (0-7 ATS). They started 10-2 and beat Baylor, but now the Pac-12 is abusing them. UCLA gets the win and cover.

12-8 IN LAST 20 CBB ATS PICKS | +312
4-0 IN LAST 4 WASH ATS PICKS | +400

5-2 IN LAST 7 UCLA ATS PICKS | +274

RUTGERS -4
ILLINOIS @ RUTGERS | 2/15 | 4:30 PM EST
1:20 PM
Illinois has lost its last three games, the last two at home, while Rutgers has dropped three of its last four. The road in Big Ten play has been difficult for Rutgers, but at home it has been electric and a perfect 16-0 (10-4-1 ATS). The Rutgers defense takes it up a notch at home, allowing opponents to shoot only 36 percent from the field. I’m on Rutgers.

12-8 IN LAST 20 CBB ATS PICKS | +312
COLORADO -2
COLORADO @ OREGON ST. | 2/15 | 10:00 PM EST
1:18 PM
Colorado is hanging on to a half-game lead in the Pac-12 after blowing a 9-point half-time lead at Oregon Thursday night, getting outscored by 17-points in the second half. It was bad a loss despite Oregon being very good, but the Buffs are a good enough team to use it a lesson and bounce back. Oregon State has won three of its last four, but I like Colorado to get the cover here.

12-8 IN LAST 20 CBB ATS PICKS | +312
5-1 IN LAST 6 COLO ATS PICKS | +388

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SleepyJ
800 Pepperdine 15.0 (-110) 5dimes vs 799 Gonzaga

triple-dime bet
Analysis:
Way to many points to give Pepperdine at home tonight. This is the superbowl of the season for Pepperdine and they played the Zags tough already this season. These teams aren't that far apart in the stat area in certain areas. I think that's enough for Pepperdine to keep this close. Gonzaga is due for a scare. I think this might e the game.

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Greg Shaker
807 Arizona - 808 Stanford UNDER 135.0 triple-dime bet
Added Write up

808 Stanford / 807 Arizona Under 135.0 Pinnacle

triple-dime bet
Analysis:
We use 3 CBB Models, all developed differently to pick different ways. They help us SPOT Potential Totals and all 3 have agreed that this number is too high. It is not the only thing we use but it is a starting point. We also use techniques that as far as I know have not yet been discovered by others including books. While these are not fail proof techniques they have been very profitable over the last few years. We also use offensive and defensive efficiency numbers, pace, projected pace, venue trends, league and division trends, injuries, along with other more "Standard" Handicapping Principles to get our final number and possibly make a play rated at 1* 2* and 3*.


This game not about PACE but it is about Defense and both squads do that very well Ranked #32 and #10 for D Efficiency in the land. Actually both are Pacing lower here late in the season and this is the sort of game that we love to play UNDER with the short dog at home and a solid defense. Numerous database entries support our case here with Tons of UNDER Trends as well. I don't really know where the number is going as this one is late night and apt to get lot's of action throughout the day. My best guess is that it will remain stable but could tic up some. All 3 Models love this one and we do too so you can play 3* at the best number you can find. As always it mostly about the NUMBER and thi£s one is going to be too high most of the time. Let's Play..


Pick Made: Feb 15 2020 6:31AM PST

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Seabass final update: 400 Vegas game over, 400 LSU, 400 Pepperdine, 500 UNC, 500 Maryland, 600 Houston, 1000 * Creighton