Service Plays Sunday 2/16/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

SAN DIEGO ST -5.5
SAN DIEGO ST @ BOISE ST. | 2/16 | 4:00 PM EST
12:43 PM
San Diego State only has four games remaining on its regular-season schedule, and this one will be the toughest in its quest for a perfect season. Boise State is 12-1 at home this season and 13-3 ATS in its last 16 there. But the Aztecs have been at their best on the road with a smothering defense, going 11-1 ATS. I’m on San Diego State to keep rolling.

15-8 IN LAST 23 CBB ATS PICKS | +612
3-2 IN LAST 5 SDGST ATS PICKS | +76

S. DAK. ST. -11
PFW @ S. DAK. ST. | 2/16 | 3:00 PM EST
12:36 PM
South Dakota State snapped its four-game cover streak with a 90-78 home win against Denver, failing to cover the 14-point spread. That dropped the Jackrabbits to 10-2 ATS at home, where they average an 83-65 score while shooting 51.8 percent from the field. It’s a huge home-court edge in Summit League play. They’ve been great everywhere, going 7-5 ATS on the road as well - including a 70-61 win five weeks ago at Purdue-Fort Wayne (+1.5). South Dakota State is the play.

15-8 IN LAST 23 CBB ATS PICKS | +612
3-0 IN LAST 3 SDAKST ATS PICKS | +300

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VIP SPORTS LOCK CLUB
Arizona St. -5

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Vic Monte

Boston College +4

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Millerlocks

2:00 pm est ncaab
tulane vs. Wichita state

pick: Wichita state -14.5 (-113)

risk: 11 units

3:00 pm est ncaab
memphis vs. Connecticut

pick: Connecticut -4 (-113)

risk: 11 units

3:00 pm est ncaab
ipfw vs. South dakota state

pick: South dakota state -11.5 (-105)

risk: 11 units

4:00 pm est ncaab
san diego state vs. Boise state

pick: San diego state -5.5 (-108)

risk: 11 units

9:00 pm est ncaab
utah vs. Oregon

pick: Utah +12.5 (-116)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernno Croy CBB
7-Unit Play #840 Connecticut* -4 over Memphis (Sunday, February 16 at 03:00 PM ET)
(Line available at William Hill and Circa)
Take Connecticut ATS as my top college basketball pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one my top college basketball systems and I have Connecticut winning this game by 9+ points at home here today. Connecticut is the better overall team at home and they also have the revenge factor after losing a game they should have won at Memphis earlier this season. Memphis has shot just 29.9% as a team from beyond the arc on the road this season and they have averaged just 65.9 points per game on the road this season. I expect Connecticut to dominate the offensive boards like they did at Memphis back on February 1. Connecticut shot just 33.8% as a team in that game which will not happen at home here today where they have shot 41.2% as a team this season averaging 75.6 points per game. Connecticut has also held opponents to just 65.5 points per game with opponents shooting just 39.9% against them at home this season. Memphis is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game and Connecticut is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing after a loss. Connecticut is also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing a team that has a winning record and 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 home games when favored. Play Connecticut ATS as my dominating basketball run continues as we near the +10,000 mark.

5-Unit Play #843 Missouri State +3.5 over Indiana State (Sunday, February 16 at 04:00 PM ET)
Take Missouri State ATS as my top college basketball pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top college basketball systems and I have Missouri State winning this game outright here today in what is also a revenge spot for them. Missouri State has shot the ball extremely well lately shooting 47.4% as a team and averaging 75.4 points per game. The Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by more than 20 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games when playing a team that has a winning record at home. The road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 games play between these 2 teams and the underdog is 21-4-1 ATS in the last 26 games play between these 2 teams. Play Missouri State ATS

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RAPHAEL ESPARZA (VSI) CBB

6 Unit Play. Take #857 Over 136.5 Utah at Oregon (9:00p.m., Sunday February 16)
This total was 138 this early morning and dropped a bit so tonight at the Matthew Knight Arena I see offense being the big 'Key' to a big Ducks win. The Oregon Ducks last 5 home games they have averaged 79ppg and I see the tempo of this conference game being fast. Utah is 7-2 O/U following a ATS loss and the Utes are 8-3 O/U following a SU loss. The Oregon Ducks are 6-1 O/U last 7 home games and the Ducks are 8-2 O/U following a SU win

[Lexdeoh20189]

WunderDog NHL Pick:

Game: Anaheim Ducks (29) @ Vancouver Canucks (30)
Time: Sunday 02/16 5:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Vancouver -145 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

NASCAR

1) #11 Denny Hamlin (10-1) -- The two-time Daytona 500 winner and defending champ is arguably the best driver between Daytona and Talladega. He's able to gain speed through the side-draft, which most others can't do. That is why he can always find his way to the front no matter where he is on the track. And every driver knows that and becomes his friend on the track, regardless of manufacturer loyalty, so they can freight train together and get to the front. The last back-to-back Daytona 500 winner? Sterling Marlin in 1994-95, which oddly seems like yesterday.

2) #10 Aric Almirola (25-1) -- The only two wins of his career have come at Daytona and Talladega. Last season he had top 10s in all four races between Daytona and Talladega. I recommend throwing him into most betting equations.

3) #9 Chase Elliott (12-1) -- In eight career starts at Daytona he has no top 10s and lots of bad luck, but I think he's destined to win the Daytona 500, which is why I keep betting him each year. I have action on him again, which I feel is more justified due to his Talladega win last spring.

4) #12 Ryan Blaney (14-1) -- He's the third wheel of Team Penske, a house which got further divided in Sunday's Busch Clash. But he's also been the best among the three with this race package that debuted at Talladega last spring, winning at Talladega during the playoffs.

5) #20 Eric Jones (30-1) -- He won the Busch Clash last week with a beat-up car aided by a push from teammate Hamlin. He was third in the Daytona 500 last season and won at Daytona in the 2018 July race. He's got great Joe Gibbs Racing equipment, making 30-to-1 kind of a steal.

6) #17 Chris Buescher (60-1) -- He takes over the Roush-Fenway Racing Ford that Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won with at Daytona and Talladega in 2017. Last season in lesser equipment, Buescher was fifth in both Daytona races. He's definitely the most live longshot of the race worth at least a $5 wager if watching the race.

7) #22 Joey Logano (10-1) -- The 2015 Daytona 500 champ isn't making any friends in the series -- even his own teammates are irked -- and that is essential for drafting at Daytona. However, he's got a great car that can get to the front.

8) #47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (30-1) -- He's sitting on the pole, but that doesn't matter as much as it used to in the good old days. The last pole sitter to win the Daytona 500 was Dale Jarrett in 2000. The reason to bet him is wins at Daytona and Talladega in 2017. Also, his JTG Daugherty Racing Chevrolet is powered by Hendrick Motorsports engines. Last season, JTG's Ryan Preece finished eighth in the Daytona 500 and third in the April Talladega race, two of the only three top 10s of the season for Preece.

9) #2 Brad Keselowski (10-1) -- He's got the good stuff with Team Penske and looked to have one of the best cars in the Busch Clash last week until teammate Logano wrecked him. He has six wins between Daytona and Talladega but has had a rough two years on them, finishing no better than 12th in eight races. He's looking for his first Daytona 500 win, but I need more than 10-1.

10) #1 Kurt Busch (20-1) -- He captured his first career win in any restrictor-plate race in the 2017 Daytona 500. Until then he was known as the best plate driver without a win. He has 13 top-five finishes in 37 career Daytona starts, including three runner-up finishes. Expect him to be within the top 10 late in the race.

11) #4 Kevin Harvick (12-1) -- The 2007 Daytona 500 champ also won the summer race there in 2010. The only downside to betting him at such low odds is that he's been 19th or worse in his last seven starts at Daytona, the last six coming after Stewart-Haas Racing switched to Ford. It's more of an anomaly, but it's an active trend.

12) #6 Ryan Newman (30-1) -- He had a nice run in last week's Busch Crash - er, I mean Clash. He'll be good again on Sunday for Roush-Fenway Racing. The 2008 Daytona 500 winner was seventh or better in the final three races last season using this week's race package at both Talladega races and the July Daytona race.

13) #43 Darrell Wallace Jr. (60-1) -- His best career Cup finish was second in the 2018 Daytona 500, and his ECR engine should give his Chevrolet a chance at running with the leaders.

14) #8 Tyler Reddick (60/1) -- The rookie takes over the Richard Childress Racing ride that Daniel Hemric drove last season and had its best races at Daytona and Talladega. Hemric's fifth at Talladega was his only top five of the season. Look for Reddick to run well.

15) #18 Kyle Busch (10-1) -- He won his second Cup Series title last season and has won almost every race in the series except the Daytona 500. His lone Daytona win in 2008 came in the July race. Last season he had his best Daytona 500 finish with a second behind Hamlin, a teammate. After a while, not winning NASCAR's biggest race starts to weigh on drivers. Dale Earnhardt didn't win it until the very end of his career in 1998, and some like Tony Stewart and Mark Martin never won it.

16) #3 Austin Dillon (30-1) -- Daytona and Talladega are probably his best places to win this season. The 2018 Daytona 500 champ has a 15th-place average finish at Daytona, which is the best among active drivers.

17) #21 Matt DiBenedetto (25-1) -- He has finished eighth or better in two of his last three Daytona starts, and in last season's Daytona 500 he led 49 laps before being involved in an accident. He's in the famed Wood Brothers Ford, which won the 2011 Daytona 500 and is again using a Roush-Yates engine. He'll be a factor somewhere in the race.

18) #14 Clint Bowyer (25-1) -- He's got four top fives in 28 Daytona starts with a best of second in the summer of 2017. Since being with Stewart-Haas Racing he has been 15th or worse in five of six Daytona starts. I didn't bet on him, but he's one of my favorites and I would love to see him grab his first Daytona 500 win.

19) #24 William Byron (25-1) -- He had his best Cup performance at Daytona during the summer, finishing second, and he'll have a Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet good enough to win.

20) #48 Jimmie Johnson (25-1) -- The seven-time Cup champion will retire at the end of the season, but he didn't say this would be his last Daytona 500, leaving the door open to race as a part-time driver. He's a three-time winner at Daytona with 12 top fives in 26 starts. He's got a car capable of winning, and it would be an amazing story if he did.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang
30 DIME
PAC-12
COLLEGE WINNER
Cal Bears +5