Sunday 2-23-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Al Cimaglia: February 23-Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis

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February 23, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, the Pompano Park 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 6. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a very low 12% takeout and it will be my focus. Last week was very formful at the south Florida oval and we will see how the payouts look over the coming days.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-War-N-Munn (5-1)-Winner of 2-straight is no slouch and has the speed to beat #6 with the right trip. Will probably need to catch a break but could get the top or 2-hole without much strain.
6-Rebellious (2-1)-Winner of 5 in a row has won at different distances and has been as good as advertised. If dialed on high it will likely be the 6th straight picture in 7-starts this meet.

Race 7

1-Byby Landon (4-1)-Freehold shipper makes 1st ever PPk start but likes to race on the engine and there isn't much gate speed in this field. Did race on 2/8 and might be able to beat this field without a race over the track.
5-Itsnoproblemman (4-1)-Paced the back half in 56.1 last time but couldn't close on the leader. Could race close to the top here and be in the hunt near the wire. Simons takes a spin and he could be more aggressive.
7-Alway'syourway (2-1)-Hennessey's choice over the 1,5 and 6 deserves some respect but current form doesn't stand way above this field and will need a good steer from this post.

Race 8

1-Dragon N Kickin (3-1)-8-year-old is a new arrival from Ohio and was Hennessey's choice over the 7. Tough to leave out from the rail as Wally should keep in play but will likely offer no value.
2-Freak On A Leash (10-1)-Only 1-15 at the Pomp but this race feels like there could be a price. This is a spot to trip out and pop at good odds.
3-R Gauwitz Hanover (5-1)-Finally draws inside and Ingraham steers for the 1st time this meet. Put the 11-year-old in the mix with live cover and an honest pace.
5-Sir Bradford (4-1)-Beat four from ths field in last start and did benefit from a nice trip. Could follow the same script here, likes the track and Simon is back in the bike.

Race 9

3-William McWiskers (5-1)-Was cashing checks on the East Coast this fall. Qualifier was good and now makes 1st start since 9/29. 4-year-old should like the company, has won 4 of 12 lifetime starts and has hit the board 4 other times.
4-Perkins (3-1)-Hennessey returns and has taken pictures the last 2-times he has steered. Gets post relief and looks like a major player. Should be bet hard and will use but hope for others.
7-JD's Noah (6-1)-Tried a new strategy as an odds-on chalk in last and faded late after getting on the engine. Gets a new set a hands as Wallis takes a seat and could pop at square price if he works a smooth trip.
8-Garrett's Guide (7-1)-Game horse who could leave and get a nice tuck. Will need the trip to work but has been trying hard and the price should be right.

0.50 Pick 4

2,6/1,5,7/1,2,3,5/3,4,7,8
Total Bet=$48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies for 2/23/20

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February 23, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita

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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Today’s Day Makers: View Video

Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File

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RACE 1: Post 12:30 PT. Grade: X
Use: 1-Classy Ruler; 2-Regal Beauty; 3-Merneith

Forecast: Any one of those listed above appear capable of winning, so we’ll include all three in our rolling exotics but otherwise pass the race. While all three are extremely talented and promising, each was beaten as an odds-on favorite last time out. Merneith appeared headed to victory in her debut but then shortened stride in the final sixteenth and was worn down late. The B. Baffert-trained filly continues to impress in the a.m. and as a daughter of American Pharoah should have no trouble handling today’s two-turn mile trip. Her stablemate, Regal Beauty, cost herself a debut win when she walked out of the gate in an abbreviated sprint and then flew home but just ran out of room. She’s another that gives every indication that added distance will do nothing but help her. Classy Ruler, second in both starts with strong speed figures, likely will get the patient ride she needs for M. Smith and may be most dangerous from off the pace.
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RACE 2: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Rstars and Stripes; 3-Mosienko; 4-Secret Square

Forecast: Secret Square has the route-to-sprint angle we always like and with J. Rosario riding her back the daughter of Square Eddie looks capable of producing the last run from a good second flight position. She’s probably most effective sprinting, so today’s conditions appear ideal. Rstars and Stripes was visually quite pleasing winning her debut in a maiden $50,000 main track sprint, but she certainly didn’t have a whole lot behind her. Now in the S. Knapp barn via a claim, the daughter of Coil gets a bit of a class test but could be up to the task. Mosienko, like Secret Square, has the proper style for this distance, switches to M. Smith, and with better racing luck today than last time could make her presence felt from mid-pack. We’ll include all three in our rolling exotics and then have a few extra tickets keying Secret Square on top.
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RACE 3: Post 1:29 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Challah; 6-Zorich

Forecast: Zorich missed by a head in a similar starter’s allowance affair over this track and distance last month and a repeat of that effort today probably will be good enough to win. Never worse than second in three career starts over the local main track, the M. Glatt-trained gelding projects to enjoy a good stalking trip outside and then have every chance from the quarter pole home. Challah is reunited with “win rider” F. Prat after finishing second in a dead-heat with Zorich last time out. They were impossible to separate last time and they figure just as close again today. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics with a very slight edge on top to Zorich.
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RACE 4: Post 1:59 PT. Grade: B+
Single: 3-Murad Khan

Forecast: Murad Khan has been a middle distance specialist throughout most of this career but gets a chance to show his stuff in a grass sprint today and gives every indication that he’ll thoroughly enjoy the turn back in trip. He’s a first-off-the-claim for D. O’Neill (strong stats), retains F. Prat, and has recent speed figures that are better than par for this second-level allowance affair. We’re expecting the son of Raven’s Pass to settle off the pace and blast home, so at 9/5 on the morning line we’ll make him a straight play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post 2:29 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 4-Sara Crewe; 6-Rickie Nine Toe’s; 9-On the Verge

Forecast: Maiden $50,000 claiming sophomore fillies sprint six and one-half furlongs in what appears to be a fairly wide open affair. Best advice is to use as many as you can afford to in rolling exotic play. Sara Crewe drops in for a tag for the first time, exits an infinitely tougher race in which she got bounced around at the start and was forced very wide, and picks up J. Rosario while returning to conventional dirt for the first time since finishing second in her debut last summer at Pleasanton. Rickie Nine Toe’s has solid form at the level, having hit the board in all four career starts. She was more than four lengths clear of the rest last time out and projects to be part of the pace throughout. On the Verge missed by a neck in her debut vs. similar and has a right to produce a forward move. Today’s extra half furlong may be of some help. (Full disclosure, this handicapper is a part owner of Sara Crewe).
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RACE 6: Post 3:01 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Bella Chica; 3-Civil Suit; 6-Rainwineandhereiam

Forecast: Rainwineandhereiam is a first-timer from a barn that is capable with debut runners and shows and extended series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs that indicate ability and fitness. She’s a four-year-old daughter of Stormin Fever being protected in straight maiden company, so we’ll assume she’s well-liked by her connections. Bella Chica returned off a long layoff to finish a solid second on turf last month and not much more may be needed to earn her a diploma. If she breaks cleanly from the rail, the daughter of City Zip should draft into a comfortable second-flight, ground-saving position and then have dead aim from the top of the lane to the wire. Civil Suit, third in the same race ‘Chica exits, makes her second career start but her first with blinkers, so a significant forward move is possible. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with a slight preference on top to the newcomer, Rainwineandhereiam.
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RACE 7: Post 3:32 PT. Grade: B
Use: 2-Bold Endeavor; 4-California Street

Forecast: Bold Endeavor and California Street were badly overmatched in the San Pasqual S.-G2 earlier this month but both return to reality today in this second-level allowance main track miler and both should be able to regain their best form. ‘Endeavor shortens to what probably is his preferred trip and catches a pace scenario that figures to greatly promote his front-running style. The switch to J. Rosario won’t hurt, either. California Street has numbers that fit and represents the most dangerous of the closing types. Both should be included in rolling exotic play, with preference on top to Bold Endeavor.
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RACE 8: Post 4:03 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Desmond Doss; 2-Southern King; 3-Proud Pedro

Forecast: Proud Pedro is overdue for a win and seems capable of producing a sufficient late kick after being reunited with “win rider” F. Prat. His only prior victory came over the local lawn at nine furlongs; today he gets a chance to do his thing over a mile and one-quarter. Southern King, a strong runner-up under similar conditions in his first start since arriving from the east and joining the P. Miller barn, retains J. Rosario and should draft into a perfect ground-saving, pace-stalking trip from his inside draw. The Animal Kingdom gelding shows two recent bullet drills at San Luis Rey Downs to indicate he’s spot on. Desmond Doss was victimized by a slow pace in a tougher spot on Cal Cup day but lands the rail, drops in class, continues to train well, and seems likely to produce a forward move in his third start off a layoff.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Aqueduct - Race #2

#1 Hardcore Folklore	Stretchout sprinter is by Curlin, so he should relish this elongated two-turn trip, and he really improved off the Gullo claim last time, so from a perfect draw in what looks like a speedy race, he seems primed; can upset.
#3 Danny California	Veteran is just 1-for-13 locally but the run at this trip two-back was a sharp one, and he's another who will like getting away from sharp one-turn races, as well as the potentially aggressive pace up front; do not ignore.
#6 Traveling	The one to beat just-missed at the level last time and did well to draw outside the other speed, but this is a tight run to the first turn, so he figures to be wide and chasing the entire trip, at a tricky distance too; trying to beat.
Race Summary	The price, race flow, and possibly even the distance will all be right on the 1, who looked like a new horse off the claim last time and may be poised to move up against at this trip, so play him in all the slots, while getting some added value by using him in the early Pk5 and to kick off the early Pk4, as this is a deep field of just six, which means a win in 5-1 (the 12-1 ML seems way out of whack) range would knock out a lot of tickets.

Aqueduct - Race #6

#6 Dan the Man Can	Stalker is one of a few in here who can settle and pass horses, as there's a ton of speed signed on, so he figures to be licking his chops off the far turn; love his chances here.
#2 Ryan's Cat	Stiff ML favorite has the best proven form here and will be a handful back on dirt and out of satkes foes, but wiring this group from the inside won't be easy; comes unglued late.
#4 Victory Boulevard	Maker claim (15%) settled and aired two-back then dueled and pulled clear last time, so he's versatile, and if he can employ the former style he'll be a player; seems in the mix.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that's going to flatter the chances of the 6, while potentially hurting those of the 2, so play the former aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him in the late Pk5/Pk4, as he won't get favored, even though he's getting all the best of it here.

Aqueduct - Race #8

#2 Catzalionbythetale	Lightly raced runner for Rice added blinkers and predictably improved in a big way in his second start, has a world of upside, and won't be favored either; look out.
#8 Tapizearance	The chalk will be tough to beat for Cox but didn't really improve off the claim last time and is now 0-for-8, so it's unlikely he's got another forward move; second-best.
#6 Danegeld	Bond speedster was a close 2nd on debut in the slop, albeit in a slow race against lesser, so he needs to step it up on the rise, but his style always plays; worth a look.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 2 but if they bet the 8 hard again you may get ore value than you should on a runner on the improve, who makes the pivotal third start of his career, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying him to end the late Pk5/Pk4, as he's on the upswing here, which doesn't appear to be the case with the chalk.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Turf Paradise - Race #2

#7 Don't Remember	Drop should do the trick here after this one ran a good one with better last out. Forward trip from the outside should get this home.
#1 Bringindowndahouse	Toss the route try and the sprint form isn't too far off what it might take to land an underneath piece here at a number.
#6 Me	Will need some of the pace to come back, but he's a reliable enough finisher to be able to pass any fading pace players.
Race Summary	Don't Remember probably won't offer much of a price on the drop, but he figures very tough to handle with this group. Guessing he's a logical single in the multis.

Turf Paradise - Race #3

#7 Honey Bay Bee	Showed a bit of tactical pace in the debut before backing up, and she brings a bullet work to this with a really good outside draw for a tracking trip. Potential best bet of the day if the price is right.
#3 Uh Oh Lucy	Really solid debut run makes this filly the one to beat, but I'm guessing she's not going to step forward in a big way for a 3% local barn, so there are some others with enough upside to handle her.
#2 Friendswithbourbon	Bullet work on Feb. 18 hints that she at least has a touch of pace, and she won't have a to be a star to make an impact at first asking.
Race Summary	Honey Bay Bee has plenty of room to step forward in this spot, and the price may be playable enough to give her a real look at the windows, too.

Turf Paradise - Race #7

#7 Yes Please	Don't think this mare is out of the question with the two just inside of her likely to dominate the wagering action. Tactical speed should get a really nice go of things.
#6 My Crafty Gal	No doubt the one to beat, but she'll probably get prompted a bit more in the early going here, and she'll have to find another sixteenth today. Worth trying to beat.
#2 McKenzie Honey	No match for My Crafty Gal last time out, but she can probably step forward a bit in this spot, and that'd get her into the mix.
Race Summary	Yes Please should be a fair price, and she'll get a really nice run of things from close range from the outside.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#2 Dominate Themoment	Retreated early in a stakes race last out and finished 1st under the wire in his last two (DQ'd) in the 1st one and has the speed to get a good stalking trip.
#1 Lure Him In	Suffered his 1st loss in three starts last out and can get back to a good effort; can get a good ground-saving trip and has enough speed to stay in range.
#6 Blazing Desire	Comes out of a sharp effort as she wired a good field; has won two out of three and needs to good together two good ones back to back.
Race Summary	Dominate Themoment couldn't keep up with stakes company is more favorably placed for this one; does well on turf.

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#3 Skye Snow	Took to the turf at Fair Grounds and rallied for a nice 2nd; Maker charge should have a hand in this outcome.
#4 Fly Fight Win	War Story first timer has a long list of work, and many of those are good drills; regally bred and a potential upsetter on debut.
#5 La Babia	Had turf route speed and was 2nd last time in her 1st under rider Saez; the hot jockey stays around and this one could be tough on the front end again.
Race Summary	Skye Snow woke up last out and can get a perfect trip in her 1st Gulfstream Park; one to hold off.

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#3 Bright Venezuelan	Has a decent closing move and can be effective with a clear run in the stretch; should be moving the best when it counts.
#2 Awsum Roar	Clear winner in 6 of her last 8 and will bring the heat in the stretch; solid player again.
#7 Sweet Yare N Dira	Comes out of good state-bred races and makes her 1st for the Hurtak stable; can show good speed here and should be dangerous.
Race Summary	Bright Venezuelan will get plenty of speed in front of her to set her up and Zayas and this mare should be rolling on the tail end of this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE PRICE
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2020
Butler vs. Creighton

1* on Creighton -5.5

The Key: The Creighton Bluejays are the best team in the Big East. They are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. That includes upset road wins over Villanova and Seton Hall, the 2 teams that are closest to them atop the conference. Butler has been fading badly here down the stretch. The Bulldogs are 4-7 SU & 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Bluejays are 14-1 at home this year. The home team is 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in the last 9 matchups. Creighton has won by 14, 11, 11 and 8 points in its last 4 home matchups with Butler. The Bulldogs are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The Bluejays are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Take Creighton.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2020
Wichita State vs. Cincinnati

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Cincinnati -4

We are getting Cincinnati at a great value as only 4-point home favorites over Wichita State Sunday. They are coming off an upset loss to UCF as double-digit favorites, so we’ll ‘buy low’ on the Bearcats here.

It’s a good time to ‘sell high’ on Wichita State off three straight wins against three of the worst teams in the AAC. Now they face a Cincinnati team that they simply do not match up well against.

Cincinnati is 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS in its last five meetings with Wichita State. Four of those five were on the road or on a neutral. The Bearcats won by 10 in their lone home meeting with the Shockers during this stretch. Cincinnati is 11-2 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 13.9 points per game.

The Shockers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss. Bet Cincinnati Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, February 23


Pittsburgh @ Washington

Game 53-54
February 23, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
10.712
Washington
9.290
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Under

Chicago @ Dallas

Game 57-58
February 23, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
9.640
Dallas
11.644
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-190
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-190); Over

Winnipeg @ Buffalo

Game 55-56
February 23, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
11.594
Buffalo
12.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+100); Over

San Jose @ NY Islanders

Game 59-60
February 23, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
9.301
NY Islanders
11.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-220
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-220); Under

Calgary @ Detroit

Game 61-62
February 23, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
11.915
Detroit
8.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-220
6
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-220); Under

St. Louis @ Minnesota

Game 63-64
February 23, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
13.253
Minnesota
11.643
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-115); Under

Vegas @ Anaheim

Game 67-68
February 23, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
10.956
Anaheim
11.806
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-170
6
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(+150); Over

Edmonton @ Los Angeles

Game 65-66
February 23, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
10.466
Los Angeles
11.809
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS
(CBB)
Indiana
Ohio St
Creighton

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 2	Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3
Claiming $20,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 55 • Purse: $8,600 • Post: 3:10P
FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 22, 2020 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 22, 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. HARLAN'S IMAGE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HARLAN'S IMAGE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LIGHTNING SUNSET: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	HARLAN'S IMAGE	8/5	2/1
4	LIGHTNING SUNSET	9/2	7/2

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	MI NIETO MATIAS	1	4/1	Front-runner	37	34	54.5	33.8	26.3
2	HARLAN'S IMAGE	2	8/5	Stalker	60	55	57.6	50.6	48.6
4	LIGHTNING SUNSET	4	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	56	48	36.4	45.0	41.5
5	RAFY Q.	5	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	39	37	42.6	30.6	23.6
3	ANTIPATICA	3	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	42	26	16.6	22.8	13.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 4	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 86 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 2:12P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR ACCREDITED LOUISIANA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS THAT REMAIN ELIGIBLE. FINAL PAYMENT MUST BE ON ACCOUNT WITH THE HORSEMEN'S BOOKKEEPER AT THE TIME OF ENTRY. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION'S OF $6,000 MUST ACCOMPANY THE ENTRY. WEIGHT: 124LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LOVE THE WAY YOU FLY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equiba se Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LTO THUMBS UP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distanc e is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
8	LOVE THE WAY YOU FLY	8/5	5/2
7	LTO THUMBS UP	9/2	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LOUISIANA DREAMIN	1	20/1	Slow	67	63	8.2	0.0	0.0
2	KENNONS PATRIOT	2	15/1	Fast	81	73	1.0	0.0	0.0
3	SUPER SUNDEE	3	20/1	Slow	77	79	6.2	0.0	0.0
4	EYEONDAPRIZE	4	7/2	Average	75	66	4.3	0.0	0.0
5	EYE SANG THE BLUES	5	12/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	7.4	0.0	0.0
6	LOVE ME SOME CUERVO	6	3/1	Fast	75	78	3.2	0.0	0.0
7	LTO THUMBS UP	7	9/2	Average	85	85	4.2	0.0	0.0
8	LOVE THE WAY YOU FLY	8	8/5	Fast	93	91	2.6	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $67000 Class Rating: 88

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER SINCE AUGUST 1, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 PRAIRIE FIRE 4/1
# 5 PUFFERY 1/1
# 2 AWILLAWAY 6/1

I have to consider PRAIRIE FIRE here. This horse has a wonderful win percentage in dirt sprints. It's a good signal that Rice is using Lezcano on this entrant. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is strong for this horse. PUFFERY - Has performed solidly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 85 avg speed fig. Could beat this group of horses given the 93 Equibase Speed Fig recorded in her last outing. AWILLAWAY - With Cancel in the saddle guiding her, this filly ought to be able to break out sharply in this race. Is a contender - given the 87 speed figure from her most recent race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #9 - Post: 4:46pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $13,700 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#5 CENTERFOLDPROSPECT (ML=5/2)
#6 MR. MAURICE (ML=7/2)


CENTERFOLDPROSPECT - This gelding is in nice condition, having run a nice race on February 2nd, finishing fourth. I know he'll be way back, but he's got a fabulous kick at the top of the stretch. In this race here, this horse has registered the highest speed figure at the distance, so I have to give him the edge. Have to watch for this animal on the turf. Last race at Tampa Bay Downs, scored a big turf number. Have to think he can do it again today. The addition of blinks should keep his mind on business today. Sub-par try in the last race at Tampa Bay Downs was due to the off-going (he finished fourth). Has to do better in today's race on a fast track. MR. MAURICE - This horse coming off a solid contest in the last month is a win candidate in my book. Trainer Gaffney gave this gelding a good stiff drill. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. This horse has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 69 to 75 to 78 right in a row.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DOPO LAVORO (ML=3/1), #2 STUNNING BABY (ML=9/2), #9 EMBATTLED (ML=6/1),

DOPO LAVORO - You always believe this horse has a shot to win, but he falls short regularly. STUNNING BABY - Recent speed fig of 79 may not be true since it was on the soft turf. This equine doesn't have a conquering state of mind. Time-and-again finishes in the place and show hole. May bounce off of that last strong exertion. EMBATTLED - This colt hasn't been showing me anything in the last two races.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #5 CENTERFOLDPROSPECT to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 10 - Stakes - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 71

RED HEDEMAN MILE S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLD, REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED. FREE TO NOMINATE; $600 TO ENTER. WEIGHTS 122 LBS. PREFERENCE TO HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST LIFE TIME EARNINGS AT THE TIME OF CLOSING NOMINATIONS. CLOSED FRIDAY FEBRUARY 14, 2020 AT 4:00 P.M. WITH 19 NOMINATIONS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 12 MANOSO 15/1
# 6 ANCIENT LAND 3/1
# 5 CERVEZA 12/1

I favor MANOSO for this race especially at a such a nice price. Coates has recent return on investment figures which make this entrant a very good bet. This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 1 - 1 in his races as of late. ANCIENT LAND - This gelding is a key contender based on his earnings per start in dirt route contests. Always seems to be right there at the wire. CERVEZA - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of solid win percentage - 29 percent - at this distance & surface. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a definite contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 12:53pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#5 TOMA (ML=7/2)
#2 BIG BAD RED (ML=9/2)
#1 FAIRY WISH (ML=4/1)


TOMA - When McCarthy and Reid work together on horses the return on investment has been fantastic at +130. This mare likes to stalk and the way things shape up here, she should get an idyllic trip. BIG BAD RED - Just check out her last rating, 78. That one looks good in this field. FAIRY WISH - Have to give this filly a good chance. Ran a solid outing in the last race within the last month or so.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TWIRLING LIZ (ML=6/5), #4 RAGING BLAZE (ML=6/1),

TWIRLING LIZ - Speed figures of 86/81/75 are pointed in the wrong direction. This filly has already tasted defeat as the public's top choice twice in a row. Hard to give her another chance. Not probable that the speed rating she notched on Jan 12th will hold up in this affair. RAGING BLAZE - Granted the last race was good, finishing first. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though. She had to show me more against that weaker bunch in the last race on January 30th to get my support today. Could be tough for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put her on the vulnerable contenders list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #5 TOMA to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	5 with [1,2]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass