Tuesday 2-25-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Paul Leiner

NBA & CBB Picks 2/25

100* Pelicans +8
100* Drake +7.5
100* Georgia Tech -2.5

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Mahoning Valley - Race #4

#2 Levanto	Veteran was a modest 5th at the level here two-back, when behind a few here, but this post is perfect, and his tactical speed will play big in a race without a lot of pace; can surprise.
#1 Double the Laugh	Pace player was 3rd and ahead of the pick two-back then didn't fire in the mud last time, but on dry land, with his speedy style, he's going to be tough to catch; clearly the one to beat.
#8 Let'scalliteven	Stretch runner was 2nd and ahead of the top-2 at the level last time, so he hits hard here, but his running style leaves him at the mercy of the pace, which looks soft; runs out of room.
Race Summary	The price, post, and race flow all look right on the 2, who seemingly gets all the best of it here, yet will offer plenty of value, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the exotics as well, since he's got every chance to turn the tables on his two main rivals.

Mahoning Valley - Race #5

#8 The Donner	Speedster popped and then stopped on debut but that early foot her showed will play well here, and off that tightener he should be primed; look out.
#10 Nuns Island	Tactical sort will be involved throughout and that 2nd routing last time makes him the one to beat here, but at 0-for-12 he also as no upside; second-best.
#9 Kid Tejano	Lifetime maiden made it 0-for-32 last time, but he's been in some fast races for the level in his last two, so he can get a piece here; underneath, as always.
Race Summary	You should get fair value on the 8, since that debut might scare a few people off, but there's no one here to fear, and he's got more upside than the rest of this field combined, so play him to win and place, while getting some additional value by using him to kick off the Pk4, as he's only moving forward off that debut, which means he should be right there with this group.

Mahoning Valley - Race #6

#9 Swivel	Penn National invader was running well against better, now goes into a potent Rone barn, and meets a field of local stuck in neutral; love his chances here.
#11 Midnight Run	Price player has been running well behind a few here in his last two, should be close to the pace throughout, yet may be overlooked; can spice up the exotics.
#12 Tarnished Juice	Dangerous newcomer was just a good 3rd at Laurel and fits here on the slight class drop, but this wide draw did him no favors; tread lightly if landing here.
Race Summary	That 3-1 ML seems like an overlay on the 9, as he could really blow up here for his new trainer, who has been firing all meet long, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him in the Pk4, as he's likely going to be laying down a race the rest of these simply won't be able to handle.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Turf Paradise - Race #1

#4 Chatterman	Let the price dictate the play here. He'd feel like a pretty significant underlay at anything like the 5/2 ML price, but if he floats up from there, he's worth a look in a spot where nearly all of the other want to battle for the front early.
#1 Lode the Gold	Reliable type tends to take some action, but he has settled for underneath slices in recent tries and might be overbet today.
#5 Trapalanda	Hit or miss form is the question, but his best stuff keeps him in the mix with what it might take to win here.
Race Summary	Chatterman can be tough after scoring with similar last time out, but he was 10-1 that day and I have zero interest in taking him back with this group if that 5/2 ML price holds at all. The race flow works for him, but I'm only getting into the conversation at something like 4/1 or better.

Turf Paradise - Race #5

#3 Of Good Report	Will get the call in a spot where many will likely go two deep, I'll go ahead and try to get through this spot just using this guy who is coming out of competitive races at Santa Anita.
#6 Minsky Moment	No clue what to make of this guy, but the fact that he was let go from the Klaravich/Brown operation suggests he's not likely to do anything better than what we've seen, and he may be dicey to even get back to that.
#8 Old School Ike	Pace can find the front from the outside, he probably doesn't have to deal with a ton of pressure early on. Not impossible if they let him get loose early.
Race Summary	Of Good Report and Minsky Moment figure to command most of the wagering action, but the former has far fewer questions to answer here and may offer the better price of the two.

Turf Paradise - Race #8

#5 Big Sky Logan	Took nicely to the local competition when posting an easy win last out, and something similar probably leaves the rest of them running for second today.
#9 Brozilian	Really solid finishing effort to score last out, and there may be just enough speed to set something up for him late.
#2 Teryn It Up	Form is really all over the place, but there are more than a few running lines that keep him in the mix if he can bring one of his better efforts.
Race Summary	Big Sky Logan is going to get bet, and perhaps trying to get Teryn It Up into the gimmicks might be the best way to try to make this race pay with a likely short-priced winner on top.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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The Meadows - Race #3

#5 DAKOTA SLEEK	Lost action in stretch when making inside bid for the lead.
#4 ASHLEE’S FINE LADY	Beaten favorite in her last four starts, price goes up.
#1 UNBEAMLIEVEABLE	Won from on and off the pace this month, draws rail.
Race Summary	Dakota Sleek beat the favorite to the lead, held firm in the pocket when she was passed on the backstretch and was making an inside bid for the lead when apparent ‘broken equipment’ mishap occurred. Palone sticks on a double call, so play 5-1 and 5-4 exactas.

Yonkers - Race #1

#3 LADY NATASHA	Gapped behind heavy favorites in third, good try with Lasix.
#4 UPTOWN LADY N	Strong rally to win at the Meadowlands in second U.S. start.
#1 GREY ROOTS	Piled up the checks at Saratoga as a 3-year-old, gets Bartlett for 4yo debut.
Race Summary	Lady Natasha improved with Lasix but was no match for the 6-to-5 winner or 4-to-5 pocket sitter whose 3-race winning streak ended. She could break through in her 14th start and should offer good value with Uptown Lady N drawing most of the betting attention.

Yonkers - Race #6

#3 CRANBERRY BRIE	Right set-up, right price, right barn for first Yonkers go-round.
#7 NORTH STAR IDEAL	Visually impressive stretch kick, pulling away from the odds-on fave.
#1 SWEET SUE	Third in 3 of last 4 out of town, Brennan’s been red-hot of late.
Race Summary	Cranberry Brie had a good sophomore season in Canada, now starts fresh for high-percentage, new barn. She gets plenty of pace to run at and the price is right at 9-2 on the morning line. Play 3-1 and 3-7 exactas.

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Sunland Park - Race #1

#2 Casablanca Hot	Comes off a much-improved effort as he lost by a neck vs. similar company; stays at 5.5 furlongs, which looks like the optimum distance for him.
#3 My Indian Warrior	Comes out of New Mexico-bred allowance and stakes races and should react favorably to this drop to the claiming ranks.
#5 Quincy Express	Rallied wins in two of his last three and is much improved as a 4-year-old; has enough speed to stay in the hunt.
Race Summary	Casablanca Hot just missed in his latest, has good speed and can grind it out.

Sunland Park - Race #8

#2 Blue Lighting Sky	Responded to a return to five furlongs with a 1.5-length score over N2L company. Broke her maiden going 5.5 furlongs but no longer wants to run that distance. Eikleberry is back in the saddle, which is usually a plus here.
#8 Cees Smoken	Has the speed to stay within a length or two and could have something left for the finish; in good form over her last four for Evans.
#7 Sheza Dandy R F	Doesn't finish with a flourish but can pick up pieces of those defeated by early efforts.
Race Summary	Blue Lighting Sky has the speed to battle it out and just might take the heart out of others with designs on the lead.

Sunland Park - Race #9

#3 Buddy P.	Has turned the corner to decent form with the rider change back to Reyes. Has developed an adjustable style and can rise to the occasion vs. these.
#5 Ol' Drunk Daddy	Solid efforts in last out and has looked like a winner in each; needs to put on the finishing touches.
#8 Quad	Will be hard-sent from an outside position and could get some courage when he gets to the lead; has some good California races on his form.
Race Summary	Buddy P. can stay within range and his good-finishing rider will guide this one a group that is suspect going this 6.5-furlong distance.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 1	1st Half of $1 Daily Double /$1 Exacta / $1Trifecta /.10 Superfecta .50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $10,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $13,100 • Post: 1:00P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR (NEW MEXICO BREDS NON WINNERS OF FOUR LIFETIME). WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED). NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MY INDIAN WARRIOR: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BAYTOWN MACCA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TEXAS SWAGGER: Horse ranks in t he top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
3	MY INDIAN WARRIOR	2/1	7/2
1	BAYTOWN MACCA	7/2	9/2
4	TEXAS SWAGGER	6/1	5/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	TEXAS SWAGGER	4	6/1	Front-runner	78	74	70.5	71.4	62.9
3	MY INDIAN WARRIOR	3	2/1	Front-runner	77	78	63.4	74.2	69.7
1	BAYTOWN MACCA	1	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	81	72	66.0	70.6	67.1
2	CASABLANCA HOT	2	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	81	72	61.4	65.2	60.2
6	CATABILITY	6	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	68	50.4	63.4	55.4
5	QUINCY EXPRESS	5	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	69	70	41.6	63.4	52.9

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 3	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta 20 cent Buckeye Pick 6 (Races 3-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $11,800 • Post: 1:40P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 25. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. SHE'S THIRSTY is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * TIGER LISA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fo urth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FIRST DISTINCTION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SEALED WITH A KISS: Today is a sprint and t his is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	TIGER LISA	5/2	7/2
6	FIRST DISTINCTION	8/5	9/2
4	SEALED WITH A KISS	15/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	FIRST DISTINCTION	6	8/5	Front-runner	83	84	84.2	71.2	66.7
5	TIGER LISA	5	5/2	Front-runner	85	81	82.2	73.0	70.5
7	HEAD DRESS	7	15/1	Front-runner	69	71	35.1	58.1	43.6
2	SHE'S THIRSTY	2	20/1	Stalker	80	66	69.0	62.4	52.9
3	CASCABRIA	3	10/1	Trailer	76	67	36.2	64.4	50.9
4	SEALED WITH A KISS	4	15/1	Trailer	80	74	26.6	65.8	59.3
8	THEOREM	8	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	68	66.4	56.2	43.2
1	SURE SHE'S GRAND	1	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	80	66	55.3	57.2	49.2

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Fair Grounds - Race #2 - Post: 12:59pm - Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $41,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#4 KINGPIN (ML=5/2)
#2B MONEY BIZ (ML=5/1)


KINGPIN - 'Kid Bridge' was aboard this colt in the last race and was impressed enough to take the equine right back. Last race out on the grass, this equine was strong. Anything close in this field, and this one should win. MONEY BIZ - This jock and conditioner's animals have been producing a profitable ROI. This trainer brings horses to the grass conditioned properly and ready to go, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 LUCKY CURLIN (ML=8/5), #1A RACE DRIVER (ML=8/5), #2 CYRIL'S BOY (ML=5/1),

LUCKY CURLIN - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint events in order to support him. RACE DRIVER - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint contests recently. Improbable to see him doing it this time out either. The deficiency of early speed in the last one, a route affair, is a bit bothersome. CYRIL'S BOY - Let me give you a hint. For the most part, don't play a maiden breaker out of a maiden claimer next race out.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - KINGPIN - This colt has the best last speed figure at Fair Grounds. Must be considered in your speculating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #4 KINGPIN on top if we're getting at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 60

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 11 BALLERINA BOOGIE 9/2
# 9 OLETA INEZ 12/1
# 4 LUCKY DARE 5/1

BALLERINA BOOGIE is the strongest bet in this race. Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. LUCKY DARE - Recorded a formidable speed figure last time out. Has been racing soundly in races of this distance, going 1 out of 2 under similar conditions.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $3300 Class Rating: 60

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 FIRST LADY D 7/2
# 10 RC BEAUTIFUL GAME 3/1
# 6 WILLRHETTJET 9/2

FIRST LADY D is my choice. Is a key contender - given the 57 speed figure from her most recent race. Last time out, this filly was up against a tougher field. RC BEAUTIFUL GAME - She has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the most favorable in this group. Have to bet on this money-making jockey and handler tandem. WILLRHETTJET - I think having Hamilton ride this gelding is a smart choice.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 1:22pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#6 ALWAYS FREE (ML=6/1)
#4 PROUD AND FURIOUS (ML=9/5)
#9 JUMP SHOT (ML=10/1)


ALWAYS FREE - The last speed rating of 71 is the best last race speed rating in the bunch. When this jock and handler team up you have to take a look. Rivera and Soto have been fantastic together. Horse has improved at least 2 speed rating points in last 2 races. I look for that to continue today. PROUD AND FURIOUS - This gelding is in nice condition. Finished third on Feb 15th. Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better. This thoroughbred has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 56 to 60 to 67 in succession. This animal is tops in earnings per start (EPS). He looks solid in today's clash. JUMP SHOT - I'm counting on this horse to run a good race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LEGENDARY JACK (ML=3/1), #7 CURLIN'S KNIGHT (ML=9/2), #8 DEERSTALKER (ML=8/1),

LEGENDARY JACK - I prognosticate disappointment for this horse in this event. CURLIN'S KNIGHT - A pattern of deteriorating Equibase speed figs 70/41/23 for this mount. Not probable that the speed rating he earned on Feb 15th will be enough in this clash. DEERSTALKER - 8/1 odds isn't enough for this one when looking at the most recent efforts. Should be difficult for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #6 ALWAYS FREE on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Missouri St +2½ Over Valparaiso

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday, February 25, 2020


2/25 06:00 PM PT / 9:00 PM ET

CB (635) TEXAS TECH VS (636) OKLAHOMA

Take: (635) TEXAS TECH

Reason: Your free play from Jim Feist for Tuesday, February 25, 2020 is in the college basketball scheduled contest between Texas Tech and Oklahoma. Your free play is on 635. Texas Tech -3 points.

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: TULSA -11 over Tulane

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Totals4U

Tuesday's Free Selection: Alabama/Mississippi State over 157 1/2