Service Plays Saturday 2/29/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millerlocks

2:00 pm est ncaab
baylor vs. Tcu

pick: Baylor -8.5 (-117)

risk: 11 units

2:05 pm est ncaab
american vs. Holy cross

pick: American -8 (-107)

risk: 11 units

4:30 pm est ncaab
the citadel vs. Furman

pick: Furman -20.5 (-111)

risk: 11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lenny Stevens

---

20* VCU and Maryland
10*s on OKL and Baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From the swami:

full court press goy: Michigan state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TONY FINN


BASKETBALL PLAYS
FINNs EARLY SAT NBA PRIVATE PARLAY
Game: (547) Chicago Bulls at (548) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Feb 29 2020 5:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Knicks -3.0 (-110)


View Analysis


NOTE: This two play early Assocation event at MSG is in fact a two-play event within one-game. The title of the release, Private Parlay is an option you have as a gamer. You will receive this play and this notice twice because the WagerTalk system requires that each play is submitted seperately.


I parlay as little as possible -- but I did parlay this pair of recommended plays -- although I did so after playing both independently and the parlay was only 25 percent of what I played on the side and on the total .The plays will be graded seperately and not in the form of the tw-games being parlayed.


Enjoy the weekend of hoops, both college and pro.


-----------


PLAY: New York Knicks -3
PLAY II: OVER the TOTAL of 214


4% confidence rating on both positions


Yes,I am backing and recommending that you do as well the team we faded in a BigTicket investment on Thursday night, this being the New York Knicks. Firstthere is a difference in opponents and handicap in this contest. We supported aPhiladelphia squad that was missing their two All-Stars and the handicap wasinviting, and shaded, due to the injuries to Simmons and Embiid. ThisNew York Knicks team is neither consistent or reliable. That said in a gameagainst an injury riddled Chicago Bulls troupe the Knicks only need bethemselves. The constant with the Knicks is that you will get 100 percentfrom this Mike Miller squad regardless of situation and/or score.


Theaforementioned statement, the constant being effort, is absolute. It is,however, something we will revisit the first week of April. We will visit andaccess this team when the regular season is in the last two weeks, final 10games, and where the Knicks rest in the standings. As confident as I am Millerwill get the best of his players, in relation to effort. The constant that comesinto play in April, for teams not in touch with the NBA postseason bracket, isthe when they will begin tanking. The Association lottery is a different animalnow that the weight of where you are in the season ending standings matter morethan it used to.

The change was initiated last summer, the 2019 draft. The league changed the lottery odds (the bottom threeteams have an equal 14%chance of winning the top pick) and increased the number of teams selected inthe lottery from threeto four. The NBA Board of Governors approved changes to the lotterysystem on Sept. 28, 2017 that will be implemented for the 2019 NBA Draft. Under the revamped format, the NBA DraftLottery will ensure that the team with the worst record will receive no worsethan the fifth pick. Under the pre-2019 system, the team with the worstrecord would pick no lower than fourth.

The new system will level the odds at the top of the NBA DraftLottery so that the teams with the three worst regular-season records will eachhave a 14 percent chance of winning the lottery. In the pre-2019structure, the top seed had a 25 percent of winning the lottery, thesecond seed had a 19.9 percent and the third seed had a 15.6 percent.As a result of such the who and the when are mission critical in accessing thefinal two-to-three weeks of the regular season. Knowing who is and isn't tanking isn't a science and isn't something that team's coaching staff or players willadmit to. Thing is, it becomes obvious if you know what to look for. And once ateam makes it obvious and they face a situation that offers value without the tank... then an investment on said team is a high probability with me.

Mike Miller has directed the Knicks to a13-20mark during his interim-ship. This is a difficult situation for the Bulls. Theyare in MSG, in a game they will actually be expected to compete in. And thisequation is much different than facing the Bucks, Heat or Boston in which theyare double-digit dogs

The Knicks are healthier and playing within aMiller scheme with cohesiveness. And this alone gives them a better chance thannot to earn a "Dub" at home against a similar talent pool.

NEW YORK KNICKS -3
FINN EARLY SAT NBA PRIVATE PARLAY (TOTAL)
Game: (547) Chicago Bulls at (548) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Feb 29 2020 5:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 213.5 (-107)


View Analysis


NOTE: This two play early Assocation event at MSG is in fact a two-play event within one-game. The title of the release, Private Parlay is an option you have as a gamer. You will receive this play and this notice twice because the WagerTalk system requires that each play is submitted seperately.


I parlay as little as possible -- but I did parlay this pair of recommended plays -- although I did so after playing both independently and the parlay was only 25 percent of what I played on the side and on the total .The plays will be graded seperately and not in the form of the tw-games being parlayed.


Enjoy the weekend of hoops, both college and pro.


-----------


PLAY: New York Knicks -3
PLAY II: OVER the TOTAL of 214 (213.5 is currently the best number available)


4% confidence rating on both positions


Yes,I am backing and recommending that you do as well the team we faded in a BigTicket investment on Thursday night, this being the New York Knicks. Firstthere is a difference in opponents and handicap in this contest. We supported aPhiladelphia squad that was missing their two All-Stars and the handicap wasinviting, and shaded, due to the injuries to Simmons and Embiid. ThisNew York Knicks team is neither consistent or reliable. That said in a gameagainst an injury riddled Chicago Bulls troupe the Knicks only need bethemselves. The constant with the Knicks is that you will get 100 percentfrom this Mike Miller squad regardless of situation and/or score.


Theaforementioned statement, the constant being effort, is absolute. It is,however, something we will revisit the first week of April. We will visit andaccess this team when the regular season is in the last two weeks, final 10games, and where the Knicks rest in the standings. As confident as I am Millerwill get the best of his players, in relation to effort. The constant that comesinto play in April, for teams not in touch with the NBA postseason bracket, isthe when they will begin tanking. The Association lottery is a different animalnow that the weight of where you are in the season ending standings matter morethan it used to.

The change was initiated last summer, the 2019 draft. The league changed the lottery odds (the bottom threeteams have an equal 14%chance of winning the top pick) and increased the number of teams selected inthe lottery from threeto four. The NBA Board of Governors approved changes to the lotterysystem on Sept. 28, 2017 that will be implemented for the 2019 NBA Draft. Under the revamped format, the NBA DraftLottery will ensure that the team with the worst record will receive no worsethan the fifth pick. Under the pre-2019 system, the team with the worstrecord would pick no lower than fourth.

The new system will level the odds at the top of the NBA DraftLottery so that the teams with the three worst regular-season records will eachhave a 14 percent chance of winning the lottery. In the pre-2019structure, the top seed had a 25 percent of winning the lottery, thesecond seed had a 19.9 percent and the third seed had a 15.6 percent.As a result of such the who and the when are mission critical in accessing thefinal two-to-three weeks of the regular season. Knowing who is and isn't tanking isn't a science and isn't something that team's coaching staff or players willadmit to. Thing is, it becomes obvious if you know what to look for. And once ateam makes it obvious and they face a situation that offers value without the tank... then an investment on said team is a high probability with me.

Mike Miller has directed the Knicks to a13-20mark during his interim-ship. This is a difficult situation for the Bulls. Theyare in MSG, in a game they will actually be expected to compete in. And thisequation is much different than facing the Bucks, Heat or Boston in which theyare double-digit dogs

The Knicks are healthier and playing within aMiller scheme with cohesiveness. And this alone gives them a better chance thannot to earn a "Dub" at home against a similar talent pool.

Expect the Knicks to score, play at more tempo than they do against superior talent and teams, and both teams to combine to exceed the oddsmakers total without breaking a sweat.

OVER the TOTAL of 213.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux


NBA

10 Orlando/San Antonio over 218.5

CBB

10 615 Central Michigan +4.5
10 668 Elon/William & Mary under 139.5
10 719 Massachusetts +12
10 775 Eastern Washington +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

Santa Clara -10.5
Nicholls St -9

[Duncan]

JD Sports Authorities

POD: Alabama -5

[Calidreaming]

Spreitzer 7* CBB Play on Pepperdine

[rocky57]

Rock Westfall (VegasInsider - NBA) - Houston Rockets +1.5

[rocky57]

Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)
CBB
Utah -125 (Moneyline)
Alabama -5

[rocky57]

Joe Williams (VegasInsider NHL) - St Louis Blues -135

[Stu Padasso]

Maddux


NBA

10 Orlando/San Antonio over 218.5

CBB

10 615 Central Michigan +4.5
10 668 Elon/William & Mary under 139.5
10 719 Massachusetts +12
10 775 Eastern Washington +7

You missed gwash +12 lol

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FINNs PAC-12 GAME of the MONTH
Game: (787) Arizona at (788) UCLA
Date/Time: Feb 29 2020 10:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Arizona -134


View Analysis


PLAY: Arizona Wildcats on the money-line -134 (good to -150 or -4 points)
4% confidence rating


(787) Arizona at (788) UCLA


For conversation sake a quick look at the two Pacific Coast squads that square off at Pauley Pavilion in LA tonight.


Arizona (19-9, 9-6) at UCLA (18-11, 11-5)

The event is an ESPN broadcast with tip scheduled for4pm ET.

Unless you are much like me and you not only watch edited tape of those games of interest and read the box scores the next morning to get not just a trip-capping feel for a game but how the surface numbers are almost always deceiving, because they don't represent the game you watched, then it is unlikely you saw how the Wildcats were defeated on their home from 65-52 by a pedestrian Bruins team that doesn't fit their head coach's style of play.

Arizona had its worst shooting game of the season. More accurate they struggled through a 40 minute league tilt in what resulted in the worst shooting game in the history of McKale Center. Arizona shot just 25.4% from the field in a 65-52 loss to UCLA; made just 3 of 19 two-pointers in the first half and then missed all 12 3s they took in the second half.

Nico Mannion was 2 for 14 overall (1 for 5 from 3-point range) and Josh Green was 3 for 11.

Since that road win for the Bruins this UCLA troupe has won five straight. The latest "Dub" over ASU on Thursday came on a last-second 3 from Jaquez. Having gone 7-6 in nonconference play, then 1-3 to start the Pac-12, the Bruins are posing, but doing so as imposters, as a team that has finally clicked in first-year head coach Mick Cronin’s system.

if you believe and are buying this used car salesman pitch I know a guy who knows a guy who has some land in South Florida for sale at a cozy spot with a view of the Gulf of Mexico called the Everglades.

The Bruins are more likely to commit more fouls than have assists and have done nothing more than grow for a new coach in his first year.

The games that Bill Walton's boys have won since defeating the 'Cats in north Nogales?

Washington State
Washington
@Utah
@Colorado
ASU

Outside of the win at Boulder this is not a slate of ranked foes that are either getting a pass into the Big Dance nor and invite.

My Insider from the Arizona Valley reported this morning that this Arizona squad has don't nothing but work against a matchup zone and man-to-man defensive scheme until they smoothly transition into their offensive sets against both. And work on one of their strengths, attacking the offensive glass with reckless abandon.

The scouting report I received before the first meet by these two this year that took place at Mac:

“Tony here is your requested report on the Bruins seemingly schizoid defensive scheme; matchup zone mixed in with their man. This because Cronin doesn't like the personnel in his man-to-man scheme. They’ll switch ball screens some. They do a great job of walling up with their bigs — Jalen Hill, Cody Riley, those guys do a great job of not fouling. Cronin hangs his hat on defending, both the paint and the glass, and this Bruins troupe has done what was asked of them versus lesser talent. They make it difficult for the opposition to score down low but they are vulnerable to other good offensive rebounding squads. UCLA ranks first in the Pac in offensive rebounding. Guess who ranks second... yep... Arizona. “

The Bruins’ redshirt freshman point guard did everything right in the first matchup between these two squads and I suggest that you pay little attention to what Nico Mannion wasn't able to do in that first game between U of A and UCLA at McKale. The game was an aberration.

Expect to see the small No #3, Lee, start while showing off his versatility taking the defensive assignments of Smith or Jaquez

The Wildcats are easily the best travelers of any of the Pac-12. There will be 4000 plus U of A fans at Pauley tonight taking away the home court color and noise.

Bruins drew 9.626 fans into 13,800-seat Pauley Pavilion on Thursday for ASU, despite an 8 p.m. weeknight tipoff, and had about only 700 seats remaining for the Arizona-UCLA game as of Friday afternoon.

Arizona’s offensive rebounding percentage in Pac-12 games, the second-highest in the conference and this neutralizes the one variable that has fed the recent run of the Bruins. This being their offensive rebounds and easy second chance points.

If you examine the records of these two Pac-12 teams, the records of both and the results of the first game between the two you could expect a weekend warrior to queston why the Wildcats are favored. Thye are favored here because they are the better team and if the oddsmakers didn't set this game at the current number sharp money would have attacked it without mercy

ARIZONA WILDCATS -134

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D’Angelo

5% USC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy hockey

4-Unit Play. #071. Take Total Over 5.5 (-120) Colorado Avalanche vs Nashville Predators (Saturday @ 7:00pm)
We are rolling with the over here. The Predators will get up for this game and come off a big win at home against Calgary where they tied the game with .2 seconds left to force OT, which they won. Their offense has been clicking as of late but still continue to struggle in goal. Not they face the leagues #3 offense in the Avalanche. The Avalanche are playing in the 2nd game of a B2B with travel, so as the game wears on in this division matchup I expect they will start to feel it here. The Avalanche typically havent done well in this spot on 0 days rest going 40-82 in their last 122 games playing on 0 days rest. I think the issue here is with Grubauer out they have been relying on Francouz heavily and he has started 6 straight games. With this being a back to back I think they likely go with newly acquired Hutchison who they got from the Leafs at the deadline. Hutchison struggled and probably shouldnt even be in the NHL at this point. Regardless of who is in goal, both teams will get up to face each other, and both offenses are capable of putting up goals. I think this total is too low and this one sails over the total. Over is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings in Nashville. Over is 5-1 in Predators last 6 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.