Friday 3-6-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Mar 06 '20, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Suns
Play on: Blazers -2½ -110 at YouWager

1* on Blazers -2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Mar 06 '20, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Avalanche vs Canucks
Play on: Avalanche -125 at pinnacle

AVALANCHE @ CANUCKS FREE PICK
*23-7 (77%) ALL FREE PICKS 2020*
The red hot Colorado Avalanche had won seven on the bounce prior to a 4-3 OT loss to Anaheim Wednesday night and they're a perfect 7-0 in their last seven games as a road favorite. Here they'll visit a reeling Vancouver team that is coming off four straight defeats while allowing an average of 4.5 goals per game. The Avs rank fourth in the NHL with their 3.4 goals per game average and I like the price we get on the visitors in this contest.
Free pick on Colorado Avalanche.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

22-11-1 run with Complimentary Basketball plays

Gave you a complete mismatch with Santa Clara last night, and tonight I deliver another with the Wofford Terriers against The Citadel Bulldogs in Southern Conference action.

This will be a massacre, as Wofford has shown its mettle during a tough 8-10 SoCon schedule, and 16-15 season. The Bulldogs had just six wins during their 29-game schedule, but were a dismal 0-18 in conference play.

The Citadel - which is mired in a 1-7 ATS skid, all against SoCon teams - has one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 83.5 points per game, 84.1 points away from home and 83.2 in its last five.

That won't cut it against a Wofford team that will be looking to establish its presence early and coast to a rather easy win.

Wofford won the two regular-season meetings - including a 23-point victory on the Bulldogs' home court. It's been more than a month since The Citadel lost by single digits.

This is a blowout waiting to happen. Lay the chalk.

3* WOFFORD

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

My free play for tonight is on the late card, as I like the Santa Clara Broncos against the Pepperdine Waves.

The oddsmakers aren't giving the Broncos the respect they deserve, mostly because they finished conference play with a 6-10 mark. But after last night's win in the opening round, they're now 20-12 overall.

Yes, Santa Clara went through a rough stretch of losing six in a row, but snapped that by ending the regular season with a five-point win over Portland, and then dominating the Pilots last night.

Pepperdine won both regular season meetings, and it's awfully hard to beat a team three times, especially with this conference when you're not from Spokane, Washington ... ahem, Gonzaga.

While the Broncos are warmed up with a game under their belts, the Waves have lost two straight, and haven't shown me much consistency on defense that relates to them being ready for a 20-win team like Santa Clara.

Value is with the underdog here.

3* SANTA CLARA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen DeAngelo

Another easy complimentary winner Thursday—my third in a row—as the Hornets covered the number in their two-point loss to Denver. Tonight, it’s back to the college hardwood, where I’m on an 8-3 roll with freebies, as we’ll grab the points with Boise State against San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference tournament semifinals in Las Vegas.



I know the Aztecs easily handled Boise State in both regular-season meetings, cruising 83-65 as an 11-point home favorite and 72-55 as a 5½-point road chalk. But since that latter clash on Feb. 16, San Diego State just hasn’t been as dominant as it was through the first 25 games of the regular season. First came a 66-63 home loss to UNLV as a 14-point chalk—the Aztecs’ only defeat so far—and that was followed by lackluster come-from-behind wins over Colorado State (66-60), Nevada (83-76) and Air Force (73-60).



SDSU trailed at halftime in each of those four games and cashed in just one of them (extending late at Nevada to barely get the cover in a 7-point win as a 5½-point favorite). And while the Aztecs did post a 13-point win over Air Force in yesterday’s quarterfinal matchup, the score was deceiving as they trailed with 15 minutes to go and never came close to cashing as a 17-point favorite.



Conversely, Boise State looked great in its quarterfinal matchup with UNLV, winning 67-61 and avenging a 76-66 loss to the Rebels in its most recent game in the same arena. The Broncos have been playing tremendous defense for more than a month, allowing just 64.5 points per game in their last 11 contests, holding five of those foes to 62 points or fewer.



The key for Boise in this one, of course, will be can its offense generate enough points to compete against SDSU, cover the number and perhaps challenge for the upset? I think the answer is yes, because while the Aztecs have been one of the top defensive teams in the country all season long, that defense has been lagging of late, allowing 65.5 ppg in the last four. That might not seem like a lot, but it is for a team whose season average is 59.2 ppg allowed.



If Broncos can reach that 65-point average that SDSU has been surrendering lately, the Aztecs would have to tally 75 points to cash in this one. I just don’t see that happening, given the way Boise’s defense has been playing, given that both teams are in a back-to-back situation (which usually leads to lower-scoring games), and given that the Aztecs have topped 73 points just once in their last five contests.

4* BOISE STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Friday comp play is the Thunder minus the points over the Knicks.

One thing I know for certain is Spike Lee will not be there to watch this game, but the other thing I feel pretty certain about is the Knicks will get hammered in this spot by the Thunder.

OKC just stopped a 2 game slide with a win at Detroit, but they did not cover in that victory as the Thunder has dropped 5 in a row against the spread.

New York has actually won 2 of their last 3 at home and have covered in all 3 of those games, and while the points may look tempting, I think tonight is the spot where the Knicks get run over.

Oklahoma City did win the first series meeting, 127-109 back in January and they have defeated New York now in 6 of the last 7 series meetings while covering in the last pair and in 5 of the last 6.

Good spot for the struggling Thunder to get things back rolling in the right direction.

Lay it with OKC.

2* OKLAHOMA CITY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Friday comp play goes out on the Lakers in their showdown against the Bucks.

This game could well be your NBA Finals preview and I expect Los Angeles to get the job done on their home floor.

Milwaukee did win the first meeting of the season between the teams just before Christmas, 111-104 on their home court, as the Bucks made it 6 straight series wins over the Lakers with covers in each of the last 5 victories.

Based on the above numbers it would be of the league's best interest to see Los Angeles actually show they can win one of these games against Giannis and company and tonight I do believe LeBron and AD and company are equal to the task.

Cannot knock either team at all this season as they sport the best pair of record in all of the NBA, but my money says that the Lakers show tonight why plenty of talking heads believe they will win this year's championship.

I am siding with Los Angeles at home over Milwaukee on Friday night at Staples Center.

3* L.A. LAKERS