Saturday 3-7-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #31
    Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


    Meadowlands - Race #1
    #3 SPORTS VISION Trapped behind slow pace, blocked with run through stretch.
    #4 DRAMATIC POINT Bid 3-wide around dead cover on the turn but failed as fave.
    #8 DALTON DID IT Had some run at 76-1 but nowhere to go, use underneath in exotics.
    Race Summary Most of the field reunites from last week and we’re looking for a couple price plays to make the gimmick wagers pay off. Sports Vision gets the nod after he stayed in while the outer flow developed and was blocked with run through the stretch. Also use Dalton Did It because he met similar fate while tracking a soft pace. Play a 3-4-5-8 exacta box.
    Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4
    #1 ROYAL RENEGADE Plays to steady beat, class should tell with favorable starting spot.
    #9 CHEDDAR BAY Loomed boldly while second over to repeat winner but faded.
    #7 POINTOMYGRANSON Rallied from far back but couldn’t reach longshot pocket-sitter.
    Race Summary Royal Renegade, first or second 55 times in his career, gets class relief to build on that mark. He exits five sub-1:52 races in a row, draws the rail and continues to post consistent speed figures at age 8. Play 1-7 and 1-9 exactas.
    Cal-Expo - Race #10
    #5 GREEKONA Big rally a good sign as 6-time winner last year seeks first win of 2020.
    #9 SING ALONG Romped the last time she tested this level and was Plano’s choice on a double call.
    #8 DONTCLOSEYOUREYES Inched away late for back-to-back wins from posts 7 and 9.
    Race Summary Greekona rallied strongly but settled for second best behind odds-on repeater Dontcloseyoureyes. She retains good betting value in rematch with some worthy new runners in the field. Play 5-8 and 5-9 exactas.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #32
      Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


      Gulfstream Park - Race #9
      #1 Archidust Was tremendous in turf sprints last year and has trained well for his 1st of 2020; one to hold off.
      #2 Carotari Lost a photo in the World of Trouble Turf last time and is in good form; big player.
      #4 Shekky Shebaz Lost the World of Trouble Turf by a length last out and I. Ortiz Jr. will have him on the front end; always a threat to steal.
      Race Summary Archidust is outstanding runner in the shorter distances on turf and usually has a strong kick in the stretch; will get the pace in front of him that should work in his favor.
      Gulfstream Park - Race #11
      #5 Girls Know Best Does her best sprinting on turf, comes off a 2nd to Jean Elizabeth and is ready to come back firing; had some extremely fast works since her latest.
      #9 Keota Was a solid 3rd in her 1st vs. stakes company and proved she belongs with these; could surprise.
      #11 Jean Elizabeth She's in great form with seven wins in a row; the outside post could be the equalizer. Certainly could win another for Rivelli.
      Race Summary Girls Know Best is tuning up into top form after her latest and can mix it up throughout.
      Gulfstream Park - Race #12
      #4 Sweet Hitch Hiker Has been in the mix in several stakes races and should appreciate this class drop; one to hold off.
      #3 Dreams Are Made Has been in the mix in some extremely fast sprints and has been calling out for more distance; can be closer to the pace and her pedigree could take her home.
      #6 Scat Mommy Has started only three times but quickly proves she belongs with the local elite distaffers on turf; has been off since last may and Gonzalez has brought her into this a serious of mostly good works.
      Race Summary Sweet Hitch Hiker has taken on good company and can get back to late-running antics; has the class and energy to get it done.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #33
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct

        Aqueduct - Race 4
        Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double Wagers
        Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 84 • Purse: $68,000 • Post: 2:54P
        (UP TO $11,832 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PURE WOW: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" desi gnation or an "L" designation. OUR SECRET AGENT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. GHOSTING KIM: Horse ranks in the t op three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
        7
        PURE WOW
        7/2
        5/2
        4
        OUR SECRET AGENT
        9/2
        9/1
        3
        GHOSTING KIM
        8/1
        10/1

        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        2
        SMART SET
        9
        12/1
        Front-runner
        76
        44
        89.1
        41.7
        27.7
        7
        PURE WOW
        7
        7/2
        Front-runner
        86
        78
        73.1
        70.1
        67.6
        6
        SUPERBLOODWOLFMOON
        6
        15/1
        Front-runner
        71
        75
        66.5
        47.4
        38.4
        9
        PLEA
        10
        6/1
        Alternator/Front-runner
        0
        0
        92.9
        56.9
        47.4
        5
        MAMA KIN
        5
        12/1
        Stalker
        77
        60
        25.6
        56.9
        47.4
        1A
        DARE TO TRY
        4
        6/1
        Trailer
        76
        61
        69.2
        57.8
        47.3
        4
        OUR SECRET AGENT
        2
        9/2
        Trailer
        84
        66
        45.5
        62.6
        55.1
        3
        GHOSTING KIM
        1
        8/1
        Alternator/Trailer
        0
        0
        35.1
        64.5
        59.5
        Unknown Running Style: GRACEFULLY (6/1) [Jockey: Vargas Jr Jorge A - Trainer: Dutrow Anthony W], BRASSY (5/1) [Jockey: Correa Julio - Trainer: Albertrani Thomas], LADY MECHANIC (12/1) [Jockey: Hernandez Benjamin - Trainer: Vetter Robert C], LUCKY LIN

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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #34
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

          Louisiana Downs - Race 1
          Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
          Maiden • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 73 • Purse: $10,300 • Post: 1:00P
          QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BELLAS FANTASY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. JESS CORONA BLUE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FIRST PRIZE RUBY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          1
          BELLAS FANTASY
          2/1
          4/1
          6
          JESS CORONA BLUE
          9/2
          4/1
          3
          FIRST PRIZE RUBY
          6/1
          5/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          1
          BELLAS FANTASY
          1
          2/1
          Fast
          82
          72
          2.7
          0.0
          0.0
          2
          TF STUNNIN N RUNNIN
          2
          7/2
          Fast
          58
          62
          1.6
          0.0
          0.0
          3
          FIRST PRIZE RUBY
          3
          6/1
          Average
          76
          70
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          4
          SIR AZABACHE
          4
          5/2
          Fast
          64
          53
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          5
          PUTTING ON LIPSTICK
          5
          8/1
          Average
          61
          59
          3.6
          0.0
          0.0
          6
          JESS CORONA BLUE
          6
          9/2
          Average
          79
          74
          3.9
          0.0
          0.0
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #35
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.




            Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 83

            FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 7, 2019. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 2 RIVER EVANGELIST 9/5
            # 7 MCHENRY 3/1
            # 1 MODERN TALE 8/1
            I've got to go with RIVER EVANGELIST. Must be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last outing. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run recently. Should best this group here, showing competitive figures of late. MCHENRY - With a solid 83 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. The Equibase speed fig of 83 from his last contest looks very good in here. MODERN TALE - Clearly will improve with switch in blinkers (going on) today. Looks quite good to be on the front end at the first call.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #36
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park



              03/07/20, SA, Race 7, 2.30 PT
              1M [Turf] 1.31.03 STAKES. Purse $75,000.
              $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 7-8-9) - $0.10 Superfecta / $0.20 Rainbow Pick Six Jackpot Starts (Races 7-12) - $1 Super High 5
              . . . .
              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
              100.00 3 Bella Vita 6-1 Prat F Callaghan Simon JL 33.93 1.60/$1
              098.72 11 Warren's Showtime 4-1 Velez J I Lewis Craig Anthony EW 31.98 1.34/$1
              097.98 4 (F)Stela Star (IRE) 7/2 Rosario J Sadler John W. 30.91 1.54/$1
              097.84 8 Carpe Vinum 15-1 Cedillo A D'Amato Philip 30.91 1.54/$1
              097.71 14 Roadrunner's Honor 20-1 Bejarano R O'Neill Doug F. S 32.03 1.43/$1
              097.03 6 Red Lark (IRE) 15-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Gallagher Patrick FC 30.91 1.54/$1
              096.97 9 Croughavouke (IRE) 5-1 Rispoli U Mullins Jeff 31.98 1.34/$1
              096.71 1 (F)Triana (IRE) 12-1 Gaffalione T Callaghan Simon 30.91 1.54/$1
              096.27 12 (F)Abby Hatcher (IRE) 20-1 Fuentes R Meah Anna 30.91 1.54/$1
              096.09 7 Homehome 20-1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. 30.91 1.54/$1
              095.40 10 Beguiled(b+) 10-1 Van Dyke D D'Amato Philip 30.91 1.54/$1
              095.39 2 Little Bird (IRE) 8-1 Franco G Baltas Richard T 30.91 1.54/$1
              094.70 5 Sherilinda 50-1 Gryder A T Papaprodromou George 30.91 1.54/$1
              093.79 13 Guitty (FR) 12-1 Blanc B Powell Leonard 31.98 1.34/$1
              * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 32.00, ROI 1.40/$1
              If Race Is Off Turf

              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
              100.00 3 Bella Vita 6-1 Prat F Callaghan Simon JSL 40.63 1.95/$1
              099.20 11 Warren's Showtime 4-1 Velez J I Lewis Craig Anthony E 33.33 1.25/$1
              097.74 4 (F)Stela Star (IRE) 7/2 Rosario J Sadler John W. 40.63 1.95/$1
              096.58 10 Beguiled(b+) 10-1 Van Dyke D D'Amato Philip 24.73 1.29/$1
              096.36 1 (F)Triana (IRE) 12-1 Gaffalione T Callaghan Simon 40.63 1.95/$1
              096.22 2 Little Bird (IRE) 8-1 Franco G Baltas Richard W 33.33 1.25/$1
              096.01 5 Sherilinda 50-1 Gryder A T Papaprodromou George 40.63 1.95/$1
              095.94 14 Roadrunner's Honor 20-1 Bejarano R O'Neill Doug F. 40.63 1.95/$1
              095.72 7 Homehome 20-1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. 40.63 1.95/$1
              095.44 8 Carpe Vinum 15-1 Cedillo A D'Amato Philip 24.73 1.29/$1
              095.01 6 Red Lark (IRE) 15-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Gallagher Patrick FC 38.69 1.44/$1
              095.00 13 Guitty (FR) 12-1 Blanc B Powell Leonard 33.33 1.25/$1
              094.77 9 Croughavouke (IRE) 5-1 Rispoli U Mullins Jeff 33.33 1.25/$1
              094.69 12 (F)Abby Hatcher (IRE) 20-1 Fuentes R Meah Anna 40.63 1.95/$1
              * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 55.00, ROI 3.03/$1
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #37
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 6 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 91

                QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD, 124 LBS.

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 3 KISS THRU FIRE 2/1
                # 1 TERRA FIRE 6/1
                # 8 JR PRISSYS BLOOD 4/1
                I think KISS THRU FIRE is a quite good choice. Has to be given consideration versus this group of horses in this race displaying very good figures recently and an average speed fig of 82 under similar conditions. Garnered a sound speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Seems to have a decent class edge based on the latest company kept. TERRA FIRE - Odell has a strong 27 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Will most likely come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved swiftly to the front end recently. JR PRISSYS BLOOD - Going in a short race gives this filly a solid shot.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #38
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Penn National - Race #4 - Post: 7:22pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 64

                  Rating:

                  #2 MAKIN TROUBLE (ML=3/1)


                  MAKIN TROUBLE - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is meeting an easier group than last out at Penn National. Should do well in this field. Weight shift of -7 from February 15th race at Penn National.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WHERE'S THE BEN'S (ML=2/1), #5 JUST KITTEN YOU (ML=5/2), #6 SPORTING ART (ML=4/1),

                  WHERE'S THE BEN'S - Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. JUST KITTEN YOU - Difficult to put any cash on this gelding on the top end. Likes to land in the money though. This gelding recorded a speed rating in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's race. SPORTING ART - Hard to play at 4/1 odds after the last two outings.



                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: #2 MAKIN TROUBLE to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  Pass
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #39
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Laurel - Race #4 - Post: 1:50pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 94

                    Rating:

                    #3 CORT'N ASONG (ML=9/2)
                    #2 JACK STRAIGHT (ML=5/2)


                    CORT'N ASONG - Gelding has shown some early speed. This shorter distance should be better for him. A wise man taught me to invest in the lone speed horse. Take a look at this horse. Last raced at Laurel carrying 7 pounds more. The lower weight assigned in this field should serve him well. McMahon seems to have this gelding primed for a big effort. His workout pattern is tremendous. JACK STRAIGHT - This horse is a hot commodity. Claimed in his last two races. Have to give this gelding a fair chance. Ran a solid race last out within the last month or so. The 95 latest race speed rating looks sound in black and white.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LION LORD (ML=9/5), #6 MY EMINENCE (ML=5/1), #4 LORD SIMBA (ML=6/1),

                    LION LORD - The chalk horse is vulnerable here with the lack of drills. MY EMINENCE - I'd like to see more preferred recent showings with M/L odds of 5/1. LORD SIMBA - 93/87/70, are the deteriorating Equibase speed figs for this racer. In the last race this questionable contender finished sixth. Doesn't look promising for his chances this time around. Finished sixth in his most recent performance with a most unsatisfactory speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this group.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #3 CORT'N ASONG to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    Pass
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #40
                      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



                      03/07/20, TAM, Race 1, 12.15 ET
                      1M 40Y [Dirt] 1.38.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $32,500.
                      Claiming Price $75,000 (Races where entered for $40,000 or less not considered). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLDWHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $75,000
                      Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 1-2-3) / Pick 4 ($.50 minimum) (Races 1-2-3-4) - Super High 5
                      . . . .
                      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                      100.00 4 Sweet Mia 4-1 Lopez P O'Connell Kathleen JFEL 44.44 1.30/$1
                      096.78 2 We the Clouds 9/5 Suarez A Hamm Timothy E. S 44.44 1.30/$1
                      096.32 1 Mizzen Beau 3-1 Leparoux J R Casse Norm W. W 37.50 1.22/$1
                      094.55 7 Fashion Rules 5-1 Bravo J Correas. IV Ignacio 44.44 1.30/$1
                      094.49 5 Sayyida Al Hurra 6-1 Velazquez J R Motion H. Graham T 44.44 1.30/$1
                      093.72 6 Judy's Way 10-1 Geroux F Silva Carlos H. 44.44 1.30/$1
                      092.47 3 Wicked Witch 15-1 Martinez W Avila Juan Carlos 44.44 1.30/$1
                      * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.59, ROI 0.67/$1
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #41
                        Mike Wynn

                        Free Pick: Texas A&M +3½ Over Arkansas
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #42
                          Jim Feist

                          Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, March 7, 2020


                          3/07 06:00 PM PT / 9:00 PM ET

                          CB (695) SOUTHERN UTAH VS (696) MONTANA

                          Take: (696) MONTANA

                          Reason: Your Free play from Jim Feist for Saturday, March 7, 2020 is in the college basketball scheduled contest between Southern Utah and Montana. Your free play is on 696. Montana -7 points.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #43
                            Razor Sharp

                            YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: MONTANA -7 over Southern Utah
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #44
                              Totals4U

                              Late Saturday's Free Selection: Temple/Cincinnati over 137
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #45
                                Roz Wins

                                Roz's SATURDAY, MARCH 7, 2020 Free Pick
                                CBK
                                3/07 11:30 AM Take : (632) MISSOURI
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