Saturday 7/25/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Saturday: ARIZONA/SAN DIEGO UNDER the total 8½ runs

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R and R Totals

MLB SEATTLE MARINERS/HOUSTON ASTROS ‑105 u9.5

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DONNY ACTION

MLB ATLANTA BRAVES ‑110

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 7	DD (Races 7-8) ($1 min.) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) Pick 4 (.50 min.) (Races 7-8-9-10) / Superfecta (.10 min.)
Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 85 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 8:45P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLD QUARTER HORSE FOALS OF 2018 WHICH HAVE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE FIRECRACKER FUTURITY. $700 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY TO TRIALS. LATE PAYMENT: $7,500 TO ENTER THE TRIALS PRIOR TO TIME OF ENTRIES CLOSING. WEIGHTS: 122 LBS. (ALL FINAL PAYMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATIONS MUST BE ON ACCOUNT WITH THE HORSEMEN'S BOOKKEEPER PRIOR TO 10:30 A.M. THE DAY OF ENTRY TO TRIALS. CASH OR CASHIER CHECK ONLY !).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * WHATAHISTORIC MOMENT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Ho rse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MR JJ PVC EAGLE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	WHATAHISTORIC MOMENT	7/5	2/1
7	MR JJ PVC EAGLE	5/2	3/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	WHATAHISTORIC MOMENT	2	7/5	Average	85	87	4.7	0.0	0.0
3	KISS MY DEBUT GL	3	12/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	FAST PRIZE CANDY	4	8/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	9.0	0.0	0.0
6	ANALYTICA	6	6/1	Average	71	58	4.6	0.0	0.0
7	MR JJ PVC EAGLE	7	5/2	Slow	83	83	6.1	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: FIRST MOON STONE (15/1) [Jockey: Alberto Antonio - Trainer: Meche Robi A], DASHIN TO BE A KING (15/1) [Jockey: Cabrera Rolando - Trainer: Lopez Fernando], EFFORTLESSLY BLAZIN (20/1) [Jockey: Torres Juan M - Trainer: Mason Gary

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Wyoming Downs

Wyoming Downs - Race 10	$2 Second Half Late Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $2 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta ($.10 Box)
Claiming $2,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 4:50P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LADAKH: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its f irst and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BRONZINO (FR): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. MAII: To day is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. STAX ON STACKS: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff.
10	LADAKH	6/1	7/2
1	BRONZINO (FR)	8/1	6/1
7	MAII	7/2	7/1
3	STAX ON STACKS	12/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	BRONZINO (FR)	1	8/1	Front-runner	97	85	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	FLASHE'S BIG BOY	2	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	70	67	0.0	61.0	48.0
6	RUNWAY SCORE	6	10/1	Alternator/Front-runner	65	72	0.0	55.2	40.7
7	MAII	7	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	75	68	81.0	61.8	52.8
9	COUNTRY CURE	9	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	68	69	44.0	52.4	40.9
4	MEMO TO REESE	4	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	77	55	0.0	62.8	53.8
3	STAX ON STACKS	3	12/1	Trailer	81	85	64.0	77.8	70.8
10	LADAKH	10	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	97	87	58.0	81.2	75.7
8	WILD FIBS	8	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	69	58	40.5	49.4	36.4
5	DELTA GRAMMA ASH	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	58	0.0	46.2	29.7

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del MarPURCHASE

07/25/20, DMR, Race 11, 7.00 PT
07/25/20,DMR,11,1M [Turf] 1:32:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $51,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older,125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $16,000 Or Less In Their Last Two Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Sassyserb	8-1	Prat F	Baltas Richard	JFL	35.00	1.43/$1
097.7438	12	Warrior's Moon	8-1	Rispoli U	Eurton Peter	E	35.00	1.43/$1
097.5393	4	Nocherylikemychery	12-1	Franco G	Harrington Mike	WC	35.00	1.43/$1
097.3276	6	Smiling Rose	10-1	Maldonado E A	Ellis Ronald W.		32.94	1.26/$1
097.1699	2	Nice Ice	7/2	Gryder A T	Koriner Brian J.	S	35.00	1.43/$1
096.9695	1	Oh Pretty Woman	9/2	Cedillo A	Mullins Jeff		32.94	1.26/$1
096.1558	13	Charmingslew	8-1	Van Dyke D	French Neil		35.00	1.43/$1
094.5579	7	Kristi's Tiger	12-1	Blanc B	Bell. II Thomas Ray		35.00	1.43/$1
094.0139	3	Peace Pipe	20-1	Diaz. Jr. J	Baltas Richard		35.00	1.43/$1
093.3624	11	Magnificent Q T	20-1	Espinoza A	O'Neill Doug F.		35.00	1.43/$1
000.0000	9	Hot On the Trail	1/5	No Rider Yet			25.00	0.94/$1
000.0000	5	Goodtingscominpink	1/5	No Rider Yet			25.00	0.94/$1
000.0000	14	Ruby Bradley	1/5	No Rider Yet			25.00	0.94/$1
000.0000	10	Harper's Gallop	1/5	No Rider Yet			25.00	0.94/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 25.00, ROI 0.92/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Sassyserb	8-1	Prat F	Baltas Richard	JL	54.55	3.08/$1
099.8916	1	Oh Pretty Woman	9/2	Cedillo A	Mullins Jeff		34.48	1.41/$1
099.8690	4	Nocherylikemychery	12-1	Franco G	Harrington Mike	FWC	42.31	2.12/$1
099.1496	6	Smiling Rose	10-1	Maldonado E A	Ellis Ronald W.		37.08	1.56/$1
098.5457	12	Warrior's Moon	8-1	Rispoli U	Eurton Peter		42.31	2.12/$1
097.8325	2	Nice Ice	7/2	Gryder A T	Koriner Brian J.	S	39.74	1.74/$1
097.7491	13	Charmingslew	8-1	Van Dyke D	French Neil		39.74	1.74/$1
096.9364	11	Magnificent Q T	20-1	Espinoza A	O'Neill Doug F.		37.08	1.56/$1
096.9166	7	Kristi's Tiger	12-1	Blanc B	Bell. II Thomas Ray		37.08	1.56/$1
094.0990	3	Peace Pipe	20-1	Diaz. Jr. J	Baltas Richard	E	34.48	1.41/$1
000.0000	9	Hot On the Trail	1/5	No Rider Yet			32.09	1.35/$1
000.0000	5	Goodtingscominpink	1/5	No Rider Yet			32.09	1.35/$1
000.0000	14	Ruby Bradley	1/5	No Rider Yet			32.09	1.35/$1
000.0000	10	Harper's Gallop	1/5	No Rider Yet			32.09	1.35/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 42.86, ROI 1.57/$1

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - SA - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 84

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS SINCE JULY 25, 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 SNIFF 9/2
# 8 SILK STOCKING 9/2
# 6 ALPINE MOON 7/2

SNIFF seems to be the wager in here. Investors ought to take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field. SILK STOCKING - Should land in the top three without a hitch. Has competitive speed figures and has to be considered for a wager here. ALPINE MOON - She has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the most favorable in this group. Trotman should be able to get this filly to break out sharply for this event.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 71

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 MAZ KANATA 7/2
# 5 MAGICALCHIC 5/2
# 4 MADAME MOUSSE 4/1

I back MAZ KANATA here. She should be given a chance given the strong speed figs. Aquino has a sound 16 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. With Allen controlling the reins on her, this mare will most likely be able to break out quickly for this race. MAGICALCHIC - Handler has sharp win rate (21 percent) at this distance and surface. Ran a strong last race. MADAME MOUSSE - Has run soundly when racing a dirt sprint race.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Saratoga - Race #5 - Post: 3:24pm - Starter Allowance - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $55,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating:

#10 STANDUP (ML=9/2)
#7 INK SPLOTZ (ML=15/1)


STANDUP - Trainer Falcone moves this horse down the class scale to face weaker company. Look for a sharp performance given this drop. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the vacation and should be fit. I really like that last race on June 27th at Belmont Park where he finished third. If you review the PP's for this thoroughbred, you'll see he has recorded the top speed fig at the distance and surface. A repeat race in this event and this horse has a superb chance to win. The last speed rating of 94 is the best last race speed rating in the group. INK SPLOTZ - I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a return.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 SIR ALFRED JAMES (ML=2/1), #4 THREE OUTLAWS (ML=7/2), #2 BIG WONDER (ML=4/1),

SIR ALFRED JAMES - The event on Jun 13th was versus maiden claimers. Pass on this one in today's event versus the tougher group. Doubtful that the speed rating he earned on June 13th will hold up in this race. THREE OUTLAWS - No success for this runner in a short distance race over the last two months tells me that this gelding is in a tough situation BIG WONDER - You think this horse is going to be first just because he's always close. Just doesn't get the job done regularly.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #10 STANDUP to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [7,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Louisiana Downs - Race #2 - Post: 3:33pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#9 COME ON GET HIGHER (ML=9/2)
#7 CHAMBLISS (ML=4/1)
#6 WRECK EM (ML=10/1)


COME ON GET HIGHER - Don't often see a favorable return on investment like +43. This jock/conditioner twosome has done well together over the last 12 months. Got to appreciate a good work horse. This gelding's last work was second fastest of the day for the distance. Looking at today's class rating, this pony is encountering an easier field than last time around the track at Louisiana Downs. CHAMBLISS - This gelding is in excellent physical condition right now. Ended up first last time around the track and comes back soon. This jockey and conditioner have a favorable return on investment when they join forces. Just see his most recent fig, 67. That one looks good in this bunch. WRECK EM - A big drop in class figure points from his Jul 1st race at Louisiana Downs. Based on that data point, I will give this one the advantage.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DON GUILLERMO (ML=7/2), #3 RAY'S KING (ML=5/1), #4 IN CHARGE HALO (ML=6/1),

DON GUILLERMO - Doubtful that this equine will finish better than he did last time when placing sixth. RAY'S KING - You always figure that this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he just misses often. Multiple attempts for this runner at Louisiana Downs and still hasn't received his first victory here. IN CHARGE HALO - Can't make a habit of betting on ponies that rarely win. Looked good on Jul 1st, finishing third, but no morning drills since is a bit troublesome. Ran a great speed rating last out, but the try will probably take too much out of him.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - WRECK EM - If a longshot has the top Power Rating, rest assured, he'll be getting my cash.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #9 COME ON GET HIGHER to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[6,7,9] with [6,7,9] with [1,4,6,7,9] with [1,4,6,7,9] Total Cost: $36

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

PURCHASE

07/25/20, MTH, Race 7, 3.32 ET
07/25/20,MTH,7,5F [Dirt] 00:56:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $47,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 117 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	9	Beau Bridge	4-1	Torres J	Spina Chuck	SFEW	40.00	1.12/$1
098.1227	1	Tiz a Prince	7/2	Diaz. Jr. H R	Margotta. Jr. Anthony		40.00	1.12/$1
098.0042	7	Dalton	3-1	Lopez P	Duarte. Jr. Jorge	T	40.00	1.12/$1
096.5207	3	Moonlight Graham	8-1	Ferrer J C	Einhorn Skip		45.45	1.14/$1
095.8754	4	Friar Tuck	8-1	Juarez N	Cibelli Jane		45.45	1.14/$1
095.7990	8	So Dialed In	6-1	Vargas. Jr. J A	Thomas Jonathan		45.45	1.14/$1
095.7722	6	Ohana Empire	10-1	Gallardo A A	Nunn Douglas	J	45.45	1.14/$1
094.6102	2	Jerry's Turn	10-1	Maragh R R	Hills Timothy A.		45.45	1.14/$1
094.1966	5	Don't Losemymoney	12-1	Batista J A	Potts Wayne		45.45	1.14/$1
089.2710	10	Financial Gain	20-1	Garcia W A	Ryan Derek S.		40.00	1.12/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 33.33, ROI 0.87/$1

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GreenTreeSports

MLB

NEW YORK YANKEES ‑125

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DONNY ACTION

MLB

ATLANTA BRAVES ‑110

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Ace / V.I.P.

MLB

WASHINGTON NATIONALS +120

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Brandon Lee

Jul 25 '20, 1:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -142 at pinnacle

10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -142)
We cashed in our NL Central Game of the Month on the Cubs Friday. I loved the starting pitching matchup with Hendricks in that one. While I'm not as big on Yu Darvish as I am Hendricks, I do think he took a big step forward last year. More than anything, I like the track record for Darvish against these Brewers. He's got a 1.67 ERA and 0.963 WHIP inh 5 starts. He faced them twice last year and allowed just 1 run in 10 innings with 15 strikeouts to just 1 walk.
On the flip side of this, Milwaukee is turning to Corbin Burnes. He's only making this start because Brett Anderson landed on the DL. Burnes was actually in the Brewers rotation to start the season, but lasted just 4 starts. He had a 10.70 ERA in those 4 starts, giving up a staggering 11 home runs. He's also got an ugly 7.36 ERA over 11 career innings of work against the Cubs. Give me Chicago -142!