Thursday 7/30/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 30

Washington @ Toronto

Game 953-954
July 30, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Fedde) 00.000
Toronto
(Ryu) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington

Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati

Game 951-952
July 30, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Darvish) 14.585
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 15.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-120); Under

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 973-974
July 30, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Happ) 18.404
Baltimore
(Means) 15.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-210
10
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-210); Over

Kansas City @ Detroit

Game 959-960
July 30, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Singer) 14.080
Detroit
(Nova) 15.008
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+100); Under

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

Game 961-962
July 30, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Yarbrough) 17.568
Atlanta
(Fried) 18.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-135); Under

Boston @ NY Mets

Game 963-964
July 30, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Perez) 13.746
NY Mets
(Matz) 15.508
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-150); Under

Cleveland @ Minnesota

Game 965-966
July 30, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bieber) 17.715
Minnesota
(Berrios) 16.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-105); Over

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 967-968
July 30, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 16.772
Arizona
(Ray) 17.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+125); Under

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 969-970
July 30, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 14.513
LA Angels
(Bundy) 15.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-195
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-195); Under

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 971-972
July 30, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lamet) 14.884
San Francisco
(Gausman) 15.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+155); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, July 30

National League
Chicago @ Cincinnati
Cubs (4-2):
Darvish allowed three runs in four IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 3.60 in eight starts vs Cincinnati, 1-1, 3.86 in four starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Cubs won four of their first six games.
— Four of their last five games went over.

Reds (2-4):
Castillo allowed one run in six IP (91 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 4-2, 3.56 in 10 starts vs Chicago, 2-1, 3.24 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Reds lost four of their first six games.
— Four of their last five games went over.

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Dodgers (4-2):
Stripling allowed one run in seven IP in his first ’20 start; he is 1-4, 3.86 in 23 games (8 starts) vs Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Dodgers won four of their first six games; they played 13 innings in Houston last night.

Diamondbacks (2-4):
Ray allowed three runs in 3.2 IP (97 PT) incise first ’20 start; he is 8-5, 3.15 in 20 starts vs LA, 1-2, 4.60 in five starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Arizona lost four of its first six games; this is their home opener.

San Diego @ San Francisco
Padres (4-2):
Lamet allowed one run in five IP (80 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 1-1, 3.09 in two starts vs SF.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Padres won four of their first six games, but blew a 6-2 lead last nite.
— Four of San Diego’s last five games stayed under the total.

Giants (3-3):
Bullpen game for the Giants.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Giants split their first six games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Giant games.

American League
Bronx @ Baltimore
Bronx (3-1):
Happ is making his first ’20 start; he is 9-7, 3.60 in 24 starts vs Baltimore, 2-1, 6.85 in five starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0

— Bronx won three of first four games.

Orioles (2-2):
Means missed his start last week with a sore arm; he is 1-2, 7.62 in five games (2 starts) vs Bronx.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Orioles split their first four games.

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Indians (4-2):
Bieber threw six shutout innings in his first’20 start; he is 3-0, 4.14 in 8 games (7 starts) vs Minnesota, 1-0, 4.71 in four games (3 starts) here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Cleveland won four of its first six games (under 5-1)

Twins (4-1):
Berrios allowed five runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 5-2, 3.92 in 11 starts vs Cleveland, 2-0, 2.55 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1Totals: under 1-0

— Minnesota won four of its first five games, scoring 36 runs.

Kansas City @ Detroit
Royals (2-4):
Singer allowed two runs in five IP (80 PT) in his MLB debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Royals lost four of their first six games (under 4-2).

Tigers (4-2):
Nova allowed three runs in five IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 5.83 in eight starts vs KC.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Detroit won four of its first six games.
— Under is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four games.

Seattle @ Angels
Mariners (2-4):
Gonzales allowed four runs in 4.1 IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 5-1, 4.17 in 12 starts vs Anaheim, 2-1, 5.61 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Mariners lost four of first six games; they haven’t had a starter finish five innings yet.
— Five of six Seattle games went over the total.

Angels (2-4):
Bundy allowed one run in 6.2 IP (90 PT) in his ’20 debut; he is 1-1, 2.70 in four games (2 starts) vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Angels lost four of their first six games.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Angel games.

Interleague
Toronto @ Washington
Game is in Washington, Blue Jays will bat last- this is their “home” game
Blue Jays (3-3):
Ryu allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (97 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 2-1, 1.35 in five starts vs Washington.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Toronto split its first six games, all on the road- their first game in Buffalo, their temporary home, is August 11.

Nationals (2-4):
Fedde allowed allowed two runs in four IP (68 PT) in his ’20 debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Nationals lost four of first six games, scoring five runs in the four losses.
— Washington’s last four games stayed under.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Rays (4-2):
Yarbrough blanked Toronto for 5.1 innings (69 PT) in his ’20 debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Rays won four of their last five games, scoring 33 runs.

Braves (3-3):
Fried allowed two runs in five IP (67 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Braves split their first six games.
— Three of last four Atlanta games went over.

Boston @ Mets
Red Sox (2-4):
Perez allowed five runs in five IP (84 PT) in his first ’20 start. He is 1-0, 2.81 in three games (2 starts) against the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Boston lost four of its last five games, allowing 34 runs.

Mets (3-3):
Matz allowed one run in six IP (93 PT) in his first ’20 start. He’s never pitched against Boston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Mets split their first six games; they’re 1-3 at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, July 30

Trend Report

Washington @ Toronto
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Chi Cubs @ Cincinnati
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Boston @ NY Mets
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games
NY Mets is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Kansas City @ Detroit
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Seattle @ LA Angels
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home

San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money for July 30
Patrick Everson

Yu Darvish and the Cubs opened as +105 underdogs against the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday at PointsBet USA, although the favored Reds saw their line shift from -135 to -125.

MLB betting odds for Thursday’s games are posted and drawing early action. Among the noteworthy matchups is an NL Central clash between the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds, and a game involving an NL West squad off to a good start in this shortened season.

PointsBet USA provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

MLB line movement

The Reds, behind Luis Castillo, opened -135 at PointsBet USA, but the first move was toward the underdog Cubs and Yu Darvish. Cincinnati ticked to -125 early, with Chicago at +105 for a 6:10 p.m. ET start.

In an AL Central meeting, the Cleveland Indians opened -115 road chalk against the Minnesota Twins (-105), and the matchup moved to a -110 pick 'em late Wednesday night. And on the West Coast, the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants wrap up a four-game series in San Francisco, though that line wasn’t posted by late Wednesday night. San Diego got out to a 4-1 start this season and was on its way to 5-1 Wednesday night before blowing a 6-3 eighth-inning lead to the Giants. First pitch tonight is at 9:45 p.m. ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

701UTAH -702 NEW ORLEANS
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

703LA CLIPPERS -704 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 30

Utah @ New Orleans

Game 701-702
July 30, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.614
New Orleans
120.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 4
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 1
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-1); Under

LA Clippers @ LA Lakers

Game 703-704
July 30, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
128.091
LA Lakers
124.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
Even
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (41 - 23) vs. NEW ORLEANS (28 - 36) - 7/30/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 93-70 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (44 - 20) vs. LA LAKERS (49 - 14) - 7/30/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 238-297 ATS (-88.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 82-68 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, July 30

Trend Report

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 16 games at home
New Orleans is 7-15-3 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Utah
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 13 games when playing at home against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Utah's last 14 games on the road
Utah is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Utah is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Utah's last 13 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games
LA Lakers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Weekly Essentials
Tony Mejia

NBA Bubble Has Yet to Burst as Season Approaches

With most teams getting set to conclude scrimmage play, the NBA is preparing to resume a regular season that was put on pause the evening of March 11 when Utah center Rudy Gobert tested positive for the coronavirus. Although there have been a number of instances where players had to leave the league bubble at Disney's Wide World of Sports, no one tested positive in last week's round of testing.

Players who did contract COVID-19 like Russell Westbrook, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton and Harrison Barnes all stayed back to deal with their illnesses before reporting and quarantined upon return. Clippers sixth man Lou Williams got himself a 10-day quarantine since he couldn't resist stopping by Atlanta's Magic City for some chicken wings - not a euphemism - and got caught.

Pelicans rookie star Zion Williamson returned to the bubble in time to be ready for Thursday's season opener while Clippers Patrick Beverley and Montrezl Harrell, unlike Williams, are also likely to be available for the opener against the Lakers.

Indiana's Domantas Sabonis had to leave to deal with a bad case of plantar fasciitis in his foot that may ultimately end his season. Cursed Sacramento forward Marvin Bagley III was set to serve as his team's go-to guy but got his ankle stepped on in practice and won't be able lead the Kings' playoff push. Memphis' Justise Winslow injured a hip in practice and was shut down.

That's it as far as the negative goes. NBA basketball returned via scrimmages inside three arenas that the league has really done a nice job dressing up to give it a terrific feel despite the absence of fans. There have been some blowouts and instances of sloppy play, but for the most part, the best players in the world have brought fresh legs and their A-game to the bubble. Only a few guys reported out of shape. Game on! Here's what to watch in this opening week.

Thursday - 2 games

Jazz vs. Pelicans (-3, 220.5), 6:30 p.m. ET
Gobert and the Jazz are first up, which is definitely an interesting way to hit the unpause button. We were joined by the Athletic's Tony Jones on the "Bet and Collect" podcast to detail the relationship between Gobert and Donovan Mitchell, who also contracted the virus and was openly annoyed with his teammate. The pair has looked sharp in scrimmages, and this group really needs to get off to a strong start since five of their next six opponents are likely playoff-bound.

This spread opened as a pick'em but New Orleans quickly got money behind it as the betting favorite. With Williamson returning to the bubble in time to start and Derrick Favors around to try and neutralize Gobert and his former team, it's not surprising that the 10th-ranked team in the West would be favored over the team currently in fourth. Top shooter Bojan Bogdanovic wasn't able to join Utah after wrist surgery, so we'll see who steps up for this new-look Jazz squad.

If Mike Conley can't improve on what has been a disappointing first season, Utah could take a significant step backwards. Conley struggled against the Heat last week and will likely have his hands full with Jrue Holiday.

Clippers vs. Lakers (-4/216.5), 9 p.m. ET
Harrell and Beverley are expected to play for L.A. The same goes for center Ivica Zubac and shooter Landry Shamet, who both were late in arriving to the NBA campus. With limited practice time and Williams sidelined, there's no question that the Clippers likely won't be as sharp as they'll be in a few weeks when the playoffs begin.

Anthony Davis got poked in the eye over the weekend but will be in the mix. In case you've missed highlights, LeBron James arrived in Orlando in phenomenal shape. He's running the floor with great power and outside of the new patches of gray in his beard, doesn't look like someone with 17 years of pro mileage under his belt. The Lakers have also seen Kyle Kuzma shoot the ball exceptionally well. If he's able to be a more efficient force off the bench, L.A. may step it up a level.

Rajon Rondo and Avery Bradley are out, but Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been an asset in a starting lineup in which James is essentially the point guard. Alex Caruso, J.R. Smith, Quinn Cook and Dion Waiters are competing for minutes off the bench.

Friday - 6 games

Magic vs. Nets, 2:30 p.m. ET
Brooklyn got squashed by 31 points in its first scrimmage but bounced back and beat the Spurs next time out. Jonathan Isaac is set to play for the first time in months and should be part of the equation for Orlando, increasing its chances of ultimately finishing as the No. 7 seed. There's no line on this one as of Monday but it could approach double-digits. A Magic win allows them to leapfrog the Nets in the Eastern Conference standings.

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers (-2, 222.5), 4 p.m. ET
Jaren Jackson, Jr. is back for Memphis to team with Ja Morant, while center Jonas Valanciunas reported in excellent shape. Portland will be looking to send a message that it is coming for that final West playoff spot and has seen center Jusuf Nurkic excel in his return from a broken leg. Damian Lillard has been dealing with foot inflammation but is expected to be ready when the lights come on, setting up a great matchup out of the gate against Morant.

Suns (-7, 225.5) vs. Wizards, 4 p.m. ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. hasn't suited up yet due to his knee injury but may ultimately play. In his absence, second-year forward Mikal Bridges has really stepped up as a glue guy alongside Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton. Ricky Rubio has also recovered from a bout with COVID-19 and should start, which spells trouble for the lowest-rated team in the bubble. The Wizards have lost to the Nuggets and Clippers in scrimmages but haven't been embarrassed.

Celtics vs. Bucks (-4.5, 217.5), 6:30 p.m. ET
All eyes will be on this first meeting between the Eastern Conference's favorite and one of the teams most likely to dethrone them. Kemba Walker's knee soreness from February turned into a pain on the side so he will likely be on a minutes restriction. Bledsoe has returned to practice and will get one scrimmage under his belt following his bout with COVID-19. Be on the lookout for props on Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Jayson Tatum.

Kings (-2.5, 216) vs. Spurs, 8 p.m. ET
Sacramento point guard De'Aaron Fox has returned from an ankle sprain but didn't look like himself. Sacramento had a COVID-19 outbreak throughout its group so the team is definitely behind where it hoped to be. Barnes just arrived at the campus and could see minutes immediately. Kent Bazemore has been the Kings' most effective player. DeMar DeRozan shot 2-for-8 in that bad loss to the Nets and needs to be San Antonio's leader on the floor to overcome LaMarcus Aldridge's absence.

Rockets (-1, 225.5) vs. Mavericks, 9 p.m. ET
Westbrook is back in action and James Harden looks like a more effectively version of himself now that he's in prime shape, so we're going to see if these Rockets can ride fresh legs to championship contention right out of the gate. Dallas has depth issues but Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis will be a handful for everyone and shooters Tim Hardaway Jr. and Seth Curry will get plenty of open looks. 7-foot-4 center Boban Marjanovic went for 17 points and 13 boards in a win over the Lakers in scrimmage play and could be the x-factor.

Saturday - 5 games

Heat vs. Nuggets (-2, 222.5), 1 p.m. ET
Two teams who hope to stun the world with a run to the Finals square off in a game where I believe the wrong team is favored.

Jazz vs. Thunder, 3:30 p.m. ET
OKC has defeated the Celtics and 76ers despite Chris Paul shooting 3-for-11. They have defensive standout Andre Roberson back after years trying to get healthy again.

Pelicans vs. Clippers, 6:30 p.m. ET
New Orleans' playoff push will certainly benefit from Williams' absence and L.A. being behind schedule due to its roster being in flux. The Clips should still be favored but it won't be by much.

76ers (-4, 210) vs. Pacers, 7 p.m. ET
Expect this number to rise as tip-off approaches if Sabonis is indeed ruled out. It looks like Victor Oladipo will ultimately participate for Indiana, which makes it more formidable. Philadelphia has seen Ben Simmons arrive with a more aggressive frame of mind, which includes firing up shots from the perimeter to keep defenses honest. We'll see if that continues in games that count.

Lakers vs. Raptors, 8:30 p.m. ET
That Toronto will see its old nemesis LeBron as it begins its title defense seems fitting. A slimmer Marc Gasol looks formidable and emerging star Pascal Siakam will have his sights set on proving himself against James, but the Raptors' chances of winning this one may hinge on whether Fred VanVleet can return after limping off with a banged-up knee over the weekend.

Sunday - 6 games

Wizards vs. Nets, 2 p.m. ET
The two most unwatchable teams in the bubble scrap.

Trail Blazers vs. Celtics, 3:30 p.m. ET
If Portland can pull off this upset, the Pelicans will have their hands full leaping into the No. 9 seed and play-in action for the West's final playoff spot.

Spurs vs. Grizzlies, 4 p.m. ET
Given its tough schedule, this is a must-win for Memphis if it is going to hang on to the No. 8 seed.

Kings vs. Magic, 6 p.m. ET
Orlando should have Markelle Fultz in place, which sets up an intriguing matchup against Sacramento's Fox.

Bucks vs. Rockets, 8:30 p.m. ET
Hopefully this Sunday night special lives up to its potential. Milwaukee won the first meeting in Houston 117-111 in its season opener a lifetime ago on Oct. 24.

Mavericks vs. Suns, 9 p.m. ET
Phoenix is interested in doing more than playing spoiler in Orlando and will need an early upset like this one after presumably handling the Wizards to inspire confidence within their young group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

How to Bet the NBA Reseeding Games
Matt Blunt

Handicapping the Bubble
Reseeding Games

NBA games will be here before you know it, and with the eight-game sprint to the finish of the “regular” season, the scheduling angles are always interesting to look at. I'm not talking about the strength of schedule discussions either as those can go on for awhile with some teams.

But the fact that every game but one, for every team, is on a single's day rest, we can at least take a look at how these teams did in that specific scenario. Granted, the season that produced these numbers feels like a lifetime ago, but the rosters haven't really changed and their may be some edges to be had.

This whole bubble ordeal will pull out some interesting numbers that could be potentially used as the best baseline ones for future seasons that resemble past ones (with fans, travel etc) because this is about as perfect of a controlled variable state you'll get for a sports league. It's the same thing for every team across the board (no travel, same accommodations, no fans) and some of the league average numbers this eight-game sprint produces will be interesting to ******.

But with seven of the eight games for everybody being in a spot that's got some decent data from the year, and the lone outlier being a unique scenario too with it always being a back-to-back, there are plenty of talking points for the best and worst of the bunch in those spots this year, and if you're a fan of the defending champs, wagering on your favorite team shouldn't be that hard to do.

NBA SU & ATS Results
One Day of Rest



The Best of the Best

Toronto 25-13 (65.8%)
Oklahoma City 25-16 (61%)
Indiana 26-17-3 (60.5%)
Boston 24-16-2 (60%)
L.A. Clippers 23-16 (59%)

Canadian Cash?

The Toronto Raptors being the best team against the spread (ATS) with one day off will be tested in this bubble, as they are a team that got dealt one of the tougher hands from a strength of schedule perspective.

However, it could present some decent numbers on a team that understands how to be at their best in this situation. Toronto is already lined at +4 for their opener vs the Lakers – although that's not technically a game with a lone day off before, and will be catching points against a few other teams as well. The Raptors were 2nd in straight up (SU) winning percentage in this spot when compared to the rest of the field, as a 30-8 SU record in those contests (79%) trailed only Milwaukee's 35-8 SU mark.

Taking it a step further, Toronto's also got the 4th best 'over' percentage of the remaining teams in games after a single's day rest at 60.5% (23-15 O/U). I'm not sure if playing the Raptors ATS and Raptors games 'over' the number as standing wagers for these six games is the best way to go about it, but I'm sure there are plenty of Raptors fans who will have no problem going that route. There's at least some quality numbers in support of that method if that's the case.

Looking at the rest of the teams on the list above, it is interesting to see five teams total at 59% or better. Boston and Toronto only play each other of the teams listed, so that's six games where each will have the ATS edge historically in these games with one day in-between. The L.A. Clippers will only see Oklahoma City, and vice versa – it's also the last game for both – while Indiana has no crossovers and will always have a case to be made for taking them with their 60.5% success rate ATS.

Other Notes for 1 day off games

If bettors are looking for another team to hone in on and potentially double up their wagers on both side and total in the restart, San Antonio games would be a good place to start. The Spurs tied with New Orleans for the lowest outright winning percentage off a day off at 34.2%, were the worst against the number at 16-24-1 ATS, and finished 3rd in 'over' percentage at 63.4% (26-15 O/U).

Looking at going 'over' the number in Spurs games and backing San Antonio's opponent would historically be the way to go there, and with San Antonio's chances of hanging around for longer than eight games already slim, this could be an angle that pays off quite well.

The Lakers are a team that will get more coverage in the back-to-back spot, but they were the best 'under' team of the bunch during the regular season (56.4%). Even the Houston Rockets, a team most wouldn't typically associate with 'unders' clocked in 4th in that regard at 19-22 O/U (53.7%), as they had put up quite the stat line.

Houston was 28-13 SU with a day off, but 19-22 ATS and 19-22 O/U in those 41 games. So if you are ever looking to fade a team that might not cover a favorite spread that feels a little high, Houston's likely a good candidate.

Over-Under Results
One Day of Rest



Back-to-Back Spots

All 22 NBA teams in the Orlando bubble will play one game on zero days rest during their eight-game slate in the reseeding matchups.

NBA ATS Records
Zero Days Off (2019-20)

L.A. Lakers 7-1
Oklahoma City 8-2
Washington 7-2-1
New Orleans 7-2-1
Sacramento 7-2-1
Memphis 7-3
Milwaukee 7-3

Obviously these are going to be a much smaller sample size and numbers will look a bit better, but with how the schedule works, these are literally games you can mark off right now as potential leans. The Los Angeles Lakers were a perfect 8-0 SU for instance, and their 2nd opponent in as many nights is Houston on August 6th.

The Rockets were that team I mentioned that won SU way more often than they covered ATS in those single day off spots, and here they face one of the best teams in the league in general, in their best role on the season. Interesting to see what number gets posted there for sure.

Seeing a team like Washington make that list is also interesting in the sense that who knows how interested the Wizards are in giving their all considering their long shot odds to hang around, and they do face Indiana on August 3rd in their back-to-back spot. The Pacers were a team who made that earlier list so it's strength on strength historically, but the 'over' may actually be the way to go for that game. Indiana was 26-20 O/U in their specific role, while Washington put up a 6-3 O/U record in their role.

Going through all the rest of the schedules can be fun as well, but how big the number Milwaukee lays in their back-to-back will be interesting. The Bucks have Washington to deal with in this spot, so you already know a first vs worst battle brings a lofty spread. The Bucks 7-3 ATS record is probably worth a at least a bit of shade, and whether or not the Wizards have already packed it in on August 11th has to be considered as well.

But Milwaukee's opponent the day prior just happens to be the Toronto Raptors, and the seeds of that budding rivalry have already been planted. Remember, Milwaukee may have things already wrapped up by then too, so make sure to consider all the context you can when that line rolls out to the board.

Other Notes for Back-to-Backs

Philadelphia wasn't among the best ATS records at 5-3-2, but they were 8-2 SU in those games during the year, and went 7-2-1 O/U in those spots as well. The Sixers get to face Toronto in their second game in as many nights, and I've already noted that the Raptors were one of the better 'over' teams with a day off too.

Toronto and Philly went 0-2-1 O/U in their three regular season meetings, but this unique set-up for their fourth might be the best opportunity to flip the script on those totals yet. Philly's 77% over clip made them the best 'over' bet of the remaining teams in the latter half of a back-to-back, while their Atlantic Division rival Brooklyn was the worst with a 2-7 O/U record in those spots. The Nets play Boston the night after facing Milwaukee when they are up here, so keep that Nets/Celtics 'under' on the tip of your tongue as well.

Finally, this is not meant to look like I'm picking on the Houston Rockets, but at 3-6 SU and ATS in their back-to-back's during the year, they've found themselves in a losing role for their outlier game as well. Those numbers from this season would suggest looking to fade Houston as a general place to start could likely turn out profitable, and they'll have do deal with Indiana in their time on this clock, and we already know market results prefer the Pacers in their 1-day off role as it is.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA public betting, line movement, sharp money for July 30
Patrick Everson

NBA betting odds are finally back on the board, and Thursday night’s two-game tipoff is seeing early action. The Utah Jazz and New Orleans Pelicans are the appetizer at the NBA Bubble in Orlando, with the Battle of Los Angeles, the Clippers and Lakers as the main course.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s matchups. Covers will update this action report with NBA sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

NBA line movement

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: CG Technology books in Las Vegas opened the Pelicans -2 against the Jazz and moved to -2.5. The Lakers opened -1.5 against the Clippers, and LeBron James and Co. got bet up to -4.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET TUESDAY: With concerns about Anthony Davis' eye injury, PointsBet USA took the Clippers-Lakers game off the board for the moment. Reports indicated Davis might sit out the Lakers' Thursday night opener. "We're waiting for clarity," PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Lakers star Anthony Davis, who got poked in the eye during a Saturday scrimmage, didn't practice Tuesday, and there's a chance he might have to sit out the Thursday night opener against the Clippers. John Murray, executive director of The SuperBook at Westgate, said that information prompted his shop to adjust the line a tick. The Lakers tipped from -4.5 to -4.

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The Jazz opened -2.5 at Caesars for Thursday’s 6:30 p.m. ET matchup. However, the game is currently off the board due to the unknown status of Zion Williamson. The rookie standout had to leave the NBA Bubble for a family medical issue, and he returned Friday night, starting a four-day quarantine period.

In the 9 p.m. ET nightcap, Caesars opened the Clippers-Lakers at pick, but LeBron James and Co. are now up to -4.5.

It wasn’t just the two Thursday contests getting speedy sharp money, but every reopening matchup from Thursday through Saturday. And all in one market, according to Caesars sportsbooks director of trading Jeff Davis.

“Sharp money came in on the Under on every single first game,” Davis said of action on totals at Caesars books.

The Clippers-Lakers total went from 220 to 216.5, and Jazz-Pelicans went from 222.5 to 220.5 before that game came off the board. Davis said sharp money also landed on Lakers +1 earlier this month.

NBA public betting

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Said CG Tech director of bookmaking operations Tony DiTommaso: "They laid 2 and 2.5 with the Pelicans. We're still at 2.5, but we'll probably go to 3. They're also betting the over." The Jazz-Pelicans total shifted from 221 to 222.5. And in the Clippers-Lakers game, bettors took 1.5 with the Clippers early. "They should've waited," DiTommaso said, noting the public has since bet the Lakers up to -4.

UPDATE 7 P.M. ET TUESDAY: William Hill US currently has Jazz-Pelicans off the board, wanting to make certain of New Orleans rookie Zion Williamson's status. But director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said his shop has a rooting interest. "We're definitely high on the Pelicans. We need the Jazz. The Pelicans are a popular team right now." As for the Clippers-Lakers nightcap, in which LeBron and Co. are laying 4 points, Bogdanovich said straight bets are running even, but the Lakers are drawing more parlay dollars.

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The bulk of line movement in the Clippers-Lakers clash has come in the last five days at Caesars books, and it’s been one-sided as the Lakers moved from -1 Wednesday to -4.5 by Sunday.

“The public is on the Lakers,” Davis said.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Thursday, July 30

Trend Report

Seattle @ Washington
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games

Chicago @ Minnesota
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chicago's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 10 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago

Connecticut @ Los Angeles
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Los Angeles is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Emerald Downs

Emerald Downs - Race 3	$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $3,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $6,800 • Post: 5:57P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 1, 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $3,200 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DREAMCATCHER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LAST ONE ST ANDING: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. JACKSON TELLER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MR BINGLEY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's thi rd or fourth start after a layoff. ATTERCOP: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days.
4	DREAMCATCHER	5/2	5/1
5	LAST ONE STANDING	2/1	5/1
2	JACKSON TELLER	15/1	8/1
6	MR BINGLEY	9/2	9/1
3	ATTERCOP	4/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	LAST ONE STANDING	5	2/1	Front-runner	82	78	81.6	73.0	69.0
1	LIL' CHIEFTAIN	1	8/1	Front-runner	82	72	58.8	66.2	58.7
6	MR BINGLEY	6	9/2	Stalker	79	78	55.4	72.2	65.2
2	JACKSON TELLER	2	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	91	92	25.5	72.2	63.7
7	SOLAR HEAT	7	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	71	8.0	62.6	50.1
3	ATTERCOP	3	4/1	Trailer	78	86	40.0	61.4	48.9
4	DREAMCATCHER	4	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	86	72	65.8	83.8	80.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park

Canterbury Park - Race 5	Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double / $.50 Rolling Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 10% Takeout Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
Optional Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 6:40P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * VIVA FOREVER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days. KEENA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SANDY SANGRIA: Today is a route and this is the horse's third sta rt after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FLATOUTCOUNTRY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
6	VIVA FOREVER	5/1	5/1
5	KEENA	2/1	5/1
2	SANDY SANGRIA	3/1	7/1
7	FLATOUTCOUNTRY	10/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	FLATOUTCOUNTRY	7	10/1	Front-runner	81	70	71.6	66.0	57.5
2	SANDY SANGRIA	2	3/1	Front-runner	82	77	69.6	69.6	63.1
5	KEENA	5	2/1	Stalker	76	78	69.7	82.6	77.1
6	VIVA FOREVER	6	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	90	76	60.4	69.6	64.1
4	FAIRLY HONEST	4	6/1	Trailer	69	67	67.2	67.2	56.7
3	SHE MIGHT TELL	3	9/2	Trailer	85	73	44.2	72.0	67.0
1	CITY GONE COUNTRY	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	45	53.4	41.2	27.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 90

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $16,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 MIA BELLA ROSSA 7/2
# 3 NOT LEAVING 6/1
# 5 DREAMING DIAMONDS 8/1

MIA BELLA ROSSA looks respectable to best this field. This one has been consistently running well recently. Is worth a look and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Must be given a shot - I like the numbers from the last outing. NOT LEAVING - Taylor has one of the most competitive winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface.