Sunday 8/2/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Mountaineer - Race #2

#9 Shy Guy	Might offer a little price here off the third-place run last time out, but he has been reliable in three grass starts and fits well here if he has any forward move in him off the comeback run.
#2 Soul Beam	Back turf form in California stacks up nicely with what it'd take to score in here, and he already turned in a good effort off the claim for a barn that is red hot locally.
#7 Our Alibi	Makes the turf debut after a useful comeback run, but I wouldn't want him as the favorite in a competitive race.
Race Summary	Shy Guy is better on the dirt, but his turf form stacks up pretty favorably with this group, and he should be rolling home late.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#4 Lovin Machen	Second choice is worth a look in hopes the heavy chalk doesn't back up the last one, and this filly should be close up throughout tonight.
#7 West Virginia Pam	The clear one to beat after seemingly waking up big time on the turf last time out. I'll usually take those kinds of efforts at face value until proven otherwise, but there is some chance she takes a big step back today at a short price. Single her or try to beat her.
#6 Eclipse Glow	Has only had the one main track run so far, and though she didn't show anything that day, there is some room for improvement with that race under her belt while trying the turf for the first time.
Race Summary	Lovin Machen is the most logical alternative to the big chalk, and she handled the turf just fine in her only spin over the local course.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#1 Flirty	She's a fairly reliable type who just faced a better group in that last one, and she can get a good trip here from midpack.
#2 Three Illusions	Short-priced player probably wins this, but she's facing some better horses this time around. Perfect trip should be waiting for her.
#3 True Purpose	Owns a few races that might translate well around two turns, and she might be the right price to get in the gimmicks with the more logical players.
Race Summary	Flirty was a good fit at this level locally when on the turf a couple starts back, and she's a good alternative to the strong chalk drawn outside of her.

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Del Mar - Race #3

#5 Positivity	Battled from the rail in his only start, gets a better post here and can make a serious run; has worked like an outstanding performer with three bullet works. Could be the real deal.
#3 Touchdown Brown	Ran off to an easy score at Santa Anita in his only start and dropped a bullet work last weekend; talented and a big player.
#1 Good With People	Romped at Del Mar in his only start and will take a lot of play in his return; would not be a surprise.
Race Summary	Positivity put away early challengers and drew clear, which is not easy at first asking and from the rail; can handle the stakes company here.

Del Mar - Race #8

#2 Silardi	Gave way in a stakes race last out and had won two straight going into that one; can be close-up throughout.
#6 Microrithms	Was up in time in his last one, but that was in January 2019. Of course, Baffert will have him ready to run and he lands in a good spot.
#8 Jamming Eddy	Ran to a long lead and held on for the win in his latest and should have no problem with the shorter distance.
Race Summary	Sildari was in too tough last time and can dig in on this class drop; distance suits him.

Del Mar - Race #10

#2 Ce Ce	The Beholder and Apple Blossom winner (both Grade 1 races) tired to third in her latest but has been a factor in all races. Can rally for the win.
#3 Hard Not to Love	Held on for second in the Santa Marta and seems more effective in sprints; forward factor.
#5 Ollie's Candy	Lost the Phipps to Shes a Julie by a neck and was a head short of Ce Ce in the Apple Blossom; hard-trying mare could get the goodies.
Race Summary	Ce Ce brings her best most of the time and has been outstanding this year; has the late move to be effective in this pace scenario.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 5	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $2 Rolling Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) $0.50 Rolling Super High Five
Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 3:14P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (IF A CAL-BRED WINS THIS RACE, THE OWNER WILL RECEIVE A $10,000 INCENTIVE AWARD DIRECTLY FROM THE CALIFORNIA THOROUGHBRED BREEDERS' ASSOCIATION.).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Trailer. NO PARKING HERE is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NO PARKING HERE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. DUBRONSKY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DYNAMIC DUO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designatio n or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	NO PARKING HERE	5/2	7/2
2	DUBRONSKY	9/2	6/1
5	DYNAMIC DUO	4/1	6/1
7	MUSKET POWDER	3/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	DUBRONSKY	2	9/2	Front-runner	85	73	73.9	70.2	64.7
1	AUBURN STREAK	1	15/1	Front-runner	0	0	73.9	64.5	57.0
7	MUSKET POWDER	7	3/1	Stalker	76	79	80.5	68.9	60.9
5	DYNAMIC DUO	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	83	78	54.8	67.2	62.7
6	NO PARKING HERE	6	5/2	Trailer	82	78	82.5	79.6	74.1
4	BARBIERE	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	68	65.4	63.5	53.0

Unknown Running Style: TED (7/2) [Jockey: Pena Brayan - Trainer: Martin John F].

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Wyoming Downs

Wyoming Downs - Race 3	$2 Quinella / $2 Exacta / $1 Trifecta /$1 Superfecta ($.10 Box)
Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 80 • Purse: $3,000 • Post: 1:55P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. WEIGHT . 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KP DILLON: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post posit ion next to it gets out of the gate fast. TRISTIN D: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. POLITICAL BE DLAM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. TRANSPIRING: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or tur f) is at least 50. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
4	KP DILLON	5/2	5/1
2	TRISTIN D	8/1	5/1
8	POLITICAL BEDLAM	7/2	7/1
6	TRANSPIRING	6/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	RJR MOUNTAIN	1	12/1	Average	79	64	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	TRISTIN D	2	8/1	Fast	80	78	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	JH TITANIUM ALIBI	3	15/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	6.3	0.0	0.0
4	KP DILLON	4	5/2	Fast	77	76	1.4	0.0	0.0
5	MAX IT UP	5	20/1	Average	0	0	3.8	0.0	0.0
6	TRANSPIRING	6	6/1	Average	72	72	5.0	0.0	0.0
7	WILDROSES101	7	4/1	Fast	72	72	1.0	0.0	0.0
8	POLITICAL BEDLAM	8	7/2	Fast	78	74	1.6	0.0	0.0
9	TIMMY TWO BUTTONS	9	10/1	Average	75	66	5.2	0.0	0.0

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grand Prairie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 65

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 PEPPER FANTASY 3/1
# 7 VERNON CAT 5/1
# 1 BOOZIN TIME 2/1

PEPPER FANTASY appears to be the wager in here. With Simpson in the saddle guiding him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early in this race. When a conditioner brings any animal back this soon it is a positive signal. He should have a strong outing versus this softer group. VERNON CAT - With Stewart getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Has a very solid shot in this competition if you like back class. BOOZIN TIME - Has posted solid speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Could best this group here, showing decent numbers of late.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Prairie Meadows - Race #5 - Post: 5:46pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#7 ERRATIC BEHAVIOR (ML=9/5)
#6 CHANCE OF FROST (ML=5/2)


ERRATIC BEHAVIOR - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. Don't often see a lucrative ROI like +105. This rider/trainer tandem has done well together over the last 12 months. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. This entrant wins a lot of cash per race around the track. I believe she will add to the lifetime earnings in this race. CHANCE OF FROST - This animal ran off the board at Prairie Meadows in the last race in the mud. She should improve in this field without a sloppy track. Popular handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Should run big today. You have to like that recent race speed rating, 71, which is the top last race rating of this group. In the last race at Prairie Meadows this equine finished ahead of today's M/L favorite. Potential play if the public follows the M/L odds.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BLONDIES MINE (ML=4/1), #1 EMMY GOT EVEN (ML=6/1), #3 PERFECT BEAUTY (ML=8/1),

BLONDIES MINE - Just cannot play this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on June 29th. EMMY GOT EVEN - The Brain always warns me to keep away from horses in sprint contests that haven't hit the board in short distance races of late. PERFECT BEAUTY - Tough to bet on any animal like this that didn't hit the board after the long layoff and comes right back.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 ERRATIC BEHAVIOR to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 63

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $3,000 3 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 WE GOT IT COVERED 1/1
# 5 DON'TCRYFORSINDI 15/1
# 1 KINDERGARTENGRADER 6/1

WE GOT IT COVERED is my choice. Must be considered here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. Blinkers on should be the key here. Recorded a strong speed rating in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. KINDERGARTENGRADER - Ought to be considered a solid contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 4:23pm - Optional Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $60,300 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#3 TRICKY MAGICIAN (ML=8/1)
#6 LUCAS N' LORI (ML=7/2)
#8 BEXAR (ML=9/2)


TRICKY MAGICIAN - The jock/handler duo of Wilson and Casse has a strong return on investment together. Lower weight assigned of -5. In my opinion, a movement of five is important, so this gelding falls into this category. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (fifth). Should improve right here in this race, with some respectable odds. LUCAS N' LORI - Hernandez rode this animal for the first time last time around the track and comes right back this time. Got to appreciate a good work horse. This gelding's last morning work was second fastest of the day for the distance. Last time around the track, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. To me, that's a good indication he can close well, and should be right there at the finish line today. Attard has a very solid win percent in turf routes. This gelding should be in shape and ready to win. BEXAR - Using this jock/conditioner combination is a good move. Stein was aboard this gelding last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. I like to play this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a good contest within the last thirty days. After a pair of sprints, he's routing today, which is probably what this gelding wants to do.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CALL IT A WRAP (ML=3/1), #7 ZOOLOGICAL (ML=6/1), #4 HOLD'EMFORRANSOM (ML=8/1),

CALL IT A WRAP - This entrant has no victories in his last ten attempts. He's probably not worth the price on the win end today. ZOOLOGICAL - Tough to back a three-year old meeting older for the first time. Probably needs more seasoning. Didn't do alot last out. Probably won't do much running in today's race. HOLD'EMFORRANSOM - The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this animal as a likely underpriced equine.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - TRICKY MAGICIAN - You got to like this steed against this competition. He has the top turf number off his last race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #3 TRICKY MAGICIAN on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[3,6,8] with [3,6,8] with [2,3,5,6,8] with [2,3,5,6,8] Total Cost: $36

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

PURCHASE

08/02/20, SAR, Race 4, 2.54 ET
08/02/20,SAR,4,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $40,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	J P's Song	8-1	Saez L	Terranova II John P.	JTL	50.00	1.09/$1
097.7521	7	Kilmarknock	5/2	Cohen D	Falcone. Jr. Robert N.	SF	25.33	0.87/$1
097.2649	8	Bank Gala	9/2	Davis D	Ferraro James W.	EW	33.90	1.06/$1
096.2883	2	Determined One	4-1	Gutierrez R	Morley Thomas		25.33	0.87/$1
095.7379	3	Long Island City	5-1	Carmouche K	Levine Bruce N.		25.33	0.87/$1
095.2798	6	Bielefeld	8-1	Franco M	Donk David G.		25.33	0.87/$1
093.3168	9	Dreamofasamurai(b-)	10-1	Cardenas L	Abreu Jorge R.		33.90	1.06/$1
093.1347	5	Talespin	12-1	Hernandez B	Sciacca Gary	C	25.33	0.87/$1
090.7508	4	Prince Halo	15-1	Luzzi M J	Chichakly Amira		25.33	0.87/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.27, ROI 0.78/$1

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

PURCHASE

08/02/20, GP, Race 10, 4.48 ET
08/02/20,GP,10,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $2,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 2 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $6,250 (Races Where Entered For $5,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Sundown Kid	5-1	Fuentes M	Maragh Allen	W	32.33	1.13/$1
098.4391	6	Storm the Bridge	9/2	Camacho S	Morzan Javier E.	F	32.33	1.13/$1
096.8702	4	Smash	3-1	Zayas E J	Alvarado Juan	S	32.33	1.13/$1
096.0469	7	Starship Taxi	10-1	Reyes L R	Dwoskin Steven		32.33	1.13/$1
095.7726	2	Disturbin Bourbon	4-1	Jaramillo E	Nicks Ralph E.	JT	29.15	1.05/$1
095.1293	1	Steadily	8-1	Gonzalez S	Barboza. Jr. Victor	C	32.33	1.13/$1
094.6848	8	Moon Pistol(b-)	15-1	Reyes L	Morici Diane D.		29.15	1.05/$1
094.3728	10	Poppy's Destiny	20-1	Torres C A	Dwoskin Steven	E	32.33	1.13/$1
093.4396	11	Broadway Pete	20-1	Lebron V	Crichton Rohan		32.33	1.13/$1
091.5195	9	Cat Gone Quick	30-1	Hernandez H	Pita Daniel	L	32.33	1.13/$1
090.8795	3	Yes for Less	10-1	Vasquez M A	Abreu Fernando		32.33	1.13/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 26.51, ROI 0.93/$1

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Roz Wins

Roz's SUNDAY, AUGUST 2, 2020 Free Pick

912. Twins -1.12

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play Sunday, August 2, 2020

MLB

Take: (905) Mets -1.15

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY: PORTLAND/BOSTON OVER the total of 230

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Sunday: SAN FRANCISCO (Samardzija) -110 over Texas

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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Sunday : SAN ANTONIO/MEMPHIS UNDER the total of 235½