Monday 8/10/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Aug 10 '20, 9:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Mariners vs Rangers
Play on: Mariners +171 at 1BetVegas

Free Play on Mariners +171

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Aug 10 '20, 9:10 PM in 5h
MLB | SFO vs HOU
Play on: UNDER 9½ -107

1 Dimer on Giants vs Astros under 9½ -107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!
FREE MLB PICKS
Padres @ Dodgers
TIME: 9:40 PM EST
PICKS: OVER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMEDAY NETWORK

FREE MLB WINNER 8/10/20
Rays @ Red Sox
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Free Pick: OVER 9.5

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Sports Action 365

FREE MLB WINNER 8/10/20:
PLAY Twins @ Brewers OVER 8.5, GAME TIME 8:10 PM EST

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Chris Jordan

My free play on Sunday was the Texas Rangers and they buried the Angels, who were in from Anaheim. Tonight I'm right back on the Rangers, laying the run line against the Seattle Mariners.

Nobody is touching the frontrunning Oakland Athletics right now, but the Rangers are doing their best to stay relevant in the American League West. They've won three straight and can distance themselves from the struggling Houston Astros in this series.

The Mariners have lost seven of 10 and have a poor run differential of -38. So it comes as no surprise they also have the worst ERA (5.88) in baseball and have allowed the second-most home runs (28).

Now Texas hasn't exactly been an offensive juggernaut, but with the three-game win streak providing momentum, this is one of those series that can help ignite the bats even further.

Lay the run line.

4* RANGERS RUN LINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Monday, August 10

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CONNECTICUT (1 - 6) vs. ATLANTA (2 - 5) - 8/10/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (4 - 3) vs. DALLAS (3 - 4) - 8/10/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (5 - 2) vs. SEATTLE (6 - 1) - 8/10/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Monday, August 10

Connecticut @ Atlanta

Game 649-650
August 10, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
106.505
Atlanta
105.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 5 1/2
166
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+5 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Dallas

Game 651-652
August 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
113.685
Dallas
99.255
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 14 1/2
168
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 5
165
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-5); Over

Chicago @ Seattle

Game 653-654
August 10, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
114.164
Seattle
111.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 4 1/2
168
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, August 10

Oklahoma City @ Phoenix

Game 737-738
August 10, 2020 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
113.921
Phoenix
126.089
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 12
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 5
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-5); Under

Dallas @ Utah

Game 739-740
August 10, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
119.879
Utah
115.251
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
241
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+7 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Milwaukee

Game 741-742
August 10, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
116.647
Milwaukee
125.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 8 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 5 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-5 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Miami

Game 743-744
August 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.041
Miami
116.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+2 1/2); Over

Denver @ LA Lakers

Game 745-746
August 10, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.456
LA Lakers
116.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
239
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 5
221
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+5); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, August 10

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OKLAHOMA CITY (43 - 26) vs. PHOENIX (31 - 39) - 8/10/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 54-69 ATS (-21.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (42 - 30) vs. UTAH (43 - 27) - 8/10/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 95-74 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 85-67 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 230-182 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 70-50 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 69-54 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (50 - 19) vs. MILWAUKEE (55 - 15) - 8/10/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 225-275 ATS (-77.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 94-69 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 83-61 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 147-110 ATS (+26.0 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 75-55 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 223-270 ATS (-74.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 9-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (43 - 27) vs. MIAMI (43 - 27) - 8/10/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (46 - 24) vs. LA LAKERS (51 - 18) - 8/10/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Bubble Bets - Monday
Tony Mejia

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns

Time/Venue: 2:35 p.m, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Thunder 43-26/3-2 (43-26, 3-2); Suns 31-39/5-0 (34-35-1, 5-0)
Line: PHX -5/225, PHX ML -205, OKC +172

Line Analysis: The Thunder cruised past Washington on Sunday afternoon and find themselves working 24 hours later for the second of a back-to-back. Although the more rested Suns are undefeated in seeding games, it was still a surprise to see Oklahoma City as a five-point underdog after opening at plus-3.5/4. It remains to be seen whether Billy Donovan chooses to be cautious with veterans Chris Paul and Danilo Gallinari but his team is only a half-game up on Utah for the No. 5 seed. How Donovan treats this game may provide a hint as to whether the Thunder prefer the Nuggets or Rockets in a first-round series.

Phoenix hasn’t beaten a Paul-led team since December 2013, which is quite the run of futility. The Suns have defeated the Wizards and Heat as a favorite in Orlando, covering the spread in both. They’ve been a slight underdog in both matchups with OKC this season and are 0-2.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Learning whether Paul will be available is crucial since super sub Dennis Schroder remains away from the team on paternity leave, although he’s expected back for the start of the playoffs next week. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander would likely handle the bulk of the ballhandling duties if Paul is out. Centers Steven Adams (leg contusion) and Nerlens Noel (ankle soreness) were late scratches on Sunday but could be counted on here. Defensive wiz Andre Roberson (foot soreness) should be available. The Suns have been working without starting small forward Kelly Oubre and backup center Aron Baynes in the rotation and neither is likely to participate here.

Handicapping Notes: The Thunder bounced back against the Wizards after scoring just 92 points in becoming the only team to lose to the eighth-seeded Grizzlies thus far. They’ve posted lopsided wins over the Jazz and Lakers and have been fantastic when veterans Paul, Adams and Danilo Gallinari are out on the floor. OKC closes against the Heat and Clippers, with that last game against L.A. potentially rendered meaningless.

The Suns need every win they can get their hands on since their perfect run has only made what once looked seemingly impossible – making the playoffs – a potential reality. Phoenix remains behind Memphis, Portland and San Antonio in the West and closes against injury-riddled Philadelphia and Dallas. The Suns averaged 106.5 points in this season’s losses to OKC but are averaging 118.4 points in seeding games.

Nothin’ But Bet: Rookie Cam Johnson came through on Saturday night in a prop that called for him to surpass the 12.5 points. He’s averaging 15.6 points over five games in the bubble, scoring in double-figures in four of the five contests. We’ll ride his hot hand again on the over 12.5 points expected from him at FanDuel (+100).


Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz

Time/Venue: 3:05 p.m. ET, ESPN Wide World of Sports Arena
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Mavs 42-30/2-3 (36-33-3, 1-4); Jazz 43-27/2-4 (33-35-2, 3-3)
Line: UTA -6.5/***, UTA -270 ML, DAL +220

Line Analysis: The Jazz and Mavs might have been close to a pick’em by the time they tipped off if not for Rick Carlisle’s announcement that stars Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis would sit this one out, joined by scrappy forward Dorian Finney-Smith. They’ve all played significant minutes over the past few weeks and need the rest with a second game of a back-to-back on tap against Phoenix on Tuesday. The Jazz will need to take care of business here and in their finale against the Spurs on Thursday in order to have a shot at the No. 5 seed in the West.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: With Doncic, Porzingis and Finney-Smith out, shooters Tim Hardaway Jr. and Seth Curry will likely become the focal point of the offense. Boban Marjanovic and Maxi Kleber could see the bulk of the minutes up front against Rudy Gobert and the Jazz.

Donovan Mitchell was a game-time decision due to peroneal strain on Saturday and struggled before finding his rhythm late in regulation to force a pair overtime periods that he excelled in. Backup point guard Emmanuel Mudiay sat with left knee soreness, while starting forward Royce O’Neal played through calf soreness. All hands are expected to be on deck for Utah.

Handicapping Notes: The Jazz pushed San Antonio for 48 minutes despite playing only Joe Ingles and Jordan Clarkson among guys in the top-seven of Quin Snyder’s rotation, so they’re aware of what can happen when you overlook a team of pros. Utah beat Dallas on Jan. 25 and Feb. 10. The ‘over’ has connected in four straight games involving Utah.

Nothin’ But Bet: From the “somebody has to rebound” for Dallas department, we expect a big game from Kleber, who typically plays whatever role he’s asked to on the floor by Carlisle, be it setting screens for Doncic or being tasked with guarding much bigger forwards in the paint. He’ll get a little shine today and surpass the 8.5 rebounds they have set for him at FanDuel (+100).


Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Time/Venue: 6:35 p.m. ET, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Raptors 50-19/4-1 (39-29-1, 4-1); Bucks 55-16/2-3 (38-32, 2-3)
Line: MIL -5.5/*** MIL -235 ML, TOR +194

Line Analysis: This number is a little lower than I expected it would be considering the Raptors are playing the second of a back-to-back and suiting up for a third time in four days. I’d hop on the Bucks once there’s clarity that Mike Budenholzer isn’t giving anyone the day off because Raps head coach Nick Nurse may go that route with Toronto having wrapped up the No. 2 seed in the East.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Brook Lopez comes off a brilliant game against Dallas in the OT loss on Saturday night and took the game over for stretches. Sharpening his tenacity could be a focal point this week, as is continuing to get Eric Bledsoe comfortable after he joined the team late due to COVID-19. He still doesn’t look like he’s found a rhythm.

Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet have terrorized opposing backcourts all season and have done so even more resoundingly in the bubble, but we’ll see if one or both get a break here. Pascal Siakam’s rebounding has been way down of late but his perimeter shooting helped foil a Grizzlies’ comeback bid on Sunday, picking up a cover.

Handicapping Notes: With their next loss in Orlando, the Bucks will have dropped as many games at Disney’s Wide World of Sports than they did all season at home inside Fiserv Forum. Defense has been an issue and rotations are a bit off due to guys being out of the lineup, so it will be interesting to see whether Budenholzer looks to build up his team’s confidence this week or takes his foot off the gas completely since Milwaukee will be heavily favored against Orlando, its likely first-round opponent.

Nothin’ But Bet: Backing the Bucks to win by 11 or more points at FanDuel pays out at +185. Given the likelihood that multiple Raptors are given the night off, I’d take a shot at this before the numbers are altered.


Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat

Time/Venue: 6:05 p.m. ET, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Pacers 43-27/4-1 (38-29-3, 4-1); Heat 43-27/2-3 (35-33-2, 2-3)
Line: MIA -2.5/*** MIA -138 ML, IND +118

Line Analysis: Miami has been without its leader, Jimmy Butler, for the past few games but he’s expected back for his duel with T.J. Warren here, landing the Heat back in a favorite’s role after they closed as an underdog against Phoenix for Saturday’s loss. The Pacers are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in an underdog role in Orlando.

Indiana lost both regular-season meetings against Miami, doing so as a 1-point favorite at home in the most recent matchup (Jan. 8) after a memorable 113-112 result in South Florida on Dec. 27. These teams will play one another twice this week, squaring off on Thursday too. It remains to be seen whether there’s anything to play for that night but it would appear all systems are go for all hands to be on deck here, setting this up as the game of the night.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: While Warren is listed as questionable with a foot injury, he carried that designation on Saturday before suiting up to torch the Lakers in an upset win. Even if he’s not 100 percent, sitting this one out would be perceived as ducking the matchup with Butler, who has seemingly been getting himself healthy in missing the past few games just to ensure he’d be fine for this one.

With Domantas Sabonis out due to plantar fasciitis, the Pacers have become dependent on Warren as the go-to guy while employing three guards and center Myles Turner around him.

The Heat lost on Saturday night despite a huge game from rookie guard Tyler Herro, who did his best in helping replace the production of guard Goran Dragic (ankle), who is also likely to return this evening. Fellow rookie Kendrick Nunn is isolating after leaving the bubble on Friday and is listed as “self-quarantining.”

Handicapping Notes: Malcolm Brogdon has had some health issues over the past few weeks, from battling COVID-19 to being scratched before the bubble opener due to a neck issue, but he’s looked increasingly like his usual self over the past few games and will be the x-factor here given Miami’s issues defending opposing guards.

Victor Oladipo has looked spry but isn’t 100 percent, so anything he can give Indiana here, even as a decoy, has to be looked at as a plus. Miami’s Bam Adebayo can probably be more aggressive on the defensive end without Sabonis to worry about and should be able to avoid foul trouble as a result. If this one’s close down the stretch, it will indeed come down to Warren vs. Butler. The Heat star is an elite defender who has studied Warren’s game to ensure he slows him down after the two got into it earlier this season.

Warren, the bubble’s MVP by a resounding margin based on his play to date, is averaging 34.8 points in Orlando, a figure weighed down by scoring just 16 points against the Suns in the game in which he hurt his foot. He’s clearly also been working on his game, setting this up as must-see TV. Unfortunately, this game is only available via League Pass.

Nothin’ But Bet: Oladipo comes off a 22-point game against the Lakers where he also produced five assists, his high for the bubble. He played 35 minutes but committed six turnovers and may take a backseat against a tougher Miami defense. Ride the under on his points prop at FanDuel (17.5 -122).


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Time/Venue: 9:05 p.m. ET, ESPN Wide World of Sports Arena
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): 46-24/3-2 (32-34-4, 3-2); Lakers 51-18/2-4 (36-32-1, 1-5)
Line: LAL -5.5/221, LAL ML -225, DEN +188

Line Analysis: The Lakers are laying a larger number than I expected them to considering the Nuggets got point guard Jamal Murray back for Saturday’s OT win over Utah in which his scoring and the threat he presents on the floor made a major difference.

The total is in the neighborhood of where I had it, a bucket lower than the 223 I projected. The ‘under’ is 4-2 in Lakers games in Orlando. If this figure closes where it is, it will represent the most points L.A. has been favored by against Denver all season, coming off a 120-116 win in Denver just before the All-Star break on Feb. 12 that gave it a 2-1 series edge entering this fourth and final regular-season matchup.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Since the Lakers don’t play again until Thursday’s matchup with Sacramento, LeBron James and Anthony Davis are expected to participate in one final playoff-like tune-up prior to opening the playoffs as the Western Conference’s top seed next week.

Lawrence Frank will have to replace starting guards Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who has been ruled out with an ankle injury, and potentially Danny Green, who missed Saturday’s night’s loss with a hip injury. Since Avery Bradley opted out and Rajon Rondo won’t be ready for at least another week, the Lakers are depleted at guard. Denver got Murray back but is still going to be without starts Will Barton (knee) and Gary Harris (hip), who have yet to play in the bubble. As a result, Michael Porter Jr., Torrey Craig and Jerami Grant will continue getting more touches and extended minutes.

Handicapping Notes: James shot just 18.5 percent from 3-point range in two regular-season wins over the Nuggets but still averaged 28.5 points and 11.5 assists. Count on him attempting to get his shot back on track here after struggling from the perimeter in losses to the Thunder and Pacers last week. Anthony Davis scored just eight points on Saturday in a brutal shooting game and has looked bothered by an ankle injury. Following a 42-point outburst last Monday night in a win over the Jazz, Davis has averaged just 11.3 points per game and has put together a pair of sub-30 percent shooting performances.

Beyond continuing to get Murray back up to speed following a hamstring issue, the Nuggets hope to keep Porter Jr. from deferring since he’s emerged as a major part of their rotation. He scored just a bucket in five minutes of action against the Lakers this season but is averaging 29.3 points and 12.5 rebounds over the last four games in a breaking out as a focal point of the offense. The ‘over’ is 5-0 in Denver’s seeding games.

Nothin’ But Bet: Without a top defender to try and keep him from getting a rhythm, look for Murray to pick up where he left off against Utah considering he did the bulk of his damage in the second half and OT, finishing with 23 points, 12 boards and eight assists in his first game in nearly five months. Ride the ‘over’ on his points-rebounds-assists prop at FanDuel (28.5, -122).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 10

Atlanta @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
August 10, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Newcomb) 18.193
Philadelphia
(Nola) 15.063
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+130); Under

Washington @ NY Mets

Game 905-906
August 10, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Corbin) 17.626
NY Mets
(Matz) 16.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-115); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit

Game 903-904
August 10, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Keuchel) 14.417
Detroit
(Fulmer) 15.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-155
9
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+135); Over

Tampa Bay @ Boston

Game 907-908
August 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Yarbrough) 15.471
Boston
(TBD) 16.579
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+125); Under

Minnesota @ Milwaukee

Game 909-910
August 10, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Dobnak) 15.807
Milwaukee
(Houser) 14.908
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-110); Over

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 913-914
August 10, 2020 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Ray) 14.689
Colorado
(Gray) 16.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-130
12
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-130); Under

Seattle @ Texas

Game 915-910
August 10, 2020 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Dunn) 13.622
Texas
(Gibson) 16.191
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-180
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-180); Under

San Francisco @ Houston

Game 917-918
August 10, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Webb) 16.026
Houston
(McCullers) 14.435
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-200
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+170); Over

Oakland @ LA Angels

Game 919-920
August 10, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Manaea) 17.553
LA Angels
(Teheran) 13.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-130); Under

San Diego @ LA Dodgers

Game 921-922
August 10, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Richards 15.806
LA Dodgers
(May) 17.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-170); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 10

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ATLANTA (11 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6) - 6:05 PM
SEAN NEWCOMB (L) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 110-74 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 168-198 (+41.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
ATLANTA is 99-75 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 102-59 (+38.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 66-53 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 154-105 (+41.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 72-86 (-29.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NOLA is 6-12 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLA is 5-10 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
NEWCOMB is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.158.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

AARON NOLA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NOLA is 10-5 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.165.
His team's record is 11-7 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-8. (+1.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (8 - 8) at DETROIT (8 - 5) - 7:10 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MICHAEL FULMER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 80-97 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-32 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-43 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 52-55 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-118 (-36.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-62 (-25.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-22 (-13.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-62 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-29 (-18.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 158-184 (-53.6 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
DETROIT is 24-55 (-26.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-34 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-24 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
FULMER is 5-20 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. DETROIT since 1997
KEUCHEL is 4-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 6-1 (+7.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)

MICHAEL FULMER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
FULMER is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.158.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.6 units)

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WASHINGTON (4 - 7) at NY METS (7 - 9) - 7:10 PM
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 50-53 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 405-412 (-119.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-1 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

PAT CORBIN vs. NY METS since 1997
CORBIN is 3-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 6-8 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.6 units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MATZ is 1-6 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.391.
His team's record is 6-7 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-5. (+2.5 units)

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TAMPA BAY (8 - 8) at BOSTON (6 - 9) - 7:30 PM
RYAN YARBROUGH (L) vs. AUSTIN BRICE (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

RYAN YARBROUGH vs. BOSTON since 1997
YARBROUGH is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.57 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

AUSTIN BRICE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (10 - 6) at MILWAUKEE (6 - 7) - 8:10 PM
RANDY DOBNAK (R) vs. ADRIAN HOUSER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 197-152 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 129-93 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 142-104 (+26.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 90-76 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 111-70 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-9 (+11.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 58-33 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 74-43 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 88-50 (+22.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 46-24 (+17.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RANDY DOBNAK vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

ADRIAN HOUSER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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ARIZONA (6 - 10) at COLORADO (11 - 4) - 8:40 PM
ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. JON GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 32-24 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
RAY is 17-8 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROBBIE RAY vs. COLORADO since 1997
RAY is 5-5 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.20 and a WHIP of 1.641.
His team's record is 6-11 (-8.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-8. (-2.1 units)

JON GRAY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GRAY is 3-5 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.607.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.5 units)

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SEATTLE (6 - 11) at TEXAS (6 - 8) - 9:05 PM
JUSTIN DUNN (R) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 84-92 (+6.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-24 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 50-39 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 25-16 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 55-56 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 47-33 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GIBSON is 53-26 (+26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 32-29 (+10.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 56-53 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 59-58 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 43-30 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GIBSON is 2-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JUSTIN DUNN vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

KYLE GIBSON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GIBSON is 4-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.433.
His team's record is 7-3 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.6 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 10) at HOUSTON (6 - 9) - 9:10 PM
LOGAN WEBB (R) vs. LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LOGAN WEBB vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (12 - 4) at LA ANGELS (5 - 11) - 9:40 PM
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 405-494 (-89.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 108-69 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 200-111 (+41.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 94-71 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 26-9 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-33 (+17.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 68-43 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 134-97 (+30.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-41 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 108-54 (+32.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 35-57 (-25.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 61-112 (-37.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MANAEA is 2-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.138.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
TEHERAN is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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SAN DIEGO (9 - 7) at LA DODGERS (11 - 5) - 9:40 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. DUSTIN MAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 79-99 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RICHARDS is 1-15 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 61-62 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 995-841 (-93.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RICHARDS is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

DUSTIN MAY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MAY is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)