Service Plays Thursday 8/6/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 05:21 AM

Mike McClure

PGA Championship

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Rory McIlroy (8-1)
2. Jon Rahm (11-1)
3. Justin Thomas (12-1)
4. Bryson DeChambeau (10-1)
5. Patrick Cantlay (18-1)
6. Tyrell Hatton (50-1)
7. Xander Schauffele (22-1)
8. Collin Morikawa (22-1)
9. Hideki Matsuyama (33-1)
10. Gary Woodland (40-1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 07:39 AM

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 7:41 PM

L.A. CLIPPERS -4
L.A. CLIPPERS @ DALLAS | 8/06 | 6:30 PM EDT
My projection model loves the Clippers as a short chalk Thursday against the Mavericks. I've got Los Angeles winning this game by an average of 12 points and covering the number a whopping 70 percent of the time. History suggests this is a great spot: The Clippers are on a 4-1 ATS run in the series and also have gone 21-6 ATS following a straight-up loss.

29-7 IN LAST 36 NBA PICKS | +2128
21-12 IN LAST 33 DAL ATS PICKS | +804

11-4 IN LAST 15 LAC ATS PICKS | +656

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 07:39 AM

Mike McClure

Golf

NOTE: Claim of $9,000 cannot be correct if the payout on ties is not being reduced.

Up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. It was all over Justin Thomas winning the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational at 12-1 over the weekend. Two weeks ago at the 3M Open, McClure's best bets returned a whopping $1,100 as he nailed a top-five pick on Max Homa (+1200) and a top-20 pick on Talor Gooch (+400).

At the Memorial Tournament, McClure used the model to identify winner Jon Rahm (22-1) as one of his best bets from the start. It also had him as the projected winner heading into the weekend. The model was also all over long shot winner Collin Morikawa at the Workday Charity Open. It identified him as a top contender from the start despite his long odds and McClure recommended an outright bet on him to win at 33-1. The model also called Bryson DeChambeau taking the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Using the model for his best bets, McClure returned a whopping +788 during the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge, including nailing top-five bets on Xander Schauffele at 13-2 and Collin Morikawa at 9-1.

The model was also extremely high on 30-1 long shot winner Webb Simpson at the RBC Heritage. The model had him in the top five from the start and McClure's best bets included Simpson winning outright.

This same model has also nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend, including two of the last three.

Bets I've placed as of 11:45 AM EST 8/3

Rory McIlroy +1400
Tyrell Hatton +5000
Gary Woodland +5000
Luke List +20000

Top 5 Finish

Rory McIlroy +400
Tyrell Hatton +1000
Gary Woodland +1000

Top 20 Finish

Tyrell Hatton +225
Gary Woodland +200
Joquin Niemann +500

The projected top 10, according to the model (odds via William Hill):

1. Justin Thomas (10-1)
2. Rory McIlroy (14-1)
3. Jon Rahm (14-1)
4. Bryson DeChambeau (11-1)
5. Xander Schauffele (22-1)
6. Tyrrell Hatton (45-1)
7. Patrick Cantlay (24-1)
8. Collin Morikawa (35-1)
9. Daniel Berger (40-1)
10. Gary Woodland (50-1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 07:39 AM

Rick Gehman

Golf

With his data-driven approach to betting golf, Rick Gehman routinely crushes sportsbooks. Over the last 13 tournaments, Gehman's bets are up nearly $2,600 for $100 players.

At the RBC Heritage in June, Gehman told SportsLine readers to bet Webb Simpson at 30-1, saying he "certainly appreciates the books dropping Simpson all the way down to 30-1" following a bad performance the week before and noting Harbour Town was the perfect course for Simpson's game. The result? Simpson fired a 22-under to win the RBC Heritage!

At the Travelers Championship, Gehman played Doc Redman to make the top 20, a +750 longshot, and Redman cashed easily with an 11th-place finish. At the Rocket Mortgage Classic last month, Gehman put Bryson DeChambeau atop his rankings. DeChambeau fired a final-round 65 to win by three strokes.

Last week's recap

We are in the midst of a cold streak. A miss from Xander Schauffele, finishing one shot out of cashing our Top 5 bet, didn't help. Despite this bad run, we are up 18.75 units since the inception of these articles at the Waste Management Open, and plus 25.75 units over the last 13 tournaments. The outright market is absolutely packed with so many studs in the field this week and with it being a Major Championship, we are going to focus on the top portion of the board.

Event preview

Ninety-six of the Top 100 players in the world will be at TPC Harding Park this week to battle it out for the Wanamaker Trophy. Expect weather to be a storyline as the marine layer on the coast of California can roll in with little notice and considerably change the strategy necessary to play the course. The rough will be penal, so hitting fairways will be a great first step to success.

Winner - Brooks Koepka (+1000) - 0.45 units

Top 5- Brooks Koepka (+230) - 0.25 units

It would be incredible and unlikely for Koepka to complete a "three-peat" of PGA Championships but that feels like the direction we are headed. It's been over a year since Koepka has won any tournament but he's knocking on the door right now. His ball-striking is elite and when you combine Strokes Gained Off-the-tee and Strokes Gained: Approach, he's gained more than anyone on TOUR in the last two weeks. That's even more impressive considering he missed the cut at the 3M Open, so his numbers only include six rounds.

Winner - Xander Schauffele (+1800) - 0.38 units

Top 5 - Xander Schauffele (+400) - 0.20 units

Speaking of "knocking at the door, Schauffele has been trending towards a win in the restart. He has (5) Top 20 finishes in his six starts, including a 6th place finish last week at the WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational. The upside is never a concern for Schauffele, who can catch fire in a moment's notice. It's the "bad round" that I'm worried about. Of all the elite golfers, Schauffele is more likely to have a "blow up round" than almost all of his peers. He did it in R1 at The Memorial where he lost 4.08 strokes to the field. He had three different rounds at the WGC in which he lost more than one stroke on approach and he still found a way to contend in both tournaments.

Winner - Patrick Cantlay (+2400) - 0.33 units

Top 5 - Patrick Cantlay (+550) - 0.15 units

Cantlay played himself out of the WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational on Thursday and Friday last week. He was +5 through two rounds but flipped a switch on the weekend, carding the 5th best score over the final two rounds. He was much more "Cantlay-like" in those final two rounds, hitting his irons beautifully and working his way up the leaderboard to finish T35. We know he can contend in all the biggest fields as evidenced by his win at the 2019 Memorial Tournament.

Winner - Jason Day (+4000) - 0.25 units

Top 10 - Jason Day (+350) - 0.30 units

With three consecutive Top 10s on TOUR, Day is in the midst of his best run of results since 2016. The big thing that Day has improved is his irons, now gaining strokes on approach in four straight events, which is something he hasn't done since 2017. His PGA Championship record is phenomenal, (5) consecutive Top 25 finishes including (3) Top 10s and a win.

Top 10 - Sergio Garcia (+650) - 0.30 units

TPC Harding Park requires you to be great off the tee and Garcia was 2nd in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee last week in Memphis. His reputation as an elite ball-striker continues and he's only finished outside the Top 37 once in his last 10 events.

Top 10 - Ryan Palmer (+1200) - 0.20 units

Palmer has been having an excellent season that no one is really talking about. He was in contention until his last approach shot on Sunday at the Sony Open and was in the final group at Torrey Pines. More recently, he finished 2nd at The Memorial and T15 last week at the WGC Event. He was 4th in the field last week in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green.

Top 20 - Cameron Champ (+600) - 0.35 units

Champ has one elite skill-set, the driver, that should be his biggest weapon against TPC Harding Park. He's second in the field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and the narrative on Champ used to be that he was terrible in all other facets of his game. He's still not great in the other three categories but he is much improved.

Tournament Matchup - Patrick Cantlay (+110) over Rory McIlroy (-137) - 1 unit

There is big concern over McIlroy for me, especially with his irons. He has gained a total of 1.89 strokes on approach in his 20 rounds since the break. To put that into perspective, he gained a total of 21.41 strokes on approach in his last 20 measured rounds before the shutdown. That stat category is one that usually carries over from week-to-week and that's not a good sign for McIlroy.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 07:40 AM

Sal Johnson

Golf

A media legend and consummate golf insider, Johnson predicted the PGA Championship last year, singling out Koepka in his best bets. Koepka built a seven-shot lead entering the weekend at Bethpage and rolled to his fourth major victory. "I really like him a lot this week," Johnson told SportsLine before that event, "he is playing well and this is a course he can attack and play well on."

The prediction was part of Johnson's banner 2019 season, when he featured Tiger Woods in his best bets for the Masters, and Woods walked away with his fifth green jacket.

Johnson also completely nailed the season-ending Tour Championship. He predicted Koepka, Rory McIlroy or Xander Schauffele would win, and those were the top three finishers. Anyone who followed Johnson's golf picks saw HUGE returns.

PGA Championship

Golf's biological clock is really mixed up. Not only is the first major championship being played in August, a year after it was established that majors would wrap with the British Open in July. But most players, with the exception of the few coming from the Barracuda Championship, have been playing in hot, humid conditions where the ball has been flying for miles.

Players who have played regularly over the last eight weeks will be in for a drastically different experience this week at TPC Harding Park.

Instead of stifling conditions, players will see temperatures in the mid-60s with conditions that will change throughout the day. The course is half a mile from the Pacific Ocean, and in August that means clouds and fog in the morning, a few hours of sunshine then more clouds moving in at around 3.

In these conditions, a player like Bryson DeChambeau probably won't see drives in the 360-yard range and will be lucky to hit it past 300. The posted length of the course is 7,251, and it will probably play long this week.

Speaking of DeChambeau, after being the hottest player on the planet last month, he has come down to Earth and is showing signs that he is human and can make mistakes. After missing the cut at the Memorial and tying for 30th in Memphis, DeChambeau comes in a bit deflated and looking to regain his mojo.

DeChambeau has struggled to hit greens if he isn't able to hit a wedge, and he was tied for 61st in Greens in Regulation in Memphis. If that happens at the PGA Championship, it will be another long week for him.

Last week, we were worried about the health of players like Brooks Koepka, Dustin Johnson, and Jason Day and many, including myself, were wondering if their seasons were dead. All three proved us wrong in Memphis and will be watched closely this week.

Koepka tied for second at the St. Jude and will have a big bull's-eye on his back as he tries to win for the third straight year. It has been 64 years since a player won a major three straight times, with Peter Thomson winning the British Open in 1954, '55 and '56.

There are 155 players who would love to deny Koepka the opportunity, and about 40 have a legitimate chance to win. That starts with Justin Thomas, who looked great at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and said after his three-shot victory that he has been working really hard since the break and was surprised it took this long for him to register a victory. Many might suggest the engravers can put his name on the Wanamaker Trophy now.

A lot of people have been asking what's up with Rory McIlroy. It's not like his game is in shambles, but he has been inconsistent. He has probably lost some of his confidence and rhythm, which happens to the best of players. He will break out of this funk, but we don't know if it will be this week or next week or next month.

Will Rory find the same magic he had when he won the Match Play on this course five years ago? Could the rhythm flow again this week on grounds where he has had past glories? Possibly, but I wouldn't place my rent check on it.

TPC Harding Park

This is the 102nd edition of the PGA Championship and the first time it has been played at TPC Harding Park. The course has never held a major championship.

TPC Harding Park is a municipal course owned by the city of San Francisco and has a storied local history. It held several PGA Tour events in the 1960s as well as numerous local championships. It has been known as one of the most demanding and underrated courses around since it opened in 1925.

In the 1970s, Harding Park became neglected. The gem of public golf became a weed-infested mess, but former USGA president Sandy Tatum lent a helping hand to keep the course from being forgotten. Tatum had played in numerous city championships on the course in its heyday and championed its revival.

He got corporate backing and the PGA Tour promised to bring championships to the course, clearing the way for a $16 million renovation in 2002.

The 2005 WGC-American Express Championship was held at Harding Park, and Tiger Woods beat John Daly in a three-hole playoff on the redone course. Four years later, the Presidents Cup was held at Harding Park, with the U.S. team winning by five points.

The 2015 WGC-Dell Match Play was held there, with Rory McIlroy beating Gary Woodland in the final.

But its most significant accomplishment will be this week.

Harding Park is less than a mile from the Pacific Ocean, and don't be surprised if you see all four seasons during the week. The weather will play a significant role.

The biggest criticism of Harding Park is the greens, which are flat with very few undulations. Excellent ball strikers who don't putt well will have a significant advantage.

Adam Scott is just the type who could play well here. If you look at the players who rank high in greens hit but struggle with the putter, seven names jump off the page. Scott, Hideki Matsuyama, Viktor Hovland, Paul Casey, Webb Simpson, Chez Reavie and Collin Morikawa all could do well this week.

Hitting greens is a must with putting playing a minor role. Look for a lot of 10- to 15-footers to be made.

Driving also will be critical. The rough will be thick, and players who hit it off line could be in trouble, with the fairways lined with trees. The course appears short under current standards at 7,251 yards, but the location will make a difference.

The fog most evenings makes the course very lush, and players will see minimal roll. A straight driver will have an advantage over a long hitter this week

Keys to winning

This week's approach will be to keep the ball in the fairway and hit as many greens as possible.

One key element will be the relationship between a player and his caddie, because picking clubs will be tough in these conditions.

The past eight weeks, the ball was traveling so far in the heat that many players were using 8-irons from 170 to 180 yards. At TPC Harding Park in the cool, thick air, an 8-iron will be a 150-yard shot and 180 yards will require a 7- or a 6-iron.

The nearby ocean also means players could see winds up to 20 mph in the early afternoon. Since the fairways are lined with trees it will be tough to determine what the wind is like above the tree line.

The course seems tame for major championship standards, but look for a good challenge, not a birdie fest.

√ The key is being great with the driver, with a combination of straight and long.
√ Hitting the greens and being able to get the ball within 15 feet of the hole. The greens aren't severe enough to allow the PGA of America to tuck pins away like most majors, so players should see a lot of birdie tries.
√ Birdies will still be hard to come by.
√ The players who best manage the weather will have the advantage.
√ Caddies are always important, but this week they will be critical in helping players judge the elements.

One of these three should win

1. Justin Thomas

√ Win last week not only made him the best player since the break but the top player in the World Golf Ranking.
√ Was injured and missed last year's PGA Championship, was T-6 in 2018 and won in 2017.
√ First in strokes gained tee-to-green, second in strokes gained approach the green, second in proximity to hole. All of these show Justin is playing great and can win for a second straight week.

2. Gary Woodland

√ Since the break, his best finish was T-5 at Workday, but what stands out is he has been low-key the past couple of months, just like he was before he won at Pebble Beach last month.
√ In the PGA Championship, he was T-8 last year and T-6 in 2018, and he lost to Rory McIlroy in the final of the Match Play at Harding Park in 2015.
√ Is 51st in strokes gained tee-to-green, 25th in strokes gained putting and T-14 in par breakers. He drives it long enough and straight enough and has the experience to handle all weather conditions.

3. Jon Rahm

√ His poor start in Memphis caught us by surprise after his win at the Memorial. But he finished with a 66, so that should give him some confidence coming to San Francisco.
√ His record in the majors has gotten better, including a T-3 last year at Pebble Beach.
√ Outside stats, Rahm has the California mojo. In 13 starts in the Golden State, he has three wins and six top-five finishes.

The pressure is on

4. Brooks Koepka

√ What a rare opportunity he has, to win three PGA Championships in a row. In his last 10 majors, he has won four, been a runner-up twice, was fourth once and sixth once. That is mind-boggling.
√ His T-2 last week showed he can still find a way to contend on Sunday, but will his knee bother him in the cooler weather?
√ Forget what his yearly stats are. What worries me the most is his struggle on poa annua greens, although he did finish second at Pebble last year. He faces a lot of pressure to achieve what he is trying to do.

Solid credentials to win

5. Webb Simpson

√ Hasn't played great in the PGA, with a T-13 in 2016 his best finish. But he won the 2012 U.S. Open just down the road at Olympic. That course has a lot of similar characteristics to Harding Park.
√ Won at Hilton Head and was T-12 last week in Memphis. Usually, when you take him out of the south he's not great, but you have to remember Olympic.
√ Is 12th in strokes gained tee-to-green, 14th in greens in regulation, 17th in strokes gained putting and first in par breakers. All of these indicate Simpson could have a great week in San Francisco .

6. Rory McIlroy

√ Won the PGA Championship in 2012 and '14, was T-3 in 2009 and '10, and was T-8 in 2013 and last year.
√ His play has been erratic. He was T-47 in Memphis with rounds of 73-66-73-67. You don't know from day to day which Rory will show up. You have to go on the fact he won on this course five years ago.
√ Is fifth in strokes gained tee-to-green, 57th in greens in regulation and 10th in par breakers, which are great stats despite the unreliable results.

7. Daniel Berger

√ Has never played great in the PGA, with a T-12 in 2018 his best. His T-6 at the U.S. Open Shinnecock in 2018 is his best major finish.
√ Behind Thomas, he probably has been the second-best since the break. Tied for second last week, won at Colonia and was T-3 at Hilton Head.
√ 13th in strokes gained tee-to-green, T-66 in greens in regulation, 14th in strokes gained putting.

Coming in with momentum

8. Dustin Johnson

√ Was second in the PGA last year and T-5 in 2010. Has the game to do well on this kind of course but was beaten in the third round at the Match Play in 2015.
√ His complicated year looked OK last week, and he was consistent with rounds of 69-68-68-67.
√ His stats still don't show the true nature of his game. He is good on poa, based on his record at Riviera and Pebble.

9. Phil Mickelson

√ Won the PGA Championship in 2005, was runner-up in 2001 and '14 and has had nine top-10s, so he plays well in the event.
√ Has had a tough time, but all of a sudden rose he from the dead to tie for second at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude..
√ Phil is 46th in driving distance, so he will do his best to get it out there and hit as many greens as possible. He is 13th in strokes gained around the green and T-54 in par breakers.

No momentum but could surprise

10. Tiger Woods

√ We know what a great record he has, winning the PGA Championship four times and finishing second three times. He knows all about TPC Harding Park, winning the WGC-American Express, although that was 15 years ago.
√ Has only played in six events in the past year. He won in Japan, but that was 10 months ago. In the last six months, he has only played at the Memorial and had mixed results. Likely has no chance of winning but will be looking to get into contention.

Players you have to consider

11. Xander Schauffele

√ Was T-16 last year at the PGA, his best showing in three tries. Has two runner-ups in the Masters and was T-3 at Pebble at last year's U.S. Open.
√ Has been quietly playing well since the break, with a T-3 at Colonial and T-6 last week at Memphis. Putting is holding him back, so this is his type of course.
√ Is sixth in strokes gained tee-to-green, fifth in greens in regulation and 10th in birdie average, all good stats for TPC Harding Park.

12. Matthew Fitzpatrick

√ Has played the PGA four times and his best was T-41 last year. Could his 20th major be the charm? He only has one top-10 in a major, finishing T-7 in the 2016 Masters.
√ He has been incredibly consistent since the break, finishing third at the Memorial and T-6 in Memphis and is ready to bust out.
√ Is 69th in strokes gained off the tee, second in strokes gained putting and 12th in strokes gained total.

13. Viktor Hovland

√ Making his first PGA Championship start, but he finished T-12 at the U.S. Open at Pebble Beach last year as an amateur.
√ Game was great after the break but slowed down in the last two events. The simple greens at Harding Park are just what he needs.
√ Is 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green, fourth in proximity to hole and 24th in par breakers, all great stats for TPC Harding Park

Anything is possible

14. Abraham Ancer

√ Was T-16 in his first PGA Championship start but has never played great in a major. Maybe this course will be up his alley
√ Has played well since the break, finishing T-15 last week in Memphis and was second at Hilton Head.
√ Is 20th in strokes gained tee-to-green, fourth in scrambling and 42nd in strokes gained putting.

15. Jason Day

√ Won PGA back in 2015. He was supposed to be a superstar, but injuries have curtailed his career. His back hasn't been a problem recently but could flare up in the cool weather.
√ Dropped his coach of 30 years, and since then he has finished T-7 at Workday, T-4 at Memorial and T-6 in Memphis.
√ Is 21st in strokes gained tee-to-green, T-39 in strokes gained putting and 48th in par breakers.

Harding Park will drive him nuts

Bryson DeChambeau

√ Missed the cut at the PGA Championship last year and in 2018 and was T-33 in 2017. This course just doesn't suit hit game.
√ He missed the cut at the Memorial and was T-30 at WGC-FedEx St. Jude.
√ Best to take a pass on him and wait for the playoffs and courses that suit him better.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 07:44 AM

Strike Point Sports

PGA Tour 8-Unit Play Adam Scott (+120) over Matt Fitzpatrick

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 07:44 AM

Vernon Croy

8-Unit Play - #7949 Webb Simpson -120 over Hideki Matsuyama for the PGA Championship Tournament

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 08:26 AM

baseball33

#1 : New York Yankees -1.5

# 2 : Cincinnati Reds

**golden contender** · 08-06-2020, 08:39 AM

Rob V: Thursday Comp Play

The NBA Game of the Year headlines Thursday backed with a 100% Database system and a 25-0 angle. We also have a 5* NHL Total, MLB Top plays and an MLS Knockout play on ESPN 2. Europa League Comp Play below.

The Comp Play for Thursday is on Bayer Leverkusen at 1:00 Eastern in Europa League action. Leverkusen plays in Bundesliga which is miles ahead of the Premiership in terms of quality of talent involved as well as the level of competition. The Rangers are a solid Scotland squad but they will struggle with Top 5 European league teams. Leverkusen will win and get to the quarters and if they win this Europa League can get a berth to the Champions League. Leverkusen won the first fixture on the road by 2 goals. Look for them to advance here. On Thursday the NBA Play of the Year is up with a Perfect League wide system and a 25-0 indicator. There is an NHL 5* Total a MLS ESPN 2 Soccer Play and last game of series power system plays. Jump on or see us on facebook to jump on. For the Europa League Soccer Play. Go with Bayer Leverkusen. RV- GC Sports

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 10:18 AM

Bill Marzano

MINNESOTA -1.5
MINNESOTA @ PITTSBURGH | 8/06 | 1:35 PM EDT
10:30 AM
The Twins are 10-2, their best 12-game start in team history, and enter this one on a six-game win streak. Pittsburgh has lost seven in a row. Kenta Maeda is 2-0 and has allowed just five hits in 11 innings. He'll shut down a Pirates team batting .189. Play Minnesota -1.5 runs at -130.

15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB PICKS | +701
NEW ORLEANS -4.5
NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO | 8/06 | 1:30 PM EDT
10:23 AM
The Kings are 0-3 in the bubble and will have a hard time slowing down the Pelicans as long as Zion Williamson plays 30 minutes. Sacramento allowed Dallas to shoot a whopping 50 free throws. Lay the points.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +190
6-2 IN LAST 8 NO ATS PICKS | +382

3-2-1 IN LAST 6 SAC ATS PICKS | +80

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 10:18 AM

SDQL

UNDER 227.5
L.A. LAKERS @ HOUSTON | 8/06 | 9:00 PM EDT
10:12 AM
The Rockets are off a 110-102 loss to the Blazers in which James Harden was Houston's high scorer with 23 points to go along with nine assists and four turnovers. This activates a nice key-player indicator, as Houston is 0-14 OU (-9.46 ppg) off a loss as a favorite in which Harden was the team's high scorer and committed fewer than 10 turnovers. Also, the Rockets are 0-15 OU off a loss as a road favorite when they are facing a team that has averaged at least 24 assists per game. Russell Westbrook is questionable for Houston.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NBA O/U PICKS | +470

UNDER 229.5
INDIANA @ PHOENIX | 8/06 | 4:00 PM EDT
10:09 AM
Indiana is 0-9 OU (-15.56 ppg) with less than two days rest off a win as a dog after a win in which it never trailed, 0-9 OU (-16.17 ppg) off a double-digit win as a dog in which it scored at least 15 points more in the first than in the second half, and 0-8 OU (-16.00 ppg) on the road after a game as a home dog in which it scored at least 30% of its points from deep. Phoenix was 17-of-31 from the arc in its upset win over the Clippers on Tuesday, but this is an Under indicator, as the Suns are 0-13 OU at "home" after a win in which they made at least half of their threes with more than 12 as long as the OU total is at least 200.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NBA O/U PICKS | +470

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 10:18 AM

Mike Barner

L.A. CLIPPERS -4.5
L.A. CLIPPERS @ DALLAS | 8/06 | 6:30 PM EDT
10:51 AM
The Mavericks haven’t played particularly well within the bubble. They lost their first two games, which included a defeat at the hands of the Suns. They did beat the Kings on Tuesday, but it was only a four-point victory. Further complicating matters Thursday is that Seth Curry (leg) is doubtful. He’s been a key scorer for them this season. The Clippers are looking to bounce back from a loss of their own to the Suns and have the benefit of Lou Williams being back in action. The Clippers are trying to cling to the second seed in the West, so minute limitations should not be an issue. I like them to win and cover.

103-63-3 IN LAST 169 NBA ATS PICKS | +3370
6-4-1 IN LAST 11 DAL ATS PICKS | +155

2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC ATS PICKS | +91

HOUSTON +1.5
L.A. LAKERS @ HOUSTON | 8/06 | 9:00 PM EDT
10:37 AM
The Lakers played Wednesday in what turned out to be a blowout loss to the Thunder. They have already clinched the top seed in the Western Conference, so don’t be surprised if they rest a player or two here. At best, we could be looking at limited minutes for LeBron James and/or Anthony Davis. Meanwhile, the Rockets are coming off of a disappointing loss to the Blazers and could use a win here now that they have fallen into a tie for the sixth seed. Russell Westbrook is questionable with a bruised quad, but all indications are that the injury is minor, so he could play. Given the potential rest situation for the Lakers, I’ll take the points.

103-63-3 IN LAST 169 NBA ATS PICKS | +3370
12-6-1 IN LAST 19 LAL ATS PICKS | +535

5-2 IN LAST 7 HOU ATS PICKS | +280

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 10:18 AM

Larry Hartstein

DENVER +4
PORTLAND @ DENVER | 8/06 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:44 AM
The Nuggets have beaten Portland in all three meetings this season and have taken nine of 10 overall. True, Portland is healthier now and looking dangerous. But with Michael Porter Jr. and Nikola Jokic playing at a high level, Denver should at least take this one to the wire if not win outright.

44-32-1 IN LAST 77 NBA PICKS | +884
38-27-3 IN LAST 68 DEN ATS PICKS | +835

21-14 IN LAST 35 POR ATS PICKS | +560

HOUSTON +1.5
L.A. LAKERS @ HOUSTON | 8/06 | 9:00 PM EDT
10:39 AM
The Lakers have no motivation to go all-out and it's showing. Houston, on the other hand, is in a prime bounceback spot after the Rockets got ambushed by Portland following their 2-0 bubble start. Take the points.

44-32-1 IN LAST 77 NBA PICKS | +884
14-11-1 IN LAST 26 LAL ATS PICKS | +186

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 10:19 AM

teamronaldinho (????)

Europa League – Play Offs
Wolves – Olympiacos Piraeus
Wolves Over 1.5 GOALS @ 2.10

Service Plays Thursday 8/6/20

Service Plays Thursday 8/6/20

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