Tuesday 8/11/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1COLUMBUS -2 TAMPA BAY
COLUMBUS are 10-5 ATS (8.8 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the current season.

3CALGARY -4 DALLAS
CALGARY is 16-8 ATS (9.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

5CAROLINA -6 BOSTON
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the current season.

7CHICAGO -8 VEGAS
CHICAGO is 18-16 ATS (10.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 11

Columbus @ Tampa Bay

Game 1-2
August 11, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
12.589
Tampa Bay
11.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(+155); Under

Calgary @ Dallas

Game 3-4
August 11, 2020 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
12.775
Dallas
13.828
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-110
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-110); Over

Carolina @ Boston

Game 5-6
August 11, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
12.112
Boston
13.086
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-145); Under

Chicago @ Vegas

Game 7-8
August 11, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
13.134
Vegas
12.069
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-190
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+165); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, August 11

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COLUMBUS (35-24-0-16, 86 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (45-22-0-6, 96 pts.) - 8/11/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 107-52 ATS (+162.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-12 ATS (+16.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 18-3 ATS (+12.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 13-5 ATS (+18.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 0-4 ATS (-7.1 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 430-438 ATS (+949.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

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CALGARY (39-28-0-7, 85 pts.) vs. DALLAS (38-26-0-8, 84 pts.) - 8/11/2020, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 7-12 ATS (-10.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
DALLAS is 233-253 ATS (+546.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CALGARY is 13-7 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-2 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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CAROLINA (41-25-0-5, 87 pts.) vs. BOSTON (44-17-0-12, 100 pts.) - 8/11/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-13 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-5 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 93-74 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
CAROLINA is 41-21 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CAROLINA is 13-7 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 10-1 (+9.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)

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CHICAGO (35-31-0-8, 78 pts.) vs. VEGAS (42-24-0-8, 92 pts.) - 8/11/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-8 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 88-75 ATS (+189.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 13-15 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 8-1 (+6.2 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 8-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Tuesday, August 11

Trend Report

Columbus @ Tampa Bay
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

Calgary @ Dallas
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Calgary

Carolina @ Boston
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

Chicago @ Vegas
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Kansas City w/Bubic +160 over Cincinnati

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: the Oakland Athletics w/Fiers +120 over LA Angels

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play TUESDAY, August 11, 2020
MLB

973. Mariners +1.23 (6:05 PT / 9:05 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Tuesday

Oakland Fiers +136

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Toronto Ryu -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

Texas w/ Minor -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Today is Tuesday. The past is the past and I cannot do a thing about it. Today is the start of a new day and a new opportunity to recoup some of the lost profits.

Go ahead and lay the wood with the Suns as they look to remain perfect for their bubble stay/play this Tuesday afternoon against the 76ers.

Phoenix trailed Oklahoma City, 37-23 after one quarter on Monday afternoon, but would go on to outscore the Thunder by 41 points the rest of the way in a 128-101 rout that moved Phoenix to 6-0 both straight up and against the spread as they have a very real shot at playing their way into the 8th spot in the West.

Deandre Ayton did not play in Monday's first quarter, but came in after testing negative for his coronavirus test and netted 17 points off the bench to lead the Phoenix comeback.

Devin Booker continues to make his case for "Bubble MVP" as he scored a cool 35 points.

The Suns took full advantage of a Thunder team that had 4 of their top 5 scorers sit out due to injury. I expect them to take full advantage of a Philadelphia team here on Tuesday that is now without Ben Simmons for the remainder of the season due to a knee injury and will also be missing Joel Embiid who will rest his tweaked ankle.

Not only that, but Al Horford and Tobias Harris are also playing injured and listed as questionable for today's action.

Phoenix did win the lone regular season meeting against Philadelphia way back on November 4th and they have covered in 4 of the last 6 series meetings overall, splitting the 6 straight up. Those meetings were when the Suns were not very good. Right now Monty Williams is pushing all the right buttons and even though this impost is a little "puffy", punch it again on Phoenix for the win and cover to make it 7 straight in the bubble.

4* PHOENIX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

The clock is about to strike midnight on Cinderella's castle for the Memphis Grizzlies who entered the Orlando bubble restart as the 8th seed in the Western Conference, but after losing Jaren Jackson Jr. and also losing 5 of their 6 games played both straight up and against the spread are in grave danger of missing out on the postseason.

At this point, a play-in game is slated for Saturday, but the Grizzlies still need to make sure they are involved in that play-in game after blowing a 3 1/2 game lead entering bubble action.

Things will not get easier against a Boston team that appears to have found their footing finally during this restart.

The Celtics opened with setbacks in 2 of their first 3 games in the Sunshine State, but have now reeled off 3 wins in a row with covers in 2 of the 3 wins.

Yes, Boston has secured the # 3 seed, but I don't expect them to simply ease off the gas pedal here.

This has been a good matchup for the C's as they did take the season's lone meeting 119-95 back in late January to run the series winning streak to 8 wins in a row and wins in 9 of the last 10 straight up. Boston has also gone 7-3 against the spread in the past 10 meetings.

Memphis is a team with definite potential in the future, but they have the look of a beaten bunch right now.

Lay the points with Boston here on Tuesday.

3* BOSTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen DeAngelo

Yet another complimentary winner delivered Monday, as the Nuggets got inside the number against the Lakers. I’m now on a 16-8 roll with freebies, including hitting five of the last six overall and four straight in the NBA!



For Tuesday, it’s back to the diamond, as I’ll grab the plus money with the visiting (and streaking) Royals in Cincinnati.



More than anything, this is a strict fade against Reds starter Luis Castillo. A one-time hot prospect and presumed ace of the Cincy staff, Castillo is off consecutive poor outings against the Tigers and Indians (both at home). He allowed eight runs (all earned) on 12 hits and four walks in 11 innings in those two contests, losing 7-2 to the Tigers and 13-0 to the Tribe.



Although Castillo’s first start of the season (also against the Tigers, in Detroit) was solid (one run, six hits, one walk, 11 strikeouts in six innings), the Reds also dropped that game, losing 6-4. In fact, going back to mid-September 2019, Cincinnati is winless in each of Castillo’s last five starts and is 1-5 in his last six. The last time Castillo picked up a victory at home: a 4-2 win over San Diego on Aug. 21 — 50½ weeks and nine starts ago!



Kansas City comes into this one fresh off an impressive three-game sweep of the red-hot Twins, which was preceded by a 13-2 rout of the Cubs. Rookie Kris Bubic will be tasked with extending the Royals’ season-best four-game winning streak. Although Kansas City is winless in Bubic’s first two starts, the southpaw pitched decently both times, holding the Cubs and White Sox to four earned runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out nine in 10 innings (3.60 ERA).


Today, Bubic faces a Reds squad that’s just 7-9 on the season (only a half-game better than KC’s 7-10 record). Cincy’s problem: It can’t hit (.195 team batting average, compared with the Royals’ .255 mark) and its bullpen is a disaster (7.77 ERA, while KC relievers sport a 3.16 ERA).

3* KANSAS CITY (based on 1* to 5* rating)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My complimentary winner for Tuesday is going to be a total, as I see the Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees bats coming to life, based on the pitching matchup.

MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays traditionally list pitchers automatically with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. If that is applicable with your book, be sure Touki Toussaint and Jordan Montgomery are the starters of record on your ticket when making your play. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.

Toussaint hasn't had the most pleasant start to the season, as he's sans a decision and is sporting a a 6.08 ERA. Its odd to me considering he has a pretty good arsenal, has used a wicked breaking ball to register 20 strikeouts and pitches with confidence.

This start is tricky, as the Yankees have a smart lineup, and will jack every offering he has without a hitch. And since he's given up at least one home run in two of his three appearances - two starts - this fill-in sport start for Mike Foltynewicz could end quickly for him.

The Yankees are going with Jordan Montgomery, who comes in off a strong start against the Boston Red Sox, but still has been unceremonious the first month of the season, going 1-1 in his first two starts with a 5.59 ERA. He allowed a home run in each.

I mention the home runs because we have the No. 4 and 5 teams in the league in home runs, as the Yankees have jacked 27 and the Braves 26. And when we're talking about runs scored, Atlanta ranks No. 1 with 95 and the Yankees are ninth with 79.

I like this one to get past 10 runs with ease.

5* OVER Braves-Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

Remember last season, when the Carolina Hurricanes were labeled as jerks by famed announcer Don Cherry, because of their post-game celebrations after victories.

Well, the Hurricanes are back; Cherry is not.

While Cherry was checked into the boards, and off the air for off-color remarks, the Hurricanes return to the postseason and face the defending Eastern Conference champion Boston Bruins. It's a rematch from last season's East Final, and I like the Hurricanes to come out blazing in this first game.

After all, teams that take Game 1 in a best-of-seven series boast an all-time series record of 478-219 (68.6%).

Boston swept Carolina in four games in last year's final, and that's why I think the Hurricanes must play for this win against the President's Trophy winner. There are 18 players that dressed for the Hurricanes during last year's Conference Final and return for this series, so you can bet revenge is on the brain here.

The one person I want you keeping an eye on is Sebastian Aho, who finished the qualifying round with eight points in three games (3 goals, 5 assists) - the second-most among all players. Aho is tied for second among all NHL skaters with eight points, while's tallied 20 points (8 goals, 12 assists) through 18 career postseason games, tying him with Eric Staal and Kevin Dineen for the most points by a skater through the first 18 games of their postseason career in franchise history.

Aho has proven to be comfortable against Boston's rugged and heavy lineup, too, as he's tallied 12 points (8 goals, 4 assists) in 10 career regular season games against the Bruins.

I don't care who gets the nod in goal tonight, as coach Rod Brind'Amour hasn't announced who tonight's starter will be (as of 9 am eastern), but much like Vegas with two quality goaltenders to choose from, the 'Canes have a dynamic duo.

Petr Mrazek and James Reimer combined to stop 94 of 98 shots faced during the Eastern Conference Qualifying Round vs. the New York Rangers, recording a 3-0 record, 1.33 goals-against average and .959 save percentage. Their combined 1.33 goals-against average is the third-lowest mark in a postseason series in franchise history.

Pricey dog, nice price, solid value.

Take Carolina.

1* HURRICANES