Wednesday 8/12/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372306

    #46
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Delaware Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 87

    Rating:

    #3 SUPER CONSTITUTION (ML=3/1)
    #8 THE CAIRO KID (ML=10/1)
    #1 ANNAMATED MOON (ML=5/1)


    SUPER CONSTITUTION - This gelding finished well ahead of the third horse on July 18th. Those horses tend to run well next time out. Sneaky speed on this one. He'll probably be stalking horses on the back side, then bury them down the stretch. Ranked numero uno in earnings per start (EPS). Another notice that this horse is the class of the field. This gelding is in fine form. Finished second on July 18th. THE CAIRO KID - Look two races back where the horse finished third. You can excuse the last race where he bounced a bit. I see a return to form today. Didn't do well last time out, but I do see two starts back when racing on the dirt, a whole different horse. Speed rating of 95 should put this one in the money. Has a good chance to break maiden moving to the dirt in this event. ANNAMATED MOON - You always have to be on the lookout for profit making jockey/handler tandems; we have one right here.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 O'TROUBLE (ML=2/1), #5 PEACHY KEEN (ML=6/1), #6 HEALTHCARE HEROES (ML=6/1),

    O'TROUBLE - This colt earned a speed figure in his last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's event. PEACHY KEEN - 6/1 is not enough of a price to take on this thoroughbred. HEALTHCARE HEROES - M/L odds of 6/1 make this horse a pass by my examination.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 SUPER CONSTITUTION on top if we're getting at least 9/5 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with [1,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,3,8] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372306

      #47
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



      08/12/20, SAR, Race 10, 5.48 ET
      08/12/20,SAR,10,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $40,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
      . . . .
      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
      100.0000 10 Love Me Tomorrow 5-1 Davis D Avila A. C. SFEW 38.73 1.35/$1
      096.6945 6 Deeply Analytical(b+) 3-1 Gaffalione T Abreu Jorge R. TL 38.73 1.35/$1
      093.7149 4 Mebs Web 9/2 Cancel E Zito Nicholas P. 38.73 1.35/$1
      093.6223 7 Aggravation 6-1 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A. 38.73 1.35/$1
      093.1602 8 Gringotts 6-1 Rosario J Englehart Chris J. J 38.73 1.35/$1
      091.9826 9 Mia Bea Star 8-1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. 38.73 1.35/$1
      091.7839 5 Peerless 15-1 Santana. Jr. R Brown Bruce R. 38.73 1.35/$1
      091.4214 1 Crick 8-1 Cardenas L Dunham Bob G. C 38.73 1.35/$1
      088.5203 3 Empress Luciana 15-1 Gutierrez R Barker Edward R. 38.73 1.35/$1
      087.0721 2 Sander's Empire(b+) 20-1 Cohen D Jones Eduardo E. 38.73 1.35/$1
      * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.00, ROI 0.99/$1
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372306

        #48
        NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
        THE LEGEND!
        FREE NHL PICKS
        Canadiens vs Flyers
        TIME: 8:00 PM EST
        PICK: Flyers -155
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372306

          #49
          Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
          1. NSA(The Legend) Baseball – Diamondbacks -105
          2. Gameday Network Baseball – Angels over 9
          3. VegasSI.com Baseball – Indians -120
          4. Vegas Line Crushers Baseball – Blue Jays -165
          5. Sports Action 365 Basketball – Thunder +2
          6. Point Spread Report Basketball – Clippers -5.5
          7. Lou Panelli Basketball – Raptors over 219.5
          8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino Basketball – Thunder over 218.5
          9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club Baseball – Phillies -175
          10. William E. Stockton Baseball – Twins under 9
          11. Vincent Pioli Baseball – Dodgers -155
          12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall Baseball – Rays -155
          13. SCORE Basketball – Pacers +6.5
          14. East Coast Line Movers Basketball – Clippers under 228.5
          15. Tony Campone Basketball – Raptors -6.5
          16. Chicago Sports Group Basketball – Clippers -5.5
          17. Hollywood Sportsline Baseball – Twins -125
          18. VIP Action Baseball – Yankees -1.5
          19. South Beach Sports Baseball – Reds over 9.5
          20. Las Vegas Sports Commission Baseball – Indians -120
          21. NY Players Club Basketball – Thunder +2
          22. Fred Callahan Basketball – Pacers +6.5
          23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club Basketball – Clippers -5.5
          24. Michigan Sports Basketball – Pacers under 231
          25. National Consensus Report Baseball – Mariners +120
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372306

            #50
            VEGASSI
            WEDNESDAY 8/12/2020
            FREE MLB PICKS
            Orioles @ Phillies
            TIME: 7:05 PM EST
            PICK: OVER 9.5
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372306

              #51
              Sports Action 365

              FREE NBA WINNER 8/12/20:
              PLAY Nuggets +4.5 vs Clippers, GAME TIME 9:05 PM EST
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372306

                #52
                MLB
                Dunkel

                Wednesday, August 12


                NY Islanders @ Washington

                Game 9-10
                August 12, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                NY Islanders
                12.024
                Washington
                11.003
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                NY Islanders
                by 1
                5
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Washington
                -135
                5 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                NY Islanders
                (+115); Under

                Arizona @ Colorado


                Game 11-12
                August 12, 2020 @ 5:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Arizona
                11.226
                Colorado
                12.470
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Colorado
                by 1
                7
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Colorado
                -180
                5 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Colorado
                (-180); Over

                Montreal @ Philadelphia


                Game 13-14
                August 12, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Montreal
                13.653
                Philadelphia
                12.621
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Montreal
                by 1
                7
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Philadelphia
                -150
                5 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Montreal
                (+130); Over

                Vancouver @ St. Louis


                Game 15-16
                August 12, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Vancouver
                11.225
                St. Louis
                12.163
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                St. Louis
                by 1
                5
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                St. Louis
                -145
                5 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                St. Louis
                (-145); Under

                Carolina @ Boston


                Game 35-36
                August 12, 2020 @ 11:00 am

                Dunkel Rating:
                Carolina
                12.112
                Boston
                13.086
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Boston
                by 1
                5
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Boston
                -135
                5 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Boston
                (-135); Under
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372306

                  #53
                  761INDIANA -762 HOUSTON
                  HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a division game in the current season.

                  763TORONTO -764 PHILADELPHIA
                  PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

                  765MIAMI -766 OKLAHOMA CITY
                  MIAMI is 22-7 ATS (14.3 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

                  767LA CLIPPERS -768 DENVER
                  DENVER is 104-137 ATS (-46.7 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372306

                    #54
                    NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Wednesday, August 12


                    Indiana @ Houston

                    Game 761-762
                    August 12, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Indiana
                    110.909
                    Houston
                    122.921
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Houston
                    by 12
                    219
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Houston
                    by 7
                    230
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Houston
                    (-7); Under

                    Toronto @ Philadelphia


                    Game 763-764
                    August 12, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Toronto
                    127.482
                    Philadelphia
                    113.013
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Toronto
                    by 14 1/2
                    234
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Toronto
                    by 5 1/2
                    223
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Toronto
                    (-5 1/2); Over

                    Miami @ Oklahoma City


                    Game 765-766
                    August 12, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Miami
                    121.677
                    Oklahoma City
                    115.438
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Miami
                    by 6
                    216
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Oklahoma City
                    by 2
                    219 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Miami
                    (+2); Under

                    LA Clippers @ Denver


                    Game 767-768
                    August 12, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    LA Clippers
                    119.277
                    Denver
                    121.246
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Denver
                    by 2
                    240
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    LA Clippers
                    by 4 12
                    235 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Denver
                    (+4 1/2); Over
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372306

                      #55
                      NBA
                      Long Sheet

                      Wednesday, August 12


                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      INDIANA (43 - 28) vs. HOUSTON (44 - 26) - 8/12/2020, 4:00 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a division game this season.
                      HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      HOUSTON is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                      INDIANA is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                      HOUSTON is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      HOUSTON is 5-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                      HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      TORONTO (51 - 19) vs. PHILADELPHIA (42 - 29) - 8/12/2020, 6:30 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      TORONTO is 226-275 ATS (-76.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                      TORONTO is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
                      TORONTO is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      TORONTO is 11-7 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                      TORONTO is 12-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                      11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      MIAMI (44 - 27) vs. OKLAHOMA CITY (43 - 27) - 8/12/2020, 8:00 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      MIAMI is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      LA CLIPPERS (47 - 23) vs. DENVER (46 - 25) - 8/12/2020, 9:00 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 240-297 ATS (-86.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                      DENVER is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 86-70 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
                      DENVER is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                      DENVER is 5-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                      5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372306

                        #56
                        NBA Bubble Bets - Wednesday
                        Tony Mejia

                        Indiana Pacers vs. Houston Rockets

                        Time/Venue: 4:05 p.m, AdventHealth Arena
                        Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Pacers 43-28/4-2 (38-30-3, 4-2); Rockets 44-26/4-2 (33-37, 4-2)
                        Line: HOU -7/***, HOU ML -278, HOU +225


                        Line Analysis: Considering the Rockets were blown out by San Antonio yesterday, the James Harden effect is on display given the spread here. He’ll be in the mix while Russell Westbrook rests and Eric Gordon returns from an ankle injury suffered in the final scrimmage before seeding games began. Nate McMillan has a banged-up team on his hands and promised to shuffle rotations and spread out minutes before play in the bubble began so we might be in for one of those games where he tinkers.

                        Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: McMillan has received a contract extension and has done a nice job developing his group, though there are criticisms about how archaic his offense can be. He’s dealt well without having Domantas Sabonis to play through after the talented forward had to leave the bubble to deal with a painful case of plantar fasciitis. It’s helped that Victor Oladipo decided to play and he’s been better than expected. T.J. Warren, a first-team all-bubble lock, has also been nursing a foot injury that could sideline him here if Indiana chooses the cautious approach. Gordon returning for the Rockets means he’ll be shaking off the rust while also getting time that Ben McLemore and Austin Rivers have used effectively to get themselves going over the past few weeks.

                        Handicapping Notes: Since scoring 153 points in that tremendous win over the Mavericks to open their bubble schedule, the Rockets have scored 120 or more points only twice in five games and have seen the ‘over’ cash only once. The regular-season meeting between these two went ‘under’ as Houston prevailed at home 111-102. Gordon, an Indianapolis legend, is the x-factor here. How effective will he be? Mike D’Antoni is prioritizing getting him some reps and will put the ball in his hands often. .

                        Nothin’ But Bet: Bet the ‘over’ on Harden assists. My expectation is he’ll look to facilitate for Gordon and others in this one.


                        Toronto Raptors vs. Philadelphia 76ers

                        Time/Venue: 6:35 p.m. ET, AdventHealth Arena
                        Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Raptors 51-19/5-1 (40-29-1, 5-1); 76ers 42-29/3-3 (29-38-4, 1-5)
                        Line: TOR -5.5/222.5 TOR -250 ML, PHI +205


                        Line Analysis: Expect this line to fluctuate as news trickles out regarding the availability of 76ers center Joel Embiid. Al Horford and Tobias Harris are questionable as well after sitting out Tuesday’s loss to Phoenix. The Raptors should have a full roster in play after a rest day on the heels of posting wins in both ends of a back-to-back against the Grizzlies and Bucks. They’re locked into the East’s No. 2 seed.

                        Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Pascal Siakam hasn’t rebounded well but has found the range from the perimeter. Skinnier Marc Gasol is still every bit as impressive a defender as the larger model, and guards Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet have been tremendous. Both should play here, which means Philly point guard Shake Milton will have his hands full. Josh Richardson had a huge game in a loss to Portland before sitting out yesterday’s loss to Phoenix, so he’ll be the x-factor for the Sixers. Alec Burks comes off a great effort in Tuesday’s loss to the Suns and gives the offense some teeth now that he’s guaranteed a larger role with Ben Simmons sidelined.

                        Handicapping Notes: Toronto won two of three this season against its Atlantic Division rival but these teams haven’t seen one another since Jan. 22. The 76ers suffered both losses in Toronto, failing to crack the century mark. They beat the Raps at home 110-104 on Dec. 8 in the only meeting that didn’t go ‘under.’ The low side is 5-0-1 in seeding games involving the Raptors.

                        Nothin’ But Bet: We’ll get creative in this one and ride the 76ers to win the first quarter but the Raptors to ultimately take the game. That first-quarter winner/match winner prop pays +330 at FanDuel.


                        Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

                        Time/Venue: 8:05 p.m. ET, Visa Athletic Center
                        Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Heat 44-27/3-3 (36-33-2, 3-3); Thunder 43-27/3-3 (43-27, 3-3)
                        Line: OKC -1.5/217 OKC -120 ML, MIA +102


                        Line Analysis: The Heat opened as a heavier underdog here and I don’t understand why. Both teams have been impressive in the bubble. This should be a pick’em. If Jimmy Butler is counted in as a participant, I’d expect this line to shift closer to that.

                        Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: The Heat dominated three of the four quarters against the Pacers as Jimmy Butler returned and shut down T.J. Warren, helping hold one of the bubble’s breakout stars scoreless in the second half. Goran Dragic (ankle) also returned, rejoining the starting lineup with rookie Kendrick Nunn “self-quarantining” after leaving the bubble. He’s not expected to play today but according to Fort Lauderdale Sun-Sentinel beat writer Ira Winderman, that could change. Tyler Herro has excelled with more touches and seems well-suited to taking over Dragic’s role as chief catalyst off the bench.

                        Chris Paul played both legs of a back-to-back for the Thunder and appears to want to log reps and help teammates improve through these seeding games. Centers Steven Adams and Nerlens Noel have been banged up this week and have been excluded from the lineup the past few games. Mike Muscala has started in the middle and Darius Bazley has flourished in creating matchup problems by using his mobility as a small-ball big man.

                        Handicapping Notes: These are two of the bubble’s most impressive defensive teams, and it will be interesting to see if Bazley can have the same impact that he’s enjoyed over the past few weeks when facing Miami’s active frontcourt paced by Bam Adebayo. The ‘under’ is 3-3 for both teams but cashed more often than not prior to the regular season being put on pause as these teams established identities. The ‘over’ connected in the lone meeting back on Jan. 17. The Heat won 115-108 in OKC as a 1-point favorite but Adams didn’t play and Herro was ill. Jae Crowder and Andre Iguodala weren’t part of the Miami roster yet.

                        Nothin’ But Bet: If Adams plays, I’d be the first-quarter under.


                        Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets

                        Time/Venue: 9:05 p.m. ET, AdventHealth Arena
                        Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Clippers 47-23/3-3 (39-31, 4-2); Nuggets 46-25/3-3 (33-34-4, 4-2)
                        Line: LAC -5/227.5, LAC ML -220, DEN +184


                        Line Analysis: This number is right around where it should be, though it opened a little higher than I would’ve guessed and was sharply bet as some took the points with the Nuggets. These Western conference heavyweights are expected to meet in the semifinals if both hold serve as seeded favorites in their first-round series. L.A. sent a message in the most recent matchup between these teams on Feb. 28, prevailing 132-103 as a seven-point home favorite. Denver was a one-point underdog when it won at home on Jan. 12, but Paul George was absent for that 114-104 result. The total for both games closed in the 220-221 range.

                        Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: The big news for L.A. is that super sub Montrezl Harrell is expected to return and see his normal minutes after coming out of quarantine. Harrell has been away from the bubble due to a family tragedy and is ready to rejoin Lou Williams on the most lethal second unit in the league. George and Leonard will likely rejoin forces and should be in the mix for this one and Friday’s finale against the Thunder.

                        The Nuggets are going to be without starting wings Will Barton and Gary Harris for one more game before potentially getting them back on Friday for a dress-rehearsal. Both have been too injured to play throughout the seeding games, giving Michael Porter Jr. and Jerami Grant opportunities to really contribute. Jamal Murray returned on Saturday and has looked sharp, allowing Monte Morris to return to the bench role that suits him best. He was the key to Denver’s cover against the Lakers on Monday.

                        Handicapping Notes: This would ordinarily be a massive game between the second and third seeds in the West since a Nuggets’ victory would trim the difference between the teams to a half-game. Without homecourt advantage in play, it means much less. It remains to be seen whether Doc Rivers and Michael Malone hold anything back since neither wants to tip their hand prior to an expected playoff meeting, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see this one wind up with a scrimmage feel. Harrell’s return and the fact that Malone is still taking a long look at the likes of P.J. Dozier and Bol Bol contribute to the feeling that this contest isn’t likely to get bogged down by many coaching tactics.

                        Nothin’ But Bet: Porter Jr.’s run is about to come to an end since Barton’s return will limit touches and potentially send him back to the bench. Expect him to be aggressive in making Malone’s decision a difficult one with a big game here. Ride the over a Porter Jr. points + rebounds prop.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372306

                          #57
                          WNBA
                          Dunkel

                          Wednesday, August 12


                          Dallas @ Connecticut

                          Game 661-662
                          August 12, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Dallas
                          102.498
                          Connecticut
                          112.553
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Connecticut
                          by 10
                          170
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Connecticut
                          by 4 1/2
                          163
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Connecticut
                          (-4 1/2); Over

                          Phoenix @ Chicago


                          Game 663-664
                          August 12, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Phoenix
                          110.442
                          Chicago
                          109.765
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Phoenix
                          by 1
                          168
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Chicago
                          by 4 1/2
                          175
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Phoenix
                          (+4 1/2); Under

                          Atlanta @ Seattle


                          Game 665-666
                          August 12, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Atlanta
                          99.930
                          Seattle
                          116.024
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Seattle
                          by 16
                          166
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Seattle
                          by 13
                          162 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Seattle
                          (-13); Over
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 372306

                            #58
                            WNBA
                            Long Sheet

                            Wednesday, August 12


                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            DALLAS (3 - 5) vs. CONNECTICUT (2 - 6) - 8/12/2020, 7:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            DALLAS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1997.
                            CONNECTICUT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            CONNECTICUT is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                            CONNECTICUT is 6-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                            4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            PHOENIX (5 - 3) vs. CHICAGO (5 - 3) - 8/12/2020, 9:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                            CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            ATLANTA (2 - 6) vs. SEATTLE (7 - 1) - 8/12/2020, 10:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            SEATTLE is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                            SEATTLE is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                            SEATTLE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                            ATLANTA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                            SEATTLE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road games on Wednesday since 1997.
                            SEATTLE is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
                            SEATTLE is 4-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                            4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 372306

                              #59
                              NHL
                              Dunkel

                              Wednesday, August 12


                              NY Islanders @ Washington

                              Game 9-10
                              August 12, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              NY Islanders
                              12.024
                              Washington
                              11.003
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              NY Islanders
                              by 1
                              5
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Washington
                              -135
                              5 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              NY Islanders
                              (+115); Under

                              Arizona @ Colorado


                              Game 11-12
                              August 12, 2020 @ 5:30 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Arizona
                              11.226
                              Colorado
                              12.470
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Colorado
                              by 1
                              7
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Colorado
                              -180
                              5 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Colorado
                              (-180); Over

                              Montreal @ Philadelphia


                              Game 13-14
                              August 12, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Montreal
                              13.653
                              Philadelphia
                              12.621
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Montreal
                              by 1
                              7
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Philadelphia
                              -150
                              5 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Montreal
                              (+130); Over

                              Vancouver @ St. Louis


                              Game 15-16
                              August 12, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Vancouver
                              11.225
                              St. Louis
                              12.163
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              St. Louis
                              by 1
                              5
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              St. Louis
                              -145
                              5 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              St. Louis
                              (-145); Under

                              Carolina @ Boston


                              Game 35-36
                              August 12, 2020 @ 11:00 am

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Carolina
                              12.112
                              Boston
                              13.086
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Boston
                              by 1
                              5
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Boston
                              -135
                              5 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Boston
                              (-135); Under

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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 372306

                                #60
                                Insider Sports Report

                                MLB Oakland -110
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