Sunday 8/30/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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5COLORADO -6 DALLAS
DALLAS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.

7PHILADELPHIA -8 NY ISLANDERS
PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 ATS (12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the current season.

9VEGAS -10 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 33-21 ATS (15.1 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

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NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, August 30

Colorado @ Dallas

Game 5-6
August 30, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
12.694
Dallas
13.761
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-135
6
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+115); Over

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders

Game 7-8
August 30, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
13.138
NY Islanders
11.557
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-125
5
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+105); Over

Vegas @ Vancouver

Game 9-10
August 30, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.026
Vancouver
13.585
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-210
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+180); Over

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NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, August 30

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COLORADO (49-23-0-9, 107 pts.) vs. DALLAS (44-29-0-8, 96 pts.) - 8/30/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 5-13 ATS (+18.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 30-36 ATS (-9.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-1 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 270-179 ATS (+41.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 52-45 ATS (-4.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-16 ATS (+28.6 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 9-8 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-8-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.3 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (49-25-0-7, 105 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (44-25-0-11, 99 pts.) - 8/30/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 96-74 ATS (+185.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 13-4 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 17-5 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 13-5 ATS (+7.2 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 38-26 ATS (+64.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 17-12 ATS (+29.0 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-10 ATS (+3.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-32 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-6 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-10 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-15 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-7 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-18 ATS (+42.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-8 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 10-4 (+5.7 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 10-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.0 Units)

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VEGAS (48-26-0-8, 104 pts.) vs. VANCOUVER (44-31-0-7, 95 pts.) - 8/30/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 94-77 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 44-38 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 14-8 ATS (+22.4 Units) after a division game this season.
VANCOUVER is 12-6 ATS (+18.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
VANCOUVER is 22-18 ATS (+40.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VEGAS is 30-9 ATS (+15.6 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
VEGAS is 16-5 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 10-3 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 10-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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NHL

Sunday, August 30

Trend Report

Colorado @ Dallas
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

Vegas @ Vancouver
Vegas
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Vegas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing at home against Vegas
Vancouver is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games

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MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, August 30

NY Mets @ NY Yankees

Game 901-902
August 30, 2020 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Porcello) 15.896
NY Yankees
(King) 16.677
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-120); Under

Tampa Bay @ Miami

Game 903-904
August 30, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 18.346
Miami
(Alcantara) 15.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-170
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-170); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati

Game 905-906
August 30, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Chatwood) 14.552
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 15.561
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-145); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 907-908
August 30, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Maeda) 16.553
Detroit
(Mize) 15.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-200
9
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-200); Under

Washington @ Boston

Game 909-910
August 30, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Voth) 16.304
Boston
(Godley) 14.436
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-115
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-105); Under

Oakland @ Houston

Game 915-916
August 30, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Luzardo) 14.546
Houston
(Valdez) 15.868
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-115); Over

Kansas City @ Chicago White Sox

Game 911-912
August 30, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Bubic) 15.685
Chicago White Sox
(Dunning) 14.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-190
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+165); Over

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee

Game 913-914
August 30, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Brault) 15.159
Milwaukee
(Woodruff) 14.040
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-240
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+200); Over

Cleveland @ St. Louis

Game 917-918
August 30, 2020 @ 2:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Civale) 16.964
St. Louis
(Wainwrght) 13.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-120); Over

LA Dodgers @ Texas

Game 919-920
August 30, 2020 @ 2:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Gonsolin) 16.756
Texas
(Gibson) 17.849
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-240
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+200); Under

Baltimore @ Toronto

Game 921-922
August 30, 2020 @ 3:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Lopez) 14.461
Toronto
(Roark) 18.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-145
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-145); Under

NY Yankees @ NY Mets

Game 931-932
August 30, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Garcia) 15.360
NY Mets
(Lugo) 16.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
N/A

San Diego @ Colorado

Game 923-924
August 30, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Paddack) 15.775
Colorado
(Castellani) 16.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-150
12 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+130); Under

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 925-926
August 30, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Dunn) 15.612
LA Angels
(Canning) 14.707
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-190
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+165); Over

San Francisco @ Arizona

Game 927-928
August 30, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cueto) 16.717
Arizona
(Clarke) 14.307
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+110); Under


Atlanta @ Philadelphia

Game 929-930
August 30, 2020 @ 7:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Ynoa) 16.036
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 17.954
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-130
10
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-130); Under

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FREE MLB PICKS
Mariners @ Angels
TIME: 4:10 PM EST
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Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 8/30/20

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August 30, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saratoga
Sunday, August 30, 2020
*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches.
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Saratoga Analysis and Wagering Strategies:

RACE 1: Post 1:10 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Sam and Sy; 8-What’s My Category

Forecast: The opener – a five and one-half furlong sprint for maiden state-bred 2-year-olds, has been transferred to the main track and should be treated with caution. Sam and Sy has done some good work in the a.m. for B. Cox (average stats with first-timers) and seems as a good as any in what amounts to an educated guessing game. A $75,000 OBS April sale purchase where he previewed in 10 1/5 seconds, the son of Speightster shows two recent local half-mile bullet works should have him on edge. What’s My Category flashed good speed before fading in his debut but with that race under his belt and this shortening in trip the son of Competitive Edge should stick a lot better. We’ll try to get by using just these two but if you can afford to spread deeper, go right ahead.
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RACE 2: Post 1:44 ET. Grade: C
Use: 2-Blood Moon; 6-Fried Rice King

Forecast: This restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming main track router drew just six entrants, with Blood Moon listed as the 3/5 morning line favorite. Yes, he should win, but as odds-on favorites go, we’ve seen more dependable. The 3-year-old son of Malibu Moon is a “need the lead” type and probably will get it, although Mucho Bay may have something to say about that. The D. Gargan-trained colt has a clear advantage over his weak foes in the speed figure department but only when he gets his way. If he gets pressured early by ‘Bay, Fried Rice King, dropping drastically in class very much like Blue Moon, could come running late. The Bernardini gelding broke his maiden two runs back by more than seven lengths before displaying nothing in a starter’s allowance race, so this class drop is warranted. In a race that probably is best left alone, we’ll go two-deep in our rolling exotics but that’s about it.
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RACE 3: Post 2:18 ET. Grade: B
Use: 4-No Mo’ Spending; 6-Elusive Site

Forecast: No Mo’ Spending has the benefit of two races under her belt and unless there’s a good thing among the first time starters the daughter of Uncle Mo should earn her diploma today in this extended sprint for maiden-special-weight juvenile fillies. Today’s extra furlong should promote her chances significantly after she earned a better than par speed figure when third in a tougher spot earlier this month. Elusive Site has some talent, though we suspect she’ll eventually do her best going long on grass. We’ll include her on a ticket or two as back-up while reserving the main punch for No Mo’ Spending.
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RACE 4: Post 2:51 ET. Grade: C
Use: 3-Siding Spring; 5-Mills

Forecast: This race has been taken off the turf, extended to a mile and one-eighth, and will go with just five runners. Siding Spring is capable on dirt and should find himself on or near the lead throughout, while MTO entrant Mills is an old pro capable of winning as a stalker or a closer and in a small field should have every chance to tag the leaders. In a race that we’ll otherwise leave alone, both should be included in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 5: Post 3:24 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1a-Traffic Lane; 5-Red Ghost; 13-Split Then Double; 15-Cease and Desist

Forecast: This maiden juvenile sprint race for fillies has been transferred from turf to the main track. Red Ghost, from the W. Ward barn, has three local works that have been slow and easy but at Keeneland last month the daughter of Ghostzapper registered a bullet half mile gate drill in :46 1/5 seconds to indicate she has plenty of speed and ability. She should be cranked up and ready to roll. Split then Double, Cease and Desist and Traffic Lane draw in from the also-eligible list and hail from top stables, so they’re probably worth including somewhere on your ticket as well.
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RACE 6: Post 3:57 ET. Grade: C
Use: 2-Summer Bourbon; 3-O Shea Can U See; 5-Zinbuce; 7-Local Hero

Forecast: Here’s a messy $12,500 claimer that requires a significant spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll go four-deep but you should use as many as your budget allows. Summer Bourbon plummets from $25,000 after three consecutive substandard efforts and may return to life against this group. The veteran gelding likes to settle in the second flight and produce a late kick and given that type of trip today he should have every chance. O Shea Can U See exits the same race as Summer Bourbon and is another that should appreciate this easier assignment. He’s a deep closer with a very good lifetime record at this six and one-half furlong trip (four wins in 10 starts) so with some help up front he should be heard from late. Zonic is another that likes to produce one late run and though he usually settles for minor awards the son of Ghostzapper hails from a barn that’s been red hot all meeting so we’ll list him a legit contender. Local Hero is worth tossing in somewhere as well; he’s been away since February and is waiver protected and returns after earning a career top speed figure in a runway win at the Big A that he may (or, may not) be able duplicate under these conditions.
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RACE 7: Post 4:32 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 4-Pecatonica; 12-Blue Atlas

Forecast: Blue Atlas is drawn outside but is good enough to win this allowance optional claimer for fillies and mares if she can negotiate a decent trip. She’s capable of winning on the lead or from off the pace, so the options are there for J. Ortiz to play it by ear depending upon the race flow. Pecatonica, third in the same race Blue Atlas finished second in last month, had a rough trip and should have been a lot closer. A two-time winner (in three starts) over the local lawn, the Temple City filly goes for the Clement-Rosario team and seems the one to fear most. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 8: Post 5:07 ET. Grade: B
Use: 4-Gandy Dancing; 8-Harris Bay

Forecast: Harris Bay may have been a tad rusty when a troubled third in his first outing since January four weeks ago in similar state-bred first-level allowance sprint and seems very likely to produce a significant forward move today. Most comfortable as a late-running sprinter, the sophomore son of Carpe Diem retains J. Alvarado and with good racing luck will make his presence felt in the final furlong. Gandy Dancing, second in the same race ‘Bay exits, will help ensure a decent pace and if he can shake loose early he may get brave and keep on going. The lightly-raced son of Flatter should continue to improve with experience and is properly listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite. Both should be included in you rolling exotics.
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RACE 9: Post 5:46 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 3-Letruska; 5-Golden Award; 6-Nonna Madeline

Forecast: Letruska stretches out and tries an easier assignment after pressing a blazing pace and then paying the price when weakening to be fifth in the Ballerina S.-G1 earlier this month. She’s clearly the controlling speed in this nine furlong Grade-3 event and if she clears without undue pressure (as projected by our pace scenario) the daughter of Super may roll all the way to the wire. Nonna Madeline and Golden Award, first and second in the listed Summer Colony S. over this track and distance in early August, are dangerous right back despite the step up in class to graded stakes company. Both prefer to stalk and pounce and based strictly on speed figures are both competitive with our top pick. We’ll give Letruska the edge but include all three in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 10: Post 6:16 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Modern Science; 4-Shirelle

Forecast: Modern Science has the benefit of a couple of runs on his belt and the improving son of Galileo should be set to graduate unless there’s a better than average first-timer in the field. Shirelle has looked decent in a series of grass works for C. Brown and may be the most dangerous of the newcomers. In what amounts to a grass grab bag, these are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGASSI
SUNDAY 8/30/2020
FREE MLB PICKS
Giants @ Diamondbacks
TIME: 4:10 PM EST
PICK: Diamondbacks -119