Wednesday 9/2/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 06:56 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #4

#8 Megacity	Stalker has back-to-back big figures, meets a modest field there for the taking, and should offer a hint of value as well; look out.
#9 Malthael	Speedster has won two straight on the main track but has good turf form too, and this outside attack post is perfect; huge chance.
#5 Twelfth Labour	ML favorite goes off the Maker claim (16%) and has Irad but has never tried turf in 18 starts, which is odd; tread very lightly here.
Race Summary	That 4-1 ML on the pick seems very fair, not only off his last two, but when viewed in light of who he faces here too, so play him in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since this is a deep field, and there are a lot of different ways to go, which means a win would add plenty of value to both sequences. If on dirt: 5-9-6

Saratoga - Race #5

#3 I Prowl Alone	Dangerous returnee hasn't been out since February but goes for a Rice barn is having a big meet, and the MSW drop is huge here, not to mention this is a barn that never wins with firsters but is 25% with second-out maidens; look out.
#5 Brunate	The horse to beat has hit the board in three straight for Bond, who has done no wrong all meet long, though he had every chance last time and got outgamed late by an 0-for-18 maiden, which makes you hesitate a bit; second-best.
#1 Ringgood	Class dropper goes second-off the layoff and has run just once on the main, and that was against MSW foes in a decent 5th, so you have to think he's moving forward off the turf return, though he needs to be to threaten; in the mix.
Race Summary	The price should be right on the 3, and that's good enough for a sharp barn, and against a field of underachievers too, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would knock out a lot of tickets in both sequences.

Saratoga - Race #8

#4 Evaluator	Stretch runner has had his share of stops and starts but now goes second-off the long layoff, and the turf run should be a perfect tightener for this, he catches a field with seemingly enough speed to set him up, and now makes his first dirt start for Bond, who is having a banner meet; mows them all down late.
#5 Our Last Buck	Heavy hitter tries two turns, did well to draw outside the chalk, and will likely be pressing/chasing the proceedings from the outside, which is the spot to be in if that's your running style, but still, tanlging with that runner early and holding off the pick late won't be an easy task; may come unglued in the lane.
#3 Control Group	ML favorite chased then won in fast time at the level and over the track/distance off the Noda claim last time, and this is a barn that has seemingly won with everything they have won at the meet (9-for-21), but off such a huge score, at false odds, let's play for regression here; making him prove it right back.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 4, and the race flow should be too, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, as the betting public might view this a sa match race, even though he looks poised to benefit the most should the two heavy favorites hook up early and often.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 06:57 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #2

#7 Mr. Discretionary	Tough to get past this guy in a race without any other serious finishing punch. His recent lines with better stack up nicely, and he should be a handful for a capable local barn.
#5 King Sniper	Tactical type occasionally finishes off a race, and that would make him the main danger to the top choice. Thinking he'll be a fine fit with the locals.
#2 Gran Greyfrost	His form is all over the place, but every now and then he turns in a sharp effort, and his best stuff would keep him in the mix for a piece of this.
Race Summary	Mr. Discretionary has some positional pace and finishing ability, and that's a one-two punch that none of the others in here can lay claim to.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#4 Opeongo	Though he'll meet a bit of other pace today, this guy has been really sharp in a couple of turf sprints here this season. He'll break for the lead and dare the rest to keep up.
#1 Bret's At Caddies	Reliable type can get the right kind of tracking trip off the top choice, and he looks like the main danger to that guy.
#2 Distortedatthebar	This guy has never tried the lawn before, but he brings form that looks competitive on the main track if he's able to handle the new footing. Wildcard.
Race Summary	Opeongo has turned in two nice scores going short on the lawn, and he should be winging it on the front end again tonight.

Mountaineer - Race #4

#6 Magic Credit	Steps up off the decent local debut , and she may just be a better fit with the local competition. Big chance if she can repeat that last one on the hike.
#7 Nancy Knowsthemath	Has been no serious threat while landing underneath shares and figures to be at least a bit overbet off those recent tries.
#4 Easy Tiger	She showed some speed going a mile when wearing blinkers earlier in her career, and this will be an easier spot than she was finding in those Kentucky maiden claiming spots.
Race Summary	Magic Credit turned in a good one when making his first local start, and though that came against softer, the running line stacks up very well with other two listed who figure to take more cash.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 06:57 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1

#7 ARTACHE HANOVER	Can upstage in-money finishes with ideal set-up, use in all gimmicks.
#3 HIGHVIEW CONALL N	Close-up third through :56 back half against better.
#2 MORE DRAGON	Stuck in ‘third’ gear since June, moves outside in, gets Tetrick.
Race Summary	Artache Hanover, in the money in 4 of his last 6 starts at this level, should get a lively pace to rally into and offer good betting value. Play a 2-3-7 exacta box.

Northfield Park - Race #2

#6 SONG OF VICTORY	Changes equipment, qualifier encouraging, race faves are suspect.
#2 CAPTAINS ROYALTY	Should be forwardly placed a long way if he stays flat.
#4 MOMM’S MY DAD	In the money in 4 of last 5 starts, but now stands 0-33.
Race Summary	Can’t get excited about 0-for-33 Momm’s My Dad or break prone Captains Royalty at short prices, so taking a stab with Song of Victory, who showed a pulse in his most recent qualifier and races first-time hoppled for a 17-percent barn.

Northfield Park - Race #4

#1 HERE’S THE MAGIC	Faded chasing runaway out of town, memory serves 45-race winner well.
#3 STIRLING BOUDICA	Mare finished a clear third behind pair of short-priced favorites.
#8 IRON DOME	Second from outer post the last time he tested this level, provisional driver in bike.
Race Summary	Hawthorne invader Here’s The Magic lost contact with the odds-on runaway through a :27.4 final quarter, but he has speed and rail and gets Merriman to drive. Play a 1-3-8 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 06:58 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#2 Shakes Creek	Has won two of five turf races and ran evenly the last time he was on the local grass; can battle from the outset of this one and can be dangerous in this spot.
#5 Kinenos	Closed with a rush to win three of six and comes off a third in a stakes race here; will be closing well and at a short price.
#7 Tez	Was claimed two back by Israel Garcia and he won at first asking for the new barn; closed into slow fractions and is proving his worth on the turf.
Race Summary	Shakes Creek can be close-up throughout this one and and will dig in to make it difficult for the quality deep closers here.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#1 Double Tuff	Closed with a rush for third in open company last time and makes his first off the claim by Hammond; won this one last year in easy fashion.
#3 Stop Hammertime	Was an easy winner in his last two and takes a hefty step up; it's a form vs. class argument, and while he's 30-1 on the morning line, there's little doubt that he is doing his best running.
#8 Thatswhatithought	Crushed non-winners of two last time out and makes even more of a jump than Stop Hammertime; he beat non-winners of two last time.
Race Summary	Double Tuff has been in with some solid sprinters in open races and can make a strong bid in the stretch of this one.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#7 Expect Indy	Has been effective going long over this strip last but also proved in the past she is capable of getting up in sprints. She beat heavily favored Unbridled Class in this race last year; makes her second of the year after an ineffective sprint vs. open company. Worth a try at the price.
#8 Unbridled Class	Has taken two straight state-bred allowance races and won an open stakes race on turf at Fair Grounds. Has the class and speed that will make her tough to run down. Starts out at 1-5 on the board.
#1 Hypnotising	Didn't break last time but came flying at the end and won an allowance race going away; faces her toughest test but might be up to running into the exotics.
Race Summary	Expect Indy closed with a rush for a win in this race last year and needed her last start; poses the biggest threat to the favorite and just might run past her again.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 08:56 AM

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 09:01 AM

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
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Indians @ Royals
TIME: 8:05 PM EST
PICK: OVER 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 09:02 AM

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WEDNESDAY 9/2/2020
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Padres @ Angels
TIME: 9:40 PM EST
PICK: Angels +160

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 09:03 AM

Mitchell Newman

Monday my free play was on the Heat and the Bucks to hold Under the total and despite Jimmy Butler putting pretty much every shot he took through the hoop, Game One did indeed hold Under the total.

Let's play the Under again here on Wednesday in Game Two.

With Monday's Under, Miami is now on a 5-1 Under run in the playoffs as they knocked off the Pacers in 5 games while holding Indiana to just about 102 points per game. The defense saw them hold Milwaukee to just 104 in Monday win which is well below the Bucks 118.5 points per game average.

Expect a better job on the defensive end from Milwaukee in this second game, as they were among the best in the league in team defense as they have held teams to a 108+ points per game outout.

The Under is now 8-3 Under the last 11 times these Eastern Conference rivals have faced one another.

Bucks buck up tonight on "D" after allowing Butler and his Heat to post 115 points on Monday.

Heat-Bucks Under on Wednesday.

2* MIAMI-MILWAUKEE UNDER

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 11:04 AM

Stephen DeAngelo

Free play for Wednesday on the Cardinals and the Reds to keep the bats swinging and the runs scoring.

Last night St. Louis scored 16 times as they played their 3rd straight game Over the total. The Cards also happen to be on a 4-1 Over run their last 5 games played this season.

The Reds have done their part too, as Cincy has played their last 4 Over the total and the Over is 6-2 for their last 8 games contested.

Rookie Johan Oviedo will be making just his third career start for the Cardinals, while Tyler Mahle will counter for the Reds.

You just get the feeling that with the runs adding up from both teams, Oviedo and Mahle are not the ones you want out on the hill to slow down the offensive attacks.

I will side with both teams to be able to muster enough runs to send this Wednesday affair back to the Over column.

2* ST. LOUIS-CINCINNATI OVER

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 11:05 AM

Bob Valentino

They don't call it the "Wild West" for nothing....that is exactly what this Avalanche-Stars series has turned out to be as we head to the ice here on Wednesday for Game Six of this series.

The goals have been fast and furious, as Colorado netted 5 in the first period alone on Monday en-route to a 6-3 series-saving win. Through 5 games, the Avs have scored 21 goals. Their star player Nathan MacKinnon has recorded a point in each of Colorado's postseason games and a point tonight would tie him with all-time greats Mark Messier and Bobby Orr with 14 straight playoff games having recorded a goal or an assist - the second-longest streak in NHL history. Incidentally, Bryan Trottier is at the top of the list with 18 straight points in 18 games.

All 5 of the games played in this semifinal series have landed Over the total, as Colorado comes into this game having played Over the total in 8 straight postseason affairs!

Dallas is not too far behind, as the Stars have landed Over in 6 straight and in 8 of their last 10 played in Edmonton this postseason. The Stars also will have the luxury - if that is what you want to call it - of not having to face starting goalie Philipp Grubauer who left early in this series with an injury and has not returned. Backup Pavel Francouz was deemed "unfit" to play on Monday and it is not known if he will be between the pipes tonight. Michael Hutchinson was the surprise starter for Monday's elimination game and he did just enough to keep the Colorado season on life-support.

I don't really care who minds the net in this game, I have a feeling we are going to see the goals add up once again in this wild, wild west shootout. Colorado-Dallas Over the total.

3* COLORADO-DALLAS OVER

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 11:07 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 4	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $14,200 • Post: 2:20P
FOR REGISTERED OHIO FOALS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * IRON MEN OF METZ: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. KANDY CHARGE: Horse ranks in th e top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. NORESTFORTHEWICKED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. POWERS OUT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PLAYERS HERO: Jockey/Trainer combina tion return on investment is at least +20.
5	IRON MEN OF METZ	3/1	6/1
1	KANDY CHARGE	7/2	6/1
8	NORESTFORTHEWICKED	6/1	7/1
2	POWERS OUT	10/1	8/1
3	PLAYERS HERO	12/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	PLAYERS HERO	2	12/1	Front-runner	46	56	66.9	27.6	9.6
7	REGAL CROSS	7	6/1	Front-runner	44	37	65.6	40.4	31.9
2	POWERS OUT	1	10/1	Front-runner	61	52	46.8	42.6	34.6
5	IRON MEN OF METZ	5	3/1	Front-runner	56	54	46.6	47.8	43.3
1A	LAST CRUSADER	10	7/2	Front-runner	49	43	41.2	35.2	24.7
1	KANDY CHARGE	4	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	57	56	41.6	42.0	36.5
8	NORESTFORTHEWICKED	8	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	60	55	47.4	41.0	32.0
9	J STARR LINK	9	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	50	62	37.0	32.0	17.0
4	TROMBONE EASTON	3	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	29	35	27.8	21.6	6.6
6	BEAULOVED	6	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	39	38	12.8	30.4	16.4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 11:09 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ajax Downs

Ajax Downs - Race 2	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Speed Index • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 1:22P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WITH AN AVERAGE SPEED INDEX OF 80 AND UNDER. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BENDING OVER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. I THINK ICON: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CHICK IN PINK: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MS MEXICAN MOUSE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equi base Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	BENDING OVER	10/1	5/1
6	I THINK ICON	5/2	6/1
5	CHICK IN PINK	15/1	7/1
3	MS MEXICAN MOUSE	3/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	BENDING OVER	1	10/1	Fast	74	72	3.2	0.0	0.0
2	HANOVER HILL DASHING	2	5/1	Average	65	66	5.7	0.0	0.0
3	MS MEXICAN MOUSE	3	3/1	Average	76	71	4.9	0.0	0.0
4	EYE REQUIRE CORONA	4	7/2	Average	66	57	5.2	0.0	0.0
5	CHICK IN PINK	5	15/1	Fast	71	71	2.6	0.0	0.0
6	I THINK ICON	6	5/2	Average	79	73	5.5	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 11:10 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 71

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 2, 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 MARGARITA SUNRISE 6/1
# 11 DEFICIT HAWK 7/2
# 1 OXLEY GAP 3/1

I've got to go with MARGARITA SUNRISE. Overall, this handler has been lucrative at this distance/surface. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved rapidly to the front end recently. Ran a strong last race. DEFICIT HAWK - Should definitely be given consideration in this contest if only for the solid Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last competition. OXLEY GAP - Must be given consideration here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group of animals lately.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-02-2020, 11:11 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3 - Post: 5:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating:

#3 FOLTYNEWICZ (ML=5/2)

FOLTYNEWICZ - Sub-par outing last time around the track at Penn National was due to the off-going (he ended up fifth). Have to give a better effort right here in this race under better track conditions. Taking this jockey/conditioner combination is a good choice. Dropping down in class figure points from his July 22nd race at Penn National. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the edge. Another way to identify class is earnings per race. This thoroughbred has the top in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SIR LUDLOW (ML=9/5), #4 TOTAL DISTRACTION (ML=3/1), #6 THE FILTER (ML=4/1),

SIR LUDLOW - This gelding hasn't had any positive outcomes in sprint events in the last two months. Hasn't raced or had any morning activity since August 10th. Not much value on this favorite. TOTAL DISTRACTION - 3/1 odds isn't enough for this entrant when examining the most recent efforts. Somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last time out at Presque Isle Downs at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't feel this mount will improve too much in today's race. THE FILTER - This gelding finished out of the money on July 10th and wasn't close to winning last race out either. This horse ran a most unsatisfactory rating last out. He shouldn't improve and will probably suffer defeat in today's event running that number.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 FOLTYNEWICZ to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

Wednesday 9/2/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 9/2/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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