Wednesday 9/2/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358277

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8600 Class Rating: 49

    FOR MB/SASK/ND/SD BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 1 NO MORE SECRETS 9/5
    # 5 RAGING RED 5/1
    # 4 COMMANDO BEACH 6/1
    My choice in this event is NO MORE SECRETS. Must be given a shot given the class of races run lately. Whitehall has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 21 percent rate. RAGING RED - With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Mangalee ought to have this filly in excellent position to win the contest. COMMANDO BEACH - Maxwell has her trained solidly to break quickly out of the starting gate.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358277

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:50pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,800 Class Rating: 67

      Rating:

      #5 TRUENO (ML=4/1)
      #2 WOODBURN HALL (ML=2/1)


      TRUENO - Hernandez comes to ride after getting to know the gelding in the last event. Looking at the past performances on all of these horses, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long look at this animal. Won his last after shipping in. I like him again. A horse coming back this soon after a strong effort is a good sign. This gelding earned a nice figure of 67 in his last clash. That rating should be lofty enough to win this time. WOODBURN HALL - I undeniably see positive things for this magnificent animal right here.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ABE (ML=6/5),

      ABE - The favorite is suspect here with the lack of works. Will be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #5 TRUENO to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,5]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Pass
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358277

        #18
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga


        09/02/20, SAR, Race 9, 5.06 ET
        09/02/20,SAR,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:01 STAKES. With Anticipation Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $100,000. FOR TWO YEAR OLDS.
        . . . .
        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
        100.0000 1 Blame the Booze 9/2 Saez L Ward Wesley A. TWL 34.09 1.67/$1
        098.2037 3 Zippy Baby 6-1 Rosario J Magner Dermot S 34.09 1.67/$1
        097.7198 4 Winfromwithin 4-1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 34.09 1.67/$1
        097.6293 6 Nathan Detroit 8-1 Lezcano J McGaughey J. Reeve 34.09 1.67/$1
        097.1569 2 American Monarch 7/5 Alvarado J Mott William I. FC 33.33 1.56/$1
        095.9409 5 Fire At Will 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Maker Michael J. J 34.09 1.67/$1
        * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 25.00, ROI 1.03/$1
        If Race Is Off Turf

        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
        100.0000 1 Blame the Booze 9/2 Saez L Ward Wesley A. TSWL 37.74 1.39/$1
        097.1908 3 Zippy Baby 6-1 Rosario J Magner Dermot 37.74 1.39/$1
        096.9974 4 Winfromwithin 4-1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 37.74 1.39/$1
        096.9175 2 American Monarch 7/5 Alvarado J Mott William I. FEC 37.74 1.39/$1
        096.5484 6 Nathan Detroit 8-1 Lezcano J McGaughey J. Reeve 37.74 1.39/$1
        094.8057 5 Fire At Will 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Maker Michael J. J 37.74 1.39/$1
        * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 40.00, ROI 1.32/$1
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358277

          #19
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



          09/02/20, CD, Race 2, 1.32 ET
          09/02/20,CD,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since August 2 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
          . . . .
          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
          100.0000 4 Frills 4-1 Lanerie C J Colebrook Ben FL 40.00 1.92/$1
          097.9489 1 Honey Parade(b-) 3-1 Graham J Lynch Brian A. JW 22.05 0.74/$1
          096.2795 5 Freedom Passage 4-1 Baze T Glover Tracey 22.05 0.74/$1
          095.9240 2 Shackleford County 3-1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. S 22.05 0.74/$1
          095.5013 6 Ready Orb Not 5/2 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino TEC 36.78 1.27/$1
          094.3469 3 Lady McKenzie 12-1 Bejarano R Ortiz John Alexander 22.05 0.74/$1
          * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.47, ROI 1.06/$1
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358277

            #20
            NBA public betting, line movement September 2
            Patrick Everson

            James Harden and the Rockets get a second shot to knock out the Thunder when the Western Conference foes collide in Game 7 Wednesday. The SuperBook has the Rockets 5.5-point favorites.

            NBA betting odds are on the board and getting attention for Wednesday’s pair of playoff games. The marquee matchup is Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets in first-round play, preceded by Game 2 between the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks in a second-round series.

            The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday's matchups.

            NBA line movement

            Oklahoma City dodged elimination with a 104-100 Game 6 victory as a 5.5-point underdog Monday night. The SuperBook opened the Rockets -4.5 on Tuesday morning, and by Tuesday afternoon, the line was up a point to -5.5 for this 9 p.m. ET tipoff.

            Top-seeded Milwaukee was a 5-point Game 1 favorite against No. 5 Miami, but lost 115-104 Monday night. The Bucks opened -4.5 for Game 2, and The SuperBook moved to -5 by Tuesday night.

            NBA public betting

            The Consensus is often indicative of the public mindset, and that mindset is showing a notable if not overwhelming lean to Wednesday’s favorites. As of late Tuesday, the Rockets were landing 61 percent of Consensus picks, and the Bucks were drawing 66 percent of early picks.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358277

              #21
              729MIAMI -730 MILWAUKEE
              MIAMI is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

              731OKLAHOMA CITY -732 HOUSTON
              OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358277

                #22
                NBA
                Long Sheet

                Wednesday, September 2


                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                MIAMI (49 - 29) vs. MILWAUKEE (60 - 19) - 9/2/2020, 6:30 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                MIAMI is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                MIAMI is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
                MILWAUKEE is 98-74 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 82-62 ATS (+13.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 87-65 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 79-60 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 77-59 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                MIAMI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
                MILWAUKEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                MILWAUKEE is 223-272 ATS (-76.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                MIAMI is 7-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                OKLAHOMA CITY (47 - 31) vs. HOUSTON (47 - 31) - 9/2/2020, 9:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                HOUSTON is 113-75 ATS (+30.5 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
                HOUSTON is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                HOUSTON is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
                OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
                OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-6 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358277

                  #23
                  NBA

                  Wednesday, September 2


                  Trend Report

                  Miami @ Milwaukee
                  Miami
                  Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                  Milwaukee
                  Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                  Oklahoma City @ Houston
                  Oklahoma City
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games on the road
                  Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Houston
                  Houston
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games at home
                  Houston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358277

                    #24
                    NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Wednesday, September 2


                    Miami @ Milwaukee

                    Game 729-730
                    September 2, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Miami
                    117.665
                    Milwaukee
                    125.149
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Milwaukee
                    by 6 1/2
                    226
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Milwaukee
                    by 5
                    220 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Milwaukee
                    (-5); Over

                    Oklahoma City @ Houston


                    Game 731-732
                    September 2, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Oklahoma City
                    113.982
                    Houston
                    116.940
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Houston
                    by 3
                    220
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Houston
                    by 6
                    218
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Oklahoma City
                    (+6); Over
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358277

                      #25
                      Game 2 Odds: Heat vs. Bucks
                      Michael Crosson

                      The Heat improved to 5-0 in the NBA Bubble on Monday as it defeated the top-seeded Bucks in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference semifinal matchup.

                      Milwaukee has been solid when playoff off a loss and the oddsmakers have the club favored when they take the court in Game 2 on Wednesday.

                      Betting Resources

                      Matchup: Eastern Conference Game 2
                      Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
                      Location: Orlando, Florida
                      Date: Wednesday, Sep. 2, 2020
                      Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
                      TV: ESPN

                      The Heat rallied past the Bucks in Game 1 as Miami is once again an underdog on Wednesday. (AP)

                      Line Movements

                      What was once a six and a half-point spread in favor of Milwaukee going into Game 1, has been trimmed down by over a third as Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks head into Game 2 as just four-point favorites, following their 115-104 loss to the Miami Heat in the series opener on Monday night.

                      ‘Under’ bettors struck gold in Monday’s Game 1 tilt, as Milwaukee and Toronto combined for just 219 points – four and a half points under the total for the contest (OU 223.5). The oddsmakers decided to meet somewhere in the middle for the second game of this series, setting the line at OU 221.5 for Wednesday’s matchup.

                      Miami reigned victorious in Game 1, but it seems Vegas is content taking its chances against Jimmy Butler and company, listing the Heat as +175 underdogs heading into Wednesday’s contest.

                      Spread: Milwaukee -4.5
                      Money-Line: Milwaukee -200 Miami +175
                      Total: 221.5
                      Updated Series Price: Milwaukee -180, Miami +160

                      Game 1 Recap

                      The first game of this Eastern Conference Semi-Finals series was a track meet out of the gate, as Miami and Milwaukee combined for 69 points in the opening stanza of the matchup – 40 of those points belonging to the Bucks.

                      The Heat came charging back following the first quarter though and refused to take their foot off the gas for the remainder of the game, as Miami won the last three periods by a total of 22 points.

                      Most of that can be attributed to Monday night becoming the “Jimmy Buckets Show” down the stretch, as Butler tallied 27 second half-points to ultimately put the nail in Milwaukee’ coffin, 115-104.

                      Antetokounmpo appeared to be playing rather passive in Monday’s contest, attempting just 12 field goals in the opening tilt as his team spent virtually all of Game 1 trying to shoot its way back into striking distance from long-range, leaving the reigning-MVP with a rather under-whelming offensive role in the last three periods (8 FGA – Last 3 quarters).

                      Let’s see if Mike Budenholzer stresses playing through Giannis in Game 2, or if he elects to try to attack the Heat with the longball again like he did in Game 1.

                      Game 1 Betting Results

                      After scoring 40 points in the first quarter, bettors backing the Bucks were looking good. Unfortunately for them, Milwaukee cooled off in the second-half and was held to 41 points in the final 24 minutes.

                      Similar to wagers on the Bucks, the 'over' for the game was a tough beat especially after seeing the pair combined for 69 and 123 in the first quarter and half respectively.

                      Outcome: Heat 115 Bucks 104

                      Game: Heat Win, Heat Cover (+5), Under 226
                      First Quarter: Bucks Win (40-29), Bucks Cover (-2), Over 56.5
                      First-Half: Bucks (63-60), Push (-3), Over 113
                      Second-Half: Heat Win (55-41), Heat Cover (+2), Under 111.5

                      Heat Betting Outlook

                      Inside the Stats


                      Bubble: 8-5 SU, 8-5 ATS, 5-8 O/U
                      Playoffs: 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS, 1-4 O/U

                      It was so much fun watching “Playoff Jimmy” light up the Bucks for 40 points on 65% shooting in Miami’s win in their series opener on Monday, but the Heat better stay on their toes heading into Game 2 as they can’t expect that kind of scoring explosion out of from Butler on a nightly basis.

                      Goran Dragic also continued his playoff tear on Monday night, going for 27 points in Game 1, combining with Butler for over 58% of Miami’s total points. When you play the Bucks, the game plan must be to keep the ball away from the DPOY, and Eric Spoelstra’s team executed it seamlessly.

                      Bam Adebayo should be the one neutralized for the majority of Game 2 yet again, as he will likely draw the Giannis matchup for the second straight contest. All Miami can do is hope its shooters stay hot going into Game 2 while giving that same defensive effort for the remainder of the series.

                      Bucks Betting Outlook

                      Inside the Stats


                      Bubble: 7-7 SU, 6-7-1 ATS, 7-6-1 O/U
                      Playoffs: 4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 2-3-1 O/U

                      Antetokounmpo is not going to be crowned MVP in consecutive seasons simply because he has been the clear-cut best player in the league for the past two seasons.

                      It also must be attributed it to Giannis owning the highest usage rate in the NBA this past regular season (36.3), to go along with his superb basketball ability and physical attributes.

                      SO, GET HIM THE BALL. It is inexplicable for the Greek Freak to only account for just 12 of Milwaukee’s 75 field goal attempts over the course of a contest. On top of the Bucks failing to get their best player the ball, will somebody in a green jersey PLEASE make a free throw before Budenholzer has a literal cow on the sideline (14 for 26 – Game 1 FT’s).

                      Title-contenders do not shoot 53% from the foul line in playoff games. The Bucks are going to have to do many things better in Game 2 if they want to even this series up on Wednesday.

                      Key Injuries

                      Miami


                      PG Gabe Vincent: Shoulder - Game Time Decision
                      PF Chris Silva: Pelvis - Out

                      Milwaukee

                      PG Eric Bledsoe: Hamstring - Game Time Decision

                      The only injury really worth keeping an eye on for Wednesday’s contest is Eric Bledsoe’s hamstring. Coach Budenholzer confirmed the Milwaukee point-guard practiced on Tuesday, but he wouldn’t give a clear answer regarding Bledsoe’s status for Game 2. If Bledsoe is unable to go, I like Middleton to go over 22 points on Wednesday.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358277

                        #26
                        Game 7 Odds: Thunder vs. Rockets
                        Michael Crosson

                        The second Game 7 of the NBA Bubble will take place on Wednesday when the No. 4 Houston Rockets and No. 5 Oklahoma City Thunder square off in the finale of the opening round series.

                        Betting Resources

                        Matchup: Western Conference Game 7
                        First Round Series: Series tied 3-3
                        Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
                        Location: Orlando, Florida
                        Date: Wednesday, Sep. 2, 2020
                        Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
                        TV: ESPN

                        James Harden (L) and Russell Westbrook look to lift the Rockets to a Game 7 win over the Thunder. (AP)

                        Line Movements

                        The fifth-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder have forced Game 7 against the fourth-seeded Houston Rockets, and James Harden’s crew will head into this series finale as five and a half -point favorites, despite their lack of ability to assert themselves as the superior unit over the course of the first six games.

                        The ‘over-under’ for this series has split straight down the middle (3-3), similar to how just about everything else has gone so far for Houston and Oklahoma City in this series. Game 7’s total opened at OU 223.5 points, but that number has taken a steep drop all the way down to OU 219 as the public continues to back the ‘under’ which is consistent with most win-or-go-home NBA contests.

                        Spread: Houston -5
                        Money-Line: Houston -240, Oklahoma City +200
                        Total: 219
                        Updated Series Price: Houston -240, Oklahoma City +200

                        Game 6 Recap

                        Game 6 of this Western Conference playoff series had the Thunder’s name written all over it as everything seemed to come together for Billy Donovan’s team offensively, and they played tremendous perimeter defense for a whole 48 minutes, holding the Rockets to 15 of 44 from downtown.

                        Chris Paul put his team of young guys on his back down the stretch on Monday like he always does, but he had a little extra something for his former teammate in Game 6 as he went for 22 points in the second half, burying his old squad in crunch time towards the end of their last game.

                        The last NBA Playoff Game 7 to go ‘over’ its OU total was between the Clippers and Warriors back in 2014. Let’s see if this center-less Rockets and CP3’s Thunder can be the first group of squads to send a Game 7 over the total in the last five years.

                        Game 6 Betting Results

                        While side wagers were tight until the final minutes in Game 6, bettors backing the 'under' were smoking cigars early and often as neither team could connect from distance and possession basketball ran the clock early and often in the fourth quarter.

                        Outcome: Thunder 104 Rockets 100

                        Game: Thunder Win, Thunder Cover (+5.5), Under 226
                        First Quarter: Rockets Win (25-24), Thunder Cover (+1.5), Under 57.5
                        First-Half: Rockets (51-48), Rockets Cover (-2.5), Under 115.5
                        Second-Half: Thunder Win (56-49), Thunder Cover (+3), Under 111.5

                        Thunder Betting Outlook

                        Inside the Stats


                        Overall: 47-31 SU, 47-31 ATS, 38-39-1 O/U
                        Bubble: 7-7 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U

                        What was intended to be a re-building year for Oklahoma City, has resulted in its team playing in a Game 7 against a potential title contender in Houston.

                        The key to the Thunder’s success this season has been their success in “clutch” moments, as they rank 1st in the NBA this season in contests that have less than a 10-point differential with less than two minutes left in them (30-15).

                        This can mainly be attributed to CP3 being the league leader in clutch points so far this season (171), as he takes virtually every shot for Donovan’s crew at the end of games.

                        If Game 7 is close heading into the final minutes the Rockets may find themselves in trouble, but there is no guarantee that will be the case if Houston shoots the three-ball like it did in Game 5
                        .
                        Rockets Betting Outlook

                        Inside the Stats


                        Overall: 47-31 SU, 36-41-1 ATS, 32-45-1 O/U
                        Bubble: 7-7 SU, 7-7 ATS, 5-9 O/U

                        The three-point ball definitely wasn’t cooking for Chef Harden on Monday night as he shot 27.3% from downtown in Houston’s 114-104 Game 6 loss.

                        We all know Mike D’Antnoi’s team doesn’t stand a chance against virtually anybody when the Beard isn’t feeling it, because he is putting up 20+ shots per game whether he’s hot or not, and that is a lot of volume to be eaten up by a player who isn’t seeing the rim well from deep at any given time.

                        To make things worse on Monday night, Eric Gordon and Jeff Green were brutal from 3-point land in Game 6 as well (3PT – 2 for 11), who have provided much needed assistance from deep during these playoffs when Harden is resting up or trying to find his offensive rhythm.

                        The good news is for the Rockets is that they just put on their worst performance of this series so far, and still had a chance to tie up or even win the game in the closing minutes of the contest. No need to worry about the Rockets here.

                        They just need to pray to the basketball gods for a better shooting night on Wednesday.

                        Key Injuries

                        Oklahoma City


                        SG Deonte Burton: Illness - Game Time Decision

                        Houston

                        SF Luc Mbah a Moute: Knee - Game Time Decision

                        Nothing crazy on the injury report heading into Game 7 as The Rockets finally got Westbrook for Game 5, officially clearing the list of any names who’s absence could potentially be a crucial factor in determining the outcome of this final matchup between these teams.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358277

                          #27
                          WNBA
                          Long Sheet

                          Wednesday, September 2


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          MINNESOTA (11 - 5) vs. CHICAGO (11 - 6) - 9/2/2020, 7:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          CHICAGO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                          CHICAGO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
                          CHICAGO is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                          CHICAGO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                          CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
                          CHICAGO is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                          CHICAGO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                          MINNESOTA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                          MINNESOTA is 5-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          LOS ANGELES (12 - 4) vs. DALLAS (6 - 10) - 9/2/2020, 8:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          LOS ANGELES is 156-201 ATS (-65.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
                          LOS ANGELES is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
                          LOS ANGELES is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
                          LOS ANGELES is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
                          DALLAS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                          DALLAS is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          DALLAS is 7-0 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
                          DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
                          5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          WASHINGTON (4 - 11) vs. SEATTLE (13 - 3) - 9/2/2020, 10:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
                          WASHINGTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in August or September games this season.
                          WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
                          WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a division game this season.
                          WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
                          WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
                          WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
                          SEATTLE is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                          SEATTLE is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                          SEATTLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                          SEATTLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
                          SEATTLE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games on Wednesday since 1997.
                          SEATTLE is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
                          SEATTLE is 6-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                          6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358277

                            #28
                            WNBA

                            Wednesday, September 2


                            Trend Report

                            Minnesota @ Chicago
                            Minnesota
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
                            Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
                            Chicago
                            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
                            Chicago is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

                            Los Angeles @ Dallas
                            Los Angeles
                            Los Angeles is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
                            Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                            Dallas
                            Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
                            Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

                            Washington @ Seattle
                            Washington
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Seattle
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
                            Seattle
                            Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                            Seattle is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358277

                              #29
                              WNBA
                              Dunkel

                              Wednesday, September 2


                              Minnesota @ Chicago

                              Game 601-602
                              September 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Minnesota
                              114.745
                              Chicago
                              111.825
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Minnesota
                              by 3
                              162
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Chicago
                              by 3 1/2
                              167
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Minnesota
                              (+3 1/2); Under

                              Los Angeles @ Dallas


                              Game 603-604
                              September 2, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Los Angeles
                              115.700
                              Dallas
                              103.325
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Los Angeles
                              by 12 1/2
                              165
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Los Angeles
                              by 7 1/2
                              163
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Los Angeles
                              (-7 1/2); Over

                              Washington @ Seattle


                              Game 605-606
                              September 2, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Washington
                              102.162
                              Seattle
                              119.569
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Seattle
                              by 17 1/2
                              162
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Seattle
                              by 14 1/2
                              160 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Seattle
                              (-14 1/2); Over
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358277

                                #30
                                MLB public betting, line movement September 2
                                Patrick Everson

                                DJ LeMahieu and the Yankees aim to take two of three from the Rays with a win Wednesday night in the Bronx. Caesars sportsbooks have the moneyline at Yankees -109/Rays -101.

                                MLB betting odds are up and getting attention for Wednesday’s schedule, with 13 games from which to choose. The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees wrap up a three-game series in the Bronx, and the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins also complete a three-game set.

                                Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s games.

                                MLB line movement

                                The Rays and Yankees split the first two games of their series, with New York claiming a 5-3 victory Tuesday night. Caesars books opened Tampa Bay a slim -108 favorite Tuesday evening, and by late night, the moneyline flipped to New York -109/Tampa -101. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET.

                                Minnesota slowed the ChiSox Express a bit on Tuesday night, notching a 3-2 victory. Still, the White Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 games and are tied atop the AL East with Cleveland at 22-14, with the Twins 1.5 games back. The series finale opened Twins -146/White Sox +136 at Caesars, and there was no line movement by late Tuesday night for an 8:10 p.m. ET start.

                                The Washington Nationals send out Max Scherzer (3-1, 3.86 ERA) against Zack Wheeler (3-0, 2.58 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:05 p.m. ET. Philadelphia took the first two games of this four-game series and are 7-1 in their last eight overall. However, Washington opened a modest -121 favorite before ticking in a couple cents to -118, with Philly +108.

                                MLB public betting

                                The Consensus indicated early two-way action for Rays-Yankees, although visiting Tampa Bay was the lean, drawing 56 percent of picks through Tuesday night. The Twins were grabbing 65 percent of early Consensus picks, and the Nationals were landing 70 percent of picks.

                                Interestingly, the most popular Consensus play thus far is the Colorado Rockies, despite getting rocked by visiting San Francisco 23-5 Tuesday night. As of late Tuesday night, the Rockies were landing 76 percent of early picks.
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