Friday 9/4/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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FREE MLB WINNER 9/4/20:
PLAY Astros -114 @ Angels, GAME TIME 9:10 PM EST

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 1	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 1-2) Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 34 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 7:00P
FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. THUNDER PUNCH is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THUNDER PUNCH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TINA 'S SONG: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CEDAR RUN'S FIRE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Ho rse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6	THUNDER PUNCH	2/1	3/1
4	TINA'S SONG	9/2	6/1
8	CEDAR RUN'S FIRE	5/2	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	CEDAR RUN'S FIRE	8	5/2	Front-runner	39	34	44.0	31.4	25.4
3	MIGHTY CROSSING	3	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	35	34	40.8	23.4	12.4
6	THUNDER PUNCH	6	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	48	44	52.6	36.6	34.6
4	TINA'S SONG	4	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	44	40	37.8	32.2	23.7
7	WILD CORK	7	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	40	34	27.4	27.2	18.2
5	BADS LIL LADY	5	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	35	18	21.8	17.2	5.7
2	BASKET GIRL	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	15.6	16.6	4.1
1	LILBITSOFDRAMA	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	12.1	17.3	6.8

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine

Woodbine - Race 6	Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 0.20 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $49,700 • Post: 3:28P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $23,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. GO GIGI GO GIGI GO is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GO GIGI GO GIGI GO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. STORM GAUGE: Horse ran ks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TOUCH OF ROUGE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is th e horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. GRATEFUL PRAISE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards i f a Quarter Horse race).
5	GO GIGI GO GIGI GO	6/1	9/2
6	STORM GAUGE	12/1	6/1
4	TOUCH OF ROUGE	20/1	7/1
8	GRATEFUL PRAISE	5/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	TOUCH OF ROUGE	4	20/1	Front-runner	79	78	80.8	69.8	60.3
9	HOLD THE APPLAUSE	9	4/1	Front-runner	71	70	70.2	62.8	48.8
2	CLASSY N' SILENT	2	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	64	65	61.2	52.2	38.2
1	NANA SAV	1	8/1	Stalker	72	73	96.4	65.0	56.5
8	GRATEFUL PRAISE	8	5/2	Stalker	78	62	84.2	67.4	58.9
6	STORM GAUGE	6	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	80	61.8	69.8	61.8
5	GO GIGI GO GIGI GO	5	6/1	Trailer	75	73	63.3	68.2	64.2
3	D'S SOUL	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	65	64.4	64.6	54.1
7	PODGORA	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	69	61.8	67.0	55.5

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Saratoga - Race #7 - Post: 3:50pm - Stakes - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $150,000 Class Rating: 91 Funny Cide S.

Rating:

#3 MARKET ALERT (ML=6/1)
#5 EFFINITY (ML=4/1)
#7 HOLD THE SALSA (ML=8/1)


MARKET ALERT - This gelding should find these state breds easier than what he faced in his last affair on August 7th. With 'blinkers-on' this gelding should be very competitive. EFFINITY - Cox must have known this colt would run well at this track. Won his last race here on July 26th and now goes for back-to-back wins. This colt has been posting some excellent workout times. HOLD THE SALSA - Faces state bred foes today after finishing ninth versus 'open' company on Aug 7th. Colt had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 EAGLE ORB (ML=3/1), #4 LOOKIN FOR TROUBLE (ML=7/2), #8 THIN WHITE DUKE (ML=5/1),

EAGLE ORB - This runner ran a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably lose in today's race running that figure. LOOKIN FOR TROUBLE - Will be tough for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced equines list. THIN WHITE DUKE - This gelding has already been beaten as the favorite the last two times. Hard to give him another chance.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 MARKET ALERT is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5,7] Total Cost: $6

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Allowance - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 100

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT NECESSARY TO TAKE THIS RACE OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 TUT'S REVENGE 5/2
# 5 BLUE HARBOR 8/1
# 1 ATTENTIVE 3/1

I like TUT'S REVENGE here. Stuart has a sound 18 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. With Eramia on top him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early in this race. This gelding is a key contender based on his earnings per start in turf sprint events. BLUE HARBOR - Ought to be given a chance in here if only for the very strong Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last race. Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 92 speed rating which is one of the most respectable in this group. ATTENTIVE - Must be given consideration - I like the figures from the last race. Is worth thinking about and may be a bet - strong Speed Figures (104 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special C

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $1000000 Class Rating: 113

OLD FORESTER BOURBON TURF CLASSIC S. - GRADE 1 FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 SPECTACULAR GEM 10/1
# 3 ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) 7/2
# 6 MR DUMAS 12/1

My selection in here is SPECTACULAR GEM particularly if the morning line of 10/1 holds. Has to be given consideration based on the competitive speed figure garnered in the last competition. This equine has a very good win percentage in turf routes. ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) - Boasts sound speed figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Brown running at this distance are the most respectable in this group of horses in this race. MR DUMAS - Handler has sharp win rate (18 percent) at this distance and surface. Have to assume this animal will run well again today.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Equibase Special D - Race #1 - Post: 4:15pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $400,000 Class Rating: 117 Alysheba S. Presented by Sentient Jet (Grade 2)

Rating:

#2 MCKINZIE (ML=8/5)
#6 BY MY STANDARDS (ML=7/5)
#5 MR FREEZE (ML=6/1)


MCKINZIE - Baffert moves this horse here to Equibase Special D from Belmont Park. Looking at the horse's recent PP lines, he has shown the ability to win at different racing venues. This horse is tops in earnings per start (EPS). Take a long look at this animal before the race. Carrying 7 pounds less this race. Trainer has him in a good spot. BY MY STANDARDS - When Saez and Calhoun join forces on equines the return on investment has been terrific at +162. Calhoun seems to have this colt primed for a big effort. His workout pattern is wonderful. I like this colt a lot here. He shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. Saez and his horse make quite a duo. Together they've been winning at a clip of 56 percent. MR FREEZE - Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (sixth). Should improve in this event, with some respectable odds. Changes tracks from last out at Belmont Park to here. Multiple wins on different ovals tell me this horse likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. Last out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A pretty good sign he can close well, and should be right there at the finish line this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 OWENDALE (ML=6/1),

OWENDALE - Unlikely that this horse will finish better than he did last out when finishing fifth.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 MR FREEZE to win if we can get at least 6/1 odds

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

09/04/20, CD, Race 12, 5.45 ET
09/04/20,CD,12,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:01 STAKES. Longines Kentucky Oaks. Grade 1. Purse $1,250,000. FOR FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Gamine	1-1	Velazquez J R	Baffert Bob	TL	36.78	1.27/$1
098.9675	1	Swiss Skydiver	8/5	Gaffalione T	McPeek Kenneth G.	SFE	22.05	0.74/$1
098.1655	4	Speech	5-1	Castellano J	McCarthy Michael W.		22.05	0.74/$1
097.8517	3	Donna Veloce	15-1	Santana. Jr. R	Callaghan Simon		22.05	0.74/$1
096.3719	8	Hopeful Growth	30-1	Franco M	Margotta. Jr. Anthony	C	22.05	0.74/$1
095.7318	7	Shedaresthedevil	20-1	Geroux F	Cox Brad H.	J	22.05	0.74/$1
095.0754	2	Tempers Rising	50-1	Leparoux J R	Stewart Dallas	W	36.78	1.27/$1
094.9870	6	Bayerness	50-1	Bejarano R	DeVaux Cherie		22.05	0.74/$1
094.3455	9	Dream Marie	50-1	Talamo J	Williams Matthew J.		22.05	0.74/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.47, ROI 1.06/$1

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WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, September 4

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CHICAGO (11 - 7) vs. WASHINGTON (4 - 12) - 9/4/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in August or September games this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a division game this season.
WASHINGTON is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (12 - 5) vs. DALLAS (6 - 11) - 9/4/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (14 - 3) vs. LOS ANGELES (13 - 4) - 9/4/2020, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Philadelphia w/Arrieta +105 over NY Mets

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday September 4, 2020

9/04 03:40 PM PT / 6:40 PM ET
MLB (951) MIAMI MARLINS VS (952) TAMPA BAY RAYS

Take: UNDER

Reason: Excellent starter matchup here today. The Marlins send Pablo Lopez to the hill. Lopez is 3-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.165 WHIP. Lopez has been very consistent, allowing two runs or fewer or in each of his six starts. Josh Fleming goes for the Rays. Fleming is 2-0 in his two starts with a 1.74 ERA and 0.871 WHIP. Both starters are very good and I'm going UNDER 1st 5 innings. Your free play for Friday, September 4 is on the UNDER.

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: SAN DIEGO (davies) +115 over Oakland

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Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks/San Francisco Giants over 8 1/2

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Atlantic Sports

Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Chicago White Sox - 155