Sunday 9/6/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 09:21 AM

Al Cimaglia: Scioto Downs Pick 5 Analysis

September 6, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
It is Ohio Super Night at Scioto Downs with the best state-bred 2 and 3-year-old trotters and pacers competing in 8 stake races each with a $300,000 purse. The 0.50 Pick 5 with a low 14% takeout begins in Race 5 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

3-McMarkle Sparkle (9/2)-Raced the back half in 54.4 from the 9-hole on a good track in a condition race last week. Appears ready for a big try here. Trainer has won 20% of starts in last 30 days, Brett Miller returns, should be a square price, and likes the track.
4-Crowntimerockette (2-1)-Comes into this affair in good form and figures to be a player at a short price. Does have only 1 win in 7 starts at ScD. But should be forwardly placed and can take a picture, especially if gets the top without using up much gas.
5-Artful Dancer (3-1)-Winner in 5 of 10 Scioto starts could beat this field without getting the top by the opening quarter. Noble has some options and if he finds a live cover flow chances for success go up.

Race 6

2-Winning Ticket (2-1)-This colt has lost twice in 5 starts and both times it was due to an interference break. Could lose this race but most likely it will be because of bad luck once again. Looking for a smooth trip and will make this my single.

Race 7

2-Uncle Peters Love (10-1)-Looking to spread out a bit in this leg with the big chalk leaving from post 8. This gal is a risky play because she shows 4 breaks in the past 2 months but 2 were on a fair track. Can stay in the mix at long odds if minds her manners.
4-Delovely Hall (8-1)-Comes off a nice effort versus #8 at the Red Mile and is often close. Merriman steers again and last race came off a 16-day gap. Now comes back in 7-days and could be sitting on big try at a nice price.
6-A Fancy Face (9/2)-Burke trainee has 3 wins and 2-second place finishes in 6 starts at ScD. Starts inside of the morning line choice, should be a major player and is a use in gimmicks.
8-Guinevere Hall (1/1)-This is the best filly in the race, many will likely single and I will respect but look to others. Comes off a big effort at Lex from the 8-hole last week but maybe this time the trip won't work out as well.

Race 8

1-Four-Star Flash (8-1)-May not have the gate speed to have the lead at the 1/4 pole but Wrenn should be able to keep this colt involved. Might be overlooked at the windows and the Brown trainee could be getting better. Faces a tough group but did have a sharp win at Nfld on 8/17.
2-Charlie May (3-1)-Has been 1st or 2nd in all 6 starts and has enough gate speed to be on the engine or in the 2 hole. My guess is the odds-on choice gets the top and Charlie catches a sweet pocket ride.
3-Heart Of Chewbacca (1/1)-This colt has been a perfect 4 for 4 since joining the Burke stable. But now tries Lasix for the 1st time, so will use and look to the 2 above for a better Pick 5 payout.

Race 9

2-Action Uncle 1/1-Has been a dominant 6 for 6 versus 3-year-olds this year and most wins were by open lengths. Morgan trainee is probably a clean trip away from another picture.
6-Yanks Dougout (8-1)-Didn't do much as a 2-year-old but has been very good as a sophomore going 8 for 12. Finished 2nd to Uncle on 8/15 after getting the top but only to fade down the lane. This time Sugg may come off cover and if the chalk doesn't bring his A-game this could be the winner at a juicy price.

0.50 Pick 5

3,4,5/2/2,4,6,8/1,2,3/2,6
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 09:22 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Saratoga

September 6, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
The Grade 1 Spinaway Stakes) is the headliner on the Sunday program at Saratoga. It’s also the kickoff race to the Late Pick 4, which includes two other stakes (G2 Honorable Miss and Lucky Coin Stakes) and a conditioned claiming race to end the day.

The suggested ticket is for $72 and follows a 3x4x3x4 pattern.

Here’s how I see it:

Race 9 (5:11 p.m. ET, G1 Spinaway Stakes)

LADY LILLY was all out and lasted for a victory in her career debut. Will take a leap to Grade 1 company but this is not a horribly difficult spot and it’s tough to question Steve Asmussen’s top juveniles at this point. The Hall of Fame trainer’s success with newcomers has been phenomenal this year.

BEAUTIFUL MEMORIES stumbled at the start and was pulled up shortly after the G3 Schuylerville. That’s clearly a throw-out race. Look at the 10-length win in her five-furlong debut at Churchill and you see something special.

GUANA CAY is a maiden, but she’s a Wesley Ward maiden. She improved in her second start and could benefit from the additional distance.

Race 10 (5:45 p.m. ET, G2 Honorable Miss Stakes)

COME DANCING is a millionaire and has won two of four over this strip. She was a non-threatening fourth in the G1 Ballerina and fits with these.

BLAMED set the pace and tired late in the G1 Phipps. Just missed in the Shine Again last time out and turns back to six furlongs. She’ll likely be strong on the front end at the distance.

BYE BYE J will play the role of stalker and has won three of her last five. Was impressive in the Saylorville at Prairie Meadows last out, stopping the timer in 1:08 4-5.

LADY’S ISLAND’s only Saratoga appearance produced a 13-length win. That came against starter allowance company and she has long moved on from that level. She’s a graded winner and just hasn’t run a bad one over the past few years.

Race 11 (6:17 p.m. ET, Lucky Coin Stakes)

SHEKKY SHEBAZ is well traveled and generally runs well almost everywhere he goes. Might be overplayed in the straight pool here but is worthy of inclusion in this sequence.

READYFORPRIMETIME is extremely fast but doesn’t need the lead to win, and that makes this truly dangerous in this spot.

GIDU got carried away early last time and weakened going longer, and by the looks of her form this 5.5 furlongs should work in her favor.

Race 12 (6:49 p.m. ET, claiming)

LEEWAY never got untracked last out against a better level and can be closer to the early action in this one. Can be a force in the stretch today.

FUN FINDER’s connections have tried to run her on turf but those scheduled races were washed off the grass and onto the main track. She should like the grass and can close to the pace.

SUPER CUTE fizzled in her last one, but was claimed by Maker, and that usually means improvement. Can make a run today.

POSITIVE SKEW closed mildly for fifth last time and likely will be pushed to get closer early. Was second two races back.

Here’s the suggested ticket for Saratoga’s Late Pick 4 on Sunday:

9) #3 Lady Lilly, #5 Beautiful Memories, #6 Guana Cay.
10) #1 Come Dancing, #2 Blamed, #5 Bye Bye J, #7 Lady’s Island.
11) #1 Shekky Shebaz, #7 Readyforprimetime, #9 Gidu.
12) #2 Leeway, #4 Fun Finder, #7 Super Cute, #10 Positive Skew.
50-cent Late Pick 4: 3-5-6 with 1-2-5-7 with 1-7-9 with 2-4-7-10. ($72)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 09:23 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #3

#4 Cold Hard Cash	Lightly raced runner for Rice wheels back after running a good 2nd 14 days ago in his first against winners, has the tactical speed to stay close, and seems on the improve; look out.
#5 Majestic West	Stretch out sprinter should be a lot closer early on after chasing hot splits in his last two, and he's bred for this too, while going second-off the long layoff as well; looms very large.
#2 First Rate	Logical sort has run well in both starts at the level and drew well, but his form has also seemed to stagnate, as he's basically run the same race in all three for Joseph; mixed signals.
Race Summary	That 2-1 ML seems a tad low on the pick, as 5-2 or even 3-1 might be doable in this group, which looks evenly matched on paper, so play him to win and place at 5-2 or better, though you can get some built-in value by keying him in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, as there are several different ways to go in here, but the pick has the upside, and seems poised for another big run.

Saratoga - Race #10

#4 Unholy Alliance	Sharp local winner over lesser did it with plenty of trouble too, and while this is a stiff step up in class, the favorites are tough to trust, and the price will be right; upset special.
#2 Blamed	The gal to beat snatched defeat from the jaws of victory last time, when she seemed a certain winner, but she lost to a nice one, and her one-turn form is sharp; the main danger.
#1 Come Dancing	G1 winner wins this running backwards with her best, but it's safe to say those days are gone, and from a tricky draw at an underlaid price, she's impossible to play; trying to beat.
Race Summary	That 10-1 ML on the pick seems mighty juicy against a group of gals who aren't exactly that awe inspiring, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, as she tipped her hand last time and won't have to run much faster today, yet a win would go a long way in blowing up both sequences.

Saratoga - Race #11

#7 Readyforprimetime	Rice runner fell onto the lead last time and ran with it for a sharp W, but this attack post gives him options, and the price will be right on the rise as well; thinking he fires another biggie.
#9 Gidu	Dangerous router cuts back and drew the perfect outside attack post for what is a very speedy package, but this could be sharp for him, so he may need to get acclimated first; second-best.
#1 Shekky Shebaz	Stiff ML favorite just doesn't seem the same since leaving Jason Servis' barn-go figure-and this post is no bargain either, so at false odds, with no edge any more, he can beat us; no thanks.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 7, and it's not like the 1 is any great shakes any more, so this isn't the tallest mountain he has to climb u the class ladder, so play him in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would go a long way in adding plenty of value to both sequences.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 09:24 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#1 Ezzadora	Showed a small sign of life in a slow race at Gulfstream last out, and a return to the local company gives some hope for another step forward.
#8 Boomtown	No doubt the one to beat off the good local effort on the main track last out, but this is her 12th career start, so she's getting a bit tough to trust.
#2 Niva	Has a couple of decent running lines against good groups, but she's going to have to hustle to keep up in the early going while cutting back.
Race Summary	Ezzadora would be playable at something like her 5/1 ML price after showing decent tracking pace at Gulfstream last out, and this is a field full of questions marks, so don't accept a short price anywhere.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#1 Top Hat Warrior	Has been in decent form locally this season, and he has some pace to put to use from the fence. In a race for horses who have never won on the lawn, he's not exposed with just one career turf start under his belt. 12/1?
#6 On Fire	Another boasting good recent form, and he'll make his turf debut here with a versatile enough pedigree to think he can handle the new footing.
#2 Swither's Shortcut	Has a class edge from recent main-track races at Thistledown, but he'll be giving the jump to the top choices turning for home.
Race Summary	Top Hat Warrior can be tough from the fence. Not sure he's going to offer the 12/1 ML price, but it'd be plenty fair to give this guy another shot on the turf.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 09:25 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#1 Rhythmia	Lost a three-horse blanket finish last out and has been competitive in other races at this level as well; sitting on a win.
#8 Til the End	Ran strongly in the final furlong and missed by a nose last time; in solid form over his last three and fits well here.
#4 Zap Daddy	Was an easy winner and was claimed for $35,000 by Gracida, but that was a year ago. Has the talent but needs the race.
Race Summary	Rhythmia barely missed last out and has finished with interest in recent starts; game enough to fight it out with these.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5

#6 Charlie the Greek	Was claimed by Torres last time and has rounded back into good form with seconds in his last two; the blinkers come off for this one and he is well spotted for his first win since March.
#3 Just Kidding	Has won two straight for a lower level and turns back from a two-turn win; capable.
#1 R Mercedes Boy	Tried the turf to no avail last time and was a sharp winner on dirt two back; usually is in the hunt.
Race Summary	Charlie the Greek has stretched out in his last two and has had good results; can be in the mix from the outset.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10

#5 Garter and Tie	Improved position and finished second to Cool Arrow at the end of the Open Lead. Cool Arrow came out of that one and won the G3 Smile Sprint Stakes Saturday. This one can make a solid late run here.
#3 Art G Is Back	Talented runner didn't do much in in his first since December and needs that one; has a good kick going seven furlongs and can show improvement here.
#6 Noble Drama	Turns back from a runner-up finish in the Sea Trophy; will have to get tuned up early and can threaten late.
Race Summary	Garter and Tie is long overdue for his first win since June 2019. He's been with some solid company and comes in off a second. Can get back to the winner's circle today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:04 AM

MLB public betting, line movement September 6
Patrick Everson

Wilson Contreras and the Cubs look to bounce back from Saturday's doubleheader sweep at the hands of the Cardinals. Chicago hosts St. Louis at 7:08 p.m. ET Sunday night.

MLB betting odds are on the board for a full Sunday schedule of 15 games, with every team in play and no doubleheaders, for a change. Among the marquee matchups is a battle between National League Central rivals with the St. Louis Cardinals facing the Chicago Cubs under the lights at Wrigley Field.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s games.

MLB line movement

The Cardinals swept a Saturday doubleheader with the Cubs, winning 4-2 and 5-1 in the second and third games of a five-game weekend set. Most sportsbooks held off on posting the line Saturday night for Sunday’s 7:08 p.m. ET first pitch, so check back Sunday morning.

Out on the Left Coast, the San Diego Padres and Oakland Athletics wrap up a three-game interleague series. The two teams split the first two games, with Oakland rolling 8-4 on Saturday. Caesars books opened this 4:10 p.m. ET game practically a pick ‘em, with the A’s a -107 favorite and the Padres -103, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

And fans of first five innings Under bets will love Sunday, because both Shane Bieber and Jacob deGrom are on the mound. Bieber (6-0, 1.20 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians are -225 home favorites against the Milwaukee Brewers, while deGrom (2-1, 1.76 ERA) and the New York Mets opened -150 and moved to -154 early against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies. Both games start at 1:10 p.m. ET.

MLB public betting

The Consensus is often a good indicator of who the public likes, and for Padres-A’s, it was a perfect split decision late Saturday night, with both teams landing 50 percent of early picks. Not surprisingly, Bieber and the Indians were a popular Consensus play, getting 73 percent of early picks against the Brewers.

However, deGrom and the Mets are facing a very hot Philly outfit that was on a 10-1 run before a 5-1 Saturday loss to the Mets. Plus, Aaron Nola (4-2, 2.45 ERA) is throwing for the Phillies. As such, the Consensus was split, with the Mets landing 51 percent of early picks.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:04 AM

951NY YANKEES -952 BALTIMORE
NY YANKEES are 51-22 SU (30.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

953PHILADELPHIA -954 NY METS
NY METS are 2-9 SU (-9.1 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

955MILWAUKEE -956 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 19-8 SU (9.7 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

957WASHINGTON -958 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 7-0 SU (7 Units) when playing on Sunday in the current season.

959MIAMI -960 TAMPA BAY
MIAMI is 8-18 SU (-14.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons.

961TORONTO -962 BOSTON
BOSTON is 4-14 SU (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

963CINCINNATI -964 PITTSBURGH
CINCINNATI is 3-14 SU (-14.8 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the current season.

965CHI WHITE SOX -966 KANSAS CITY
CHI WHITE SOX is 12-1 SU (12.5 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

967DETROIT -968 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the current season.

969ARIZONA -970 SAN FRANCISCO
ARIZONA is 41-21 SU (19.3 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.

971HOUSTON -972 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 13-21 SU (-10.6 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

973SAN DIEGO -974 OAKLAND
SAN DIEGO is 28-49 SU (-25.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

975TEXAS -976 SEATTLE
TEXAS are 3-12 SU (-14.5 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

977ST LOUIS -978 CHICAGO CUBS
ST LOUIS are 19-25 SU (-16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

979COLORADO -980 LA DODGERS
COLORADO is 29-49 SU (-26.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:05 AM

MLB

Sunday, September 6

National League
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Reds (18-22)
Gray gave up six runs, didn’t get out of the 1st inning in his last start; he is 1-1, 3.31 in three road starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 3-0-2 last five

— Cincinnati won three of its last four games.
— Reds are 4-1 in their last five road games.
— Under is 8-1-1 in the Reds’ last 10 road games.

Pirates (12-26):
Kuhl is 1-1, 3.75 in five starts this year, 1-0, 4.15 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 4-0-1

— Pirates lost seven of their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 7-13 at home this year.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Washington @ Atlanta
Nationals (14-24):
Corbin is 0-3, 4.84 in his last four starts; he is 1-2, 5.06 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: under 5-2

— Washington is 9-16 in its last 25 games.
— Nationals are 7-11 in their last 18 road games.
— Over is 18-6-1 in their last 25 games.

Braves (23-17):
Tomlin is 0-2, 7.94 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Braves are 11-6 in their last 17 games.
— Atlanta is 7-4 in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Philadelphia @ New York
Phillies (19-16)
Nola is 4-1, 1.93 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 5.59 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-7 Totals: under 5-2

— Philly won 10 of its last 12 games.
— Phillies won four of their last five road games.
— Over is 8-6-1 in their last 15 games.

Mets (18-22)
deGrom is 2-1, 2.41 in seven starts this year; he is 1-1, 2.79 in five home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-7 Totals: over 5-2

— Mets lost six of their last nine games overall.
— New York is 8-11 at home this season.
— Over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.

St Louis @ Chicago
Cardinals (16-15)
Hudson is 1-0, 2.04 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 2.45 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: under 3-2

— St Louis won five of its last seven games.
— Cardinals are 9-5 in their last 14 road games.
— Over is 7-4-2 in Cardinals’ last 13 games.

Cubs (23-17):
Lester is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 5.74 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: over 4-0 last four

— Cubs are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Chicago is 5-9 in its last 14 home games.
— Over is 14-7-1 in their last 22 games.

Colorado @ Los Angeles
Rockies (19-20):
Castellani is 1-3, 6.62 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Rockies lost five of their last eight games.
— Colorado won four of its last five road games.
— Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games.

Dodgers (30-11)
Urias is 3-0, 3.38 in seven starts (32 IP); he is
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-7 Totals: over 5-1-1

— Dodgers won 12 of their last 15 games.
— LA won 11 of its last 12 home games.
— Under is 10-5 in their last 15 home games.

Arizona @ San Francisco
Diamondbacks (15-25):
Young is 0-2, 5.40 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 4-4 Totals: 2-2

— Arizona lost 14 of its last 16 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost nine of their last ten road games.
— Under is 12-4 in their last 16 games.

Giants (19-21):
Cueto is 2-0, 4.66 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 6.20 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 5-2-1

— Giants lost six of their last nine games.
— SF won six of its last ten home games.
— Under is 5-3 in Giants’ last eight home games.

American League
Detroit @ Minnesota
Tigers (17-20):
Mize is 0-1, 7.59 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Detroit lost its last three games.
— Tigers are 8-10 on the road this season.
— Over is 9-8-1 in their road games.

Twins (25-16)
Hill is 0-1, 5.56 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Twins won their last five games.
— Minnesota is 15-3 in its last 18 home games.
— Under is 16-3-3 in their last 22 games.

Toronto @ Boston
Blue Jays (21-18):
Ray is making his Toronto debut; he was 1-4, 7.84 in seven starts for Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: under 4-3

— Blue Jays are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Jays are 8-5 in their last 13 road games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Red Sox (14-27):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Red Sox are 8-9 in their last 17 games.
— Boston is 5-11 in its last 16 home games.
— Over is 10-4-2 in their last 16 home games.

New York @ Baltimore
Bronx (21-18):
Tanaka is 1-1, 4.05 in six starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: under 4-0-2

— Bronx split its last ten games.
— New York lost nine of its last 11 road games.
— NY won 19 of its last 21 games with Baltimore.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Orioles (18-21):
Wojciechowski is 1-1, 5.06 in his last five starts; he is 1-3, 6.04 in five home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: under 4-3

— Orioles lost 13 of their last 19 games overall.
— Baltimore is 4-9 in its last 13 home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Chicago @ Kansas City
White Sox (25-15):
Keuchel is 3-0, 2.19 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 2.59 in four road outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-8 Totals: under 5-3

— Chicago won 16 of its last 23 games overall.
— White Sox won eight of their last 11 road games.
— Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games.

Royals (14-26):
Keller is 3-1, 1.93 in five starts this year; he is 2-0, 0.50 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Royals lost 14 of their last 20 games.
— KC is 3-7 in its last ten home games.
— Under is 13-6-2 in their last 21 games.

Houston @ Angels
Astros (21-18):
Valdez is 3-0, 2.60 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 3.07 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-6 Totals: over 4-2

— Astros is 6-8 in their last 14 games overall.
— Houston lost its last six road games.
— Over is 11-5 in their last 16 games.

Angels (16-25):
Barria allowed one run in 4.1 IP (71 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Angels won their last four games.
— Halos are 7-4 in their last 11 home games.
— Over is 17-5-1 in Angel home games.

Texas @ Seattle
Rangers (13-25):
Lyles is 1-3, 11.69 in five starts; he is 0-1, 12.00 in two starts vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-4
Allowed run in first inning: 3-5 Totals: over 4-1

— Texas lost 16 of its last 19 games.
— Rangers lost 10 of their last 11 road games.
— Over is 12-6-1 in their last 19 games.

Mariners (17-22):
Dunn threw 12 shutout innings in his last two starts; he is 0-1, 2.70 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: 3-3

— Seattle won nine of its last 12 games.
— Mariners won seven of their last eight home tilts.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Interleague
Miami @ Tampa Bay
Marlins (17-17):
Rogers is 1-0, 2.00 in two MLB starts, both against the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Miami lost six of its last nine games overall.
— Marlins won five of their last seven road games.
— Over is 8-2 in their last ten road games.

Rays (27-13):
Glasnow is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 4.30 in three home outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 4-2-1

— Tampa Bay won 21 of its last 26 games.
— Rays won seven of their last ten home games.
— Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Brewers (18-19):
Anderson is 2-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 4-6 Totals: 3-3

— Milwaukee won five of its last eight games.
— Brewers lost five of their last six road games.
— Over is 5-2-1 in Milwaukee’s last eight games.

Indians (24-15):
Bieber is 3-0, 0.72 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 1.50 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-1 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: under 7-1

— Cleveland is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Indians are 4-6 in their last ten home games.
— Under is 6-3-2 in Cleveland’s last 11 games.

San Diego @ Oakland
Padres (24-17)
Richards is 0-1, 6.08 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-5
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: under 4-1 last five

— San Diego won 14 of its last 19 games.
— Padres are 7-3 in their last ten road games.
— Over is 11-7 in their last 18 games.

A’s (23-13):
Fiers is 3-0, 3.12 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 6.46 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-7 Totals: under 4-3

— Oakland is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— A’s won 11 of their last 13 home games.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:05 AM

MLB

Sunday, September 6

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 16 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees's last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Baltimore's last 16 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Baltimore's last 15 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Washington

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Miami @ Tampa Bay
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami

Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox

Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games on the road
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Houston @ LA Angels
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

San Diego @ Oakland
San Diego
San Diego is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
San Diego is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Oakland
Oakland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

Texas @ Seattle
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas

St. Louis @ Chi Cubs
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Colorado @ LA Dodgers
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
LA Dodgers is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Colorado

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:05 AM

NBA public betting, line movement September 6
Patrick Everson

LeBron James and the Lakers were dealt a stunning 112-97 loss in Game 1 against the Rockets. The SuperBook opened the Lakers -5.5 for Sunday night's Game 2 against Houston.

NBA betting odds are up as the playoffs continue with a pair of conference semifinal games on the Sunday schedule. The prime-time tilt pits the top-seeded Los Angeles Lakers against the Houston Rockets in Game 2, preceded by Game 4 of the stunningly one-sided Milwaukee Bucks-Houston Rockets series.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

Houston got stretched to seven games by Oklahoma City in the first round, narrowly wrapping it up with a 104-102 victory Wednesday night. Then on far shorter rest than the Lakers, the Rockets put a 112-97 hurting on 6.5-point favorite Los Angeles in Friday’s Game 1.

For Game 2, The SuperBook opened at Lakers -5.5 late Friday night, and the number was pinned there through Saturday night for Sunday’s 8:30 p.m. ET start.

Meanwhile, the No. 1 overall seed in the NBA playoffs is in a world of hurt right now. Milwaukee is in a 3-0 hole in the best-of-7 series against Miami, which can put away this series with a win in a 3:30 p.m. ET tipoff. The Bucks could be without Giannis Antetokounmpo for Game 4 due to a sprained ankle suffered in the 115-100 Game 3 loss Friday.

With that in mind, The SuperBook opened the Heat 1.5-point favorites, and the line ticked down to pick Saturday afternoon before going back up to Miami -1. However, The SuperBook took the game off the board Saturday night, after Antetokounmpo was listed as questionable.

NBA public betting

Despite Antetokounmpo’s uncertain status, the Consensus showed the Bucks landing 54 percent of early picks as a short underdog to the Heat. Rockets-Lakers was also seeing two-way play late Saturday night, with 52 percent of early Consensus picks on the Lakers.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:05 AM

745MILWAUKEE -746 MIAMI
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in the current season.

747HOUSTON -748 LA LAKERS
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:12 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

Lone Star Park - Race 9	WPS / Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 9-10-11) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 9-10-11-12)
Allowance • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 72 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 9:49P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * RELENTLESS JACK: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. LA INSEPARABLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at le ast 50. MOSAIK: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. MEREDITHS CARTEL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. CORONA VELVET: Horse's win percentage at tod ay's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
1	RELENTLESS JACK	3/1	5/1
7	LA INSEPARABLE	7/2	6/1
10	MOSAIK	4/1	8/1
5	MEREDITHS CARTEL	15/1	8/1
2	CORONA VELVET	10/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	RELENTLESS JACK	1	3/1	Average/Trouble-prone	77	67	4.2	0.0	0.0
2	CORONA VELVET	2	10/1	Fast	58	62	2.4	0.0	0.0
3	GOLLY JESS	3	10/1	Average	49	62	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	MUNECO CAT	4	15/1	Slow	59	59	8.3	0.0	0.0
5	MEREDITHS CARTEL	5	15/1	Fast	72	61	1.6	0.0	0.0
6	ALAMITOS DREAMS	6	12/1	Fast	58	52	1.2	0.0	0.0
7	LA INSEPARABLE	7	7/2	Fast/Trouble-prone	72	67	1.5	0.0	0.0
8	RAINBOW DASH	8	15/1	Fast	67	56	1.2	0.0	0.0
9	E M BEST CARD	9	10/1	Average	69	57	4.1	0.0	0.0
10	MOSAIK	10	4/1	Fast	63	64	3.2	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:13 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Pick Three
Allowance • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 8:50P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ARTS OBSESSION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FULL MOON: Quarter h orse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MAX MY BULLETS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). QUIET TALKS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6	ARTS OBSESSION	9/2	9/2
3	FULL MOON	5/2	5/1
4	MAX MY BULLETS	5/1	8/1
1	QUIET TALKS	4/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	QUIET TALKS	1	4/1	Slow	82	75	6.7	0.0	0.0
2	CANELITO	2	5/1	Fast	72	69	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	FULL MOON	3	5/2	Average	88	77	4.7	0.0	0.0
4	MAX MY BULLETS	4	5/1	Average	85	81	4.4	0.0	0.0
5	TRES ILLUSIONS	5	3/1	Slow	78	77	7.1	0.0	0.0
6	ARTS OBSESSION	6	9/2	Slow	90	86	6.6	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2020, 11:14 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 77

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 6 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 TRICKESSY 6/1
# 2 BEAUTIFUL BOUNTY 9/2
# 5 TIME IS PRECIOUS 10/1

TRICKESSY has a formidable shot to take this race. She has been running admirably lately while recording sharp Speed Figures. Has a very solid record at the distance and surface, which makes me think about this filly. Should be given consideration for this event if only for the formidable speed rating recorded in the last contest. BEAUTIFUL BOUNTY - Could best this group based on the speed figure - 73 - of her last contest. With a reliable jockey who has won at a very good 18 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top choices. TIME IS PRECIOUS - Has been moving quite well and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance.