Sunday 9/6/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, September 6

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 951-952
September 6, 2020 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 14.574
Baltimore
(Wojchwski) 16.910
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-210
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+180); Under

Milwaukee @ Cleveland

Game 955-956
September 6, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 14.939
Cleveland
(Bieber) 16.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-250
7
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-250); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 957-958
September 6, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Corbin) 16.037
Atlanta
(Tomlin) 17.129
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-130); Under

Philadelphia @ NY Mets

Game 953-954
September 6, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Nola) 17.415
NY Mets
(deGrom) 16.306
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-150
7
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+130); Over

Miami @ Tampa Bay

Game 959-960
September 6, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Rogers) 17.779
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 16.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-210
7
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+180); Over

Toronto @ Boston

Game 961-962
September 6, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Ray) 14.406
Boston
(Triggs) 15.870
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-155
11
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+135); Under

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Game 963-964
September 6, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Antone) 13.447
Pittsburgh
(Kuhl) 14.882
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+140); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City

Game 965-966
September 6, 2020 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Keuchel) 16.350
Kansas City
(Harvey) 13.138
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-190
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-190); Over

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 967-968
September 6, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Mize) 14.974
Minnesota
(Hill) 16.855
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-190
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-190); Under

Arizona @ San Francisco

Game 969-970
September 6, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Young) 15.744
San Francisco
(Cueto) 14.486
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+115); Over

Houston @ LA Angels

Game 971-972
September 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Valdez) 17.125
LA Angels
(Barria) 15.770
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-145); Over

San Diego @ Oakland

Game 973-974
September 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Richards) 17.573
Oakland
(Fiers) 15.053
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-120); Under

Texas @ Seattle

Game 975-976
September 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Lyles) 13.439
Seattle
(Dunn) 16.810
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-135
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-135); Under

St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs

Game 977-978
September 6, 2020 @ 7:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Hudson) 16.871
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-110
12
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-110); Over

Colorado @ LA Dodgers

Game 979-980
September 6, 2020 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Castellani) 13.832
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 16.748
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-270
10
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-270); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Sunday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 14-0 SU since Jul 03, 2019 as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which they never trailed.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Oakland (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Padres are 0-12 SU since Jul 12, 2019 off a road game in which they drew 1 or fewer walks.


OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at L.A. Angels (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 11-0-2 OU since Oct 04, 2019 after George Springer had multiple hits last game.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Oakland (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Athletics are 10-0 SU since Aug 08, 2018 when Mike Fiers starts at home after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 2 Odds: Rockets vs. Lakers
Michael Crosson

Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals between the No. 1 L.A. Lakers and No. 4 Houston Rockets will take place on Sunday night from the NBA Bubble in Orlando, Florida.

Despite being a heavy underdog in Game 1 and the series, the Rockets took the opener with their small-ball approach as the Lakers couldn't keep up with them offensively.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Western Conference Game 2
Second Round: Rockets lead series 1-0
Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Sunday, Sept. 6, 2020
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC

Despite dominating Game 1, the oddsmakers still have the Rockets listed as healthy underdogs to the Lakers in Game 2. (AP)

Line Movements

Showing a little less confidence in LeBron’s crew heading into Game 2, but Vegas still backing them as the Lakers enter their second Western Conference Semi-Final matchup as five and a half-point favorites, despite being outclassed on both sides of the ball in the first matchup of this series on Friday.

‘Under’ bettors never broke a sweat on Friday night thanks to the Lakers, as Frank Vogel’s team put up just 97 points in Game 1. The ‘over-under’ for the second game of this series has fallen to OU 224 points.

Rockets straight-up bettors walked away from Game 1 with fat pockets as Houston entered the contest as +240 on the money line. That price has gotten more expensive for Game 2, but still sits at a juicy line of +201.

Spread: Los Angeles -5.5
Money-Line: Los Angeles -240 Houston +200
Total: 224
Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -250 Houston +210

Game 1 Recap

James Harden carried the energy he brought down the stretch of Game 7 against the Thunder into the Rockets’ opening contest with the Lakers, and he rode it all the way to the finish line in Game 1, tallying 36 points on 60% FGA and 9 of 12 from downtown in Houston’s 112-97 rout of LAL.

The Rockets did not necessarily have a great game from deep, as they knocked down just 14 of their 39 3-point attempts, but they shot it much better than Lakers, who shot just 29% from 3-point land.

Game 1 Betting Results

The opening matchup in this series was a wire-to-wire result as Houston led after the first quarter and it never looked back.

Total bettors on the 'over' were teased with a good start as the pair combined for 120 points at halftime but neither club could break 50 in the second-half and that led to an 'under' winner.

Outcome: Rockets 112 Lakers 97

Game: Rockets Win, Rockets Cover Cover (+6.5), Under (227)
First Quarter: Rockets Win (29-28), Rockets Cover (+2.5), Under (58)
First-Half: Rockets Win (63-57), Rockets Cover (+3.5), Over (115)
Second-Half: Rockets Win (49-42), Rockets Cover (+7), Under (110.5)

Houston Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 8-8 SU, 7-9 ATS, 5-11 O/U
Playoffs: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS, 3-5 O/U

Before Friday’s Game 1 matchup, it had been the Russell Westbrook show when the Lakers and Rockets met up in 2020, as the former-MVP averaged over 38 points per game, bobbing and weaving through the LA defense in the two contests he participated in against LeBron and company this season.

The first playoff game between these teams was a different story though, as Chef Harden had the hot hand, going 12 of 20 from the field and 50% from downtown. Mike D’Antoni’s team didn’t win Game 1 by knocking down 25 3-pointers in a fluke.

They won by standing toe-to-toe with the top-seed in the Western Conference and playing quality defense against a superior team for four whole quarters. All Houston can do is keep bombing away and pray to the basketball gods that the Lakers don’t find their rhythm from deep.

Los Angeles Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 7-7 SU, 4-10 ATS, 9-6 O/U
Playoffs: 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 6-8 O/U

If the Rockets go 20 of 35 from downtown and just run a team out of the building like they are capable of doing sometimes, there is nothing you can do except tip your cap to them, but that is far from what happened to the Lakers on Friday night.

There is really no excuse for the LA not breaking 100 points in this matchup, when Anthony Davis stands three inches taller than any of Houston’s starters while debatably being the best big man in the NBA. He scored 25 points on 62.5% shooting in Game 1 and it is clear Houston has nobody on the court that can potentially guard him.

The game plan has to be simple for Los Angeles moving forward. Don’t panic. Control the pace of Game 2. Get the ball to AD and the Lakers should not have a problem advancing to the next round, because they really are the far superior team in this series.

The defense has been there all month, they just need to start scoring more points, which everyone knows LAL is very capable of doing.

Key Injuries

Houston

SF Danuel House Jr.: Face - Game Time Decision

Los Angeles

None

Rockets’ forward, Danuel House Jr. left in the third quarter of Houston’s Game 1 victory over the Lakers and did not return for “precautionary” reasons. He is listed as a game-time-decision for Sunday’s contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 6

Dallas @ Washington

Game 625-626
September 6, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
108.082
Washington
105.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
169
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
165
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

Seattle @ Minnesota

Game 627-628
September 6, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
122.182
Minnesota
109.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 12 1/2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 6
162
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-6); Under

Chicago @ Los Angeles

Game 629-630
September 6, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111.135
Los Angeles
110.809
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
Even
169
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 4 1/2
172
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, September 6

Dallas @ Vegas

Game 31-32
September 6, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
13.508
Vegas
11.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-170
6
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+150); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Houston Rockets vs LA Lakers 9/6/20 - NBA

In the second game of a Sunday NBA on ABC Playoff doubleheader, the Houston Rockets and the Los Angeles Lakers will square off from the Walt Disney Resort. The fourth-seeded Rockets needed seven games to dispose of Oklahoma City and are the top rated defensive team in the bubble. On Friday, Houston limited Los Angeles to 42 points during the second half of a 112-97 victory.

Houston G James Harden led all scorers with 36 points on an efficient 12-for-20 shooting performance. Russell Westbrook contributed 24 points, nine rebounds, and six assists for the Rockets.

The Los Angeles Lakers were the third rated team in defensive efficiency during the regular season, but lack the perimeter shooting to surround LeBron James. In Game One, that flaw was exposed as the top-seeded Lakers missed 27 of their 38 three-point attempts. Los Angeles was outrebounded by a 53-47 margin and turned the ball over 17 times.

Los Angeles F Anthony Davis tallied a team high 25 points on 10-for-16 shooting and grabbed 14 rebounds. LeBron James added 20 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists for the Lakers.

Recent Betting Trends

Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Lakers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-3 in Lakers last 10 games following a straight up loss.
Rockets are 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings.

Free NBA Pick: Houston Rockets +5.5

Los Angeles G Rajon Rondo (hand) made his first appearance in the postseason and finished with eight points on 3-for-9 from the field. The Rockets continue to stifle teams with their ability to switch on defense. Look for Houston to take a 2-0 series lead with a win on Sunday. Final Score Prediction, Houston Rockets win but grab the points just in case 114-110.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat 9/6/20 - NBA

The Milwaukee Bucks face elimination when playing Game 4 of their NBA Eastern Conference semifinals best-of-seven series on Sunday against the Miami Heat. The Bucks were defeated on Friday 115-110 by Miami in Game 3 and trail in the series 3-0. Milwaukee led by 12 points starting the fourth quarter but was outscored 40-13 to lose by 15. Brook Lopez was the leading scorer in the loss for Milwaukee with 22 points.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is leading Milwaukee in scoring, rebounding and assists with averages of 27.6 points, 15.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. Khris Middleton is the second-leading scorer with an average of 18.0 points per game and one of five players for Milwaukee averaging double figures in scoring.

Miami looks to clinch the series and move on to the Eastern Conference Finals with a victory on Sunday. The Heat were led by Jimmy Butler who scored 17 of his 30 points during the fourth quarter. Bam Adebayo scored 20 points and pulled down 16 rebounds for the Heat, who are now 7-0 during the postseason. Odds are on Miami’s side to win this series as no team in the history of the NBA has rallied from a 3-0 series deficit.

Jimmy Butler is leading Miami in scoring with an average of 23.1 points per game, while Goran Dragic is second in scoring with an average of 22.3 points per game. Bam Adebayo is the third leading scorer, leading rebounder and leader in assists with averages of 15.3 points, 12.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game.

Recent Betting Trends

Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 versus Miami
The UNDER has cashed in 3 of the Bucks last 4
Miami is 7-0 ATS in its last 7
The UNDER has cashed in 6 of the Heat’s last 8

Free NBA Pick: Miami Heat -2

Miami took the wind out of the Bucks’ sails with its 40-13 rally in the fourth quarter to beat Milwaukee by 15 points in Game 3. The Heat is playing as well or better than any other NBA team remaining in the postseason. Miami has covered the number in each of its last seven and in five of its last six head-to-head against Milwaukee. On Sunday, Miami eliminates the Bucks with a Game 4 victory and cover. Final Score Prediction, Miami Heat wins and covers 111-108

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Rockies at Dodgers 9/6/20 - MLB

The Colorado Rockies conclude a three-game series on the road Sunday against the National League West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. The Rockies dropped to 18-20 following a 10-6 loss on Friday in the opening game of the series to the Dodgers. Colorado has lost four of the last five and is 11 games behind the first-place Dodgers in the NL West..

Charlie Blackmon is batting .343 to lead Colorado and the right fielder has team highs in RBIs with 29, hits with 49 and on-base percentage at .399. Shortstop Trevor Story is leading Colorado in home runs with nine. On Sunday, Colorado will send Ryan Castellani to the mound. The right-hander is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.81, 18 Ks and 8 BBs.

Los Angeles improved to a major league-leading 30-10 following its victory on Friday over the Rockies. The Dodgers own a six-game lead atop the National League West over the San Diego Padres and have won 75% of their first 40 games. Los Angeles has won six straight and eight of its last nine. On Friday, the Dodgers belted three home runs during the eighth inning to surge past Colorado.

Shortstop Corey Seager is batting .328 to lead Los Angeles. Right fielder Mookie Betts is leading the Dodgers in home runs with 13, RBIs with 30, hit's with 46 and on-base percentage at .385. On Sunday, Los Angeles will send Julio Urias to the mound. The right-hander is 3-0 with an ERA of 3.27, 29 Ks and 10 BBs.

Recent Betting Trends

Colorado is 1-4 in its last 5
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Rockies last 5
Los Angeles is 6-0 in its last 6
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Dodgers last 5

Free MLB Pick: Over 9.5 Runs

Los Angeles is playing exceptionally well and is far and away the best team in Major League Baseball at the moment. However, the play here is the OVER. The OVER has cashed in four the Rockies last five. Both teams have explosive offenses evidenced by Friday's series opener when Colorado belted a grand slam just minutes before Los Angeles hit three home runs in the same inning. Runs Galore on Sunday. Final Score Prediction, Los Angeles Dodgers win but our best play is OVER 10-5

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St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs 9/6/20 - MLB

The St Louis Cardinals will play the fourth game of a five-game Series on the road Sunday against National League Central rival the Chicago Cubs. St Louis dropped to 14-15 following its 4-1 on Friday in the opening game of the series with the Cubs. The loss was St Louis’ second straight and sixth and its last nine. The Cardinals are now tied for second place in the NL Central 4 ½ games behind the first-place Cubs. With four more consecutive games to be played head-to-head with Cubs, this series is very important for the Cardinals.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt is batting .326 to lead St Louis and has team-highs in hits with 30 and on-base percentage at .466. Third baseman Brad Miller is leading St. Louis in home runs with five and RBIs with 19. On Sunday, St Louis will send Kwang-Hyun Kim to the mound.The left-hander is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.83, 11 Ks and 6 BBs.

Chicago improved to 23-15 with its victory on Friday in the opening game of the series. The Cubs lead both St Louis and the Milwaukee Brewers by 4 ½ games atop the NL Central. In Friday's victory, starting pitcher Yu Darvish threw 11 strikeouts for his seventh consecutive victory. Chicago has won four of its last five. Willson Contreras had three hits and drove in four runs for Chicago.

Center fielder Ian Happ is batting .311 to lead Chicago and has team highs in RBIs with 22, hits with 38 and on-base percentage at .421. Left fielder Kyle Schwarber is leading Chicago in home runs with 10. On Sunday, the Chicago Cubs will send Jon Lester to the mound. The left-hander is 2-1 with an ERA of 5.11, 25 Ks and 8 BBs.

Recent Betting Trends

St Louis is 6-2 in its last 8 on the road versus Chicago
The OVER has cashed in 7 of the Cardinals last 10
Chicago is 5-2 in its last 7
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Cubs last 6

Free MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -120

St Louis starter Kwang-Hyun Kim is 2-0 with an impressive 0.83 ERA and the Cardinals have won four of the southpaw’s last five starts including a 3-1 victory over the Cubs on August 17 in which the left-hander allowed just three hits and one run over 3 ⅔ innings of a 7-inning double header game. In addition, St Louis has won six of the last eight at Wrigley Field over the Cubs. Final Score Prediction, St. Louis Cardinals win 5-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Houston Astros at LA Angels 9/6/20 - MLB

The Houston Astros complete a four-game series on the road Sunday against American League West rival the Los Angeles Angels. Houston dropped to 21-16 following its 6-5 loss on Friday to the Angels in the opening game of the series. The Astros are in second place two games behind the first-place Oakland Athletics and the loss snapped a short two game winning streak for Houston.

Carlos Correa is batting .289 to lead Houston and the shortstop has a team-high .364 on-base percentage. Right fielder Kyle Tucker is leading in home runs with six and RBIs with 32. First baseman Yuli Gurriel is leading in hits with 39. On Sunday, Houston will send Framber Valdez to the mound. The left-hander is 3-2 with an ERA of 2.58, 48 Ks and 12 BBs.

With its victory on Friday in the opening game of the series against Houston, Los Angeles improved to 14-25 but the Angels are in fourth place in the AL West 10 games behind the first-place Oakland Athletics. Los Angeles has won two straight. Mike Trout had earlier tied the Los Angeles Angels career home-run mark with his 299th and scored the Angels winning run in the 11th inning.

Third baseman David Fletcher is batting .312 to lead Los Angeles and has a team-high 45 hits. Center fielder Mike Trout is leading in home runs with 14 and RBIs with 36. Third baseman Anthony Rendon as a team-high .430 on-base percentage. On Sunday, Los Angeles will send Jaime Barria to the mound. The right-hander is 0-0 with a 2.63 ERA, 11 Ks and 5 BBs.

Recent Betting Trends

Houston is 4-2 in its last 6
The OVER has cashed in 6 of the Astros last 8
Los Angeles is 6-14 in its last 20
The OVER has cashed in 7 of the Angels last 8 versus the Astros

Free MLB Pick: Houston Astros -135

Although Houston lost the first game of the series to Los Angeles, the Astros have won five of the last seven at Angels Stadium against the Angels and have won four of the last six overall. Los Angeles on the other hand has struggled of late losing 14 of his last 21 and four of its first six played during September. Final Score Prediction, Houston Astros win 6-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners 9/6/20 - MLB

The Texas Rangers play the third game of a four-game series on the road Sunday against American League West rival the Seattle Mariners. Texas dropped to 13-24 following its 6-3 on Friday night in the opening game of this series. The Rangers have lost three straight, five of their last six and seven of the last nine to fall 10 games behind the first place Oakland A’s.

Third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .288 to lead Texas and has team highs in hits with 36 and on-base percentage at.341. Center fielder Joey Gallo is leading Texas in home runs with seven and RBIs with 17. On Sunday, Texas will send Jordan Lyles to the mound. The right-hander 1-3 with an ERA of 8.59, 18 Ks and 14 BBs.

Seattle improved to 16-22 following its victory on Friday over the Rangers and is in third place in the AL West 7 ½ games behind the first-place A's. Seattle has won three straight games wrapped around three postponed games. In Friday's victory, starting pitcher Yusei Kikuchi threw seven strikeouts while JP Crawford blasted a three-run home run helping to lead the Mariners to the win.

Right fielder Kyle Lewis is batting .319 to lead Seattle and has team-highs in home runs with eight, hits with 43 and on-base percentage at .408. third baseman Kyle Seager has a team-high 26 RBIs. On Sunday, the Seattle Mariners will send Justin Dunn to the mound. The right-hander is 2-1 with an ERA of 4.33, 21 Ks and 16 BBs.

Recent Betting Trends

Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6
The OVER has cashed in 12 of the Rangers last 18
Seattle is 6-1 in its last 7 at home
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Mariners last 5 versus Texas

Free MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners -145

Seattle has played well of late even though having distractions due to game postponements from covid 19. The Mariners have won eight of the last 11 overall and six of the last seven at home in T-Mobile Park. The Mariners have also won each of their last five at home against the Rangers. FInal Score Prediction, Seattle Mariners win 7-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 9/6/20

---

September 6, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saratoga
Sunday, September 6, 2020
*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
*
*
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
*
The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches.

*
RACE 1: Post 12:45 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Jordan’s Leo; 7-Bellamore

Forecast: Bellamore has trained like a very nice prospect and the daughter of Empire looks plenty fit and ready for a major effort first crack out of the box. A $350,000 OBS April sale purchase (where she previewed in :21 2/5), the C. Brown-trained juvenile should eventually be most comfortable around two turns but may have the quality to win at first asking at this extended sprint trip. Jordan’s Leo has been burning up the Belmont Park training track lately and could be dangerous if she breaks running from the rail. The daughter of Malibu Moon hails from the T. Pletcher barn (21% with first-timers) and seems certain to receive plenty of play. Both should be included in your rolling exotics.
*
*
RACE 2: Post 1:19 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Bad Beat Brian; 5-Bourbon Currency

Forecast: Here’s a restricted (nw-3) $35,000 claiming turf sprint for older horses with a low degree of predictability. We’ll double the race, but we suggest you use as many as your budget allows. Bourbon Currency seems most effective when held up early and allowed to run late and should get his preferred trip/ride from regular jockey J. Ortiz. A willing runner-up over this course and distance at this level last time out, the son of Speightstown needs help up front and good racing luck to have his best chance, and since the J. Kimmel-trained gelding is just 2-for-20 in his career he needs all the good luck he can get. Bad Beat Brian, nosed out in a $40,000 turf router in late July in a race that was restricted to 3-year-olds, faces older today but has the route-to-sprint angle in his corner and speed figures that fit very well with this group. It’s hard to say what kind of style he’ll employ but there’s other speed in the field so perhaps the Jack Milton gelding will find a good stalking spot and then turn it on late.
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RACE 3: Post 1:51 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Blood Moon; 4-Cold Hard Cash; 5-Majestic West

Forecast: Here’s another challenging affair, a starter’s allowance event over nine furlongs on the main track. Majestic West makes his third start off a layoff and has the two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern that always catches the eye. The son of Quality Road shouldn’t have any difficulty with the two-turn trip, and with rising speed figures and the switch to J. Rosario the P. Bauer-trained 4-year-old may deserve a very slight edge on top. Cold Hard Cash has gradually improving speed figures and with another forward move should be capable of regaining his winning form. Second in a tougher first-level allowance race over this track and distance last month, the L. Rice-trained gelding projects to settle in the second flight and then produce his best bid from the quarter pole home. The other major player from the Rice barn, Blood Moon, is a first-off-the-claim play for a stable that has superior stats (23%) with this angle. In the frame in four of his last five starts and switching to Rice’s “go-to” rider J. Lezcano, the Malibu Moon colt can be dangerous on the lead or from a stalking position.
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RACE 4: Post 2:23 ET. Grade: X
Single: 1-Price Talk

Forecast: By all rights Price Talk shouldn’t be eligible this maiden two-turn turf affair; he actually finished first in his debut over the local lawn in mid-July but had his number taken down, so here he is, back with maidens again hoping this time to run straight and true. From the good rail, the son of Kitten’s Joy should be close up throughout while saving ground and then have his chance to kick clear when set down at the top of the lane. At 6/5 on the morning line the J. Abreu-trained 3-year-old will be heavily favored to do just that. He’s a logical short price, no value, rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post 2:55 ET. Grade: X
Single: 5-Mo Dean

Forecast: It wasn’t a particular fast race but Mo Dean certainly ran well in her debut when a fast-finishing second here last month and today gets an extra furlong to work with for the C. Brown barn that hits at a remarkable 35% with second-time starters. The question isn’t whether this daughter of Uncle Mo will improve, but rather by how much? At 6/5 on the morning line she’ll no doubt be too short to play the win pool, but we can still use her as a short price rolling exotic single.
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RACE 6: Post 3:31 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-A Little Faith; 3-Bean Counter; 8-Keota

Forecast: We’ll spread the sixth race, a first-level allowance turf dash for fillies and mares. Keota is the 2-1 morning line favorite and the one to beat following a clever starter’s allowance score over this course and distance last month. The veteran mare is fast on figures and shows two easy recent breezes to tick her over, so we’ll assume she’ll fire a similar shot today from her typical second flight, stalking position. A Little Faith also comes off a nice win, hers earned at the expense of state-bred entry-level allowance foes in late July in her first outing since November. She accomplished a career top speed figure in the victory and returns after a six week vacation during which she was kept on edge with a healthy work pattern. Bean Counter seeks her third straight win, is strong in the speed figure department, and is shortening up from a series of solid two-turn efforts. Tough at any distance but moving up from the restricted claiming ranks, the T. Pletcher-trained daughter of Into Mischief switches to J. Rosario and seems likely to make her presence felt every step of the way.
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RACE 7: Post 4:03 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 5-Calidad; 10-Chocolate Cookie

Forecast: Chocolate Cookie was nowhere in her debut last month over this course when favored, but the daughter of Declaration of War wasn’t knocked about and seems quite capable of improving with that trial run under her belt. The main issue in her poor outside draw, but if I. Ortiz, Jr., who rides her back, can negotiate a decent trip she should produce a significant forward move. Calidad tries two-turns and grass for the first time in her first outing since early July and it wouldn’t be surprising to see the daughter of Quality Road employ front-running tactics. On pure numbers, she’s a fit. We’ll go with just these two in our rolling exotics but if you feel the need to include a few more, go right ahead.
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RACE 8: Post 4:37 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Thomas Selby; 5-Tiz He the One; 7-Malibu Pro

Forecast: Tiz He the One drops well below his claim level (from $62,500 to $40,00), not normally a healthy sign but a maneuver that is acceptable from the M. Maker stable, which plays the claiming game aggressively. The Tiz Wonderful gelding, a winner of five races from 15 starts (but unplaced in seven other outings) is kind of a hit-or-miss type but this seven furlong trip always has brought out his best (two wins), so we’re expecting to see him in mid-pack early and then taking hold from the head of the lane to the wire. Thomas Selby is very ambitious placed after winning a modest $14,000 seller last time out, but W. Ward usually runs them where they can win so we’ll take this placement as a sign of confidence. Fresh from a highly-rated score, the son of Curlin retains I. Ortiz, Jr. and may offer some real value at 8-1 on the morning line. Malibu Pro, claimed in his last pair and moving way up from the $20,000 level by new trainer A. C. Avila, is a 7-year-old gelding in good form right now and on numbers could be quite competitive despite the substantial class hike. He should be within striking range throughout and could make some noise late at or near his morning line of 10-1.
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RACE 9: Post 5:11 ET. Grade: B
Use: 4-Esplanande; 5-Beautiful Memories

Forecast: Beautiful Memories won her debut by 10 lengths at Churchill Downs in her debut in late May and was impressive enough to warrant odds-on favoritism in the Schuylerville S.-G3 in July. She stumbled badly at the start, tried run off early and then was understandably spent and was eased. The daughter of Hard Spun gets a chance to make amends today and if she leaves cleanly this time she’ll have every chance to repeat her maiden performance, which should be good enough in today’s six-runner Spinaway S.-G1. Esplanande is a two-time stakes winner from the minors in Ohio and today shows up against the big girls in a race that truly will test her quality. The daughter of the red hot (but exported to Turkey) young stallion Daredevil is competitive on numbers, so we’ll include her on a ticket or two as well.
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RACE 10: Post 5:45 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Come Dancing; 2-Blamed; 7-Lady’s Island

Forecast: Come Dancing may have lost a step or two but after exiting the blazingly fast Ballerina S.-G1 won by Serengeti Empress, the 6-year-old mare gets a much easier assignment in this year’s edition of the Honorable Miss H.-G2 and should make the most of the opportunity. She’s a perfect two-for-two at this exact six furlong trip, so if the daughter of Malibu Moon breaks cleanly from the rail she’ll have every chance to return to winning form. Blamed, drawn right alongside in the 2-hole, has won nine of 16 career starts but isn’t nearly as fast on pure numbers as Come Dancing is (or was), yet we have to include her because this turn back to six furlongs (she’s perfect in one start) could bring out her best. She can be very tough on the lead or from a stalking position, so J. Rosario can assess the race flow and employ whatever strategy he desires. Lady’s Island is a Florida shipper with only one way to go, on the front end for as far as she can carry her speed. She earned a triple digit Beyer speed figure in her only prior outing at Saratoga, a starter’s allowance affair last year that she won by more than 13 lengths when she was trained by D. Gargan. The daughter of Greatness is back in the Gargan barn, so lookout.
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RACE 11: Post 6:17 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Shekky Shebaz; 8-Pulsate

Forecast: Today’s secondary feature, the Lucky Coin S., a listed affair for older turf sprinters that finds Shekky Shebaz the morning line favorite at 8/5. Crossing the wire third but moved up to second in the recent Troy S.-G3 over this course and distance last month, the speedy Cape Blanco gelding lands the rail and projects to secure a good ground-saving position either on the front end or just off it. He’s the defending race champion and will handle this group if he brings his best stuff. Pulsate, fifth in the same race ‘Shebaz exits, likes to settle early and produce a late kick. He didn’t get a clear run in the Troy, but with better luck today he could be heard from in the final stages. We’ll use him in a ticket or two as a back-up.

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RACE 12: Post 6:49 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Leeway; 3-Tatterazzi

Forecast: The nightcap is a restricted (nw-2) $40,000 claiming turf miler for fillies and mares that appears to have two main players. Leeway, in her second start off a layoff and dropping out of a tougher starter’s allowance affair, retains J. Rosario and seems certain to attempt the same front-running strategy that produced her maiden claiming win 11 months ago. But even if she isn’t quite quick enough to make the running, the daughter of Stroll should be within striking range throughout and have her chance when it matters. Tatterazzi, also making her second start off a layoff after chasing first-level allowance state-bred foes last month, is a strong candidate to step forward for the J. Terranova barn, which has superior stats with this angle. She’s another that might be most comfortable on the front end, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see L. Saez aggressively send her from the gate.