Monday 9/7/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358283

    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Thistledown - Race #4 - Post: 2:20pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 78

    Rating:

    #3 A NEW ANGEL (ML=5/2)
    #5 ARROWSPHERE (ML=3/1)
    #7 SKY VISION (ML=7/2)


    A NEW ANGEL - This mare is in exceptional physical condition right now. Ran first last time out and comes back soon. This equine has the pace, and no one may be able to keep up with her. This jockey/conditioner duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +55. Everybody's got their favorite tracks, but if you ask this horse, I think her answer would be Thistledown. I like the piece of information that this mare's last figure, 79, is tops in this group. ARROWSPHERE - Was in a $12,500 Claiming race at Thistledown last race out. That race had a class figure of 84 and she is moving down right here. A certain solid contender. SKY VISION - Meyers drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more information to think this horse has a good chance at this level.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SASSY ANGEL (ML=6/1), #1 SPRING CITY GAL (ML=6/1), #4 PREFER DIAMONDS (ML=8/1),

    SASSY ANGEL - Not likely for this thoroughbred to make an impact with no recent success in a sprint race. SPRING CITY GAL - No picnic to wager on this questionable contender this time. Make her show you something in a short distance race before you wager on her in a race of 6 furlongs. This mare recorded a speed fig in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's race. PREFER DIAMONDS - Won't be easy for this horse to beat this group off of that last fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the possibly overvalued equines list.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #3 A NEW ANGEL to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: Pass

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,5,7] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358283

      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Turf. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 70

      FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 9 DEGAS 5/2
      # 7 NEXTSTOP POKIPC 3/1
      # 4 HEART HERO 12/1
      My choice for this race is DEGAS. He ought to be carefully examined given the formidable speed figures. Earned a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Is hard not to consider given the company run in lately. NEXTSTOP POKIPC - His 61 average has this gelding with among the strongest Equibase Speed Figures for this event. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of decent win percentage - 23 percent - at this distance & surface. HEART HERO - Recorded a reliable speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this bunch.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358283

        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 4:31pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $80,000 Class Rating: 90 Mrs. Penny S.

        Rating:

        #4 SHEMAKESMEHAPPY (ML=8/1)
        #5 TROLLEY RIDE (ML=8/1)
        #9 WILDCAT CARTRIDGE (ML=4/1)


        SHEMAKESMEHAPPY - No needing to look any further. This steed has my cash. Way too much pace. This horse has recorded the best recent turf speed fig at the dist/surf. TROLLEY RIDE - All systems look good for this mare. Last prep, 2nd fastest of the day, shows she's fit and ready. Was in a $50,000 Optional Claiming race at Delaware Park last time around the track. That affair had a class figure of 99 and she is moving down today. A certain solid contender. The morning line odds on this mare are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of handler Houghton. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. The mount with the top average class figure in turf events is usually a solid play. This pony fits the bill. WILDCAT CARTRIDGE - I definitely see favorable signs for this steed right here.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #10 PUCA PENNY (ML=3/1), #8 MOON CHANT (ML=9/2), #7 PROMISED STORM (ML=5/1),

        PUCA PENNY - Speed figs of 81/78/73 are pointed the wrong way. Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the possibly overvalued contestants list. MOON CHANT - This horse likes to finish in the money, but doesn't usually get the job done. Don't put in the top spot. She probably can't repeat that last stretch effort and win against this field. PROMISED STORM - Substandard speed rating last out at Parx Racing at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's event.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #4 SHEMAKESMEHAPPY to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
        EXACTA WAGERS: 4 with [5,9]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Box [4,5,9] Total Cost: $6
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [4,5,9] with [4,5,9] with [4,5,9,10,11] with [4,5,9,10,11] Total Cost: $36
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358283

          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park



          09/07/20, MTH, Race 1, 12.50 ET
          09/07/20,MTH,1,1M [Turf] 1:32:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $57,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 7 OR CLAIMING PRICE $100,000. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since August 7 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since July 7 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $100,000 (Races Where Entered For $22,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
          . . . .
          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
          100.0000 5 Wish You Were Mine 12-1 Peterson F Hollendorfer Jerry TSFEL 50.68 1.25/$1
          097.5247 4 Xenobia (IRE) 9/5 Bravo J Thomas Jonathan JW 48.00 1.28/$1
          096.8452 2 Bramble Queen 2-1 DeCarlo C P Dini Michael C 48.00 1.28/$1
          096.6633 1 Story Time 9/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Sweezey J. Kent 46.88 1.17/$1
          094.9328 3 Ionic 3-1 Diaz. Jr. H R Delacour Arnaud 48.00 1.28/$1
          092.9018 6 Aunt Hattie (IRE) 8-1 Juarez N O'Connor. II Robert R. 46.88 1.17/$1
          * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 26.32, ROI 0.74/$1
          If Race Is Off Turf

          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
          100.0000 5 Wish You Were Mine 12-1 Peterson F Hollendorfer Jerry JSFL 44.29 1.14/$1
          099.5872 4 Xenobia (IRE) 9/5 Bravo J Thomas Jonathan TEW 43.31 1.03/$1
          098.8459 3 Ionic 3-1 Diaz. Jr. H R Delacour Arnaud 31.79 0.83/$1
          097.0877 1 Story Time 9/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Sweezey J. Kent 43.31 1.03/$1
          096.6236 2 Bramble Queen 2-1 DeCarlo C P Dini Michael C 44.00 1.15/$1
          095.1471 6 Aunt Hattie (IRE) 8-1 Juarez N O'Connor. II Robert R. 31.79 0.83/$1
          * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.00, ROI 0.75/$1

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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358283

            Mike Wynn

            Free Pick: Minnesota w/Pineda -190 over Detroit
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358283

              Jim Feist

              Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday September 7, 2020
              9/07 01:10 PM PT / 4:10 PM ET
              MLB (907) TEXAS RANGERS VS (908) SEATTLE MARINERS
              Take: over

              Reason: The Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers finish their four game set here on holiday Monday. The Rangers will send Allard to the hill on Monday. Allard is zero and four and his starts and the team is two and four and his starts having lost his last four. Allard has a 5.40 ERA and a 1.280 whip. The Mariners will send Gonzalez to the mound. Gonzalez is four and two this season and the team has won his last two starts. Gonzalez has a nifty 3.09 ERA and 0.916 whip. Your free play for Monday, September 7, 2020 is on 907/908 OVER the Total.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358283

                Razor Sharp

                YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: OAKLAND -140 over Houston
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358283

                  Totals4U

                  Monday's Free Selection: Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres over 8
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358283

                    Roz Wins

                    Roz's MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2020 Free Pick

                    MLB
                    908. Mariners -1.44 (1:10 PT / 4:10 ET)
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358283

                      Atlantic Sports

                      Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: San Diego Padres - 210
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358283

                        #1 Sports

                        Monday's Free Play: Kansas City Royals + 105
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358283

                          Platinum Plays

                          Your Free Pick: the Chicago Cubs w/Hendricks -165 over St Louis
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358283

                            Sharp Bettor

                            SharpBettor FREE Play MONNDAY, September 7, 2020
                            MLB
                            920. A's -1.47 (6:10 PT / 9:10 ET)
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358283

                              Easy Money Sports

                              Lee's Free Early Communist Celebration Day Selection Is

                              PHILADELPHIA w/Wheeler -117
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358283

                                Nevada Sharpshooter

                                Your free winner for Monday : KANSAS CITY/CLEVELAND OVER the total of 8 runs
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