Sunday 9/13/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Tech Trends - Week 1
Bruce Marshall

Sunday, September 13

MIAMI at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Prior to upset in Week 17 last December, Dolphins had lost and failed to cover previous seven at Gillette Stadium, and had lost 10 in a row outright at Foxborough.
Dolphins closed fast in 2019, covering 9 of last 12, all as dog.
Patriots dropped 5 of last 7 vs. number in 2019, and now “under” 19-10 since mid 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to Patriots and “under,” based on extended trends

CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Head coach Kevin Stefanski debut for Browns.
Ravens closed 2019 regular season winning last 12 outright and covering 8 of last 9.
Browns, however, did deal Baltimore its only regular season home loss in Week 4 and have covered last two at M&T Bank Stadium.
Cleveland only covered 4 of last 12 a season ago after that win over Ravens.

Tech Edge: Ravens, based on recent trends

NY JETS at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Road team has won and covered last four meetings.
Bills were just 1-4 vs. spread at Orchard Park last season.
Buffalo on 23-9 “under” run since early 2018.
Jets “under” 5-1 last six in 2019.

Tech Edge: Jets and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends

LAS VEGAS at CAROLINA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Head coach Matt Rhule debut for Panthers.
Raiders lost 5 of last 6 SU and dropped 5 of last 7 vs. line in 2019.
Also “under” 6-1 last 7 in 2019, and “under” 21-11 since 2018.
Panthers however closed 2019 dropping last 8 outright and just 1-6-1 vs. spread in those games, and only 3-7-1 vs. number last 11 at Charlotte since mid 2018.
Panthers “over” 11-5 last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Raiders, based on team trends

SEATTLE at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Seahawks on 9-3-1 spread run away from CenturyLink Field in regular season.
Visiting team is 12-4-1 vs. number in Seattle regular-season games since late 2018.
Falcons covered last 4 and 7 of last 9 in 2019, also winning 6 of last 8 outright.
'Hawks “over” 16-8 in regular season play since mid 2018.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Head coach Ron Rivera debut for Washington (if he’s healthy).
Philly has won and covered last four in series, both meetings “over” last season.
Washington 2-8 vs. points last 10 at FedEx Field.

Tech Edge: Eagles, based on team and series trends

CHICAGO at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Bears have won all four meetings since 2018, covering three of those.
Though note Chicago enters 2020 on a 4-13 spread skid.
Bears were 1-7 vs. line as visitor in 2019 after winning and covering 4 of last 5 away in 2018.
Lions dropped last nine outright a year ago and covered just 2 of last 11 in 2019.
Detroit also “under” 11-2 last 13 at Ford Field.

Tech Edge: Slight to Bears and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends

INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Jags lost and failed to cover 6 of last 8 a year ago.
But they have won and covered last four as series host vs. Colts (five if counting London game in 2016) and were 3-1 vs. line getting 6 or more points a year ago.
Jags 8-1-1 vs. number against Indy since 2015.

Tech Edge: Jags, based on series trends

GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Packers won and covered both meetings last season.
Vikings however have won and covered last four and five of six openers under Mike Zimmer.
“Unders” 9-2 last 11 in series.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on series trends

L.A. CHARGERS at CINCINNATI (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Chargers fell apart late 2019, losing and failing to cover 6 of last 7.
Bolts 3-7 vs. line last ten away from home, and just 1-8 laying points a year ago.
Cincy only 3-10-1 vs. spread last 14 at Paul Brown Stadium but was 3-2-1 last six as dog in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Bengals, based on team trends

ARIZONA at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Cards played Niners tough last season and very unfortunate to get push out of second meeting after covering in desert.
Big Red 4-0-1 vs. spread last five in series and on 11-5-1 spread uptick since late 2018.
Cards 6-1-1 vs. spread away in 2019, now 7-1-1 vs. line last nine as a visitor.
Niners were just 3-4-1 vs. spread at home in regular season of 2019.

Tech Edge: Cards, based on series and team trends

TAMPA BAY at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Bruce Arians only 5-10-1 vs. line in his Bucs debut season a year ago.
Note - his second year at Arizona in 2014 produced 11-5 SU and spread marks.
Bucs “over” 12-4 in 2019, Arians teams now “over” 27-12 dating back to mid 2016 with Cards.
Over now 5-2 last seven in this series.
Saints only 4-9 vs. number last 11 at Superdome.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Bucs, based on “totals” and team trends.

DALLAS at L.A. RAMS (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

Rams open new SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.
Cowboys won big 44-21 last December vs. LA at Arlington.
Dallas “over” 22-12 since 2018, both meetings vs. Rams “over” past two years.
Rams were only 5-9 vs. spread their last 14 as host at Coliseum.
McVay has covered in openers the past three seasons.

Tech Edge: Slight to “over” and Rams, based on “totals” and team trends


Monday, September 14

PITTSBURGH at NY GIANTS (ESPN, 7:15 p.m. ET)

Head coach Joe Judge debut for New York.
Steelers “under” 12-4 last season (almost all of it minus Big Ben), now “under” 17-6 last 23 since late 2018.
Steel also just 1-6-1 last eight as visiting chalk since 2018.
Giants “over” 16-8 since mid 2018 but just 2-8 vs. points last 10 at MetLife.

Tech Edge: Slight to Giants, based on team trends.

TENNESSEE at DENVER (ESPN, 10:10 p.m. ET)

Broncos blanked Titans 16-0 in Week 6 last season, and quietly covered 8 of last 12 for Fangio in 2019.
Denver on 17-7 “under” run since mid 2018 (9-7 “under’ in 2019).
Titans covered 5 of their last 6 on road down the stretch last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Report - Week 1
Matt Blunt

Who's Hot

Over the past three years, in Week 1, playoff teams from the previous year are 18-4-1 SU (13-10 ATS) when playing a non-playoff team from the previous year.

Fading the Super Bowl loser thought always gets tossed out a lot this week (myself included), but those teams are still a part of this massive group that you can basically pencil in for outright wins in Week 1.

With five SU wins coming at the expense of a point spread victory, it's clear some of these playoff teams could be slightly overvalued the following year. And with no preseason to base anything off of bettors, opinions based off last year's production have to be formed.

But at least the past three Week 1's have shown that when you put these playoff teams up against non-playoff foes, the outright win seems to always get there.

The 2019 playoff teams in the AFC were:

Baltimore
Kansas City
New England
Houston
Buffalo
Tennessee

The 2019 playoff teams in the NFC:

San Francisco
Green Bay
New Orleans
Philadelphia
Seattle
Minnesota

Going through the Week 1 schedule brings you to eliminating Houston and Kansas City from this equation with them playing one another on TNF, so not applicable there. The same can be said for the Green Bay-Minnesota game as well on Sunday.

Which leaves outright thoughts on Baltimore (-7.5) over Cleveland, New England (-6.5) over Miami, Buffalo (-6.5) over NY Jets, and Tennessee (-1) over Denver on MNF as options from the AFC side of things.

In the NFC, Seattle (-2) over Atlanta, Philadelphia (-6.5) over Washington, San Francisco (-7) over Arizona, and New Orleans (-3.5) over Tampa Bay fit the above trends.

It's interesting to note that five of those eight games all have point spreads within a point of a full TD, meaning the SU win and ATS loss expectation is fairly reasonable. With it happening five times already in just three seasons (1.66 times per year), guessing at least one of those TD favorites will squeak out a nail-biting victory can go along with that.

Which does put that Arizona/San Francisco game in an interesting light for those that definitely want to fade the Super Bowl loser. Would anybody be surprised by a 49ers win by three or four points in that one?

But an 80% outright win rate to start the year for these playoff teams is tough to ignore even in these odd times. Flipping back and forth between some of these options for Survivor pools might have some easy advancements to next week on the horizon, but remember at the same time, 1.33 times per year one of these teams has lost outright as well.

Unless it's Tennessee or Seattle falling as small road chalk, you find that diamond in the rough this week and go ML shopping, it will be a nice start to the year.


Who's Not

AFC playoff teams from the previous season are 8-1 O/U in Week 1 against any opponent the past two seasons

Horrible trend for 'under' bettors, but a swoon one for 'over' players, and it's a shame that it only applies to two of a potential six games this year – they are both prime time though.

They are the TNF game between Houston and Kansas City, and the MNF game between Tennessee and Denver.

Prime time 'overs' always get a lot of love, so expect even more of it to come on these two games before things go the other way around.

A Houston/KC game needs no hard con to convince someone to look 'over' there already, with the 51-31 game they had in the playoffs back in January, and everybody wants points from Mahomes when they sit down to watch him play. That combined with this run of 'overs' for AFC playoff teams added on top of it, may actually make the 'under' a good look on TNF when you consider how high the number might get, and how sloppy the football might look on the field with minimal practices, no games etc.

Waiting on the MNF game is a lot easier, because by then we'll already have a full Sunday slate digested and assessed just for how sloppy or sharp some play looked. The market will react significantly to those results for the Week 2 lines, but the Titans/Broncos total of 40.5 has only dropped from it's opener of 42.

That's hardly a concern for those looking to ride this 'over' run, because you already know that 42 is going to likely be the peak this total sees. If you are comfortable getting that many points from those two teams on MNF, then this O/U run only helps the cause.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Underdog picks and predictions Week 1
Jason Logan

Tom Brady was bending the rules the second he got to Tampa Bay, giving his team a headstart on its prep for the New Orleans Saints in Week 1. The Bucs are 3.5-point road underdogs in the season opener.

Welcome to NFL Underdogs.

For those who ingest my NFL betting picks each week, you may be wondering, “what’s with the cookie-cutter headline?”

Well, it turns out the old one wasn’t SEO friendly. And while you all were kind enough to come back to the column over the course of the season, there’s a whole world of football bettors who don’t know it exists. But rest assured: this is NFL Underdogs.

Different look. Same great taste.

Now, for those stumbling across our “NFL picks and predictions for Week 1” for the first time (and hopefully that’s a lot of you, if the SEO guys are right), let’s review the rules for the column:

Rule No. 1: I can only pick NFL point spread underdogs.

That is all.

It’s a much simpler rule to follow than the laundry list facing NFL teams and their dos and don’ts for the 2020 season. And if anyone knows about the rules, it’s Tom Brady.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints pick

The ink was barely dry on Brady’s new contract before he started testing the rules.

Brady was allegedly jumping the fences at local parks to work out during the COVID-19 quarantine in April and got his guys on the field as early as May, which drew some sideways glances (but was ultimately cleared by the NFL).

You can take Tom out of New England, but you can’t take New England out of Tom. Could that rule-bending be the edge Tampa Bay needs against the Saints in Week 1?

This offense is so much better than Brady’s depth chart in New England last season and far more stable without Jameis Winston effectively “punting” the ball on almost 5 percent of his pass attempts. It’s a trickle-down effect that will ultimately help the defense, which ranked among the top stop units in 2019 according to the advanced metrics and enters Year 2 under Todd Bowles.

This is one of maybe two times we’ll get Brady and the Bucs as underdogs this season (according to lookahead lines) and that half-point hook is worth it, for what should be an awesome opener.

PREDICTION: Tampa Bay +3.5 (-110)


Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions pick

What’s the difference between Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky?

While football is considered a game of inches (hiyo!), paychecks may be the only gap between the Bears’ quarterback options, as far as oddsmakers are concerned.

Foles may be a Super Bowl folk hero but he threw just 117 passes in limited action for Jacksonville in 2019 and those fairy-tale playoff performances happened once upon a time.

When it comes to impact on the spread, the Bears’ QBs are interchangeable at this point. But, for what it’s worth, Trubisky owns a passer rating of 132.56 in three career meetings with Matt Patricia’s Lions, totaling 866 yards (on 68-for-91 passing) with nine touchdowns and just one INT.

Trubisky won’t need to match that output at Detroit in Week 1 — not with the way this Bears defense is shaping up.

In 2019, Chicago overcame injuries to key members of the stop unit and a transition to a new coordinator to rank No. 1 in defensive DVOA at Football Outsiders but lacked a potent pass rush. This season, the Bears get those guys back – and then some – and should flirt with their sack totals from 2018. That’s bad news for Detroit QB Matt Stafford.

PREDICTION: Chicago +3 (-113)


Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers pick

“Into the Unknown” is not only the theme song from my time in COVID quarantine (my kids went HAM on Frozen 2), but it could be the slogan for NFL Week 1 betting. Honestly, no one knows what the hell is going to happen.

With shortened camps, limited practices, and no preseason, familiarity is worth its weight in gold in the opening games of the NFL schedule. And while the Panthers have plenty of new faces in 2020, there’s something very familiar with this offense.

Carolina’s combo of QB Teddy Bridgewater and new offensive coordinator Joe Brady won’t take long to gain traction. Brady helped guide the LSU Tigers to the national title with an offensive scheme nipped from the Saints (his former employers), and Bridgewater just so happens to be a former New Orleans quarterback with the two paired up in 2018.

The Panthers have plenty of options on offense with a trio of talented receivers and, of course, Christian McCaffrey. Expect a slow-and-steady approach from Carolina in Week 1, maintaining possession and controlling the tempo, as to not expose a soft defensive unit more than it has to.

The Raiders defense was bad last year and doesn’t look any better, leaning on a lot of young players to grow up quick. This line actually opened pick’em back in the spring, but I’ll gladly take the field goal with the home team.

PREDICTION: Carolina +3 (-110)

Last season: 30-28 ATS
Last two seasons: 65-49-1 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 1 Injuries, Weather
Patrick Everson

Von Miller suffered an ankle tendon injury in practice Tuesday, and he could require season-ending surgery. The SuperBook moved Titans-Broncos from pick 'em to Tennessee -2.5.

NFL Week 1 odds are often tricky under normal circumstances, never mind those under which we now find ourselves, coming back from a pandemic. Several factors contribute to how and why games are being bet, some of which tend to get overlooked.

Week 1 Injuries

Denver Broncos: Normally, it takes an injury to a starting quarterback, or at least a superstar running back or wide receiver, to move a line 2.5 points. Bettors found out Tuesday night that Broncos stud linebacker Von Miller is worth that much, too. Miller suffered an apparent freak injury to an ankle tendon at the end of Tuesday's practice, and it's possible he's out for the season. Said Eric Osterman, oddsmaker and manager at The SuperBook at Westgate: "We moved the Week 1 line from pick to Titans -2.5." And that's after the line had already moved from Broncos -3 to pick, with much of that shift occuring in the past week, for the second game in a Monday night doubleheader.

Philadelphia Eagles: Oddsmakers are closely watching running back Miles Sanders ( hamstring) and right tackle Lane Johnson (lower-body injury), among others. Sanders is now probable to play, but Johnson remains questionable as of Wednesday afternoon. "The Eagles seem to be a little banged up, which has moved the line a little bit in that game. We are at Eagles -5.5 right now, down from the opening number of -6," said Eric Osterman, manager and oddsmaker at The SuperBook at Westgate. "Those are really the only injury concerns we have right now, besides Von Miller."

Dallas Cowboys: Dallas on Monday put right tackle La’el Collins (hip) and linebacker Sean Lee (sports hernia) on injured reserve, meaning those two are out the next three weeks minimum. However, there was no impact on the line at The SuperBook, with the Cowboys still 3-point road favorites against the Rams.

Cleveland Browns: Center JC Tretter, who had minor surgery for a knee issue in mid-August, returned to practice Monday. The Browns actually closed in a bit Monday, from +8 to +7.5 at The SuperBook for Sunday’s road game against the Ravens.

Philadelphia Eagles: Quarterback Carson Wentz (groin) is apparently now good to go for the season opener at Washington. But oddsmakers never thought otherwise, as the line remained Philadelphia -6 at The SuperBook.

Cincinnati Bengals: Wideout AJ Green (hamstring) is expected to be fully cleared to play Sunday at Cleveland. There was no impact on the line, which remained Bengals +7.5 at The SuperBook.

Find the latest injury news for every game with our NFL Injury Report.

Week 1 Weather

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs: Rain is expected throughout the day Thursday in Kansas City, including a 90 percent chance of evening showers, accompanied by light wind. Over the past few days, the total dropped from 55 to 54, and on Monday, it was at 54.5. The total opened at 56.5 in May.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: Rain is expected throughout Sunday morning in Buffalo, with a chance of showers in the afternoon, which could play a role in this 1 p.m. ET start. However, oddsmakers already projected this game to be a less-than-exhilarating offensive display, and the total remained at 39 Monday at The SuperBook, the lowest of all Week 1 games.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Football Team: There’s a 50 percent chance of rain in D.C., with possible thunderstorms later in the afternoon Sunday, which could impact this 1 p.m. ET kickoff. But the total remained 43 Monday at The SuperBook.

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are predicted, with a 50 percent chance of rain during the day. Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET. But there’s been no impact on the total, stuck at 45 at The SuperBook.

Las Vegas Raiders at Carolina Panthers: A 50 percent chance of rain/scattered thunderstorms exists in Charlotte for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET meeting. The total dipped from 47.5 to 46.5 on Monday at The SuperBook.

Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals: The forecast in Cincy calls for mostly cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms in the morning, but this matchup doesn’t kick off until 4:05 p.m. ET. Still, the total dropped a point Monday, from 44 to 43.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream 9/13/20 - WNBA

The Washington Mystics complete a back-to-back on Sunday when playing the Atlanta Dream after playing the New York Liberty on Saturday. Washington is currently in eighth place in the WNBA standings and needs a victory on Saturday before facing Atlanta in order to maintain its position in the final playoff spot. Washington has won two straight following its 80-72 victory on Thursday over the Los Angeles Sparks and is doing this without three of its top players Elena Delle Donne, Tina Charles and Aerial Powers.

Misha Hines-Allen is leading Washington in scoring and rebounding with averages of 16.7 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. Hines-Allen is shooting 50.9% from the floor and 78.3% from the free throw line. Leilani Mitchell is the leader in assists for Washington with an average of 5.5 per game. The Mystics have four players, of which three are active, averaging double figures in scoring.

Atlanta looks for its third consecutive victory and a possible trip to the postseason with a win on Sunday over Washington. Atlanta improved to 7-14 following its 82-75 victory on Friday over the Connecticut Sun. Chennedy Carter was the leading scorer for Atlanta with 22 points while Courtney Williams scored 20 points and pulled down nine rebounds. Three teams - Washington, Atlanta and Dallas are without a ½ game of one another and Washington has two games to play while the others have just one.

Chennedy Carter is leading Atlanta in scoring with an average of 16.9 points per game hitting 46.5% of her field goals and 81.5% of her free throws. Betnijah Laney is the second leading scorer and leader in assists with averages of 16.7 points and 4.1 assists per game. Monique Billings is the leading rebounder for Atlanta with an average of 8.5 per game.

Recent Betting Trends

Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5
The UNDER has cashed in 5 of the Mystics last 7
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6
The UNDER has cashed in 4 of the Dream’s last 6

Free WNBA Pick: Atlanta Dream -3

Both Washington and Atlanta are in a battle with Dallas for the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA. The Mystics have the advantage with two games remaining - one on Saturday and the final on Sunday - and with two victories Washington would clinch the final spot. However the Mystics are shorthanded without three of their top players and playing back-to-back will come up short both straight up and against the spread versus Atlanta. Final Score Prediction, Atlanta Dream wins and covers ATS 88-81

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NY Liberty vs Dallas Wings 9/13/20 - WNBA

The Dallas Wings are coming into the game here after getting beaten by the Chicago Sky. The loss was by a 95-88 score. In the loss it dropped the Dallas record to a 7-14 mark on the year and now it is one record that the Wings are going to have to consider and build on for next season.

On the year the Dallas offense has done good with a total of 82.6 points per game. The rebounding for Dallas has been done at a clip of 32.8 boards per game. The assist department for the Wings has been done to the tune of 15.3 assist per game.

The Liberty have to play in back to back days and it is one of the first times on the season. The Saturday game, though, is an early afternoon start and that will definitely help the Liberty team get a little bit of rest. The last game on the court for New York was an 85-75 loss to Indiana. The loss dropped New York to a 2-18 record.

With the Liberty their offense has been very weak on the year with only 72.1 points per game. The Liberty have ended up getting only 36 boards per game so far. The Liberty have ended up with a total of only 14.7 assist per game.

Free WNBA Pick: Dallas Wings -3

The struggles the Liberty have on the year are going to continue into the off season. The Liberty will not be able to do much offensively on the season and with this being the final game of the year New York will not get any breaks and may even start to see how their younger talent plays on the day. Look for the Wings to play good on the year, but it will be enough to keep the Wings moving upward and give them some momentum for the year next year. Final Score Prediction, Dallas Wings win 86-72.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Lightning vs NY Islanders 9/13/20 - NHL

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders are set to meet in game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals as they will faceoff at Rogers Place in the Edmonton, Canada bubble. The Tampa Bay Lightning dropped their 1st game of the series on Friday as the Islanders got the best of them with a 5-3 victory. The Tampa Bay Lightning received a solid game out of defensemen Mikhail Sergachev as he recorded 1 goal and 1 assist while Tyler Johnson and Ondrej Palat scored the other 2 goals for the Lightning. The Tampa Bay Lightning edged out the New York Islanders in the shot department (37-35), but they dominated the Islanders in the faceoff circle (37-27).

The Tampa Bay Lightning struggled at keeping the New York Islanders off the scoreboard as they allowed 5 goals on 35 shots. The Lightning starting goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy struggled in the crease as he recorded 31 saves which pushed his postseason save percentage to .929 and GAA to 1.98.

The New York Islanders were able to get in the win column in the Eastern Conference Finals with a 5-3 win over the Tampa Bay Lightning, and they did it with a scoring explosion. The Islanders received a big game out of Anthony Beauvillier, Brock Nelson, and Jean-Gabriel Pageau as they pitched in 1 goal and 1 assist each while Josh Bailey pitched in 2 assists. The New York Islanders weren’t as physical as the Lightning in this game as Tampa Bay dominated them in the hit department (62-44).

The New York Islanders struggled at keeping the Tampa Bay Lightning off the scoreboard as they allowed them to score 3 goals on 37 shots. The Islanders starting goaltender Semyon Varlamov struggled in the crease as he recorded 34 saves which pushed his postseason save percentage to .913 and GAA to 2.26.

Recent Betting Trends

Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 12-4-3 in Lightning last 19 vs. Metropolitan.
Islanders are 2-5 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 3-0-1 in Islanders last 4 games following a win.

Free NHL Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -145

The Tampa Bay Lightning were unable to continue their hot streak and essentially go undefeated in the Eastern Conference Finals, but they are still the clear-cut favorite to win this series. The Lightning have one of the better goaltenders still remaining in the postseason as Vasilevskiy is allowing just shy of 2 goals per game, and I expect him to get back on track here with a much better game. The Lightning have a very dangerous lineup as every line has produced points this season, but I think the biggest difference here will be their attention to detail on the defensive side of the ice. Final Score Prediction, Tampa Bay Lightning win 3-1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets 9/13/20 - NBA

In Sunday afternoon NBA Playoff action, the Los Angeles Clippers and the Denver Nuggets will play Game Six of the Western Conference Semifinals. The second-seeded Clippers are widely regarded as the best team in the league and are looking to make their first trip to the Western Conference Finals. On Friday, Los Angeles was unable to protect a 16-point lead during a disappointing 111-105 defeat.

Los Angeles F Kawhi Leonard led all scorers with 36 points on 12-for-24 from the field and grabbed nine rebounds. Paul George added 26 points, six rebounds, and six assists for the Clippers.

The Denver Nuggets rallied from a 3-1 deficit to eliminate Utah in the first round and are trying to become the first team in NBA history to advance when facing two 3-1 deficits. In Game Five, Denver outscored Los Angeles 38-25 over the final 12 minutes. The Nuggets connected on 12-for-27 from the three-point line and outrebounded the Clippers by five.

Denver G Jamal Murray tallied a team-high 26 points to go along with eight rebounds and seven assists. Nikola Jokic contributed 22 points and 14 rebounds for the Nuggets.

Recent Betting Trends

Clippers are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss.
Nuggets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Under is 8-1-2 in Clippers last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-0-2 in Clippers last 6 overall.
Under is 3-0-2 in Nuggets last 5 playoff games as an underdog.

Free NBA Pick: UNDER 213.5

Denver G Will Barton (knee) has not appeared this postseason and could play if the Nuggets were to advance past this round. The Clippers missed a big opportunity by not closing the Nuggets out on Friday. Look for Los Angeles to turn up the defense and this game will stay under the total. Final Score Prediction, Los Angeles Clippers win in under game 107-99.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement September 13
Patrick Everson

Corey Seager and the Los Angeles Dodgers look to earn a split of their two-game series with the Houston Astros when the two teams meet in prime time on Sunday night.

MLB betting odds are on the board for a full slate and then some, with a 16-game Sunday schedule. Among the more noteworthy games is the wrap-up of a quick two-game weekend set between the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s games.

MLB line movement

Houston is having a dreadful West Coast swing, but finally broke through with a five-run ninth inning to beat Los Angeles 7-5 Saturday and halt a 1-8 nosedive on the trip. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have been human lately, losing two of their last four, but still lead the majors with a 32-14 record.

With the Dodgers’ starter not yet set for an 8:08 p.m. ET Sunday contest, most sportsbooks held off posting the line until Sunday morning. Check back for details.

The Minnesota Twins aim to finish off a three-game sweep of the visiting Cleveland Indians. Caesars books opened at Twins -133/Indians +123, and there was no movement through Saturday night.

And it appears the New York Yankees are on the rebound. The Pinstripes followed a 5-15 nosedive with four consecutive wins, heading into the finale of a four-game home weekend set with the Baltimore Orioles. Caesars opened at Yankees -198/Orioles +179 and moved to -202/+182.

MLB public betting

The Consensus had the Twins drawing 56 percent of early picks against the Indians, through Saturday night. The Yankees were slightly more popular, at 63 percent of early Consensus picks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901ATLANTA -902 WASHINGTON
ATLANTA is 8-0 SU (8 Units) when playing on Sunday in the current season.

903BALTIMORE -904 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 12-1 SU (10.9 Units) as a home favorite of -150 or more in the current season.

905PHILADELPHIA -906 MIAMI
PHILADELPHIA is 34-52 SU (-23.2 Units) in road games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

907BOSTON -908 TAMPA BAY
BOSTON is 4-12 SU (-10.8 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

909PITTSBURGH -910 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 3-14 SU (-12.4 Units) in home games against NL Central opponents in the last 3 seasons.

911DETROIT -912 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 26-13 SU (15.3 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

913CHICAGO CUBS -914 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 5-17 SU (-13.5 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

915CINCINNATI -916 ST LOUIS
CINCINNATI is 11-23 SU (-16.3 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

917OAKLAND -918 TEXAS
TEXAS are 3-10 SU (-10.3 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities in the current season.

919HOUSTON -920 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 34-25 SU (11 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

921NY METS -922 TORONTO
CHARLIE MONTOYO is 20-8 SU (11.2 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start (Coach of TORONTO)

921NY METS -922 TORONTO
TORONTO is 20-8 SU (13.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.

923LA ANGELS -924 COLORADO
LA ANGELS are 3-14 SU (-12.9 Units) vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse in the current season.

925CLEVELAND -926 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-1 SU (9 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities in the current season.

927SAN FRANCISCO -928 SAN DIEGO
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-3 SU (9.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

929SEATTLE -930 ARIZONA
SEATTLE is 24-15 SU (8.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

931PHILADELPHIA -932 MIAMI
PHILADELPHIA is 34-52 SU (-23.2 Units) in road games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, September 13

National League
Philadelphia @ Miami
Phillies (23-20)
Eflin is 2-0, 4.24 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 6.75 in two road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: under 4-3

Velasquez is 0-0, 5.82 in four starts (17 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Philly lost five of its last nine games.
— Phillies lost four of their last seven road games.
— Over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 road games.

Marlins (21-21):
Sanchez is 2-1, 1.80 in his first four MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals:under 3-1

Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Miami won five of its last nine games overall.
— Marlins lost 11 of their last 14 home games.
— Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.

Atlanta @ Washington
Braves (27-19):
Wright is 0-4, 8.05 in his five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-4
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: under 4-1

— Braves are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Atlanta won six of its last seven road games.
— Over is 11-3-2 in their last 16 games.

Nationals (17-27):
Scherzer is 2-1, 1.89 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 3.16 in five home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-3 Team in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: under 5-3-1

— Washington won five of its last eight games.
— Nationals are 4-11 in their last 15 home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

Chicago @ Milwaukee
Cubs (27-20):
Mills is 1-1, 5.14 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 5.57 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: 4-4

— Cubs lost five of their last nine games overall.
— Chicago is 5-3 in its last eight road games.
— Under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games.

Brewers (20-23):
Houser is 0-3, 7.84 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 8.36 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-5-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 5-2-1

— Milwaukee is 5-6 in its last 11 games.
— Brewers won five of their last eight home games.
— Over is 7-5-1 in Milwaukee’s last 13 games.

Cincinnati @ St Louis
Reds (20-26)
Mahle is 1-1, 3.48 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts vs St Louis this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: under 4-2

— Cincinnati is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Reds are 6-9 in their last 15 road games.
— Under is 14-4-1 in the Reds’ last 19 road games.

Cardinals (20-19)
Martinez allowed 10 runs in 7.1 IP in losing his two starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— St Louis won six of its last ten games.
— Cardinals are 4-7 in their last 11 home games.
— Over is 7-2 in Cardinals’ last nine home games.

San Francisco @ San Diego
Giants (23-22):
Cueto is 1-0, 4.50 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.80 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-0 last four Team in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-9 Totals: over 5-3-1

Gausman is 3-1, 3.86 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 3.78 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-5 Team in first 5 innings: 4-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: 4-4

— Giants won eight of their last 11 games.
— SF won three of its last five road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Giants’ last six games.

Padres (29-17)
Richards is 2-1, 4.81 in his last six starts; he is 0-2, 7.82 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-4 Team in first 5 innings: 4-5
Allowed run in first inning: 4-9 Totals: under 6-3

Lamet is 0-0, 3.00 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 2.55 in six home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-0 last four Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-9 Totals: over 5-4

— San Diego won 19 of its last 24 games.
— Padres are 11-2 in their last 13 home games.
— Over is 8-5 in their last 13 home games.

American League
Boston @ Tampa Bay
Red Sox (16-31):
Perez is 0-3, 4.88 in his last six starts; he is 1-1, 1.69 vs Tampa Bay this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-6 last six Team in first 5 innings: 4-5
Allowed run in first inning: 2-9 Totals: under 5-3-1

— Red Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
— Boston is 6-14 in its last 20 road games.
— Under is 8-5 in their last 13 road games.

Rays (30-16):
Morton is 1-1, 3.20 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 6.17 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: under 4-0 last four

— Tampa Bay lost four of its last seven games overall.
— Rays won eight of their last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six home games

Baltimore @ Bronx
Orioles (20-25):
Means is 1-1, 4.11 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 2.70 in two road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-6 Team in first 5 innings: 1-6
Allowed run in first inning: 3-7 Totals: over 5-2

— Orioles lost their last four games.
— Baltimore is 2-9 in its last 11 road games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 road games.

Bronx (25-21):
Happ is 1-1, 2.59 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 0.69 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: 3-3

— Bronx won its last four games.
— New York won seven of its last nine home games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Oakland @ Texas
A’s (29-16):
Montas is 1-1, 5.82 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 11.25 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 5-3

— Oakland is 6-2 in its last eight games.
— A’s lost six of their last ten road games.
— Under is 13-8 in their last 21 games

Rangers (16-30):
Lynn is 2-2, 4.68 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 2.19 in two starts vs Oakland this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-4 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: over 3-1-1 last five

— Texas lost 21 of its last 27 games.
— Rangers lost nine of their last 14 home games.
— Over is 10-6-2 in their last 18 home games.

Detroit @ Chicago
Tigers (20-25):
Turnbull is 2-0, 2.87 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 3.52 vs Chicago this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-8 Totals: over 3-1 last four

— Detroit lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Tigers lost seven of their last nine road games.
— Over is 9-6 in their last 15 road games.

White Sox (30-16):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Chicago won seven of its last eight games overall.
— White Sox won 11 of their last 12 home games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight home games.

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Indians (26-20):
McKenzie is 2-0, 2.57 in his first four MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-1 Totals: 2-2

— Cleveland lost its last five games.
— Indians are 12-4 in their last 16 road games.
— Under is 10-6-2 in Cleveland’s last 18 games.

Twins (29-18)
Pineda is 1-0, 2.77 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Twins won nine of their last 11 games.
— Minnesota won eight of its last nine home games.
— Under is 18-7-3 in their last 28 games.

Interleague
New York @ Toronto
Mets (21-25)
Peterson is 0-0, 7.20 in his last three outings; he is 1-1, 4.60 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-6 Totals: over 3-2-1

— Mets won six of their last ten games overall.
— New York is 2-5 in its last seven road games.
— Over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games.

Blue Jays (25-20):
Ryu is 3-0, 2.54 in his last seven starts; he is 0-0, 4.24 in three Buffalo starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-9 Totals: 4-4-1

— Blue Jays are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Jays are 7-3 in their last ten home games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City
Pirates (14-29):
Kuhl is 0-0, 4.85 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 3.27 in two road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: over 4-1-1

— Pirates are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-5 in its last eight road games.
— Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Royals (19-28):
Keller is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 0.50 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: under 4-2

— Royals won their last four games.
— KC lost six of its last eight home games.
— Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 home games.

Anaheim @ Colorado
Angels (19-28):
Heaney is 2-1, 2.75 in his last three starts; he is 1-3, 6.46 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-6 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-9 Totals: under 4-2-1 last seven

— Angels won seven of their last ten games.
— Halos are 4-12 in their last 16 road games.
— Over is 6-4-2 in Angels’ last 12 road games.

Rockies (21-23):
Casteallani is 1-1, 8.03 in his last three starts; he is 0-3, 8.49 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: 3-3

— Rockies lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Colorado lost 10 of its last 14 home games.
— Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games.

Seattle @ Arizona
Mariners (20-25):
Dunn is 2-0, 1.00 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 5.82 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: under 4-3

— Seattle lost three of its last four games overall.
— Mariners are 5-6 in their last 11 road games.
— Over is 7-4 in their last 11 road games.

Diamondbacks (17-30):
Weaver is 0-2, 5.00 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 7.31 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-7 Team in first 5 innings: 2-6-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-9 Totals: under 3-1 last four

— Arizona lost 19 of its last 23 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost eight of their last 11 home games.
— Under is 16-7 in their last 23 games.

Houston @ Los Angeles
Astros (23-22):
Greinke is 2-1, 5.29 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 3.42 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-5 Team in first 5 innings: 4-0-5
Allowed run in first inning: 3-9 Totals: under 5-2

— Astros is 8-12 in their last 20 games overall.
— Houston lost 10 of its last 12 road games.
— Astros are 4-15 in California this year.
— Over is 15-7 in their last 22 games.

Dodgers (32-13)
unknown starter
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Dodgers won eight of their last 11 games.
— LA lost its last three home games.
— Over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 road games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, September 13

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Baltimore @ NY Yankees
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Baltimore's last 20 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
NY Yankees is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Baltimore

Philadelphia @ Miami
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Detroit @ Chi White Sox
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Chi Cubs @ Milwaukee
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Cincinnati @ St. Louis
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Oakland @ Texas
Oakland
Oakland is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Texas
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
Texas is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

NY Mets @ Toronto
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

LA Angels @ Colorado
LA Angels
LA Angels is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Colorado
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing LA Angels

San Francisco @ San Diego
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Seattle @ Arizona
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Arizona's last 23 games
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle

Philadelphia @ Miami
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Houston @ LA Dodgers
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA public betting, line movement September 13
Patrick Everson

Jamal Murray and the Nuggets meet Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers in Game 6 of the Western Conference semifinals Sunday. The SuperBook has Los Angeles an 8.5-point favorite.

NBA betting odds are up for the lone playoff game on the Sunday schedule, Game 6 of the Western Conference semifinals. The Denver Nuggets look to once again extend this series against the Los Angeles Clippers.

The SuperBook provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s matchup.

NBA line movement

Denver trailed Los Angeles 3-1 in this best-of-7 series and was down a dozen at halftime of Game 5 on Friday. But the Nuggets rallied to grab a 111-105 victory and push the Clippers to Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET Game 6. The Clippers opened -8 at The SuperBook and reached -9 Saturday night, but quickly ticked back to -8.5.

The total opened at 213.5 and moved to 214 late Saturday night.

NBA public betting

Perhaps surprisingly, the Consensus is showing strong support for Denver to cover the number in Game 7. Through Saturday night, the Nuggets were landing 69 percent of picks, and on the total, 67 percent of picks were on the Over.

On the total, 71 percent of early Consensus picks were on the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

725LA CLIPPERS -726 DENVER
LA CLIPPERS are 46-25 ATS (18.5 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 13

LA Clippers @ Denver

Game 725-726
September 13, 2020 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
128.357
Denver
114.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 14
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-8 1/2); Under