Sunday 9/13/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 13

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LA CLIPPERS (56 - 27) vs. DENVER (52 - 33) - 9/13/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 248-302 ATS (-84.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Sunday, September 13

Trend Report
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LA Clippers @ Denver
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Clippers is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Sunday, September 13


Trend Report
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Dallas @ New York
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
New York is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Dallas

Las Vegas @ Seattle
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

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NHL public betting, odds movement September 13
Patrick Everson

Nikita Kucherov and the Lightning tangle with Jean-Gabriel Pageau and the Islanders on Sunday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals. The SuperBook has Tampa Bay a -140 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup chase resumes with Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals Sunday. The New York Islanders look to build on their much-needed Game 3 win when they meet the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s contest.

NHL odds movement

After dropping Games 1 and 2, the Islanders checked into this best-of-7 series with a 5-3 victory Friday, scoring the game winner with under four minutes left and adding a last-minute empty-netter. The SuperBook opened Sunday’s 3 p.m. ET faceoff at Lightning -145/Islanders +132 and moved to -140/+130 early Saturday, and there was no further movement through Saturday night.

The SuperBook opened the total at 5, with Over -140 and Under +120, and there was no movement throughout Saturday.

NHL public betting

The Consensus shows the public – or a modest majority, anyway – is on board with the Islanders for Game 4. Through Saturday night, New York was landing 55 percent of picks, and the Over was garnering 58 percent of picks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3TAMPA BAY -4 NY ISLANDERS
TAMPA BAY is 30-11 ATS (15.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

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NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 13

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TAMPA BAY (55-25-0-6, 116 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (47-27-0-13, 107 pts.) - 9/13/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 99-78 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-4 ATS (+19.4 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 18-13 ATS (+33.8 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 19-12 ATS (+33.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 28-26 ATS (+58.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 117-55 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-5 ATS (+14.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-8 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-5-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, September 13

Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, September 13

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 901-902
September 13, 2020 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Wright) 15.894
Washington
(Scherzer) 16.712
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-180); Over

Baltimore @ NY Yankees

Game 903-904
September 13, 2020 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Means 15.088
NY Yankees
(Happ) 18.130
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-200
10
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-200); Under

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 905-906
September 13, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 14.318
Miami
(Sanchez) 15.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
N/A

Boston @ Tampa Bay

Game 907-908
September 13, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Perez) 14.100
Tampa Bay
(Morton) 17.591
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-185
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-185); Under

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City

Game 909-910
September 13, 2020 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Kuhl) 13.170
Kansas City
(Keller) 16.299
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-140); Under

Detroit @ Chicago White Sox

Game 911-912
September 13, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Turnbull) 14.835
Chicago White Sox
(Stiever) 13.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
N/A

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee

Game 913-914
September 13, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Mills) 15.799
Milwaukee
(Houser) 14.647
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+110); Over

Cleveland @ Minnesota

Game 925-926
September 13, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(McKenzie) 16.877
Minnesota
(Pineda) 15.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+120); Under

Cincinnati @ St. Louis

Game 915-916
September 13, 2020 @ 2:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Mahle) 13.694
St. Louis
(Martinez) 16.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-105); Under

Oakland @ Texas

Game 917-918
September 13, 2020 @ 2:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Montas) 17.051
Texas
(Lynn) 13.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-130); Over

NY Mets @ Toronto

Game 921-922
September 13, 2020 @ 3:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Peterson) 16.229
Toronto
(Ryu) 17.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-140); Over

LA Angels @ Colorado

Game 923-924
September 13, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Heaney) 15.988
Colorado
(Castellani) 14.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-145
13
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-145); Under

Seattle @ Arizona

Game 929-930
September 13, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Dunn) 14.328
Arizona
(Weaver) 15.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-145); Under

San Francisco @ San Diego

Game 927-928
September 13, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cueto) 16.400
San Diego
(Richards) 18.509
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
N/A

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 931-932
September 13, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Velasquez) 16.908
Miami
(TBD) 12.875
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
N/A

Houston @ LA Dodgers

Game 919-920
September 13, 2020 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Greinke) 14.676
LA Dodgers
(TBD) 15.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 13

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DALLAS (7 - 14) at NEW YORK (2 - 19) - 9/13/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LAS VEGAS (17 - 4) at SEATTLE (18 - 3) - 9/13/2020, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 4-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (8 - 13) at ATLANTA (7 - 14) - 9/13/2020, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, September 13

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders

Game 3-4
September 13, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
12.568
NY Islanders
13.734
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+125); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Century Mile

Century Mile - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / $15,000 Guaranteed Pick 5
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $8,300 • Post: 8:15P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. SHADY BIZ is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHADY BIZ: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layof f. ZBIG: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. COZY CAPER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 d ays.
8	SHADY BIZ	6/1	7/2
5	ZBIG	3/5	4/1
3	COZY CAPER	5/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	COZY CAPER	3	5/1	Front-runner	59	57	72.0	48.8	43.3
2	GROOMED	2	12/1	Front-runner	0	0	68.2	40.6	31.1
5	ZBIG	5	3/5	Alternator/Stalker	59	62	51.0	58.4	55.9
7	OSO BRAVE	7	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	61	51	45.2	45.4	36.9
8	SHADY BIZ	8	6/1	Trailer	56	54	32.8	52.9	46.9
4	FROST CANYON	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	51	48.2	40.4	31.4
1	HOLY OR NOT	1	25/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	29.4	26.5	13.0

Unknown Running Style: PADDYSDAYCHARM (20/1) [Jockey: Beauregard Shannon - Trainer: Joseph Lionel].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 3	$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $12,500 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 12:58
(RAIL AT 120 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE JUNE 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TOKYO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KARENINA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. JOSEFA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distanc e is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3	TOKYO	4/1	4/1
9	KARENINA	2/1	5/1
11	JOSEFA	8/1	8/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
11	JOSEFA	11	8/1	Front-runner	75	79	92.2	69.8	58.3
9	KARENINA	9	2/1	Front-runner	83	78	72.8	75.0	70.5
7	JEANIE'S ANGEL	7	5/2	Stalker	71	72	80.2	69.2	56.2
6	GALWAY STAR	6	6/1	Stalker	73	71	60.0	65.0	53.5
1	BIZNESS BEAUTY	1	20/1	Trailer	77	75	79.6	66.2	54.7
13	SIMPLE STORY	13	7/5	Trailer	84	64	65.3	65.3	55.3
3	TOKYO	3	4/1	Trailer	73	76	62.8	77.8	74.3
5	LA VIEXA	5	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	67	69	69.8	74.0	61.0
12	MARAMA	12	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	55	47	83.4	60.7	35.2
4	FRERET	4	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	65	77.3	65.1	48.1
10	LEMON WATER	10	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	62	71.4	63.0	42.5
2	MI KARLITA	2	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	71	62.2	61.6	45.6
8	BATI BATI	8	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	65	56.5	58.1	35.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 SWEET REGARDS 1/1
# 3 WEST CORK LASS 5/1
# 2 I'M SO ADORABLE 7/2

SWEET REGARDS is the best bet in this race. Tough to pass on this filly with Roman in the irons. With Roman aboard her, this filly should be able to break out sharply in this race. Has a strong shot in this contest if you like back class. WEST CORK LASS - This pick will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. I'M SO ADORABLE - Facing a much softer bunch than last time out. This pony has to be in sound condition coming back to race so quickly.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Kentucky Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:15pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $90,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating:

#4 BAKERS BAY (ML=9/2)
#5 JOYFUL SURPRISE (ML=4/1)


BAKERS BAY - Great average class rating on this horse. Should have the power to run well on the turf. JOYFUL SURPRISE - If this gelding gets out of the gate cleanly, he'll be tough to catch. This jockey and trainer's animals have been generating a lucrative return on investment. Saez rode this horse for the initial time last time around the track and comes right back in today's contest. Horse got beaten up in his maiden outing. With a clean race, I look for this one to hit the wire first. This horse could be a possible overlay in this event at morning odds of 4/1. Finished fourth in last race at Ellis Park but was close at the wire.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TELEPHONE TALKER (ML=8/5), #2 TREASURY (ML=5/1), #6 JEALOUS EYES (ML=8/1),

TELEPHONE TALKER - Can't wager on this questionable contender in today's sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint race lately. Hasn't been winning these days when made the probable favorite. Take a look at his record. TREASURY - Substandard speed rating last out at Ellis Park at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't feel this horse will improve too much in today's race. JEALOUS EYES - Didn't end up on the board on August 29th after the long breather. Be doubtful of this one this time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 BAKERS BAY on the nose if you can get odds of 6/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 FANTASTICO DRAGON 6/1
# 7 ONE SEXY HERO V 3/1
# 6 SUMMERTIME VENTURE 8/1

My pick here is FANTASTICO DRAGON. The drastic drop in class can only help out this entrant today. The average class rating of 82 makes this horse difficult to beat. Is a strong contender based on figs earned lately under today's conditions. ONE SEXY HERO V - Has performed very well as of late in short races, posting a nifty 74 avg speed figure. Carrete has shown excellent profits (+40 ROI ) at this distance/surface. SUMMERTIME VENTURE - The Lasix change (with second time Lasix) may spark a major improvement for this gelding. Must be given a chance given the class of races run lately.