Service Plays Saturday 9/12/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

28-4 ATS NCAA ULTIMATE DATABASE WAGER
Army


23-6 ATS NCAA ELITE CONFERENCE INVESTMENT
Notre Dame

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Bear

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Louisville Cardinals (-11.5, 57.5)

This number seems a little low, considering Louisville put up 38 points on 415 yards last year against the Hilltoppers in a 38-21 win. That was also Micale Cunningham's fourth career start, so it's more than reasonable to expect at least that baseline of an offensive performance this year vs WKU, given the Cardinals have essentially all of their skill position players back. I expect WKU to put up its fair share of points on a team that gave up 33 PPG a year ago.

Pick: Over 57.5

Syracuse Orange at No. 18 North Carolina Tar Heels (-23, 65.5)

The Bear: It has been a rough offseason for the Orange. They have opt-outs and injuries galore. Last year, Syracuse struggled all over the place. Injuries at quarterback and on the offensive line were a big part of it, but the team was not competitive in ACC play, as Syracuse was outgained by 124.6 YPG and allowed 33.6 PPG. Syracuse also gave up more than 40 points four times last year and now faces a team with a ton of expectations that will probably be better off than most this season because of the continuity at QB and on the sidelines. Laying 23 might seem like a steep price right off the bat in an unusual season, but it might not seem like enough come the end of the first quarter.

Pick: North Carolina -23

Duke Blue Devils at No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-20, 54)

The Bear: Sure, QB Chase Brice is in Durham to provide a boost to a Duke offense that struggled mightily in the second half of the season (the Blue Devils were 122nd nationally in offensive EPA). That's very un-David Cutcliffe like. Also very un-Cutcliffe like were the Blue Devils' struggles as an underdog last year, which I outline below. Notre Dame ran for 288 yards on almost seven yards per carry last year in a 38-7 win, and I'm not sure how much improvement there will be on the Duke defense, while the Irish offense probably will be better than last year. Notre Dame handled its business as a huge favorite last year, as the Irish were a 20-point favorite three times last year, winning those games 66-14, 52-0 and 40-7. I expect another blowout here.

Pick: Notre Dame -20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stanford Steve

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at No. 23 Iowa State Cyclones (-11.5, 57)

In a season where there is and will have so much unknown, it truly does feel like any other year the Bear and I have been asked to make picks. But this week brings us a common theme: double-digit underdogs! Before the season started, I said I thought Iowa State could win the Big 12, and I still feel that away. But I cannot get out of my head the way the Cyclones started last season by almost losing to Northern Iowa from the FCS. In come the Ragin' Cajuns, who last year were a top-10 team nationally in offensive stats like total offense, scoring offense and yards per play, led by QB Levi Lewis' 26 TDs. I just think coach Billy Napier's team is getting too many points, so we'll take Louisiana.

Pick: Louisiana +11.5 (Iowa State 27, Louisiana 18

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Kansas State Wildcats (-10.5, 54)

One of my favorite plays of the preseason was Kansas State over 5.5 wins, and in saying that, I feel as if the Wildcats are at a disadvantage this week against Arkansas State. The advantage that the Red Wolves have as they come into Manhattan is that they played last week and the Wildcats didn't. Coach Chris Klieman's squad must replace four starters on the offensive line, so I think it will take a little bit to get used to, continuity-wise. It's a totally different matchup than Memphis was last week for the Red Wolves, but I like the idea of getting all these points.

Pick: Arkansas State +10.5 (Kansas State 31, Arkansas State 23)

Charlotte 49ers at Appalachian State Mountaineers (-17, 59)

These two teams squared off last year and the 49ers gave up 56 points to the Mountaineers -- but they did score 41. This year, I think Charlotte is a better team than it was last year, while I think App State needs a little time to figure out things defensively after losing some guys. We know the App State offense will be very good, but I think Will Healy's guys have enough to keep it closer than the experts think.

Pick: Charlotte +17 (App State 45, Charlotte 34)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Florida State Seminoles (-12.5, 54)

Just because I want to punish myself. Under the total! If it wins, we give another one next week.

Pick: Under 54 (Florida State 27, Georgia Tech 17)

[golden contender]

Rob V: Saturday Comp Play

Huge Saturday card up with an Executive Level TIER College football side part of a big 3 game pack in NCAAF. NBA Game 5 Historical System and a 6* Rare Top play. We also have MLS soccer and a NASCAR Head 2 head driver play. NHL Comp play below.

The NHL Comp play is on the Vegas Knights at 8:10 eastern. Vegas looks to even things up tonight and they are 11-2 after scoring 2 or less goals and 19-7 vs winning teams. The Knights are 5-0 of late on Saturdays. Dallas is having quite the playoff season so far and continue to exceed expectations. Tonight, however we note they are just 2-8 after allowing 2 or less goals and have dropped 7 of 10 in the series. With Vegas having won 11 of 13 vs a team that allowed less than 3 goals we will back the Knights tonight. On Saturday 3 top college football early season system plays headline and one is our Executive Level TIER 1 Side. We also have a rare 6* MLB Top play, NBA Game 5 Historical system play, MLS Soccer and a head to head driver play in NASCAR. See us or on facebook to jump on. For the NHL Comp play. Play on Vegas. Rob V- GC Sports.

[Dmoney221]

403 Coastal Carolina +7

Which one is his 5% play?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim feist

---

Bailout parlay
w.kentucky +12
coastal carolina +6'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux CFB

10 397 Charlotte/Appalachian State over 59
10 404 Kansas -4.5
10 405 Western Kentucky/Louisville over 56.5

[rocky57]

Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)
Western Conference Finals
Game #4 - Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights
Best Bet - Dallas Stars +150

[rocky57]

Micah Roberts (VegasInsider - Nascar Guru)
Federated Auto Parts 400 - Richmond Raceway
TV - Time: NBCSN, 7:30pm est.

Top-5 Finish Prediction
1) #18 Kyle Busch 5/1
2) #11 Denny Hamlin 4/1
3) #19 Martin Truex Jr 7/2
4) #22 Joey Logano 14/1
5) #2 Brad Keselowski 10/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dough kerzirian

north carolina -23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe fortenbaugh

duke +20.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Phil steele

utsa +9.5
oklahoma -42

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preston johnson the cheetah

louisville over 57

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott van pelt

west kentucky +11.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todd fuhrman

iowa state -11.5