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DENVER +8.5
L.A. CLIPPERS @ DENVER | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
It looked like the Clippers had Game 5 in hand, but a second-half collapse kept the series alive for the Nuggets. Jamal Murray had another inefficient game, but he was still able to score 26 points on the strength of 25 shot attempts. As long as he continues to be that aggressive, the Nuggets could at least keep this game fairly close. I think he will be facing elimination, so while I like the Clippers to win, I’ll take the points in a close game.
128-77-3 IN LAST 208 NBA ATS PICKS | +4330
5-3 IN LAST 8 DEN ATS PICKS | +170
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Larry combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. All-time at SportsLine (2015-19), he's gone 302-243 (plus $2,811) on NFL picks, including 67-49 overall (58 percent) and 58-39 ATS (60 percent) in 2019. That followed a 2018 season in which Larry went 61-47 overall, including 56-44 ATS.
WASHINGTON +5.5
PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:47 PM
The Eagles won't have Miles Sanders and their makeshift offensive line could get dominated by a Washington front featuring four first-round picks. Dwayne Haskins finished strong last season and I look for a solid performance from him as Washington keeps this close.
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS ATS PICKS | +93
5-4 IN LAST 9 PHI ATS PICKS | +52
UNDER 48
LAS VEGAS @ CAROLINA | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:27 PM
This is a big number considering the Panthers have a new offensive system and a conservative QB in Teddy Bridgewater. With the Raiders' receivers banged up, we can expect both teams to lean on the ground game.
2-1 IN LAST 3 LV O/U PICKS | +90
CINCINNATI +3
L.A. CHARGERS @ CINCINNATI | 9/13 | 4:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:09 PM
It's scary to back a rookie in his first NFL start, especially with no preseason games, but the Chargers are going to be a conservative, run-first team behind Tyrod Taylor. They lost arguably their best defensive player, Derwin James, and the explosive Mike Williams is a gametime decision with a shoulder injury. In a game that should be extremely close, take the full field goal.
6-1 IN LAST 7 LAC ATS PICKS | +491
12-8 IN LAST 20 CIN ATS PICKS | +317
ARIZONA +7
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 9/13 | 4:25 PM EDT
THU 9/10
The Cardinals are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings, 5-0 ATS if you jumped on Arizona early enough leading up to the second meeting last season. San Francisco had a lot of trouble defending Kyler Murray last year, and now he has DeAndre Hopkins on his side. With the 49ers wideouts banged up, grab the points with another divisional underdog.
UNDER 39.5
N.Y. JETS @ BUFFALO | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:01 PM
The Bills closed out last season staying Under the total in six of their last seven games while the Jets stayed Under in five of their last six. Both meetings last season stayed Under, the first a 17-16 Bills win and the second a 13-6 Jets win in Week 17. No preseason and less practice won’t help the rhythm or psyche of either of these young QBs. Both defenses will be the stars of this game. Under is the play.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYJ O/U PICKS | +95
JACKSONVILLE +8
INDIANAPOLIS @ JACKSONVILLE | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
FRI 9/11
Jacksonville is going to have some fans in the stands and the Jaguars are getting a whole bunch of points against a Colts team they're 8-1-1 ATS against in the last 10 meetings, including a Jaguars' 38-20 Week 17 win last season. That was two weeks after they won the last game played in Oakland. Gardner Minshew proved he can make plays in the NFL last season and also take care of the ball (only six interceptions). They’ll have an easier run at cohesion while Philip Rivers and his old ways may have a tougher transition. Jaguars to cover.
3-0 IN LAST 3 IND ATS PICKS | +300
2-1 IN LAST 3 JAC ATS PICKS | +89
CAROLINA +3
LAS VEGAS @ CAROLINA | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/10
I have both teams rated equal on a neutral field. The Raiders are playing at an East Coast location at 10 a.m. PT, which historically doesn't bode well for West Coast teams. The Raiders have the same QB and head coach that closed out 2019 with losses in five of their last six.. Carolina has a great receiving corps and the most exciting running back in the league. New QB Teddy Bridgewater is 16-2 ATS as an underdog because he doesn’t take a lot of risks or make mistakes.
TAMPA BAY -190
BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 9/13 | 1:10 PM EDT
7:46 AM
The Rays are 11-0 in the last game of a home series when coming off a game as favorites and their opponent’s starting pitcher has same-season-revenge. They are also 8-0 in franchise history as favorites with Charlie Morton on the mound when they lost in his last start. The Red Sox are 0-8 on the road when seeking same-season revenge vs. their opponent's starting pitcher, and it is not a series opener. They're an ugly 0-9 this season as underdogs of more than 130 when they are facing a divisional opponent that has won their last two games -- losing each of the nine games by multiple runs, while allowing an average of 8.44 runs. We make the Rays the play.
73-40-1 IN LAST 114 MLB PICKS | +745
2-1 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS | +25
N.Y. YANKEES -195
BALTIMORE @ N.Y. YANKEES | 9/13 | 1:05 PM EDT
7:43 AM
The Yankees are a perfect 11-0 in franchise history as favorites with J.A. Happ on the mound when they lost his last start. The Orioles are 0-9 after a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs, and 0-7 after a game in which they drew one or fewer walks and it is not a series opener. There's plenty of value with the Yankees at this line.
73-40-1 IN LAST 114 MLB PICKS | +745
3-1 IN LAST 4 NYY ML PICKS | +160
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