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DAVE ESSLER | NFL TOTAL SUN, 09/20/20 - 1:00 PM
274 IND / 273 MIN Over 47.5 Pinnacle
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
If the Colts allowed Jacksonville 27 points they should allow Minnesota more. I know that the Colts gave the Jaguars a couple of short fields, but the didn't stop them from scoring. And that's with Jacksonville only attempting ONE pass over 20 yards. Now they get Cousins, who was second behind Lamar Jackson in yards per pass thrown, and in week one the Vikings has the best points per play average. I'll cut the Colts offense a little slack with Rivers not having a preseason with his WR's, but theðy couldn't run the ball against Jacksonville so Rivers threw the ball 46 times. I don't see them establishing a running game against the Vikings. Last week Minnesota KNEW Devonte Adams was one of Rodgers' only option and still he caught 14 passes. Last week TY Hilton and Jack Doyle had less catches than both Parris Campbell and Jonathon Taylor. That will change because if the Colts want to win it has to. So either way the more River puts the ball in the air the more chance for points, even it's off turnovers. So, week two timing should be better on offense and honestly we only need something even close to last week to cash this ticket.
DAVE ESSLER | NFL SIDE SUN, 09/20/20 - 1:00 PM
270 NYJ 7.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 269 SFX
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I REALLY love this and perhaps should make it a bigger bet. First the obvious - coast toî coast travel and an early start for SF. SF didn't win a regular season game by more than a TD after Thanksgiving last year, or, their last five games. They're in this very stadium again next week, so two weeks from home in a very unfamiliar bubble, if you will. Not only did they lose to Arizona, but Garopollo was nothing special and their two leading pass catchers were not WRs, which didn’t surprise me without Deebo Samuel and no Emanuel Sanders. Not only did the Jets play the Bills tough after the first quarter, but the Bills leading rusher was Josh Allen and he also threw 46 passes. If that's what Garopollo has to do this week SF is in real trouble. PPP last week the 49ers were only marginally better against the Cardinals at home than the Jets were at Buffalo. The Jets were 5-3 SU at home last season. Last year as a road favorite SF was just 1-2. As a home dog last year the Jets were 4-2 ATS. So I'll gladly take a TD for good measure and sprinkle some Jets ML. J-E-T-S +7.
Game: (263) Carolina Panthers at (264) Tampa Bay Buccaneers Date/Time: Sep 20 2020 1:00 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Total Over 47.0 (-110)
A drop all the way down to 47??????????
The question marks I want to put at the end of the above question would never end if the game didn't have a strict start time!!!
Kooky talk....playing this Over like at least the 5% I am playing the Cards
Game: (281) Washington Football Team at (282) Arizona Cardinals Date/Time: Sep 20 2020 4:05 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 5% Play: Arizona Cardinals -6.5 (-110)
NFL: Philadelphia Eagles ML @ 1.80/-125 (3 Units)
-The overreaction special of the week. The Eagles lost to a team that is perceived to be horrible in Washington (which we had WAS in) while the Rams beat a perennially hyped up Cowboys team. If you watched the Rams game last week you'd know McCarthy's nonsensical call in the red zone cost them that game - not being outplayed by the Rams. The Rams ability to make plays disappeared after Dallas made necessary adjustments. With tape to go off of here and travelling cross country for the Rams, love the Eagles in this spot. Nice cozy LA weather and practicing on turf to low 60's on natural grass when your body clock is set to 10am for kickoff. Eagles in this game.
NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -8 @ 1.97/-103 (3 Units)
-The Panthers very well may have the worst defense in the NFL. They got torched last week by the Raiders and now have to play an even more potent offense. Tampa Bay having a week under their belt now should help them greatly. Off a shortened camp the timings weren't there and Brady threw an uncharacteristic 2 INT's last week. Somebody with the work ethic that he has won't let that happen again. Godwin is out but that doesn't bother me in the slightest.. Brady can't throw a deep ball anyways. They'll simply wear down the Panthers and clear this victory by double digits.
NFL: Miami Dolphins +6 @ 1.87/-115 (2 Units)
-Love the Bills this year but no chance I would feel comfortable laying 6 on the road here. They consistently fail to close games out and let opponents claw back regularly and now will be going from low humidity mid-60's practice weather to high 80's and humid in a real game environment. Miami is nowhere near as bad as they were last year and catching 6 at home here is too much to pass on.
King Creole NFL- Sunday in the NFL:
1:00pm ET / #261-262
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
3*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 45.5 or more points
1:00pm ET / #279-280
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 44 or more points
4:25pm ET / #283-284
BALTIMORE RAVENS @ HOUSTON TEXANS
4**** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 50 or less points
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