Wednesday 9/23/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 4 Odds: Celtics vs. Heat
Michael Crosson

After blowing 10-point leads in each of the first two Eastern Conference Final contests, the Boston Celtics finally secured their first victory of the series with a 117-106 win on Saturday night.

The hill to climb remains steep for Brad Steven’s squad though as they still trail the Heat 2-1 heading into Wednesday’s Game 4 tilt in the bubble.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Eastern Conference Finals Game 4
Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Wednesday, Sept. 23, 2020
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Gordon Hayward returned for the Celtics in Game 3 and lifted Boston past Miami. (AP)

Line Movements

The Celtics finally rewarded ‘favorite bettors’ by winning and covering in Game 3 on Saturday night, and Vegas has decided to lean on them again for Game 4 – listing Boston as a two and a half-point favorite to even up this series with Miami.

The winning team in this series has eclipsed 115 points in two out of the three contests so far, easily sending the total ‘over’ in those two matchups, respectively.

The total for this game still sits at OU 210.5 though, as the oddsmakers refuse to give these tough defensive units any leeway on the ‘over-under.’

Spread: Boston -3
Money-Line: Boston -160, Miami +140
Total: 210.5
Updated Series Price: Miami -125, Boston +105

Game 3 Recap

Opportunity knocked for Jayson Tatum on Saturday night when the spotlight fell on him to lead his team to it first victory in this year’s Eastern Conference Finals, and he did not “disappoint´ – leading his team in shot attempts and contributing 25 points, 14 rebounds, and 8 assists on 45% shooting to the Celtic victory.

What really got my attention though, was how the rest of the Boston starters answered the bell in this game, especially Jaylen Brown.

Believe it or not, Tatum was the only Celtic starter to record a field goal percentage under 50% in this contest – led by Brown who scored 26 points on 65% shooting.

The Heat may have failed to knock off the Celtics on Saturday night, but it was not because Bam Adebayo short-changed his team by any means.

Bam will look to continue his playoff tear against the Celtics on Wednesday night after going for 27 points on 71% shooting in the Heat’s Game 3 loss.

Game 3 Betting Results

The Boston offense finally put forth a consistent effort in Game 3 and bettors were able to cash the club in the first quarter, first-half, second-half and for the game.

The 'over' got off to a decent start and also remained steady in the final two quarters, which helped the high side connect across the board too.

Outcome: Celtics 117 Heat 106

Game: Celtics Win, Celtics Cover (-3.5), Over 208.5
First Quarter: Celtics Win (31-22), Celtics Cover (-2), Over 52.5
First-Half: Celtics Win (63-50), Celtics Cover (-3), Over 104.5
Second-Half: Heat Win (56-54), Celtics Cover (+3.5), Over 104

Celtics Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 14-8 SU, 12-9-1 ATS, 7-13-1 O/U
Playoffs: 9-5 SU, 9-5 ATS, 3-10 O/U

Marcus Smart and Kemba Walker really stepped up in a big way for the Celtics on Saturday night as the guard tandem combined for 41 points, 10 rebounds, and 8 assists to help guide their team to its first victory of this series.

The glorious part about this game for Boston is that Tatum has a relatively pedestrian outing during the Celtics’ must-win bout, but the Celtics still dominated for the entirety of the contest – never trailing Miami at the end of a single stanza in this one.

Tatum has the star-power to completely take over a game and win it for his team if he needs to, but it was good to see he does not necessarily need to do it in order to earn victories in this series.

Heat Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 13-7 SU, 13-7 ATS, 9-10-1 O/U
Playoffs: 10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS, 5-7 O/U

Miami is still in the driver’s seat in this series, but to say Vegas is not worried about Jimmy Butler and company might be a stretch, as the Heat have fallen to just a -135 favorite to represent the East in this year’s NBA Finals after earning a 2-0 lead on the third-seeded Celtics.

A team that had been winning games with soul-sucking defense and clutch shooting appeared to be totally unenthused about keeping up with the hot-shooting Boston lineup in Game 3.

Miami utilized a 2-3 zone for extended stretches during the first two games of this series – just begging Boston to beat them from deep. Eric Spoelstra may want to try going back to that more frequently on defense if his guys are going to continuously allow Boston to shoot at a 49% clip as a unit from 2-point territory.

Key Injuries

Boston

SG Romeo Langford: Hip - Out

Miami

PF Chris Silva: Pelvis - Game Time Decision

After exiting Boston’s very first playoff game in the bubble against Philadelphia with an ankle injury, Gordon Hayward returned to the court for Game 3 of this series and logged 30 minutes off the bench in his first contest back since August 17th.

The extra rest between games three and four should serve as crucial recovery time as he tries to return to full-strength for the tail-end of this series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901LA ANGELS -902 SAN DIEGO
LA ANGELS are 50-59 SU (-14.9 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

903PHILADELPHIA -904 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 7-19 SU (-18.8 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

905CHI WHITE SOX -906 CLEVELAND
CHI WHITE SOX is 23-9 SU (16.9 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities in the current season.

907TEXAS -908 ARIZONA
TEXAS are 6-15 SU (-16.1 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

909NY YANKEES -910 TORONTO
NY YANKEES are 5-12 SU (-10.1 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

911HOUSTON -912 SEATTLE
HOUSTON is 17-29 SU (-15.4 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

913MILWAUKEE -914 CINCINNATI
MILWAUKEE is 1-12 SU (-13.4 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

915CHICAGO CUBS -916 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 15-4 SU (9.9 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) in the current season.

917MIAMI -918 ATLANTA
MIAMI is 17-4 SU (11.6 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

919TAMPA BAY -920 NY METS
TAMPA BAY is 20-32 SU (-16.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

921BALTIMORE -922 BOSTON
BALTIMORE is 28-15 SU (11.2 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

923DETROIT -924 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 9-1 SU (10.3 Units) in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

925ST LOUIS -926 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 16-7 SU (11.6 Units) in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.

927OAKLAND -928 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 35-26 SU (11.6 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

929COLORADO -930 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-7 SU (11.3 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, September 23

National League
Philadelphia @ Washington
Phillies (27-29)
Eflin is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-9 Totals: over 4-0 last four

— Philly lost its last four games.
— Phillies are 1-7 in their last eight road games.
— Over is 12-7 in their last 19 games.

Nationals (23-32):
Fedde is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-7 Totals: over 5-1-1

— Washington won its last four games.
— Nationals are 4-3 in their last seven home games.
— Over is 4-3 in their last seven games.

Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Brewers (27-27):
Houser is 0-4, 9.10 in his last six starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: over 6-0-1 last seven

— Milwaukee won six of its last eight games overall.
— Brewers lost eight of their last 11 road games.
— Under is 8-4-1 in Milwaukee’s last 13 games.

Reds (28-28)
Bauer is 1-1, 1.29 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 3.55 vs Milwaukee this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-5 Team in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-10 Totals: under 8-2

— Cincinnati won eight of its last ten games.
— Reds are 8-2 in their last ten home games.
— Under is 6-3 in the Reds’ last nine games.

Chicago @ Pittsburgh
Cubs (32-23):
Hendricks is 3-0, 1.21 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-4 Team in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-11 Totals: under 3-0 last three

— Cubs won six of their last nine games overall.
— Chicago is 6-3 in its last nine road games.
— Under is 12-4 in their last 16 games.

Pirates (16-39):
Williams is 0-4, 9.51 in his last six starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-9 Team in first 5 innings: 1-9
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: over 5-0 last five

— Pirates are 7-20 in their last 27 games.
— Pittsburgh is 6-9 in its last 15 home games.
— Under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 home games.

Miami @ Atlanta
Marlins (28-27):
Sanchez is 2-2, 2.63 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: under 5-1

— Miami is 5-6 in its last 11 games overall.
— Marlins are 7-6 in their last 13 road games.
— Over is 14-8-1 in their last 23 games.

Braves (33-22):
Fried is 3-0, 2.95 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 9-1 Team in first 5 innings: 7-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: over 5-2-1 last eight

— Braves won four of their last five games.
— Atlanta split its last eight home games.
— Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Colorado @ San Francisco
Rockies (24-30):
Castellani is 0-2, 10.34 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-6 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 3-1 last four

— Rockies lost 14 of their last 20 games.
— Colorado lost four of its last seven road games.
— Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Giants (27-27):
Webb is 0-2, 8.86 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 5.25 in two starts vs Colorado this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-6 last eight Team in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 6-11 Totals: over 6-5

— Giants lost six of their last ten games.
— SF won eight of its last nine home games.
— Over is 5-2 in Giants’ last seven home games.

American League
Chicago @ Cleveland
White Sox (34-20):
Lopez is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: over 4-1-1

— Chicago won 12 of its last 178games overall.
— White Sox are 6-5 in their last 11 road games.
— Under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games.

Indians (31-24):
Bieber is 5-1, 1.81 in his last seven starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 9-2 Team in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-11 Totals: under 9-2

— Cleveland lost nine of its last 14 games.
— Indians are 6-7 in their last 13 home games.
— Over is 6-4 in Cleveland’s last tene games.

Bronx @ Toronto
Bronx (32-23):
Tanaka is 2-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-4 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-9 Totals: under 5-2-2

— Bronx won 10 of its last 12 games.
— New York lost seven of its last ten road games.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Blue Jays (28-27):
Ray is 1-1, 6.75 in three starts for Toronto.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Blue Jays are 5-10 in their last 15 games overall.
— Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 home games.
— Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games.

Baltimore @ Boston
Orioles (23-32):
Kremer is 1-0, 1.69 in his first three MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 3-0

— Orioles lost 11 of their last 14 games.
— Baltimore is 0-6 in its last six road games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Red Sox (21-34):
Eovaldi is 2-0, 1.20 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 1.38 vs Baltimore this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: 4-4

— Red Sox split their last 16 games.
— Boston is 3-8 in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games.

Detroit @ Minnesota
Tigers (22-31):
Mize is 0-3, 7.23 in six starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: 3-3

— Detroit lost 14 of its last 19 games.
— Tigers is 2-10 in their last 12 road games.
— Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

Twins (34-22)
Maeda is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Detroit this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-3 Team in first 5 innings: 6-0-4
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: last six under

— Twins won 14 of their last 20 games.
— Minnesota won 10 of its last 11 home games.
— Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Houston @ Seattle
Astros (28-27):
Greinke is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-6 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1-6
Allowed run in first inning: 4-11 Totals: over 3-1-1 last five

— Astros are 13-16 in their last 29 games overall.
— Houston lost 13 of its last 16 road games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

Mariners (24-31):
Margevicius is 0-2, 6.89 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: over 3-1 last four

— Seattle lost nine of its last 13 games overall.
— Mariners are 9-2 in their last 11 home games.
— Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games.

Interleague
Tampa Bay @ New York
Rays (36-20):
Glasnow is 4-0, 2.93 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 8-2 Team in first 5 innings: 7-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: over 6-3-1

— Tampa Bay won eight of its last 12 games overall.
— Rays are 19-6 in their last 25 road games.
— Under is 10-1 in their last 11 road games

Mets (25-30)
Wacha is 0-3, 9.47 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: over 3-0 last three

— Mets lost six of their last ten games overall.
— New York is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
— Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine home games.

St Louis @ Kansas City
Cardinals (26-25)
Martinez is 0-2, 10.80 in four starts this year (15 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: over 3-1

— St Louis won five of its last six games.
— Cardinals are 12-8 in their last 20 road games.
— Under is 12-4-2 in Cardinals’ last 18 road games.

Royals (22-33):
Duffy is 1-2, 7.04 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-6 Team in first 5 innings: 3-5-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-10 Totals: under 6-3-1

— Royals lost four of their last five games.
— KC is 4-1 in its last five home games.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Texas @ Arizona
Rangers (19-36):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Texas lost 27 of its last 36 games.
— Rangers lost 12 of their last 14 road games.
— Under is 9-2 in their last 11 road games.

Diamondbacks (21-34):
Young is 0-3, 8.78 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-5 Team in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 5-6 Totals: 3-2-1

— Arizona lost 23 of its last 31 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost six of their last nine home games.
— Over is 4-3 in their last seven home games.

Oakland @ Los Angeles
A’s (33-21):
Manaea is 4-1, 2.96 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-4 Team in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-10 Totals: 5-5

— Oakland is 10-7 in its last 17 games.
— A’s are 4-5 in their last nine road games.
— Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games

Dodgers (39-16)
Urias is 0-0, 3.94 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-5 Team in first 5 innings: 6-1-3
Allowed run in first inning: 6-10 Totals: over 7-1-2

— Dodgers are 9-6 in their last 15 games overall.
— LA lost three of its last five home games.
— Over is 3-1-2 in their last six home games.

Anaheim @ San Diego
Angels (25-31):
Barria is 1-0, 3.43 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Angels won 13 of their last 19 games.
— Halos won four of their last five road games.
— Under is 4-1 in Angels’ last five road games.

Padres (34-21)
Clevinger is 2-1, 3.00 in three starts for San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: 1-1-1

— San Diego won 24 of its last 33 games.
— Padres are 16-6 in their last 22 home games.
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, September 23

Trend Report

LA Angels @ San Diego
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
San Diego is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Washington is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Chi White Sox @ Cleveland
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Texas @ Arizona
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas

NY Yankees @ Toronto
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Houston @ Seattle
Houston
Houston is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games at home

Miami @ Atlanta
Miami
Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 15 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Miami
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ NY Mets
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Baltimore @ Boston
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

St. Louis @ Kansas City
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
St. Louis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Oakland @ LA Dodgers
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
Oakland is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Colorado @ San Francisco
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 10 games
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 23

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LA ANGELS (25 - 31) at SAN DIEGO (34 - 21) - 4:10 PM
JAIME BARRIA (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 25-31 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 0-7 (-9.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
LA ANGELS are 14-23 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 216-194 (+35.4 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 85-103 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 91-117 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 38-44 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-31 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 44-54 (-24.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)



JAIME BARRIA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BARRIA is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



MIKE CLEVINGER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CLEVINGER is 4-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 5-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.9 units)




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PHILADELPHIA (27 - 29) at WASHINGTON (23 - 32) - 6:05 PM
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. ERICK FEDDE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 77-111 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-50 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 90-101 (-28.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-21 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 23-32 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 105-90 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-27 (-18.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-11 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 (+1.5 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)



ZACH EFLIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
EFLIN is 3-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.547.
His team's record is 4-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)



ERICK FEDDE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
FEDDE is 2-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.532.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHI WHITE SOX (34 - 21) at CLEVELAND (31 - 24) - 6:10 PM
LUCAS GIOLITO (R) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
GIOLITO is 2-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 106-110 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 63-50 (+22.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 70-63 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-56 (+15.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
GIOLITO is 14-4 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GIOLITO is 14-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GIOLITO is 19-8 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 215-167 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-36 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 137-111 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 153-118 (-23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 119-95 (-31.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-31 (-15.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 69-84 (-32.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-2 (+3.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)



LUCAS GIOLITO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GIOLITO is 2-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.112.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)



SHANE BIEBER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BIEBER is 2-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.136.
His team's record is 4-3 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.5 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS (19 - 36) at ARIZONA (21 - 34) - 6:10 PM
WES BENJAMIN (L) vs. ALEX YOUNG (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)



WES BENJAMIN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.



ALEX YOUNG vs. TEXAS since 1997
YOUNG is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NY YANKEES (32 - 23) at TORONTO (28 - 27) - 6:37 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-3 (+1.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)



MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. TORONTO since 1997
TANAKA is 14-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.010.
His team's record is 16-6 (+6.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-14. (-8.0 units)



ROBBIE RAY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
RAY is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (28 - 27) at SEATTLE (24 - 31) - 6:40 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. NICK MARGEVICIUS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 28-27 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-17 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-19 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 20-25 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 77-66 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 68-77 (+6.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-70 (-32.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 (+3.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)



ZACK GREINKE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GREINKE is 7-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 0.928.
His team's record is 7-6 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.4 units)



NICK MARGEVICIUS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MARGEVICIUS is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MILWAUKEE (27 - 27) at CINCINNATI (28 - 28) - 6:40 PM
ADRIAN HOUSER (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 92-66 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 50-23 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 19-9 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 146-106 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 103-115 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 79-112 (-32.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 5-4 (+0.4 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)



ADRIAN HOUSER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HOUSER is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.538.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)



TREVOR BAUER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAUER is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.054.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHICAGO CUBS (32 - 23) at PITTSBURGH (16 - 39) - 7:05 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-2 (+2.9 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)



KYLE HENDRICKS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HENDRICKS is 6-7 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.164.
His team's record is 8-10 (-6.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-9. (-1.2 units)



TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WILLIAMS is 2-7 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.34 and a WHIP of 1.752.
His team's record is 2-8 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.8 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI (28 - 27) at ATLANTA (33 - 22) - 7:10 PM
SIXTO SANCHEZ (R) vs. MAX FRIED (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 (+0.5 Units) against MIAMI this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)



SIXTO SANCHEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)



MAX FRIED vs. MIAMI since 1997
FRIED is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.579.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TAMPA BAY (36 - 20) at NY METS (25 - 30) - 7:10 PM
TYLER GLASNOW (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 225-161 (+32.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 27-12 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 25-30 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 156-162 (-55.7 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
WACHA is 3-9 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)



TYLER GLASNOW vs. NY METS since 1997
GLASNOW is 0-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



MICHAEL WACHA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
WACHA is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 9.72 and a WHIP of 2.281.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BALTIMORE (23 - 32) at BOSTON (21 - 34) - 7:30 PM
DEAN KREMER (R) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 124-255 (-67.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 75-173 (-65.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 76-175 (-59.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 7-2 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BOSTON is 105-112 (-37.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 769-674 (-77.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 47-60 (-38.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-66 (-33.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 73-78 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-37 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-50 (-20.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-4 (+1.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)



DEAN KREMER vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.



NATHAN EOVALDI vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
EOVALDI is 5-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.518.
His team's record is 8-3 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.3 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DETROIT (22 - 31) at MINNESOTA (34 - 22) - 7:40 PM
CASEY MIZE (R) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 69-144 (-40.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 72-227 (-82.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
DETROIT is 33-77 (-33.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 49-117 (-41.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-81 (-29.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 135-86 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-5 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 14-3 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 15-3 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-5 (+1.6 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)



CASEY MIZE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MIZE is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)



KENTA MAEDA vs. DETROIT since 1997
MAEDA is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 0.778.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST LOUIS (27 - 25) at KANSAS CITY (22 - 33) - 8:05 PM
CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DUFFY is 10-5 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 35-25 (+11.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 66-38 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 331-462 (-112.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-3 (+0.5 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)



CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MARTINEZ is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)



DANNY DUFFY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DUFFY is 2-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OAKLAND (33 - 21) at LA DODGERS (39 - 16) - 9:40 PM
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. JULIO URIAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 129-86 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 98-62 (+25.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 24-20 (+14.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 105-83 (+25.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-52 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 43-15 (+24.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 89-57 (+32.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 48-33 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 192-204 (-66.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 142-151 (-38.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 1015-851 (-93.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)



SEAN MANAEA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MANAEA is 0-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.87 and a WHIP of 2.086.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)



JULIO URIAS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO (24 - 30) at SAN FRANCISCO (27 - 27) - 9:45 PM
RYAN CASTELLANI (R) vs. LOGAN WEBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 276-483 (-82.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-27 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-8 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 54-56 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-16 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-8 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-3 (+1.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)



RYAN CASTELLANI vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.



LOGAN WEBB vs. COLORADO since 1997
WEBB is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.258.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 23

LA Angels @ San Diego

Game 901-902
September 23, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Barria) 15.193
San Diego
(Clevinger) 16.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-175); Under

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 903-904
September 23, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 16.274
Washington
(Fedde) 14.875
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-140); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland

Game 905-906
September 23, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Giolito) 15.911
Cleveland
(Bieber) 14.957
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-155
7
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+135); Over

Texas @ Arizona

Game 907-908
September 23, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Benjamin) 13.487
Arizona
(Young) 16.076
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-155); Under

NY Yankees @ Toronto

Game 909-910
September 23, 2020 @ 6:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 18.056
Toronto
(Ray) 13.739
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 4 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-230
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-230); Over

Milwaukee @ Cincinnati

Game 913-914
September 23, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Houser) 16.954
Cincinnati
(Bauer) 15.827
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-160
8
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+140); Over

Houston @ Seattle

Game 911-912
September 23, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Greinke) 14.420
Seattle
(Mrgevicius) 15.804
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-200
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+170); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 915-916
September 23, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendricks) 15.120
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 16.161
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-200
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+170); Under

Miami @ Atlanta

Game 917-918
September 23, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Sanchez) 17.651
Atlanta
(Fried) 16.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+150); Over

Tampa Bay @ NY Mets

Game 919-920
September 23, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 17.038
NY Mets
(Wacha) 15.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-180
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-180); Under

Baltimore @ Boston

Game 921-922
September 23, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Kremer) 15.665
Boston
(Eovaldi) 14.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+140); Over

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 923-924
September 23, 2020 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Mize) 13.333
Minnesota
(Maeda) 18.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-275
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-275); Under

St. Louis @ Kansas City

Game 925-926
September 23, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Martinez) 13.555
Kansas City
(Duffy) 15.136
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+110); Under

Oakland @ LA Dodgers

Game 927-928
September 23, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Manaea) 14.820
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 18.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-160); Over

Colorado @ San Francisco

Game 929-930
September 23, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Castellani) 15.548
San Francisco
(Webb) 17.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-190
9
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-190); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money September 23
Patrick Everson

Marcus Semien and the A's aim to bounce back from a Tuesday night loss to the Dodgers when the teams meet again Wednesday. Caesars sportsbooks pegged Los Angeles a -165 favorite.

MLB betting odds are posted and getting attention for the standard full slate of 15 games on the Wednesday schedule. Among the noteworthy matchups, the Oakland Athletics resume their interleague series with the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s games.

MLB line movement

The Dodgers own the best record in the majors (39-16), including a 7-2 Tuesday night home win over the A’s that clinched the NL West title. Caesars books opened Wednesday’s 9:40 p.m. ET start at Dodgers -165/A’s +153, and there was no line movement Tuesday night.

The Cleveland Indians send Shane Bieber (8-1, 1.74 ERA) into a 6:10 p.m. ET home game against the Chicago White Sox. Cleveland, which began this series Tuesday with a 5-3 victory in 10 innings, opened -155 to Chicago’s +145, and there was no line movement through Tuesday night.

The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds are among those battling for the final NL playoff spots. Both are playing well, with the Brew Crew 5-1 in its last six – including a 3-2 win over Cincy on Tuesday – and the Reds 8-2 in their last 10. But Cincinnati has Trevor Bauer (4-4, 1.80 ERA) on the bump in a 6:40 p.m. ET first pitch, so Caesars opened at Reds -155/Brewers +145.

MLB public betting

Even with Bieber on the bump for Cleveland, the White Sox-Indians tilt was getting two-way play Tuesday night in the Consensus, with Chicago drawing 52 percent of picks. Bauer was having a more noteworthy impact for the Reds, who were getting 66 percent of early Consensus picks against the Brewers.

A’s-Dodgers was also getting two-way attention, with the slightest of nods to Oakland, which through Tuesday night was attracting 51 percent of picks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Washington (6:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Nationals are 13-0 SU since Aug 13, 2019 at home for at least the second straight game when they have won 2+ straight and their opponent has lost 2+ straight.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Boston (7:30 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 0-10 SU since Aug 25, 2020 on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.


OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Washington (6:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Phillies are 16-0 OU (4.44 ppg) since Aug 25, 2018 as a road favorite when they are off a loss in which they held the lead.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Braves are 11-0 SU since Jun 09, 2019 when Max Fried starts when they scored more than 6 runs in his last start.


Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

25TAMPA BAY -26 DALLAS
DALLAS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 23

Tampa Bay @ Dallas

Game 25-26
September 23, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
12.602
Dallas
13.779
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-160
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+140); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (58-26-0-7, 123 pts.) vs. DALLAS (51-33-0-8, 110 pts.) - 9/23/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 51-41 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 14-9 ATS (+3.0 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
DALLAS is 25-16 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
DALLAS is 33-24 ATS (+5.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 20-16 ATS (+3.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 120-57 ATS (+21.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 62-26 ATS (+17.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-10 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 39-55 ATS (+110.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-3 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, September 23

Trend Report

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stanley Cup Game 3 Odds - Stars vs. Lightning
Matt Blunt

Game 3 - Tampa Bay at Dallas

Playoffs: Stanley Cup Finals
Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020
TV-Time: NBCSN, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Rogers Place
Location: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Under normal circumstances this would be a 1-1 series tie with Dallas going home and I think in any scenario it's still something I'd take being on the Stars for the series.

The only advantage here for Dallas is getting last change, and given that they are 1-2 SU in these playoffs in those initial games with the last change, it hasn't been all that advantageous for them.

Two outright losses and needing OT to knock off the Knights last round. Not exactly the best track record but the price makes up for it, and any underdog is always going to have some flaws.

But really, if I'm the Stars, I'm frustrated we dropped Game 2, but more because it was the same old mistake cropping up for them: one bad stretch of hockey – a period or less – that buries them. This time it was the 1st period that saw a undisciplined period turn into a 3-0 hole. They had that awful 1st period in Game 5 of that series with Colorado, an awful final eight minutes or so in Game 3 of that series too, and one bad 2nd period in their only loss to Vegas (Game 2) last round.

There was no sitting back being timid after that 1st period went awry for the Stars, and they looked the better team for the majority of the rest of that Game 2 loss to Tampa. You can't blame them for not putting complete 60-minute efforts together on a nightly basis, but had they not had some of those awful periods and ultimately flipped a few of those games in their favor, we'd be talking about one of the best all-time playoff runs by a team that there ever has been.

For whatever reason they let the 3rd period of Game 1 carry over to the beginning of Game 2 and paid the price for it. A lesson this team is all too familiar with in these playoffs.

Khudobin's already got part time residence in the opposition's head for how often he's stolen games for the Stars in these playoffs, and as long as the guys in front of them can piece together a full 60 minute effort, I still don't believe these prices are where they should be.

The Stars went 2-0 SU off a loss vs Calgary, 2-1 SU off a loss vs Colorado, and 1-0 SU off their loss to Vegas.

That's a 5-1 SU run in this role for a team that clearly understands how to make adjustments and work their perceived advantages from there. We saw it from the 1st intermission last game when the Stars to a 14-6 deficit in the shot department after 20 minutes and went 18-5 in shots the other way the following 20 minutes.

Dallas is a team that's just so tough to put away, and one you don't want to be trying to catch up on late. That's always going to be a great profile for any underdog in the line.

The Stars have been through tough results like that in those prior series to fully understand how to not let that bad 1st period in Game 2 spiral into a 2-1 series hole.

They find a way to grab yet another series lead as the prohibitive underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 11	W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta
Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 10:20
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 23. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. INTERCEPT is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * INTERCEPT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ha s the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TIPSY MOOSE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	INTERCEPT	2/1	2/1
3	TIPSY MOOSE	3/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	MAJESTIC WOODY	8	12/1	Front-runner	77	74	86.2	56.3	38.3
3	TIPSY MOOSE	3	3/1	Front-runner	98	91	77.4	58.2	49.2
5	INTERCEPT	5	2/1	Alternator/Front-runner	93	84	96.0	83.0	81.0
6	CACTUS JACK	6	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	87	77	77.2	64.6	57.1
2	INSIDER	1	8/1	Trailer	82	74	54.6	66.4	57.9
1	MONEYBAGS	2	10/1	Trailer	85	71	38.0	65.4	57.4
4	MAJESTIC CALLING	4	12/1	Trailer	80	68	24.6	60.4	46.4
1A	AGAINST THE ODDS	7	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	88	78	52.0	69.2	58.2
8	HE'S GOT TALENT	9	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	86	71	42.6	60.0	49.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 2	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 2-3) * Pick 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 2-3-4)
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 1:37P
FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SPIN A YARN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TROUBLE FOR SKYLAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BEL CUORE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	SPIN A YARN	2/5	3/1
5	TROUBLE FOR SKYLAR	6/1	4/1
3	BEL CUORE	12/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	SPIN A YARN	2	2/5	Front-runner	87	87	76.0	86.0	83.0
1	TEE UP	1	20/1	Front-runner	76	58	72.0	43.2	31.7
7	CLARA'S GONE WEST	7	5/1	Front-runner	78	65	62.6	62.2	55.2
3	BEL CUORE	3	12/1	Front-runner	76	77	57.4	63.2	52.7
5	TROUBLE FOR SKYLAR	5	6/1	Stalker	83	86	76.2	74.8	71.3
4	SWEET SHALLOTS	4	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	69	71	52.0	63.2	54.7
6	SISTER PATRICIA	6	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	77	53.6	56.8	46.3