Saturday 9/26/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #61
    The Last Call

    Late Saturday's Free Play: Los Angeles Angels + 165
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #62
      Teyas Sports

      FREE PICK 9/26 CFB MISSISSIPPI +16 1/2
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #63
        Vegas Steam Line

        Your free winner for Saturday: ARMY +13 over Cincinnati
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #64
          High Stakes Syndicate

          Free Selection for Late Saturday: Missouri State Bears + 15 1/2
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #65
            Kenny Towers

            Your Free Pick for Saturday: Alabama -27
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #66
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine

              Woodbine - Race 10
              Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta / 0.20 Jackpot Hi5
              Optional Claiming $40,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 85 • Purse: $60,300 • Post: 6:01P
              INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR ONTARIO SIRED ALLOWANCE WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SAY HEY (FR): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ROLLING SLO AN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. VESPOLINA: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ANN OF CLEVES: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. COOL SOCIETY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
              10
              SAY HEY (FR)
              10/1
              4/1
              3
              ROLLING SLOAN
              7/2
              7/1
              5
              VESPOLINA
              3/1
              9/1
              1
              ANN OF CLEVES
              8/1
              9/1
              8
              COOL SOCIETY
              20/1
              9/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              3
              ROLLING SLOAN
              3
              7/2
              Front-runner
              79
              79
              94.7
              75.9
              66.4
              4
              UNDER THE EYE
              4
              15/1
              Front-runner
              79
              77
              87.0
              61.5
              47.0
              7
              MISS BOBBIT
              7
              4/1
              Front-runner
              83
              72
              76.4
              77.8
              66.3
              2
              APPELLA
              2
              6/1
              Stalker
              75
              75
              62.2
              69.1
              59.1
              10
              SAY HEY (FR)
              10
              10/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              97
              96
              66.3
              68.2
              57.7
              1
              ANN OF CLEVES
              1
              8/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              87
              80
              65.8
              78.4
              72.9
              8
              COOL SOCIETY
              8
              20/1
              Trailer
              84
              85
              68.7
              75.9
              64.9
              5
              VESPOLINA
              5
              3/1
              Trailer
              86
              89
              67.6
              83.7
              75.7
              6
              GET OFF MY TAIL
              6
              10/1
              Trailer
              72
              65
              62.6
              55.9
              42.9
              9
              QUEEN'S SPEED
              9
              12/1
              Trailer
              79
              69
              31.2
              65.8
              51.3
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #67
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pimlico



                Pimlico - Race 10
                EXACTA, TRIFECTA &10 cent SUPERFECTA / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
                Allowance • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 89 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 5:37P
                (RAIL AT 20 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER, OR MD SIRED OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE EIGHTH)
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Dominant Trailer. ON THE TOWN is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ON THE TOWN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MIKE'S GIRL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top thr ee in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                6
                ON THE TOWN
                2/1
                2/1
                1
                MIKE'S GIRL
                3/1
                7/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                11
                LA BABIA
                11
                10/1
                Front-runner
                85
                80
                75.6
                79.8
                73.8
                4
                MISS CHLOE G
                4
                20/1
                Alternator/Front-runner
                79
                78
                75.0
                72.8
                54.8
                1
                MIKE'S GIRL
                1
                3/1
                Stalker
                92
                92
                84.6
                88.1
                76.6
                2
                MONA LUNA
                2
                12/1
                Stalker
                72
                75
                81.8
                66.5
                51.5
                10
                INSIDE THE BOX
                10
                8/1
                Trailer
                78
                81
                76.9
                79.3
                68.8
                9
                CURLY RUTH
                9
                8/1
                Trailer
                78
                76
                73.0
                67.3
                57.8
                3
                R V TREASURE
                3
                15/1
                Trailer
                75
                62
                70.4
                69.4
                53.9
                8
                SAVEDBYTHEBELLE
                8
                5/1
                Trailer
                82
                79
                50.0
                75.4
                60.4
                6
                ON THE TOWN
                6
                2/1
                Alternator/Trailer
                97
                96
                93.2
                89.4
                82.4
                12
                GLOBAL BRAND
                12
                12/1
                Alternator/Trailer
                76
                76
                69.6
                67.9
                55.4
                7
                WHO U GONNA CALL
                7
                15/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                81
                78
                64.6
                73.4
                61.9
                5
                CALL ON CLARA
                5
                30/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                62
                53
                45.8
                45.8
                24.3
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #68
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 3 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $200000 Class Rating: 95

                  CHANDELIER S. - GRADE 2 FOR FILLIES, TWO YEARS OLD.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 3 VARDA 8/1
                  # 1 PRINCESS NOOR 2/5
                  # 5 MISS COSTA RICA 6/1
                  I've got to go with VARDA and could score at a price in here. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 92 speed fig which is one of the most respectable in this field. This trainer has the most respectable ROI in this field with entries racing at this distance and surface. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of strong win percentage - 33 percent - at this distance & surface. PRINCESS NOOR - Is tough not to look at based on Equibase speed figs which have been strong - 90 avg - of late. The average Equibase class figure of 90 makes this one hard to beat. MISS COSTA RICA - Ran a strong last race. Baltas and Prat have won 27 percent of their races giving this equine a solid chance.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #69
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 5 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 87

                    QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 4 TWOSTRIKESURPRISE 5/2
                    # 1 LOTTA BLUE CHROME 8/5
                    # 2 IN DEEP THOUGHT 5/1
                    I think TWOSTRIKESURPRISE is a respectable choice. He must be given a shot given the strong speed numbers. Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figs (76 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of decent win percentage - 26 percent - at this distance & surface. LOTTA BLUE CHROME - Has quite good front speed and will probably fare admirably against this group. Is hard not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been respectable - 73 avg - of late. IN DEEP THOUGHT - Overall, this conditioner has been profitable at this distance/surface. The speed rating of 78 from her most recent race looks solid in here.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #70
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Charles Town - Race #4 - Post: 8:32pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 59

                      Rating:

                      #3 BECOMING MACHEN (ML=8/1)


                      BECOMING MACHEN - This jockey and handler's horses have been generating a profitable ROI. Adams drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to believe this horse has a shot at this level. This racer is at the top of my list of contenders. Her pace, along with a favorable post on this bullring of a track, should take her far in this one.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #7 PAINT IT GREEN (ML=9/5), #6 BOCA BIRDIE (ML=5/2), #4 ELLIE BEAR (ML=9/2),

                      PAINT IT GREEN - Lower level horses have a difficult time coming back after two rigorous stretch runs. Doubtful that the speed rating she earned on Sep 5th will be enough in this affair. BOCA BIRDIE - Tough to put any cash on this mare on the win end. Likes to hit the board though. ELLIE BEAR - In the last event this mount finished third. Doesn't bode well for her chances today. Hard to put your cash on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as regularly as this one does.



                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #3 BECOMING MACHEN to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
                      EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with 1

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Pass
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #71
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Prairie Meadows - Race #8 - Post: 8:56pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $85,000 Class Rating: 97 Governor Terry E. Branstad S.

                        Rating:

                        #4 TIN BADGE (ML=5/1)
                        #2 MINECRAFT MANIAC (ML=8/5)
                        #3 NET GAIN (ML=7/2)


                        TIN BADGE - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Corbett gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. All systems look good for this gelding. Last prep, 2nd fastest of the day, shows he's fit and ready. Have to make this gelding a win candidate; he comes off a sharp outing on Sep 16th. MINECRAFT MANIAC - Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a strong contest on Aug 29th. Looks like this horse really likes the distance. No reason to believe he can't add another 'W' to the victory column in this race. This horse loves the track here at Prairie Meadows. NET GAIN - A thoroughbred coming back this quickly after a nice race is a good sign.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #5 KAUAI (ML=4/1), #1 DOMIKATE (ML=8/1),

                        KAUAI - Tough to like the downward flow (94/88/79) of speed figs. DOMIKATE - No pace in this event to help this sustainer's hopes. I cannot play this continual non-winner. Gets the assignment executed from time to time. This gelding just doesn't seem to like the number 1 post. His running lines show that he doesn't fare well from there.



                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 TIN BADGE is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Pass

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,3,4] with [2,3,4] with [2,3,4,5,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #72
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs


                          09/26/20, CD, Race 10, 5.26 ET
                          09/26/20,CD,10,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:46:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000 (includes up to $20,600 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One and One Eighth mile.).
                          . . . .
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                          100.0000 8 Sail On Ellen 7/2 Hernandez C J Lovell Michelle SFWL 28 50.00 1.48/$1
                          098.1556 4 Longpants Required(b-) 5/2 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. JEC 19 57.89 1.79/$1
                          094.9050 6 Tiz Penney 8-1 Court J K Pasley III Alvin 28 50.00 1.48/$1
                          094.7095 5 Fashion Mo 3-1 Graham J Correas. IV Ignacio 28 50.00 1.48/$1
                          094.2516 10 War Like Goddess 12-1 Leparoux J R Mott William I. T 28 50.00 1.48/$1
                          094.1343 9 Leah Chase 8-1 Beschizza A Brisset Rodolphe 28 50.00 1.48/$1
                          093.7750 3 Demora 12-1 Bejarano R Jurado Luis A. 19 57.89 1.79/$1
                          093.7519 2 Go Tweet 20-1 Gilligan J McEntee Paul 19 57.89 1.79/$1
                          093.2711 7 Tanzerin (GER) 15-1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 28 50.00 1.48/$1
                          091.9190 1 Zawadi 20-1 Bailey C Hill. Jr. John F. 28 50.00 1.48/$1
                          * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 34.38, ROI 1.18/$1
                          If Race Is Off Turf

                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                          100.0000 8 Sail On Ellen 7/2 Hernandez C J Lovell Michelle SFEWL 221 34.39 1.08/$1
                          099.0512 4 Longpants Required(b-) 5/2 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. JC 221 34.39 1.08/$1
                          096.2519 5 Fashion Mo 3-1 Graham J Correas. IV Ignacio 89 33.71 1.22/$1
                          095.0060 10 War Like Goddess 12-1 Leparoux J R Mott William I. T 88 28.41 1.20/$1
                          094.8584 9 Leah Chase 8-1 Beschizza A Brisset Rodolphe 221 34.39 1.08/$1
                          094.0418 3 Demora 12-1 Bejarano R Jurado Luis A. 89 33.71 1.22/$1
                          093.8431 2 Go Tweet 20-1 Gilligan J McEntee Paul 43 39.53 1.54/$1
                          093.7854 6 Tiz Penney 8-1 Court J K Pasley III Alvin 155 30.97 1.12/$1
                          092.7842 7 Tanzerin (GER) 15-1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. 88 28.41 1.20/$1
                          091.1991 1 Zawadi 20-1 Bailey C Hill. Jr. John F. 89 33.71 1.22/$1
                          * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.89, ROI 0.86/$1
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #73
                            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



                            09/26/20, BEL, Race 10, 5.46 ET
                            09/26/20,BEL,10,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. (UP TO $6,264 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment due at time of claim otherwise claim will be void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Main Track.) (Rail at 18 feet).
                            . . . .
                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                            100.0000 8 Allied Invasion 5-1 Rosario J Clement Christophe JFEC 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            096.7017 13 McElmore Avenue 9/2 Lezcano J Russell Brittany T 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            096.3703 11 Barleewon 7/2 Velazquez J R Stidham Michael W 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            095.7343 12 Diannesimpazible 15-1 Carmouche K Rodriguez Rudy R. 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            095.6180 15 Royal Suspect 7/2 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            095.0467 7 Catorat 4-1 Cancel E Donk David G. 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            094.4283 3 Shootin the Breeze 4-1 Davis D Cannizzo David A. 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            093.1528 2 Albie 9/2 Cardenas L Martin Carlos F. S 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            092.6790 10 Mr. Vincent 20-1 Marquez C Klesaris Steve 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            090.7866 14 Beachside 12-1 Franco M Donk David G. 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            090.3604 1 Paynter's Prize 20-1 Alvarado J Baker Charlton 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            087.7653 1A Joy City 20-1 Alvarado J Baker Charlton L 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            087.0357 5 My Amanjena 30-1 Franco M DiPrima Gregory 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            085.2258 6 Fotis 30-1 Hernandez B Jones Eduardo E. 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            084.8300 9 Hypnotist 30-1 Luzzi M J Kingsley. Jr. Archibal 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            083.4087 4 River Knight 20-1 Martinez J R Pringle Edmund 348 33.91 1.25/$1
                            * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 33.87, ROI 1.14/$1
                            If Race Is Off Turf

                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                            100.0000 8 Allied Invasion 5-1 Rosario J Clement Christophe JFEC 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            099.0717 11 Barleewon 7/2 Velazquez J R Stidham Michael 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            098.8495 2 Albie 9/2 Cardenas L Martin Carlos F. S 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            098.4184 15 Royal Suspect 7/2 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            097.4879 13 McElmore Avenue 9/2 Lezcano J Russell Brittany T 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            097.3428 3 Shootin the Breeze 4-1 Davis D Cannizzo David A. 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            097.0353 12 Diannesimpazible 15-1 Carmouche K Rodriguez Rudy R. 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            096.1901 1A Joy City 20-1 Alvarado J Baker Charlton L 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            095.2395 10 Mr. Vincent 20-1 Marquez C Klesaris Steve 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            095.1511 7 Catorat 4-1 Cancel E Donk David G. 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            094.7611 4 River Knight 20-1 Martinez J R Pringle Edmund 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            094.5305 1 Paynter's Prize 20-1 Alvarado J Baker Charlton W 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            094.0833 9 Hypnotist 30-1 Luzzi M J Kingsley. Jr. Archibal 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            093.4779 14 Beachside 12-1 Franco M Donk David G. 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            093.1377 6 Fotis 30-1 Hernandez B Jones Eduardo E. 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            091.7403 5 My Amanjena 30-1 Franco M DiPrima Gregory 239 33.47 1.20/$1
                            * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 26.17, ROI 0.81/$1
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #74
                              Insider Sports Report

                              CFB Kentucky +7
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #75
                                Doc's Picks

                                CFB Louisiana over 50
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                                Comment

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