Saturday 9/26/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2020, 10:25 AM

College football odds Week 4: Opening lines & odds movement
Patrick Everson

Mac Jones and Alabama begin the 2020 season on the road Saturday against fellow SEC outfit Missouri. PointsBet USA opened Alabama hefty 28-point chalk and dropped to -27 Monday.

College football odds for Week 4 are on the betting board and already getting action, in part due to the SEC joining the fray for its first games of the season. Defending national champion Louisiana State hosts Mississippi, and Alabama is a huge road favorite against Missouri.

PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner provided insights on college football Week 4 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups. Covers will update this action report with college football sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week

College football Week 4 odds

These are the current College football Week 4 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of September 21.

(7) Notre Dame at Wake Forest odds

Opening line
Wake Forest +17.5, Over/Under 58

Why the line moved
This line scooted up to Notre Dame -19 in a hurry at PointsBet USA, but professional bettors reeled that in to -16.5 equally as fast Monday. "Sharp action helped drive that number back down," Eichner said Monday evening.

(2) Alabama at Missouri Odds

Opening line
Missouri +28, Over/Under 55.5

Why the line moved
The first move at PointsBet USA was from Alabama -28 to -27, and the total ticked from 55.5 to 55, but there was nothing to report in the way of early action Monday.

(6) Florida at Ole Miss odds

Opening line
Mississippi +13, Over/Under 60

Why the line moved
Both the line and the total were on the move Monday at PointsBet USA. Florida shifted from -13 to -14.5, while the total dropped from 60 to 57. "Two decent-sized adjustments in this one," Eichner said.

Kansas State at (3) Oklahoma odds

Opening line
Oklahoma -27, Over/Under 59

Why the line moved
The Sooners got an early betting shove at PointsBet USA, moving from -27 to -28.5. The total ticked up a notch to 59.5 Monday.

(3) Georgia at Arkansas odds

Opening line
Arkansas +24.5, Over/Under 51.5

Why the line moved
Georgia got an early look at PointsBet USA, moving up to -26 Monday, while the total dropped a point to 50.5.

(9) Texas at Texas Tech odds

Opening line
Texas Tech +16.5, Over/Under 69

Why the line moved
PointsBet USA moved this line 1.5 points to Texas -18 by Monday afternoon.

Mississippi State at (5) Louisiana State odds

Opening line
LSU -18.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
The line went down and the total went up Monday at PointsBet USA, with LSU dropping to -16.5 and the total surging to 57.5. "We saw some action on the Over," Eichner said.

Vanderbilt at (11) Texas A&M odds

Opening line
Texas A&M -29, Over/Under 48

Why the line moved
Between the market and perhaps some A&M support, the Aggies were up 1.5 points to -30.5 at PointsBet USA on Monday. The total moved up a notch to 48.5.

Kentucky at (8) Auburn odds

Opening line
Auburn -8, Over/Under 47.5

Why the line moved
This line bounced around a bit Monday at PointsBet USA, first dropping a full point to Auburn -7, then ticking up to -7.5. The total briefly went to 48 before moving back to 47.5.

Army at (16) Cincinnati odds

Opening line
Cincinnati -11.5, Over/Under 46

Why the line moved
This line was off to the races Monday at PointsBet USA. "We got hit with quick sharp money. The line has gotten as high as -15," Eichner said in describing early play on Cincinnati, which fell back to -14 Monday evening. The total dipped to 45 Monday, then went back to 46.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2020, 10:26 AM

College Football Tech Trends - Week 4
Bruce Marshall

Week 4 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, Sept. 24 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups. We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Saturday, Sept. 26

UCF at EAST CAROLINA (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Even after Georgia Tech win, Central Florida 4-5 vs. line last 9 away from Orlando and 7-8 last 15 vs. spread.
ECU hasn’t beaten UCF SU since 2015, but did cover big number last year after getting routed previous three campaigns
Pirates 2-2 as home dog LY in Mike Houston debut after subpar 3-8 spread mark in role previous two seasons.

Tech Edge: UCF, based on team and extended series trends.

GA STATE at CHARLOTTE (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Georgia State closed last season in a skid, dropping 4 of last 5 vs. line.
Could be rare chalk role for Charlotte, just 2-2 in role past two seasons.
49ers also 7-3 vs. spread last ten as host.

Tech Edge: Charlotte, based on team trends.

USF at FLORIDA ATLANTIC (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m. ET)

New head coach Jeff Scott tries to improve Bulls from 3-8 spread mark last 11 as dog under Charlie Strong, but off slow in blowout loss to ND.
Taggart FAU debut delayed by postponement last week vs. Georgia Southern.
He was only 8-13-1 in 1+ years vs. line at FSU, his worst stretch as HC, though he inherits an Owls team 10-4 vs. line last season for Kiffin.

Tech Edge: FAU, based on team trends.

FLORIDA STATE at MIAMI-Fl. (ABC, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Miami has won last three SU in this rivalry.
Prior to last season’s 27-10 scoreline, the preceding five games from 2014-18 all decided by five points or fewer.
FSU on 6-13 spread skid dating back to mid 2018.

Tech Edge: Miami, based on team trends.

GEORGIA TECH at SYRACUSE (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

After 3-8-1 spread mark in GT debut, Collins recorded big W in opener vs. Seminoles, though loss to UCF puts Collins 4-9-1 vs. line with jackets.
Jackets now on 3-0-1 spread uptick as ACC visitor.
Syracuse on 3-7 spread skid since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Georgia Tech, based on recent trends.

LOUISVILLE at PITT (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Satterfield teams at App State & ‘Ville 17-9-1 vs. spread since 2018.
If chalk, note that entering 2020, Pitt only 7-14-1 vs. line at Heinz as favorite since Narduzzi took over in 2015.
These two haven’t met since 2013.

Tech Edge: Louisville, based on team trends.

NOTRE DAME at WAKE FOREST (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Irish covered 9 of last 12 in 2019 before non-cover vs. Duke in opener.
After cover vs. Clemson in opener, Deacs now 6-1 vs. spread last seven at Winston-Salem.
Clawson was 10-2-1 as dog in 2016-17 though just 6-8 in role since.
Teams met three times between 2015-18 and road team covered each.

Tech Edge: Slight to ND, based on team and series road trends.

TENNESSEE at SOUTH CAROLINA (SEC, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Vols closed 2019 fast with wins in last six SU, and 6-2 vs. line last 8, and Pruitt has covered 5 of last 6 on SEC road.
Conversely, Muschamp dropped 5 of last 6 vs. spread LY, and just 5-9 last 14 vs. spread.
If either getting points here, note that underdog team has covered last 8 in this series!

Tech Edge: Slight to Tennessee, especially if dog, based on team trends.

KANSAS at BAYLOR (ESPNU, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Bears have won last ten meetings SU, covering last 8 and 9 of those 10, many by whopping scorelines.
Last eight meetings, Baylor win margin at 40.5 points per game!
Note Les Miles teams 7-15-1 vs. line last 23 covering LSU and KU stints dating to late 2015.

Tech Edge: Baylor, based on team and series trends.

TROY at BYU (ESPN, 10:15 p.m. ET)

Trojans entered 2020 only 4-10 vs. line last 14 reg.-season games, though romped vs. MTSU last week.
Troy only 1-4 as dog LY for Chip Lindsey.
Sitake just 4-9 vs. number in 2019 but did romp in 2020 opener vs. Navy.

Tech Edge: Slight to BYU, based on recent Troy trends.

ALABAMA at MISSOURI (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Note head coach Nick Saban just 6-6 vs. line as SEC visitor since 2017, and only 21-21-1 vs. line last 43 on board.
Drinkwitz’ Mizzou debut after Tigers dropped last seven vs. line for Barry Odom a year ago.
Alabama won and covered big the only three meetings (including SEC title game 2014) since Tigers joined SEC.
All Tide wins by 29 or more.

Tech Edge: Alabama, based on team and extended series trends.

NORTH TEXAS at HOUSTON (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Holgorsen was 0-2 as chalk in UH debut LY after 10-6 mark laying points his last two years at WVU.
Cougars only 1-4 vs. line at TDECU Stadium LY (did cover one at NRG).
Mean Green entered 2020 on 3-15 spread skid before covering opener vs. Houston Baptist.

Tech Edge: Houston, based on recent UNT negatives.

WEST VIRGINIA at OKLAHOMA STATE (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Gundy has won and covered last five vs. Mounties.
Cowboys entered 2020 on 13-4 spread uptick and covered all four as DD chalk in 2019, though failed in first try in roles for 2020 vs. Tulsa.
Neal Brown just 4-6 as dog in WVU debut LY after 6-2 mark previous three years in role with Troy.

Tech Edge: Oklahoma State, based on series trends.

FLORIDA at OLE MISS (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Lane Kiffin Rebel coaching debut.
Dan Mullen 17-9 vs. spread the past two seasons with Gators, and 6-2 vs. spread as true visitor past two seasons.
Kiffin was 10-4 vs. line with FAU in 2019 and covered 4 of his last 5 as dog with FAU.
Rebs were also 8-3-1 vs. spread for Matt Luke in 2019.
Teams have not met since 2015.

Tech Edge: Slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.

GA SOUTHERN at LA.-LAFAYETTE (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Ragin’ Cajuns were on 18-7-2 spread uptick after opening win vs. ISU, but didn’t get spread L at Georgia State last week.
Napier 6-3-1 vs. spread last 10 at Cajun Field, and won and covered at Statesboro LY.
Eagles just 2-6 vs. spread last eight away from home.

Tech Edge: Louisiana-Lafayette, based on team trends.

KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Revenge spot for Sooners after suffering only Big 12 loss LY at hands of KSU.
Note however OU 0-2 vs. line in rare revenge spots past two years.
Lincoln Riley entered 2020 11-17-1 vs. spread last 29.
Though home team has covered last four in series.
Cats were 6-2 as dog LY for Klieman and 4-1 vs. spread as visitor.

Tech Edge: Slight to Kansas State, based on team trends.

GEORGIA at ARKANSAS (SEC, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Pittman debut for Arkansas.
Hogs lost last nine SU in disastrous 2019 but did cover four of those (2-0 after Chad Morris dismissed in November).
Porkers were 5-5 as DD dog past two years.
Kirby Smart has covered last seven reg.-season games away from Athens.

Tech Edge: Georgia, based on team trends.

TEXAS at TEXAS TECH (FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Tom Herman 6-2 vs. spread last 8 away from Austin and has won and covered last two vs. Tech.
Long Horns 2-0 as chalk away from Austin LY after 1-4 mark previous year in role.
Red Raiders 2-5 vs. spread last seven on board after non-cover in opener.

Tech Edge: Texas, based on recent trends.

IOWA STATE at TCU (FS1, 1:30 p.m. ET)

Frogs just 6-13 vs. spread in reg.-season games since mid 2018.
Also just 3-8 vs. points last 11 at Fort Worth and 5-15-1 as Amon Carter chalk since 2016.
Iowa State sliding a bit, too, with no covers last five following opening loss to ULL, though if Cyclones a dog note 18-9-1 mark in role for Matt Campbell since 2016.
ISU has also covered all four for Campbell vs. TCU since 2016.

Tech Edge: Iowa State, based on team and series trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at LSU (CBS, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Mike Leach head coach debut for Miss State.
Note Leach was only 4-11 vs. spread his last 15 with WSU and started slow with Cougs in first year at Pullman in 2012, dropping first four vs. line.
He was however 14-8 as dog with WSU from 2015-19. Can LSU replicate its big 11-4 spread mark LY?
Tigers were only 2-2 vs. line as SEC host, and Orgeron was only 4-6 as Baton Rouge chalk in 2017-18 seasons.
LSU did win and cover last two vs. Bulldogs but had dropped previous 4 in series vs. line.

Tech Edge: Slight to Mississippi State, based on extended Leach dog trends.

VANDERBILT at TEXAS A&M (SEC, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Jimbo is 8-3 laying DDs with A&M the past two years and 9-3 as College Station chalk that span.
Derek Mason enters 2020 on 3-10 spread skid. First meeting since 2015.

Tech Edge: Texas A&M, based on team trends.

KENTUCKY at AUBURN (SEC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Mark Stoops enters 2020 on 11-4 spread uptick, including 4-2 last six as dog.
'Cats won last four SU in 2019 and covered 6 of last 7.
Malzahn off best spread year since 2013 title game season when 9-4 vs. line in 2019, but just 4-11 last 15 as Jordan-Hare SEC chalk.
Teams last met in 2015.

Tech Edge: Kentucky, based on team trends.

TULSA at ARKANSAS STATE (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Note Tulsa 6-1 vs. points away since LY, also 6-3 as dog as Montgomery recovered somewhat after a couple of subpar spread years.
Red Wolves just 5-9 vs. spread last 14 at Jonesboro, though covered first two in 2020 (both on road).

Tech Edge: Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.

FIU at LIBERTY (ESPN+, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Butch Davis and FIU slipped to 4-9 vs. line in 2019 after near-opposite 10-3 spread mark in 2018.
Golden Panthers only 2-4 as dog in 2019 after Davis posted 10-4 mark in role previous two seasons.
Flames 4-2 as chalk LY for Freeze and now 10-5 vs. line last 15 on board after WKU win.

Tech Edge: Liberty, based on recent trends.

TULANE at SOUTHERN MISS (FSN, 2:30 p.m. ET)

Rematch of Armed Forces Bowl won by Tulane 30-13.
Old rivals from Wave C-USA days had not previously met since 2010.
Willie Fritz was 9-4 vs. spread in 2019 but no covers first two in 2020, and no covers last five as non-American visitor.

Tech Edge: Slight to USM, based on recent trends.

ARMY at CINCINNATI (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Army has rolled to wins and covers its first two in 2020.
Monken slipped to 2-3 as dog LY but was 14-8-2 in role previous four years.
Army 7-3 vs. line last ten as visitor (3-3 LY).
Bearcats 7-5 last 12 as home chalk (Counting APSU last week) and Fickell just 11-11 last 22 on board.

Tech Edge: Army, based on extended trends.

UTEP at ULM (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Miner woes continue, Dimel now 8-18 vs. spread since arriving in 2018 after opening blowout loss at Texas.
Though UTEP a bit better 8-9 as road dog for Dimel.
Miners 10-26-1 vs. line since 2017.
Warhawks however only 4-12 last 16 on board after two losses to begin 2020.
ULM 0-7-1 as Malone Stadium chalk since 2017.

Tech Edge: Slight to UTEP, based on ULM negatives.

DUKE at VIRGINIA (ACC, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Bronco Mendenhall has owned Cutcliffe, as Wahoos have won and covered all four meetings since Bronco arrived in 2016.
Blue Devils have now lost last five SU and vs. line in series.
Duke covered opener at ND as dog, and Cutcliffe was 25-12-1 in dog role from 2013-18, though just 2-4-1 in role LY.

Tech Edge: Virginia, based on team trends.

TEXAS STATE at BOSTON COLLEGE (FSN, 6:00 p.m. ET)

Spavital 5-9-1 vs. spread with TSU since LY (1-1 to begin 2020), and 2-4 as DD dog since 2019.
Hafley home debut for BC, note Eagles 0-3 as home chalk for Addazio.
BC is on 24-11-1 spread uptick, however (1-0 for Hafley; much of that in 2017 for Addazio).

Tech Edge: Boston College, based on team trends.

NC STATE at VIRGINIA TECH (ACC, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Wolfpack dropped 10 of last 11 vs. line in 2019 and has lost 7 straight vs. spread away from Raleigh, but did cover 2020 opener vs. Wake.
Virginia Tech covered last three at Blacksburg chalk LY but a subpar 13-18 last 31 on board since late 2017 for Fuente.

Tech Edge: V-Tech, based on NC State negatives.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2020, 10:26 AM

391GEORGIA ST -392 CHARLOTTE
GEORGIA ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

393S FLORIDA -394 FLA ATLANTIC
S FLORIDA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half since 1992.

395FLORIDA ST -396 MIAMI
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more since 1992.

397GEORGIA TECH -398 SYRACUSE
GEORGIA TECH is 89-65 ATS (17.5 Units) in the first half of the season since 1992.

401LOUISVILLE -402 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) in home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival since 1992.

405TENNESSEE -406 S CAROLINA
TENNESSEE is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) as a road fav. of <=7 since 1992.

407KANSAS -408 BAYLOR
KANSAS are 64-103 ATS (-49.3 Units) after playing a game at home since 1992.

409TROY -410 BYU
BYU is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total >=63 since 1992.

411ALABAMA -412 MISSOURI
ALABAMA is 43-26 ATS (14.4 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1992.

413NORTH TEXAS -414 HOUSTON
NORTH TEXAS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

415W VIRGINIA -416 OKLAHOMA ST
W VIRGINIA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

417UAB -418 S ALABAMA
S ALABAMA is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

425GEORGIA -426 ARKANSAS
GEORGIA is 23-7 ATS (15.3 Units) on the road when the total is 49.5-56 since 1992.

427TEXAS -428 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 31-13 ATS (16.7 Units) in home games off a non-conference game since 1992.

431IOWA ST -432 TCU
TCU is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.

441FLA INTERNATIONAL -442 LIBERTY
LIBERTY is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) in the first half of the season since 1992.

443TULANE -444 SOUTHERN MISS
TULANE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a loss by 3 or less points since 1992.

445ARMY -446 CINCINNATI
ARMY is 16-39 ATS (-26.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

447UTEP -448 LA MONROE
LA MONROE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

449DUKE -450 VIRGINIA
DUKE is 36-18 ATS (16.2 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

451TEXAS ST -452 BOSTON COLLEGE
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) as a home fav. of 17.5-21 since 1992.

453NC STATE -454 VIRGINIA TECH
NC STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 56.5-63 in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2020, 10:28 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, September 26

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UCF (1 - 0) at E CAROLINA (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA ST (0 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (0 - 1) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S FLORIDA (1 - 1) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (0 - 1) at MIAMI (2 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (1 - 1) at SYRACUSE (0 - 2) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOUISVILLE (1 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) at WAKE FOREST (0 - 2) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (0 - 0) at S CAROLINA (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (0 - 1) at BAYLOR (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 88-122 ATS (-46.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-84 ATS (-39.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-84 ATS (-39.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 127-165 ATS (-54.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (1 - 0) at BYU (1 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 10:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ALABAMA (0 - 0) at MISSOURI (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTH TEXAS (1 - 1) at HOUSTON (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (1 - 0) at OKLAHOMA ST (1 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (0 - 0) at OLE MISS (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GA SOUTHERN (1 - 0) at LA LAFAYETTE (2 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (1 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 133-95 ATS (+28.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 166-125 ATS (+28.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (0 - 0) at ARKANSAS (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
GEORGIA is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
GEORGIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
GEORGIA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (1 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 89-60 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 89-60 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 86-58 ATS (+22.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 132-97 ATS (+25.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (0 - 1) at TCU (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (0 - 0) at LSU (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (0 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (0 - 0) at AUBURN (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (0 - 1) at ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) - 9/26/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 since 1992.
TULSA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 0) at LIBERTY (1 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (1 - 1) at SOUTHERN MISS (0 - 2) - 9/26/2020, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARMY (2 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 16-39 ATS (-26.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (2 - 1) at LA MONROE (0 - 2) - 9/26/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTEP is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
UTEP is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
UTEP is 96-129 ATS (-45.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
UTEP is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) in September games since 1992.
LA MONROE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (0 - 2) at VIRGINIA (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (1 - 2) at BOSTON COLLEGE (1 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (1 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (0 - 0) - 9/26/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2020, 10:28 AM

NCAAF

Week 4

Trend Report

Saturday, September 26

Kentucky @ Auburn
Kentucky
Kentucky is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Auburn
Auburn is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky

Florida @ Mississippi
Florida
Florida is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Mississippi
Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games

Georgia Tech @ Syracuse
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Georgia Tech's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 10 games
Syracuse
Syracuse is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 6 games

Kansas State @ Oklahoma
Kansas State
Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas State's last 12 games when playing Oklahoma
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games

Notre Dame @ Wake Forest
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games at home

Georgia State @ Charlotte
Georgia State
Georgia State is 8-13-4 ATS in its last 25 games
Georgia State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
Charlotte is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

Central Florida @ East Carolina
Central Florida
Central Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Central Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing East Carolina
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 9 games when playing Central Florida

Georgia Southern @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Georgia Southern
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 6 games on the road
Georgia Southern is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Louisville @ Pittsburgh
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Louisville
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisville

Campbell @ Appalachian State
Campbell
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Campbell's last 5 games
Campbell is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
Appalachian State is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games

Florida International @ Liberty
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida International's last 10 games on the road
Florida International is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Liberty is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Iowa State @ Texas Christian
Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State's last 7 games when playing Texas Christian
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Iowa State's last 16 games on the road
Texas Christian
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas Christian's last 7 games when playing Iowa State
Texas Christian is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa State

Tulane @ Southern Miss
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tulane's last 8 games when playing Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 6 games
Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 8 games when playing Tulane

Mississippi State @ Louisiana State
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games when playing Louisiana State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
Louisiana State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Texas @ Texas Tech
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
Texas Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Texas Tech is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

West Virginia @ Oklahoma State
West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing West Virginia
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Virginia

Tulsa @ Arkansas State
Tulsa
Tulsa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tulsa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Texas El Paso @ Louisiana-Monroe
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Army @ Cincinnati
Army
Army is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Army's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home

Duke @ Virginia
Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke's last 9 games when playing on the road against Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 6 games when playing Virginia
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games

Georgia @ Arkansas
Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Georgia's last 9 games
Georgia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 6 games
Arkansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

South Florida @ Florida Atlantic
South Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games
South Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Texas State @ Boston College
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games

North Texas @ Houston
North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of North Texas's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of North Texas's last 10 games
Houston
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Stephen F. Austin @ Southern Methodist
Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Stephen F. Austin is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games at home

Houston Baptist @ Louisiana Tech
Houston Baptist
Houston Baptist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston Baptist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

Alabama @ Missouri
Alabama
Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Alabama is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Missouri's last 10 games at home

Tennessee @ South Carolina
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Carolina
South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

Vanderbilt @ Texas A&M
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vanderbilt's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vanderbilt's last 10 games on the road
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 5 games

Kansas @ Baylor
Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing Baylor
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas

Florida State @ Miami-FL
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida State's last 9 games when playing Miami-FL
Florida State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami-FL
Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami-FL's last 9 games when playing Florida State
Miami-FL is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

North Carolina State @ Virginia Tech
North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State

Troy @ Brigham Young
Troy
Troy is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Troy is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Brigham Young is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2020, 10:29 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 4

Saturday, September 26

Louisville @ Pittsburgh

Game 401-402
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
88.725
Pittsburgh
85.426
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 3 1/2
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
55
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(+3); Over

Kansas State @ Oklahoma

Game 423-424
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
81.040
Oklahoma
112.486
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 31 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 27 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(-27 1/2); Over

Kentucky @ Auburn

Game 437-438
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
100.018
Auburn
104.306
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 4 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 7 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+7 1/2); Over

Florida @ Mississippi

Game 419-420
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
109.555
Mississippi
91.095
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 18 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 14 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-14 1/2); Under

Georgia State @ Charlotte

Game 391-392
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
78.451
Charlotte
70.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 8
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 2 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(-2 1/2); Over

Georgia Southern @ LA-Lafayette

Game 421-422
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
77.602
LA-Lafayette
88.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 11
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 14
52
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(+14); Over

Georgia Tech @ Syracuse

Game 397-398
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
77.306
Syracuse
81.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Tech
by 4
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Tech
by 7 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+7 1/2); Under

Campbell @ Appalachian St

Game 321-322
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Campbell
58.211
Appalachian St
84.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 26
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 35 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Campbell
(+35 1/2); Over

Notre Dame @ Wake Forest

Game 403-404
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
108.285
Wake Forest
81.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 27
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 16
59
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-16); Over

Central Florida @ East Carolina

Game 389-390
September 26, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Florida
99.557
East Carolina
68.806
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 31
79
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 27
75 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-27); Over

FIU @ Liberty

Game 441-442
September 26, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
70.869
Liberty
82.121
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 11 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 6 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Liberty
(-6 1/2); Over

Eastern Kentucky @ The Citadel

Game 323-324
September 26, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Kentucky
53.761
The Citadel
60.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
The Citadel
by 6 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
The Citadel
by 10
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Kentucky
(+10); Under

Iowa State @ TCU

Game 431-432
September 26, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
93.326
TCU
87.292
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 6
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 2 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-2 1/2); Over

Tulane @ Southern Miss

Game 443-444
September 26, 2020 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
74.216
Southern Miss
77.092
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 3
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 3 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+3 1/2); Under

Texas @ Texas Tech

Game 427-428
September 26, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
107.508
Texas Tech
80.436
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 27
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 18
70 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-18); Under

West Virginia @ Oklahoma State

Game 415-416
September 26, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
89.356
Oklahoma State
100.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 11 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 8
52
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-8); Under

UTEP @ LA-Monroe

Game 447-448
September 26, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
56.913
LA-Monroe
61.949
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Monroe
by 5
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Monroe
by 9 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(+9 1/2); Under

Army @ Cincinnati

Game 445-446
September 26, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Army
82.748
Cincinnati
100.932
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 18
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 13 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+13 1/2); Over

Mississippi St @ LSU

Game 433-434
September 26, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
100.878
LSU
114.316
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 13 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 17
56
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(+17); Under

Tulsa @ Arkansas St

Game 439-440
September 26, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
79.448
Arkansas St
90.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 11
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 2 1/2
66
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-2 1/2); Over

Georgia @ Arkansas

Game 425-426
September 26, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
111.303
Arkansas
72.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 38 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 26
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-26); Under

Duke @ Virginia

Game 449-450
September 26, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
85.192
Virginia
88.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 3 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 6
47
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(+6); Under

South Florida @ Florida Atlantic

Game 393-394
September 26, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Florida
82.963
Florida Atlantic
82.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
Even
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 3
49
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(+3); Under

Texas State @ Boston College

Game 451-452
September 26, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
75.446
Boston College
86.344
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 11
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 17 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+17 1/2); Over

Alabama @ Missouri

Game 411-412
September 26, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
112.857
Missouri
90.789
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 22
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 27
56
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(+27); Under

Stephen F Austin @ SMU

Game 327-328
September 26, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stephen F Austin
50.994
SMU
87.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 37
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 34 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(-34 1/2); Under

Houston Baptist @ Louisiana Tech

Game 325-326
September 26, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Baptist
57.407
Louisiana Tech
75.425
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 18
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 23
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston Baptist
(+23); Over

North Texas @ Houston

Game 413-414
September 26, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
61.504
Houston
89.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 27 1/2
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 22
72
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-22); Over

Tennessee @ South Carolina

Game 405-406
September 26, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
89.419
South Carolina
93.438
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 4
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 3 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(+3 1/2); Under

Vanderbilt @ Texas A&M

Game 435-436
September 26, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
76.123
Texas A&M
97.016
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 21
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 30 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
(+30 1/2); Over

Kansas @ Baylor

Game 407-408
September 26, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
71.246
Baylor
105.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 34 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 16 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-16 1/2); Over

Florida State @ Miami-FL

Game 395-396
September 26, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
82.723
Miami-FL
88.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 6
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 11 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+11 1/2); Over

NC State @ Virginia Tech

Game 453-454
September 26, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC State
82.750
Virginia Tech
87.912
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 5
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 7
57
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(+7); Under

Missouri St @ Central Arkansas

Game 1901-1902
September 26, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri St
52.703
Central Arkansas
67.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Arkansas
by 14 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Arkansas
by 10 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Central Arkansas
(-10 1/2); Over

Troy @ Brigham Young

Game 409-410
September 26, 2020 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
85.881
Brigham Young
96.104
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 10
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 14
61
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(+14); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-26-2020, 06:53 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Stakes Analysis

September 26, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The headliner at Woodbine Mohawk Park is the Mohawk Million which is carded as Race 10. Ten freshmen trotters will be competing for an actual purse of $1,320,000. Besides the Million there are three other big money stakes with a cumulative $1.39 million in purses, which makes this the biggest night of racing at Mohawk.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5-Shes A Great Lady-Final-Purse $455,000

4-Caviart Audrey (8/5)-Audrey came 2nd in her baby race debut, since then is 5 for 5 and has been unstoppable. Gingras has some options and will look to keep her record in Milton a perfect 4 for 4.
5-Notorious Pink (3-1)-Pink suffered her 1st loss at Wbsb in the last start coming 2nd to #4. This should be a great race. McClure could be on the lead or in the 2-hole and looks like a major threat.
3-Scarlett Hanover (5/2)-This is another fine filly who is seeking her 4th straight win. Gingras picks #4 so McCarthy is between the pipes. Has won 2 of 5 starts here and it would be no surprise if she finishes higher.

Race 7-Milton Final-Purse $215,000

3-Kissin In The Sand (3-1)-Rates a slight edge coming off a nice win in the Milton Elim. Had a sick scratch on 8/29 and last week was the 1st start since 8/8. Being fresh at this time of year could make a big difference.
6-So Much More (9/2)-Versatile and consistent describes this mare. Should be a square price and if the steer is top notch could pull off an upset.
2-Warrawee Ubeaut (5/2)-Has lost the lead down the lane in last 2 starts. Best to respect but have to wonder if bouncing back and forth over the border in the last 6 weeks has taken its toll a bit.

$5 Exacta Box 3-6, $5 Exacta Box 2-6, Total Bet=$20

Race 8-Metro Final-Purse $720,000

3-Abuckabett Hanover (6/5)-Betting Line colt has been dialed on high in every start winning 4 of 6 starts. The Alagna trainee gets a favorable post draw and is a perfect 3 for 3 at Wbsb. Should be taking another picture if brings his "A" game.
8-Lawless Shadow (7/2)-Home town favorite is no slouch and appears to be the biggest threat to the top choice. The outside post may hinder chances for a win. But has the gate speed to get a good early seat. Could be a threat late in the mile if lands in the 2-hoel without draining his tank.
6-No Better Joy (12-1)-JMac takes a seat for the 1st time and he likes to be patient and roll late. That style fits this freshman. Looks like a use underneath to spice up the gimmicks.

$5 Exacta 3-6, $2 Exacta 8-6, Total Bet=$7

Race 10-Mohawk Million-Purse $1,320,000

3-Donna Soprano (2-1)-This filly could not possibly look any better. The Blais trainee could be an odds-on choice and McClure will likely make an early move to take control. Should be a clean trip away from a big payday and a perfect 6-6 record.
6-Tokyo Seelster (12-1)-Likes the track winning 3 times in 9 starts and has 3 third place finishes as well. Filion should have this Kadabra colt in striking range to be in the hunt for a 2nd place check.
10-Venerate (3-1)-Comes off a sharp win at the Red Mile and would have been rated higher if started on the gate. McCarthy takes over for Andy Miller and could hit the board with the right trip.

$10 Exacta 3-6, Total Bet=$10

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-26-2020, 06:55 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 9/26/20

September 26, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Aqua Seaform Shame; 4-Bulletproof One; 5-Biddy Duke; 7-Moonhall Millie

Keys to the Race: (view video)

Forecast: An excellent turf sprint for 3-year-old fillies – the listed Unzip Me S. – kicks off an outstanding Saturday program and has several legitimate contenders. Aqua Seaform Shame was out of her element when sent nine furlongs in the Del Mar Oaks-G1 and carried her speed as far as she could before running out of petrol approaching the quarter pole. She’s back sprinting where she belongs and in a considerably softer spot, so the daughter of Kantharos should rebound with a big effort. Her first-level allowance win at Del Mar two runs back was visually quite pleasing and produced a speed figure that makes her a solid fit in this league. The switch to F. Prat is another positive factor, so from a second flight, stalking position the R. Baltas-trained filly should have every chance from the quarter pole home. Bulletproof One is at this stage of her career much more dependable on grass, and after flopping as the 6/5 favorite in a dirt sprint at Del Mar she returns to the lawn and looks to be the most dangerous of the pure speed types. A repeat of her highly-rated score two runs back probably beats this field, but she’s winless in three starts over the local lawn, though to be fair in two of those losses she managed to hit the board in stakes company. The route-to-sprint angle can be a powerful tool in these abbreviated sprints and Moonhall Milly, a winner of a good turf miler last month down south, shortens up over a course and distance that produced her maiden win in June. She’s a tad shy in the speed figure department but with some help up front could land a blow in the late stages. Biddy Duke is razor sharp and improving but is unproven on grass. First or second in 11 of 18 career starts, the D. O’Neill-trained filly can at least be used as a back-up or a saver on a ticket or two.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:01 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Sheza Girly Girl; 5-Cheap Cheap Cheap; 6-Kristi’s Tiger

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: First-level state-bred fillies and mares sprint six furlongs on dirt in a race that requires a bit of a spread in rolling exotic play. Cheap Cheap Cheap looked good winning a state-bred sprint last spring on turf and returns today against opening company while trying to prove she can handle dirt just as well. She’s very strong in the speed figure department based on her last race but she’ll have to duplicate the number on the main track. Despite the layoff she’s clearly fit and ready based on her San Luis Rey Downs work tab and if she can secure her coveted front-running trip in a field without too much other zip she could take control early and never look back. Kristi’s Tiger turns back from a mile after a clever starter’s allowance score at Del Mar that produced a career top speed figure, but she’s equally effective sprinting and certainly will get the patient ride she needs from U. Rispoli. Sheza Girly Girl, out of her element two-turning in the Torrey Pine S.-G3 last month, shortens to her preferred trip, returns to the allowance ranks, and will be doing her best work late. We’ll include all three in our rolling exotics and then have extra tickets keying Cheap Cheap Cheap on top.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: X
Single: 1-Princess Noor

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: Princess Noor is listed as the 2/5 morning line favorite and may even go lower than that in this year’s five-runner edition of the Chandelier S.-G2, which should serve as an ideal prep for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies S.-G1 at Keeneland a few weeks down the road. Both of her wins at Del Mar were accomplished without being asked for anywhere near her best, and this stretch-out to a middle distance should easily be within her scope. In a race that offers no wagering value, she’s a logical short-priced free bingo space in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:07 PT Grade: C+
Use: 5-Question Authority; 6-Hapi Hapi; 9-Kazansky

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: Here’s a messy bottom-rung maiden claiming main track miler that has a chaotic look to it. We’ll go three-deep in our rolling exotics but if you find the need to spread even more, go right ahead. Question Authority didn’t receive any action (39-1) in his debut vs. tougher maiden $50,000 types but though he was well-beaten actually earned a decent “buried” number. The Lucky Pulpit colt seems certain to improve with that bit of experience behind him, a significant drop in class, and with the switch to F. Prat. Let’s just say that If he can run, this will be a good place to show it, especially at 6-1 on the morning line. Hapi Hapi is a first-off-the-claim for P. Eurton and is capable of stepping forward following a rather nice recent workout since joining his new stable. The son of Clubhouse Ride, a runner-up at this level over this track and distance two runs back, really won’t have to improve much to win based on that effort. Kazansky has gradually improving speed figure and is another that can be a strong threat if he continues his upward mobility. The E. Truman-trained gelding makes a monumental jockey change to U. Rispoli and projects to enjoy a comfortable pace-stalking trip.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:39 PT Grade: B-
Use: 5-Amanzi Yimpilo; 6-Fury Kap; 7-Wyfire

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: This year’s edition of the Speakeasy Stakes is a non-graded affair but a “win and you’re in” race for Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf sprinters. It looks very much like a grass grab bag affair with several possibilities and a few unknowns. Wyfire, privately purchased by shrewd clients of trainer Peter Miller after an authoritative maiden win at Del Mar, moves to the lawn today while picking up F. Prat. While we can’t say he’s loaded with turf breeding the son of Dominus is a nice mover with good athleticism and tactical speed, so we suspect he’ll handle the surface change just fine. He’s 7/2 on the morning line and seems as good as any. New York shipper Amanzi Yimpilio, third in a listed stakes race at Saratoga following a nice debut maiden at Gulfstream Park, makes her third start in her third state for W. Ward and picks up top grass rider U. Rispoli. She has the blinkers off angle that always catches our eye and the tactical speed to land her in an ideal stalking position. Fury Kap probably didn’t have much behind him when graduating by more than nine lengths at first asking at Tampa Bay Downs in late May but he did enough to impress J. Sadler and be acquired via private purchase after that race. At 6-1 on the morning line he’s worth including somewhere on your ticket.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:10 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Overdue; 4-Express Train; 6-Kershaw

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: Express Train may be the heir apparent to the recently retired Honor A. P. for the J. Shirreffs barn, and if he’s going to develop into the type of colt he should be capable of winning on the raise after a sharp sprint score his comeback at Del Mar last month. This stretch out to a mile is just what he wants – the son of Union Rags broke his maiden at this distance last year by 14 lengths – so let’s expect another big effort today and hope to get close to his morning line of 5/2. For those wanting to protect a bit in rolling exotic play you should consider as backs-ups or savers Overdue and Kershaw. Overdue exits a pair of graded stakes and makes his first start over conventional dirt in his second start off a layoff while switching to F. Prat. If he handles the surface switch he’ll be formidable. Kershaw fits well on numbers, switches to U. Rispoli, and projects to be forwardly placed throughout.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:41 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Tonahutu; 3-Bodhicitta; 6-Lady Prancealot

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: Trainer R. Baltas holds the aces in this year’s Rodeo Drive S.-G1, an important springboard to the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf-G1. Lady Prancealot, winner of the American Oaks-G1 over this course and distance last December, missed by a neck in the J. C. Mabee S.-G2 at Del Mar in her most recent appearance and with today’s extra furlong to work with the Irish-bred mare should be hard to contain. She’s a deserving favorite at 2-1 on the morning line but we’ll give top preference on top to stable mate Bodhicitta, winner of the Yellow Ribbon S.-G2 at Del Mar in early August while continuing her rapid improvement. She’s been primarily a miler throughout her career, but the English-bred filly gives every indication that this 10 furlong trip will be right up her alley. With regular pilot F. Prat staying aboard, the daughter of Showcasing should be tactically placed throughout and then have her chance to seal the deal when the pressure gets turned on from the quarter pole home. You probably should consider using Tonahutu as well, at least as a saver. In a race that should be slowly run early, the D. O’Neill-trained mare might fall into the lead and inherit the role as the controlling speed from her inside draw, though that’s not normally her style. She was nosed out by Bodhicitta in the Yellow Ribbon and then franked the from with a smart allowance win from slightly off the pace earlier this month.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:12 PT Grade: B+
Use: 5-Spielberg; 8-Waspirant

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: Spielberg is a maiden after two starts but with his chief nemesis Dr. Schivel on the farm for some R & R the son of Union Rags should be set earn his diploma in the American Pharoah S.-G1, a top prep race leading up to the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. The B. Baffert-trained colt was well clear of the rest when going down by less than two lengths in the Del Mar Futurity-G1 earlier this month and with this stretch out in trip we’re expecting him to be comfortably placed on or near the lead throughout. There’s value here at 3-1 on the morning line if you can get it. Waspirant isn’t quite as far along as Spielberg but is a talented colt fresh from a maiden win at this one mile distance, and with that bit of experience behind him plus the addition of blinkers the J. Shirreffs-trained colt can be expected to step forward significantly. At 6-1 on the morning line you have to toss him in at least as a saver.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:43 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-United; 5-Salavator Mundi

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: United is listed at 6/5 on the morning line in the John Henry Turf Championship-G2 after just missing as the 3/5 choice in the Del Mar H.-G2 last month. He’s usually along in time but always makes hard work of it, as his last five wins were accomplished by a grand total of slightly more than three lengths. In a field without pace and from a good inside draw, the R. Mandella-trained son of Giant’s Causeway could find himself on the lead if he wants to be, or at least no worse than in a comfortable stalking spot behind slow fractions. In any case, he’ll have every chance to make amends. Certain to offer better wagering value is the rapidly-developing Salvator Mundi, who has performed like an entirely different horse since being claimed for $40,000 just over a year ago. Gelded during his vacation and sporting a sharp record of two wins and a second in three starts in 2020, the P. D’Amato-trained son of Artie Schiller still has some work to do in the speed figure department to worry the favorite but after a visually impressive performance last month at Del Mar he’s appears ready to tackle the big boys. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics while hoping to get the much better price of the two home.
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RACE 10: Post: 5:14 PT Grade: X
Single: 5-Maximum Security

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: Maximum Security has crossed the wire first in 11 of 12 career outings and his facile score in the Pacific Classic clearly established that he’s the number one older horse in North America. Drawn outside and therefore able to dictate his trip, the son of New Year’s Day should have clear sailing throughout and go about his business, though at 3/5 on the morning line there’s really not much we can do with him. Stable mate Improbable is on top of his game but was the beneficiary of two very soft trips in his recent back-to-back Grade-1 victories. He’ll have to earn this one.
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RACE 11: Post: 5:45 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Ingest; 10-Thisluteismine

Keys to the Race (view video)

Forecast: We’ll use the two favorites in the nightcap, a maiden juvenile state-bred grass miler. However, this is a race that should be treated with caution. Ingest is a first-time gelding coming off a solid third place effort in a similar affair at Del Mar and probably won’t need to improve much - if at all - to earn his diploma. The son of Square Eddie projects to be prominent throughout from his inside draw and should have no excuses as the 9/5 morning line favorite. Thisluteismine, from the P. Miller barn (20% with debut runners), is stuck outside and shows only a moderate set of works, but he’s bred for grass, comes from a top barn, and attracts L. Saez. He certainly won’t have to be a world beater to act with these.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-26-2020, 06:57 AM

Eddie Olczyk's Saturday Spot Plays at Belmont

September 25, 2020
NBC Sports analyst Eddie Olczyk is back for another big Saturday at Belmont Park. Edzo's key spot plays on the 10-race program take flight in a pair of maiden turf events. Last Saturday's Belmont spot plays doubled their money with Mind the Coin ($8.60) delivering off a 9-2 morning line.

Race 2 // 1:33PM ET // Maiden Special Weight // 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
#4 Silver Token (4-1 ML)

Proven turf runner has been in the superfecta in all 6 tries sprinting on grass. He looks like a stretch-out type and capable first time going long. Trainer Horacio DePaz wins 33% with these types. Win play.

Race 6 // 3:36PM ET // Maiden Claiming// 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
#4 Wicked Happy (8-1 ML)

After trying tougher at Saratoga, she’s back with friends at the maiden claiming $40,000 level. This filly is a one run-type closer under apprentice Luis Cardenas and gets a 7-pound weight break. Win play, but only settle for 3-1 odds or better.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-26-2020, 06:59 AM

Race of the Week: John Henry Turf at Santa Anita

September 24, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
$200,000 GRADE 2 JOHN HENRY TURF CHAMPIONSHIP AT SANTA ANITA
Saturday, September 26, 2020

The Lead:
Opening weekend of the Santa Anita autumn meeting is loaded with stakes intrigue across nearly every Breeders' Cup championship division. The 11-race program gets underway at 3:30 pm ET and includes superstars Maximum Security and Improbable in the featured Grade 1 Awesome Again Stakes. The Grade 2 John Henry Turf Championship precedes that one in Race 9 and will be conducted over 1-1/4 miles from the downhill turf course starting point.

Field Depth:
NEXT SHARES is a Grade 1 winner, but multiple Grade 2 winner and Grade 1-placed UNITED may be the most accomplished in the line-up. Rival OSCAR DOMINGUEZ also has won at the Grade 2 level. The rest have something to prove in the class department.

Pace:
SALVATOR MUNDI could be lone speed in a field absolutely devoid of early foot. He's pressed quicker paces at shorter trips and should default to the front. UNITED tends to sit close up in races like this with some pace versatility. The deeper closers should be at a disadvantage.

Our Eyes:
UNITED has been favored in 6 of his last 8 starts, and will be again, despite a narrow runner-up last out at 3-5 in the Grade 2 Del Mar Handicap. He also was favored in this race last year at 2-1 when settling for third. His signature performance was a close runner-up in the Breeders' Cup Turf. See a pattern here? For a horse with 6 wins in 15 starts, he still gives the appearance of a nibbler. His 3 wins this year have come by a combined margin of 1 length at 4-5, 6-5 and 7-5. He's a rock-solid type, but one who does not give much margin for error...nor resemblance to value. Trainer Richard Mandella has won this race 6 times, second only to the amazing 9 victories by Charlie Whittingham in the John Henry Turf Championship (a race formerly known as the Oak Tree Invitational and the Clement Hirsch Turf Championship).

ORIGINAIRE finished just behind UNITED in the Whittingham, Eddie Read and Del Mar Handicap. The Jeff Mullins trainee obviously isn't far off the favorite after a wild trip last out in the Del Mar Handicap in which he came up a half-length short despite blowing the turn. Jockey Abel Cedillo was a Santa Anita autumn stakes whiz last year with a 16: 6-3-2 record. Those 6 wins came for 6 different trainers and produced a whopping $3.44 ROI for every $1 bet ($6, $9, $12, $12, $20, $52 winners).

OSCAR DOMINGUEZ hasn't come with the same late kick this year at age 7, losing all 4 starts and mustering the bottom of 2 trifectas. He's 4-for-24 lifetime on the Santa Anita turf, so there's no reason to connect the dots to the winner's circle in another pace scenario that continues to work against him. Solid veteran turf rider Jose Valdivia takes the mount after Respoli, Rosario and Van Dyke failed to find paydirt.

Also age 7, NEXT SHARES similar to OSCAR DOMINGUEZ hasn't seemed like the same horse this year. The fellow Richard Baltas trainee is 0-5 in 2020, and just 1-for-9 at Santa Anita lifetime while primarily a miler. To stretch him out now is almost an admission that he lacks the turn of foot he once packed.

Trainer Phil D'Amato saddled the John Henry winner last year, his second trophy here in the last 5 editions, and has SALVATOR MUNDI in a very opportunistic spot. It's not the deepest field, and the pace situation absolutely gives him every chance to pull the upset. He's more of a middle-distance runner and via pedigree, but the downhill start has long helped horses get the 10-furlong trip at Santa Anita that would be tougher at other venues. SALVATOR MUNDI is 3: 2-1-0 this year, his first full season with D'Amato after being claimed in Kentucky last fall.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: UNITED should get a good trip over a course and distance he likes.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender: The pace advantage and connections of SALVATOR MUNDI are worthy of our interest. Trainer Phil D'Amato has been red-hot since August, and he's 5: 3-1-1 during that time with Umberto Respoli in the saddle.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $70 exacta SALVATOR MUNDI over UNITED. $15 exacta SALVATOR MUNDI over ORIGINAIRE. $15 pick three starting in Race 8 SPIELBERG with SALVATOR MUNDI with IMPROBABLE.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-26-2020, 07:03 AM

Santa Anita Saturday Late Pick 4 Analysis

September 25, 2020 | By Johnny D
Smoke has cleared, literally, and racing at The Great Race Place returns this weekend with gusto. The 11-race Saturday card features 7 stakes races--4 graded and 5 that carry ‘Win and You’re In’ Breeders’ Cup fees-paid berths to respective championship races at Keeneland Nov. 6 & 7.

Saturday afternoon’s gem figures to be the Grade 1 Awesome Again (10th race) which features a heavyweight battle between 2 of trainer Bob Baffert’s best: Maximum Security and Improbable. The Gr. 1 American Pharoah (8th race), for 2-year-olds, features another Baffert runner in Spielberg as the lukewarm 3-1 favorite on Jon White’s morning line. The Gr. 2 Chandelier (3rd race) is topped by…you guessed it, another Baffert runner in the electric Princess Noor at 2/5 odds. The Gr. 1 Rodeo Drive (7th race) for fillies and mares on turf features a pair of Richard Baltas runners Lady Prancealot and Bodhicitta listed as 2-1 and 5-2 top choices, respectively. The Gr. 2 John Henry Turf Championship (9th Race) is topped by 6/5 favorite United from the Richard Mandella stable. The 5-year-old gelding finished third in this race last year and then missed by a mere head to Bricks and Mortar in the Breeders’ Cup Turf.

Horseplayers have usual wagering options as well as a new $1 Pick 4 that combines racing in Arcadia with heats in Northern California at Golden Gate Fields. First leg of the new wager is Santa Anita’s 10th race, followed by the 9th at Golden Gate, the 11th at ‘Anita and the 10th by the Bay. The popular $5 Double, that combines Santa Anita’s final race with the last race at Golden Gate, also returns with the new season.

In addition to Win, Place, Show, Exacta, Superfecta and Super Hi 5 wagering, rolling Doubles and never-ending Pick 3s, Santa Anita kicks off the card with an Early Pick 5 on the first quintet of races. That’s closely followed by the Early Pick 4 on races 2 through 5. The $.20 Rainbow Pick Six Jackpot begins with race 6. The popular $.50 Late Pick 5 begins one race later.

Below is one man’s opinion of the Santa Anita’s Saturday Late Pick 4. The wager seems approachable, so we’ll offer analysis, rankings and a suggested wagering strategy to, hopefully, help horseplayers to a great finale to this action-packed afternoon.

Race 8 (7:12PM ET) // G1 American Pharoah S. // 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)

The winner of this race will be the top West Coast representative in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile next month at Keeneland. Bob Baffert has 3-1 morning-line favorite #5 Spielberg and the colt ought to appreciate trying two turns for the first time.

1. Touchdown Brown is a talented Cal-bred stepping up to face open company for the first time. He’s also stretching out to two turns for the first time. His last race, a losing effort to Good With People in the I’m Smokin at Del Mar, was extremely fast. For that reason, he must be respected. Blinkers added last out will come off for this. Contender – B

4. Notable Exception visits from Arlington Park where he won a 7-furlong maiden race over a synthetic surface. He won that race as ‘much the best,’ according to Equibase comments. How he will react to a dirt surface is the main question. In general, evaluating competition is difficult with lightly raced 2-year-olds, so there’s no real clue there. Don’t think this Street Sense colt will be able to set or force the early pace as easily as he did in his Arlington debut. They go faster earlier in California. He’s a bit of an unknown. Reach – C

5. Spielberg makes his third start for trainer Bob Baffert and both prior starts were solid but losing efforts—both to the talented and now resting Dr. Schivel. Baffert is quoted as saying that this son of Union Rags should be better going a distance of ground and we’ll believe him. Spielberg’s got speed and can be expected to use it. It is unusual for Baffert to have a top 2-year-old lose his first 2 races, but this guy ran into a good one in Dr. Schivel. One to Beat – A

6. Get Her Number starts for the always dangerous Peter Miller outfit. He also has the services of top jock Flavien Prat. Miller and Prat combined to win 26% based on 339 races, according to Thoro-Graph statistics. This son of Dialed In made his first 2 starts on turf—a maiden win at 5 furlongs and a close 4th in the Del Mar Juvenile Turf at one mile. Respect – B

7. Weston won his first two starts for low-profile trainer Ryan Hanson before finishing a well-beaten third in the Del Mar Futurity. He needs to make up nearly a 4-length losing margin to Spielberg from that race and that prospect seems daunting as Baffert’s runner is most likely to improve off his Futurity effort. Probably Not – C

8. Waspirant seems a bit of a sleeper in here. He adds blinkers for trainer John Shirreffs (a 17% winning move) off a one-mile maiden win. Before that he was beaten more than 13 lengths in a maiden race that included Dr. Schivel and Spielberg. The outside post isn’t a bonus for him, but he should handle the distance and is the only starter in the field with two-turn dirt experience. Sleeper B

Race 9 (7:43PM ET) // G2 John Henry Turf Championship // 1 1/4 Miles (Turf)

#3 United seems to hold most of the cards in this mile and one-quarter turf event. He likes the course, has faced top competition and, most importantly, seems to hold a significant pace advantage. His speed figures don’t tower over these, but he’s most likely to have the cleanest trip.

2. Originaire doesn’t win often (3-for-19) but is consistently in the money (13-for-19). Another nibble seems most likely. A late-running style causes this colt problems—either ground loss or traffic issues and he can’t afford to make a mistake in here. However, he has finished within the shadow of favored United on a few occasions—most recently last out in the Gr. 2 Del Mar Handicap. Those efforts give him hope. Respect B

3. United is the most consistent of this group. He owns 6 wins in 15 starts—3 of those at Santa Anita and 2 of those on this course at this distance. He finished third in this race last year and then nearly upset the Breeders’ Cup Turf field at 51-1 odds over this course at a mile and one-half. He’s trained by Hall of Famer Richard Mandella and ridden by SoCal’s reigning top jock Flavien Prat. Perhaps more important than any of that is the expectation that United ought to have a pace advantage over his most dangerous challengers. He may or may not have the early lead in here, but he won’t be far back and that ought to enable him to save precious ground. One to Beat A

5. Salvator Mundi was claimed for $40k in October at Keeneland and has improved quite a bit for trainer Phil D’Amato. He’s a clever 4-year-old that will need to move forward a bit more to win this one. He’s sharp—won a $40k optional claimer last out at Del Mar—and is 1-for-1 at Santa Anita. Unlike others in this field, he doesn’t get too far back in the early going. Turf master jockey Umberto Rispoli is up and he’s been aboard for all three of this colt’s best efforts. Price Play B

7. Next Shares is a 7-year-old that has run races with speed figures that fit in here and he’s posted them mainly against Gr. 1 competition going one mile. He’s 0-for-2 at today’s distance. Unfortunately for him, his win record at Santa Anita is dismal at 1-for-9. An in-the-money finish seems more likely, as he’s 7-for-9 in that department at ‘Anita. He has no early speed and probably will be forced to lose precious ground. Reach C

Race 10 (8:14PM ET) // G1 Awesome Again S. // 1 1/8 Miles (Dirt)

Trainer Bob Baffert has the top 2 runners in here and we’d be surprised if one of them didn’t win this race. Improbable always has been a talented horse. Remember, he was favored in both last year’s Kentucky Derby (4-1) and Preakness Stakes (5-2). Amazingly, he won just 1 race in 2019—the Shared Belief at Del Mar—so we forgot all about him. This year, he’s returned with a vengeance…and a bit of luck. Maximum Security has been outstanding since his first start for a maiden $16k claiming tag at Gulfstream Dec. 20 ’18. He’s had the most interesting career of any horse in recent memory and he’s not finished yet. A Breeders’ Cup Classic victory would add another amazing chapter to this colt’s improbable story that in addition to a maiden claiming first-out tally includes the first-ever on-track disqualification of a Kentucky Derby winner, victory in the World’s Richest Race in Saudi Arabia and a former trainer currently under federal indictment. Wow!

2. Improbable returned to the races this year in the Oaklawn Mile and ran his heart out to be a close second to the streaking Tom’s d’Etat. Shipping back to Santa Anita, Improbable romped in the Gr. 1 Gold Cup, to extend his record over the Arcadia strip to 2-for-3. In the Gr. 1 Whitney at Saratoga, Improbable took advantage of a horrible start by favored Tom’s d’Etat to come home 2 lengths clear of next out winner By My Standards. Improbable has run races that are as fast as Maximum Security’s best and he may enjoy a fabulous stalking tip in here. He can’t be ignored. Respect A

5. Maximum Security is all racehorse. If you don’t like him, you don’t like racing. He gave everything he had in winning the Gr. 1 Saudi Cup over a determined Midnight Bisou. Following a trainer change from Jason Servis to Bob Baffert, he’s returned to win the Gr. 2 San Diego and the Gr. 1 Pacific Classic and is on course to enter the Breeders’ Cup Classic at the top of his game…and that’s a very good game. He’s got speed, never quits and has failed to cross the finish first in just 1…count it…just 1 of 12 lifetime starts, mostly against Gr. 1 competition. He’s an absolute star. Enjoy him while you can. One to Beat A

Race 11 (8:45PM ET) // Maiden Special Weight // 1 Mile (Turf)

The Pick 4 concludes with an absolute grab-bag event including 10 Cal-bred or Cal-sired 2-year-old maidens going one mile on the turf. #2 Ingest is the 9/5 morning-line favorite after blowing a stretch lead to the talented Big Fish. Fair enough, he deserves another shot. But Ingest also lost ground in the stretch of his previous race, too. He’s newly gelded and that could help. However, those looking to juice this Pick 4 will point to a plethora of unknown factors in this race (first time routers and turfers) and suggest a bomb is lurking. Use as many of these as you can afford.

1. Teton Valley has speed and turf route experience. He was a well-beaten fourth last out—over 4 lengths behind favored Ingest. The rail will encourage him to show his early speed. Toss In B

2. Ingest is favored at 9/5 on the morning line and that makes sense. He finished third last out going a mile on Del Mar turf and since has been gelded. He’s posted improved Beyer Speed figures in each race and that’s a good sign. What’s not as positive a marker is that he’s lost ground in the stretch of both tries at one mile on turf. He’s got speed, so he should be in a good position turning for home. Who might run him down this time? Use for Sure A

3. Stars of Bluegrass has the most experience in this field with 5 outs. He’s been pretty consistent in those starts with three runner-up efforts. He has made 2 starts for a state-bred $50k tag. This will be his first try going longer than five and one-half furlongs. Can Be Used C

4. Alexander’s Dream took serious money first out with Prat in the saddle but disappointed with a third-place finish. Next out he had a very rough start, so that than be discounted. There’s limited data on sire Gervinho, so it’s ‘roll the dice’ time with this one. Toss ‘Dem Bones B

5. J C Express is another in here with plenty of question marks. He’s made one start and was off a bit slow. Sire Jeranimo has little data to parse. Trainer Peter Eurton is 10% with 2nd Time Out Maiden 2-year-olds. Lots of Unknowns C

6. Investment Account has made 4 starts and needs to move a bit to be competitive in here. He has tried one mile on turf and was a well-beaten sixth. Blinkers go on for this. No worries about distance or turf with sire Acclimation. Reach C

7. Blue Star hails from the Doug O’Neill barn along with favorite #2 Ingest. He’s making a second start and first at a distance on turf. O’Neill is 12% with 2nd out maiden 2-year-olds, according to Thoro-Grpah stats. Reach C

8. Warren’s Candy Man makes a second start for trainer Craig Lewis and there are some stats to suggest this one might run well. He was eighth beaten 10 lengths without a rally going a mile on turf first out, but Lewis is 24% out of 37 2nd out maiden 2yo starters, according to Thoro-Graph stats. Sire Clubhouse Ride has been outstanding with 2-year-olds cashing at 20% out of 101 starts and batting 17% with turf runners. One drawback is most of that success has come at less than a mile. Use B

9. Detective Bernardo seems least likely to win in here. He was eased first time out and then managed a well-beaten third going five and one-half furlongs. His sire is unproven on turf and at a distance. Don’t Need This One X

10. Theluteismine is trained by Peter Miller. That’s enough for us to include him in a big way. Miller is 17% with first out 2-year-olds (MSW), according to Thoro-Graph. Sire Boisterous is 13% on turf and 6% with first-time turf. He’s 8% winners first out overall. This is a difficult post to win from, especially for a first-time out 2-year-old on turf. However, we’d hate to lose the Pick 4 to a winning trainer like Miller. Use B

Suggested $.50 Pick 4 Ticket

All Runners $108: Adjust to Suit Your Bankroll and Remember:

You can lose your money.
You can lose your clothes.
But don’t ever lose that sparkling personality!

Race 8:
A- #5
B-#1, #6, #8

Race 9:
A-#3
B-#2, #5

Race 10:
A- #2, #5

Race 11:
A-#2
B-#1, #4, #8, #10
C-#3, #5, #6, #7

Race On!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-26-2020, 08:27 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #3

#5 Leia Marie	O'Neill miss got to the dirt at the Spa and really woke up, is bred to love the added ground, and may not even be favored; look out.
#6 American West	Brown firster cost 925k as a yearling, and has the pedigree to back it up, and if she's primed she'll be tough; would be no surprise.
#1 Jouster	ML favorite for TAP will be in front, and the debut 2nd was decent, but with a slow figure, and she'll be overbet too; trying to beat.
Race Summary	That 3-1 ML on the pick seems mighty fair, as the other proven runners don't inspire and you could make a case that the 6 could need one, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying her in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since others in here will be used heavily too, which means a win would knock out a lot of tickets, while giving you more room to maneuver in the surrounding legs as well.

Belmont Park - Race #7

#1 Last Judgement	Class riser looked good beating lesser last time for TAP and now goes off the claim for Morley (8%), who is selective with these types, and it looks like he nabbed this one at the right time, while finding a race there for the taking too; upset special.
#7 Mount Travers	Logical contender has been in good form without winning in all three starts this year, so that's a bit of a concern, but he fits snugly on paper, and will trip out just off the pace too, at what should be playable odds; eligible to break the losing streak.
#10 T Loves a Fight	Veteran just keeps on keepin on for a Noda barn that was white-hot at the Spa and seemed to have the magic touch, and he should be just off the speed and in the right spot off the far turn, over a track he's done some good things on; major player.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 1, who could regress off the big win and barn change, but he's also only run 10 times, so he's got some development left, and the risk-reward will be there too, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since he may fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would go a long way in blowing up both sequences.

Belmont Park - Race #8

#1 Viadera	Stalker hit another gear in midstretch to win at the Spa, and while this is a step up, this is a modest group, she drew perfectly, and will offer some value too; call right back.
#7 Noor Sahara	Heavy hitter was just a neck behind the pick last time, so you have to like her too, though she runs the risk of being wide and chasing the entire way; still, looms plenty scary.
#9 Feel Glorious	Three-time stakes winner is another with the proven form to win this, and her stalking style will help too, though this wide draw didn't do her any favors; underlaid contender.
Race Summary	The price, the post, and the race flow will all work for the 1, who seems to be on the improve and should be tracking what could be a contested pace, so play her in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since this is a wide open race, and getting a $10 winner home will add value to both sequences.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-26-2020, 08:28 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Arlington - Race #1

#5 Puntsville	Scratched out of a similar spot against the boys on Friday in favor of this spot, and she's got a claim on this with some pretty explosive back runs over the local footing.
#6 Wildwood's Beauty	Big drop out of a couple of Grade 1 efforts, but she has never tried the local strip and has never won going six furlongs. Beat her to score, but I think she could be vulnerable.
#3 O'Keeffe	She has won both of her local main track starts and brings solid recent form with her to this. She'll try to take them as far as she can.
Race Summary	Puntsville owns some races over the local strip that could prove competitive with the big dropper drawn just to her outside.

Arlington - Race #8

#9 Unscathed	He doesn't meet a remarkable amount of other pace in here, and he has already won at the level this summer. Not sure we get the 7/2 ML price...
#11 Can't Say No	Just scored with similar going five furlongs last out when rained off the turf, and he should be able to get a pretty nice trip spying the top choice.
#4 Diamond Maximus	Finisher has done his good work at Fairmount but was in over his head when facing horses in Chicago at Hawthorne last year. Maybe the polytrack will be to his liking.
Race Summary	Unscathed should be able to find the front with these, and he has a right to be tough over a track he loves.

Arlington - Race #9

#3 Katie M'lady	The barn can get them ready to go at first asking, and this filly is bred to be good on the lawn. Mom loved it here and sire Dominus has been connecting with turf runners.
#11 Music City Star	Tactical type was simply second best at Ellis in the debut, and the barn will look to close out a very strong meet in the season finale.
#4 Ready at Midnight	Showed nothing in the debut when beaten by 20, but she'll return with the benefit of Lasix while trying the turf for the first time, and she's bred up and down for the new footing.
Race Summary	Mandatory payout on the Jackpot High-5 here, and Katie M'lady might be set to roll for a Boyce barn that can have them ready.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-26-2020, 08:28 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Hoosier Park - Race #1

#2 DANCIN DOUG	Evenly in fast heat, favorable post switch at proven level.
#6 NORTHERN VIRGIN	Takes needed class drop, switches pilots, seeks 23rd win.
#4 MACH DOMI	Good first gear, caught by 16-1 pocket sitter, makes third start of cycle.
Race Summary	Dancin Doug, even-paced from post 10 in 1:50.4, finished in the money in four prior starts before the claim. He draws an inside post and is the pick to key 2-4 and 2-6 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5

#1 VOELZ DELIGHT	Blocked at key juncture in last pair, must use in all gimmicks at big price.
#4 CAVIART AUDREY	Heavily bet every start, wired field in split race that timed 3/5 faster.
#5 NOTORIOUS PINK	Has done little wrong, won 3 of 4 locally from post 5 outward.
Race Summary	Not giving up at Voelz Delight yet, especially at 15-1 on the morning line in the Shes A Great Lady stakes. She was blocked on the final turn in her last two starts and finished with plenty of pace. She could turn the tables on the odds-on favorites that beat her with the right trip.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #10

#2 DONNA SOPRANO	Filly has looked like a ‘Million’ so far in her 2yo season.
#4 FULL OF MUSCLES	Packs late wallop, finished second in 4 of 6 starts.
#7 ON A STREAK	Gamely repelled the favorites to spring stakes upset.
Race Summary	Couldn’t be more impressed with Donna Soprano, who puts her unbeaten record on the line against the boys in the inaugural Mohawk Million. She had something left in her five victories and is today’s Best Bet.