Monday 9/28/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    Kansas City at Baltimore 2020-09-28 8:15 PMCity at Baltimore 2020-09-28 8:15 PM
    Baltimore Over Under Trends % overs under push
    Under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games as a favorite. 100.0 0 4 0
    Over is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games in Week 3. 70.0 7 3 0
    Under is 9-3 in Ravens last 12 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. 75.0 3 9 0
    Over is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 100.0 4 0 0
    Over is 9-4 in Ravens last 13 games as an underdog. 69.2 9 4 0
    Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 83.3 1 5 0
    Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games overall. 80.0 1 4 0
    Under is 6-0 in Ravens last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. 100.0 0 6 0
    Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. 83.3 1 5 0
    Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. 80.0 1 4 0
    Under is 9-2 in Ravens last 11 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. 81.8 2 9 0
    Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. 80.0 1 4 0
    Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games following a straight up win. 71.4 2 5 0
    Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games as a home favorite. 83.3 1 5 0
    Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games on fieldturf. 71.4 2 5 0
    Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 vs. AFC. 80.0 1 4 0
    Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. 80.0 4 1 0
    Under is 6-2 in Ravens last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 75.0 2 6 0
    Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0. 71.4 2 5 0
    Under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. 100.0 0 4 0
    Baltimore Point Spread Trends % wins losses push
    Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. 71.4 5 2 0
    Ravens are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. 31.2 5 11 0
    Ravens are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. 80.0 8 2 0
    Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. 25.0 2 6 0
    Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. 75.0 6 2 0
    Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. 85.7 6 1 0
    Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. 80.0 4 1 0
    Ravens are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. 21.4 3 11 0
    Ravens are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. 87.5 7 1 0
    Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. 0.0 0 4 0
    Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. 83.3 5 1 0
    Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3. 20.0 1 4 1
    Ravens are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf. 80.0 8 2 0
    Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 14.3 1 6 0
    Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. 100.0 5 0 0
    Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win. 83.3 10 2 0
    Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. 85.7 6 1 0
    Ravens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC. 90.0 9 1 0
    Ravens are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. 26.7 4 11 0
    Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Monday games. 75.0 6 2 0
    Ravens are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 80.0 8 2 0
    Ravens are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 75.0 6 2 0
    Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 25.0 2 6 0
    Ravens are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. 30.8 4 9 0
    Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. 80.0 4 1 0
    Kansas City Over Under Trends % overs under push
    Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 80.0 1 4 0
    Over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 Monday games. 71.4 5 2 0
    Under is 7-1 in Chiefs last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. 87.5 1 7 0
    Over is 9-1-1 in Chiefs last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. 90.0 9 1 1
    Over is 7-2 in Chiefs last 9 games in September. 77.8 7 2 0
    Over is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 games as a road underdog. 83.3 5 1 0
    Under is 5-2-1 in Chiefs last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. 71.4 2 5 1
    Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 road games. 100.0 0 4 0
    Over is 15-5-1 in Chiefs last 21 games as an underdog. 75.0 15 5 1
    Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. 80.0 4 1 0
    Under is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 71.4 2 5 0
    Under is 35-16 in Chiefs last 51 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 68.6 16 35 0
    Under is 11-4 in Chiefs last 15 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. 73.3 4 11 0
    Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games as a road favorite. 80.0 1 4 0
    Under is 7-2-1 in Chiefs last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. 77.8 2 7 1
    Over is 10-4 in Chiefs last 14 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 71.4 10 4 0
    Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 vs. AFC. 80.0 4 1 0
    Over is 13-2-1 in Chiefs last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. 86.7 13 2 1
    Under is 19-6-1 in Chiefs last 26 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. 76.0 6 19 1
    Kansas City Point Spread Trends % wins losses push
    Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. 100.0 6 0 0
    Chiefs are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. 90.0 9 1 1
    Chiefs are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 road games. 70.6 12 5 1
    Chiefs are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. 68.4 13 6 0
    Chiefs are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. 90.0 9 1 1
    Chiefs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. 85.7 6 1 1
    Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. 80.0 4 1 0
    Chiefs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. 85.7 6 1 1
    Chiefs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. 72.2 13 5 0
    Chiefs are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. 88.9 8 1 1
    Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0. 75.0 9 3 0
    Chiefs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. 75.0 3 1 1
    Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 100.0 5 0 0
    Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3. 100.0 4 0 0
    Chiefs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. 25.0 2 6 0
    Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 100.0 4 0 1
    Chiefs are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 78.6 22 6 0
    Chiefs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. 75.0 3 1 1
    Chiefs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. 87.5 7 1 1
    Chiefs are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in September. 84.6 11 2 0
    Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. 87.5 7 1 0
    Chiefs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC. 87.5 7 1 1
    Chiefs are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 81.8 9 2 1
    Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. 100.0 4 0 1
    Chiefs are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 85.7 6 1 0
    Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 100.0 7 0 0
    Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. 71.4 5 2 0
    Chiefs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. 70.6 12 5 0
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      KANSAS CITY @ BALTIMORE

      KANSAS CITY
      Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Kansas City is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games

      BALTIMORE
      Baltimore is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
      Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        THE LEGEND!
        FREE HORSE PICKS
        THISTLEDOWN
        RACE #8
        TIME: 4:20 PM EST
        PICK: #8 Brilliantbenny 9/2 odds to win
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          Kansas City are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
          Kansas City are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
          Kansas City are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games on the road.
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
          Kansas City are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference North division.
          Kansas City are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games played in September.


          Baltimore are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
          Baltimore are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games.
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games against Kansas City.
          Baltimore are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
          Baltimore are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of Baltimore's last 16 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
          Baltimore are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 3.
          Baltimore are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on a Monday.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Cappers Access

            (Mon) NFL Ravens -3-
            (Mon) NHL Lightning -160
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              1TAMPA BAY -2 DALLAS
              DALLAS are 25-14 ATS (16 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                NHL
                Long Sheet

                Monday, September 28


                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                TAMPA BAY (60-26-0-8, 128 pts.) vs. DALLAS (52-34-0-9, 113 pts.) - 9/28/2020, 8:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                DALLAS is 52-43 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
                DALLAS is 15-11 ATS (+2.3 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
                DALLAS is 34-26 ATS (+62.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                DALLAS is 19-14 ATS (+35.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
                TAMPA BAY is 122-58 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                TAMPA BAY is 64-27 ATS (+18.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                TAMPA BAY is 35-17 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                TAMPA BAY is 25-11 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
                DALLAS is 40-57 ATS (+114.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                TAMPA BAY is 7-4 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                TAMPA BAY is 7-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  NHL

                  Monday, September 28


                  Trend Report

                  Tampa Bay @ Dallas
                  Tampa Bay
                  Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
                  Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                  Dallas
                  Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
                  Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    NHL
                    Dunkel

                    Monday, September 28


                    Tampa Bay @ Dallas

                    Game 1-2
                    September 28, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Tampa Bay
                    14.239
                    Dallas
                    12.622
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Tampa Bay
                    by 1 1/2
                    4
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Tampa Bay
                    -170
                    5
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Tampa Bay
                    (-170); Under
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Chiefs vs. Ravens Week 3 Odds, Preview
                      Matt Blunt

                      The AFC Championship game that was “supposed” to happen in the 2019-20 playoffs gets to be played nine months later on MNF, as the defending champs from Kansas City travel to Baltimore.

                      Remember, it was the Ravens who were the #1 seed in the AFC last year and slipped up vs Tennessee in the Divisional round to not give the world the Baltimore/KC AFC Championship everyone was expecting.

                      There is a lot less at stake in this actual meeting then there would have been had last year's playoffs played out differently for Baltimore, but that may actually be a good thing for Chiefs backers here.

                      Three of the last four times the defending champs had a Conference Championship rematch game in the regular season the following year they lost those games outright. Not specifically applicable here, but both organizations know that they'll have to likely overcome this particular foe to get where they ultimately want to go this season, and it would not be shocking to see a big time playoff feel to this game as well.

                      Betting Resources

                      Week 3 Matchup: AFC vs. AFC
                      Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
                      Location: Baltimore, MD
                      Date: Monday, Sept. 28, 2020
                      Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
                      TV: ESPN

                      Line Movements

                      Spread: Ravens -3.5
                      Money-Line: Ravens -185, Chiefs +165
                      Total: 54


                      The Baltimore Ravens have started the season 2-0 and they're listed as favorites against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday. (AP)

                      2020 Betting Stats

                      Kansas City


                      Overall: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U

                      Baltimore

                      Overall: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 0-2 O/U

                      Over vs. Under

                      Handicapping the Total


                      If we were to continue down the path of treating this game to something of a fictional AFC Championship rematch game, then it's interesting to note that in those four games that the reigning champs returned to face the team they beat to get there, the 'under' has cashed every single time.

                      It's not going to specifically apply this year with the Chiefs and Titans not on the dance card together, but treating it in a similar light down this brainstorming path does make quite a bit of sense.

                      Because when you really think about the game, sure, both QB's are going to get all the accolades and deservedly so, but because of their skills, both teams should essentially come in with a similar mindset from a strategical point of view; limit the time said opposing quarterback is on the field and can hurt them.

                      That means run the ball, shorten the game, and be comfortable with it because in the end, both sides are plenty comfortable with asking their guy to make that quick scoring drive late if need be. The talent's definitely there for either side to pull it off.

                      Both defenses are going to want to make sure they keep everything in front of them as much as possible, and that leaves easy running lanes open as well as plenty of space in the flat to work the short game. Again, two things both offenses are plenty comfortable in executing because of the belief it will eventually open up things deep.

                      With all the talk being about the explosiveness of these offenses, the stronger perception is already going to be siding with the 'over' in this game and there might not be a number that's too high for some just looking to get action down on a high profile MNF game.

                      The contrarian angle here was always going to be the 'under', and when thought about on top of all those other potential terms laid out in regards to more run plays, leading to longer drives etc, I do believe the 'under' is the only way to look here.

                      Yes it's the scarier play to pull the trigger on in a contest between the last two league MVP's, but all of that is already part of the number that currently sits out there in the market. But the Ravens defense has held both of their opponents to 16 or fewer points in two games this year, and KC's defensive unit hasn't allowed more than 20 points against in two games. Points easily lost or cast aside in the eye popping headlines constantly created about the QB's.

                      KC's offense has recently shown that getting into high gear away from home can be tough for them with a 0-4 O/U run going on the road, and the Ravens are on a 1-5 O/U run themselves as a home favorite.

                      It's a play that's never going to be popular, but that doesn't mean it can't hit. It's not like a 27-24 game between these two can't live up to all the hype it's getting right?

                      Head-to-Head History

                      Sept. 22, 2019 - Kansas City 33 vs. Baltimore 28, Chiefs -4.5, Over 52.5
                      Dec. 9, 2018 - (OT) Kansas City 27 vs. Baltimore 24, Chiefs -6.5, Over 48.5

                      Handicapping the Side

                      If this game does indeed live up to half the expectation that's getting thrust upon it, it's going to be a pretty easy game to pass on action on the side and simply take in as a football fan.

                      There is very little that separates these two teams on paper, and when they meet you hope that they both execute at a high level and let the chips fall where they may.

                      If forced to make a selection here, I'd end up on the Chiefs only because the line dictates you should with that hook at +3.5, a number that's been settled in all week.

                      Asking yourself why it hasn't come back down to +3 if most are going to take the hook from a simple numbers standpoint brings even more legitimate concerns as to why staying off the side is quite easy to do.

                      Taking that hook at +3.5, but when Baltimore appears plenty attractive from a money line angle, there is just little reason to force things.

                      Key Injuries

                      Kansas City


                      LB Dorian O'Daniel: Knee, Ankle - Questionable
                      CB Charvarius Ward: Hand - Questionable
                      WR Sammy Watkins: Concussion, Neck - Questionable

                      Baltimore

                      G D.J. Fluker: Shoulder - Questionable
                      S Anthony Levine Sr.: Abdomen - Questionable
                      DT Justin Madubuike: Knee - Questionable
                      WR Chris Moore: Finger - Questionable
                      CB Tavon Young: Knee - Out
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

                        Parx Racing - Race 9
                        Daily Double / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
                        Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 82 • Purse: $41,000 • Post: 4:31P
                        (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                        Contenders
                        Race Analysis
                        P#
                        Horse
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Accept
                        Odds

                        Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DAZZLE ME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PECAN PATTIE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LORDEN'S LOVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CAT GIUMARELLO: Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                        8
                        DAZZLE ME
                        8/1
                        4/1
                        7
                        PECAN PATTIE
                        6/1
                        5/1
                        3
                        LORDEN'S LOVE
                        8/1
                        9/1
                        1
                        CAT GIUMARELLO
                        8/1
                        10/1

                        P#
                        Horse (In Running Style Order)
                        Post
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Running Style
                        Good
                        Class
                        Good
                        Speed
                        Early Figure
                        Finish Figure
                        Platinum
                        Figure
                        3
                        LORDEN'S LOVE
                        3
                        8/1
                        Front-runner
                        84
                        69
                        72.2
                        65.2
                        53.7
                        8
                        DAZZLE ME
                        8
                        8/1
                        Alternator/Front-runner
                        85
                        83
                        58.8
                        74.6
                        68.6
                        1
                        CAT GIUMARELLO
                        1
                        8/1
                        Stalker
                        78
                        71
                        65.0
                        69.2
                        61.7
                        6
                        SWEET BLAME
                        6
                        9/2
                        Stalker
                        82
                        71
                        64.4
                        69.2
                        56.7
                        7
                        PECAN PATTIE
                        7
                        6/1
                        Stalker
                        82
                        73
                        62.6
                        76.2
                        72.2
                        9
                        GLOBAL AMBITION
                        9
                        5/1
                        Alternator/Stalker
                        82
                        83
                        72.4
                        56.5
                        43.5
                        5
                        ISABELLA SMILE
                        5
                        3/1
                        Trailer
                        83
                        68
                        56.7
                        58.1
                        49.6
                        2
                        MIJA BELLA
                        2
                        15/1
                        Trailer
                        80
                        75
                        51.6
                        68.4
                        58.4
                        4
                        MINI SCOOP
                        4
                        10/1
                        Trailer
                        81
                        73
                        48.4
                        69.0
                        50.5
                        10
                        ARIMA
                        10
                        12/1
                        Alternator/Non-contender
                        70
                        78
                        53.8
                        59.6
                        45
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park



                          Belterra Park - Race 1
                          Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
                          Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 84 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 12:35
                          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
                          Contenders
                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds

                          Race Type: Dominant Stalker. OSVALDO is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OSVALDO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DR. BAGLEY: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VANDROSS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. BOLD PROPHET: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                          6
                          OSVALDO
                          4/1
                          3/1
                          2
                          DR. BAGLEY
                          5/2
                          7/1
                          5
                          VANDROSS
                          5/1
                          9/1
                          1
                          BOLD PROPHET
                          3/1
                          9/1

                          P#
                          Horse (In Running Style Order)
                          Post
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style
                          Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure
                          Finish Figure
                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          1
                          BOLD PROPHET
                          1
                          3/1
                          Front-runner
                          81
                          69
                          65.0
                          69.4
                          64.4
                          2
                          DR. BAGLEY
                          2
                          5/2
                          Front-runner
                          84
                          74
                          56.0
                          73.0
                          70.0
                          6
                          OSVALDO
                          6
                          4/1
                          Stalker
                          79
                          74
                          72.0
                          73.0
                          67.5
                          5
                          VANDROSS
                          5
                          5/1
                          Stalker
                          82
                          72
                          63.6
                          57.8
                          47.8
                          3
                          AULD CUP
                          3
                          7/2
                          Trailer
                          80
                          69
                          45.2
                          68.4
                          59.4
                          4
                          HONDO GUSTO
                          4
                          6/1
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          81
                          76
                          29.4
                          64.4
                          55.4
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.




                            Race 7 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $21100 Class Rating: 88

                            FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 1 BASSMAN DAVE 5/2
                            # 6 OH MY PAPA 5/1
                            # 8 MISSALPHA 6/1
                            BASSMAN DAVE has a very good shot to take this race. Perez has one of the most competitive jockey ROI's on the grounds, returning to players +26 percent. Will probably go to the lead and might never look back. With a formidable 76 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. OH MY PAPA - Looks quite good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races recently. With a competitive 81 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. MISSALPHA - Had one of the strongest speed figures of this field in his last outing. Englehart and Davila have a strong win percentage together.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.




                              Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $34500 Class Rating: 92

                              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED OR INDIANA BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 2

                              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                              # 1 WAR ROSE 4/1
                              # 3 NAOMI BROADWAY (BRZ) 7/2
                              # 8 DIAMONDS ARE A 5/1
                              WAR ROSE looks to be a solid contender. Looks competitive against this group of animals and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. Blair has this filly travelling well and is a respectable choice based on the respectable Equibase speed figs garnered in route races lately. Solid jockey with trainer figures make this horse a solid pick. NAOMI BROADWAY (BRZ) - Boasts strong speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. Risk takers should note that this racer runs on Lasix today. DIAMONDS ARE A - Has been running solidly lately and will almost certainly be close to the lead early on. Posted a strong speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest.
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                                Presque Isle Downs - Race #3 - Post: 5:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 76

                                Rating:

                                #5 STUCK UP (ML=8/1)
                                #6 KINLEE'S SONG (ML=6/1)
                                #2 SUNDAY EXPRESS (ML=5/2)
                                #7 JINGLE BELLS (ML=10/1)


                                STUCK UP - Have to give this gelding a good chance. Ran a solid effort in the last race within the last 30 days. Just missed hitting the board on Sep 2nd at Presque Isle Downs. With pretty good M/L odds in this event, he has my interest. This gelding registered a nice speed figure of 76 in his last event. That speed figure should be high enough to prove victorious this time around. Came home in speedy time last time around the track. A positive sign. Horse has improved at least 2 speed figure points in last 2 races. I look for that trend to continue right here. KINLEE'S SONG - This gelding is most likely the strongest late runner in the group. This pony coming off a solid contest in the last month or so is a contender in my opinion. SUNDAY EXPRESS - After the race aboard this horse on September 2nd, the jock is going to be acquainted with the filly much better. This filly has been working well, and the recent bullet work says she's primed for a big race today. JINGLE BELLS - A campaigner coming back this promptly after a solid effort is a good signal. This gelding should be at the fitness peak, this far into his form cycle.

                                Vulnerable Contenders: #4 KID RUSSELL (ML=2/1), #3 SAMURAI LEGACY (ML=4/1),

                                KID RUSSELL - Hasn't been on the Presque Isle Downs oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. SAMURAI LEGACY - He showed not much at all in the last affair. On a downward spiraling series. Speed figures keep lessening.



                                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #5 STUCK UP to win if you can get odds of 6/1 or more
                                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [5,6] Box [5,7]

                                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                                None
                                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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