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Game: (437) Kentucky at (438) Auburn Date/Time: Sep 26 2020 12:00 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: 1H Total Under 24.0 (-110)
Defense defense defense.....or it sure as shit SHOULD BE
UK has to replace all the studness and star action of Bowden but should also be quite dominant in both trenches...and can make things extra hard on Nix and Malzahn and the receiving corps destined for the NFL. Hard to think this total isn't crazy high.... figuring most bettors will only want to bet Over plays period.
Auburn is No slouch on defense and with UK in transition for playmaking prowess sans Bowden hard to imagine UK can even get the ball into the end zone in the first couple frames....
Game: (443) Tulane at (444) Southern Miss Date/Time: Sep 26 2020 2:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Tulane -3.0 (-120)
No CLUE why this line is what it is and I've searched too long to see how USM is in this game late....Tulane should be deflated after the Navy collapse....but they are better...will run all over the field and USM had a similar collapse which might more than mitigate today's talent gap....maybe play of the day if it wasn't so damned fishy!!!!!?
Yes....I would probably still lay -3.5 but might as well stick with the buying the hook I mean this is football gambling haha
Game: (415) West Virginia at (416) Oklahoma State Date/Time: Sep 26 2020 3:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: West Virginia +7.0 (-110)
The Mullet man sure didn't look to have his team prepared for the matchup with Tulsa....at home....with an offense mostly intact from last season....and WVU has Neal Brown in his second year getting to start his year showing off how much improved his team is...in their first game...prepping non stop for Chuba and co. who may or may not have Spencer Sanders and who may or may not be hobbled with the ankle if he IS A GO.
Mountaineers may not go to Stillwater and win this game...but Tulsa had the LEAD in the 4th quarter and now the Boys are laying a TD?
Whew....VALUE BABY!
***Wild LJP Move*** Wild Move on GA Southern/ULL UNDER 49 as an LJP 2U. FYI: For wagering purposes Wild Moves are 9-9 (50%) since being tracked. Opened OVER as an LJP 2-down-1-down-0/0-up-UNDER as a 1-down-0/0-up-UNDER 1-up 2U. TSP Alert - Saturday #2 ~ END OF MESSAGE
Marco D'Angeelo
4% (432) TCU +3
Revenge spot for TCU right out of the gate. Last year TCU was embarrassed 49-24 at Iowa St. The stats were actually even in the game but 2 TO’s and special teams plays set up Iowa St for 3 quick scores. This is TCU’s first game of the season as their other game was cancelled due to COVID issues. The Horned Frogs have had plenty of time to prep for this opponent and add in Revenge puts us on the home dog here. Note that when these two met last year TCU was coming off a 51-13 win the week before and probably was feeling all Fat N Sassy and went into Iowa St over confident from their blowout win. TAKE TCU as my 4% REVENGE GAME OF THE WEEK.
4% COLLEGE FB UPSET SHOCKER Game: (443) Tulane at (444) Southern Miss Date/Time: Sep 26 2020 2:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Southern Miss +3.5 (-115)
4% (444) S. MISSISSIPPI +3.5
Last week we cashed going against Tulane and we are going to do it again this week. After leading 24-0 Tulane ended up blowing the game in the second half losing 27-24. Their defense was run over by Navy and they never scored again after taking the 24-0 lead. Those kind of losses can linger with a team. S. Miss had their own gut wrenching loss as they got beat when a TD was scored at the end of the game but only after replay over turned the out of bounds call. S. Miss completed 24 of 32 passes last week for 264 passing yards in the loss. The week before they were 22 of 32 for 314 yards. S. Miss will have success thru the air again this week. Last week Tulane gave up 146 yards on just 7 completions as Navy doesn’t throw much but the week before S. Alabama torched Tulane for 336 yards thru the air. Wrong team is favored here. TAKE S. MISS as my 4% COLLEGE UPSET SHOCKER.
4% BIG 12 BLOWOUT Game: (415) West Virginia at (416) Oklahoma State Date/Time: Sep 26 2020 3:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Oklahoma State -6.5 (-110)
4% (416) OKLAHOMA ST -6.5
After last weeks narrow escape no one will want Oklahoma St this week. Oklahoma St only beat Tulsa 16-7 as a 23.5 point favorite. Well WVU in it’s only game defeated E. Kentucky 56-10. If you look deeper we see that E. Kentucky was just over matched as WVU was a 44.5 point favorite. They were suppose to win that big. Now for Oklahoma St it was the first game of the year and they lost their QB in the 1st Q. For Tulsa getting to play one of the Big Brothers of the state is always going to be a game that they get sky high for. The back up QB was horrible last week for Oklahoma St. so much so that they went to the 3rd string QB who rallied them for the win. Point is neither of those QB’s took many snaps in practice and weren’t ready to lead the team. Coming into this week they will have had a full week of practice and a game plan suited to their strengths. This line has been over adjusted and all the value is with Oklahoma St. Scoring 56 points and holding E. Kentucky to 10 points looks nice on paper but now let’s see them against a real team. OKLAHOMA ST 34-20. TAKE OKLAHOMA ST as my 4% COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK.
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