Friday 10/2/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 01:30 AM

Weekly Bankroll Builder: October 2 Stronach 5 Play

September 30, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau
Back to battle in this week’s Stronach 5, which once again has a 100k guarantee, and a prospective pool that should far surpass that. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update, as well as on Twitter. ***

Leg 1: Pimlico R8 (4:40 ET) – 3upfm 25k starter-allowance at 5 furlongs (turf)

A great race to start the sequence, as the favorite could be 4-1 and there’s no one to lean on, which means a lot of tickets will hit the ground, no matter who the winner is. I’ll blanket it and go with the logicals, as #4 BATH AND TENNIS (8-1), #10 FOGGY DREAMS (10-1), #9 UNAQUOI (9-2), and #2 TOO MUCH TIP (6-1) all seem a slice above, so hopefully one of them will carry me through.

Pk5 A horses: 4,10,9,2 (listed in order of preference)

Being that she’s back on turf and second-off the long break, #12 WHY NOW (8-1) isn’t impossible, and some added maturity from last year would help, and her best in 2019 wasn’t too far behind these, so I’ll use her as a supporting actress.

Pk5 B horses: 12
Potential B add-ins: #5 Dance Or Stroll (6-1), #1 La Piu Bella (12-1)

Leg 2: Santa Anita R4 (5:10 ET) – 2yof Ca-bred MSW at 5 1/2 furlongs

I’m hoping for some contested speed, as #10 SQUARED SHADY (3-1) and #8 LUXURY LINER (4-1) both want to come from off it a bit, and the former was a solid 3rd on debut, while the latter broke slow in her debut on dirt, and has been turfing since, so she could be a lot tighter now.

Pk5 A horses: 10,8

If #1 ALLIE’S PAL (5-2) gets loose it may be over quickly, but there is speed to her outside, and as solid and fast as that debut 2nd was, it came in is a 50k MCL’er, so she does step up here.

Pk5 B horses: 1
Potential B add-ins: #9 Dylans Wild Cat (7-2), #3 Complete Control (12-1)

Leg 3: Golden Gate Fields R3 (5:30 ET) – 3up 8k claimer at 6 furlongs

Arguably the second toughest race of the sequence has more than a few who can win, and a lot that look the same on paper. I’m trying to blow this up with #4 PEPPERS ACE (15-1), who drops stiffly, goes second-off the layoff, and was a close 4th against eons better two-back. The more logical winners are #5 TINA’S EXCHANGE (2-1), who easily won last time and drops slightly, and #7 MALIBU ALEX (5-2), who hasn’t missed the EX in six starts and goes off the claim for France, a 20% move.

Pk5 A horses: 4,5,7

He’ll need to work out a trip, but #1 UNPOSSIBLE (5-1) should like getting back to the Tapeta and has some solid back form, though this could be a bit too sharp, hence he’s o the B-level.

Pk5 B horses: 1
Potential B add-ins: #2 Midnight Destiny (7-2)

Leg 4: Santa Anita R5 (5:44 ET) – 3f 40k claimer at 1-mile (turf)

This has the look of a match race, as #4 A G INDY (2-1) and #3 COLUMBIAN GOLD (8-5) just way better than the res to of these. I’ll use them both, but the former has a lot more tactical speed than the latter, so she’s preferred, if you need to cut hairs, and she also should improve off the neck loss last time, as it came off a nine-month layoff.

Pk5 A horses: 4,3

No one else looks at the level of the top-2, and since I have it bookended with the best speed and best stretch runner, there will be no backups.

Potential B add-ins: NONE

Leg 5: Pimlico R1 (5:51 ET) – 3up 25k starter-allowance at 1 1/16 miles (turf)

It looks like Maker has this group over a barrel, as both #4 TEMPLE (5-2) and #10 HIEROGLYPHICS (9-2) are best on paper, but also have a stalking style in a race that looks like it should have a ton of speed, so I’ll use both equally, though if you’re on a budget you can single the former.

Pk5 A horses: 4,10

There’s no doubt #7 ABIDING STAR (7-2) is the best of the speeds, and maybe the speed of the speeds too, so I’ll use him as a backup, as we know a hot pace in 2020 can often never materialize.

Pk5 B horses: 7
Potential B add-ins: #8 Patriot Drive (12-1), #1 Fast Fire (10-1)

The Tickets:

Main Ticket: 4,10,9,2 with 10,8 with 4,5,7 with 4,3 with 4,10 =$96
Leg 1 B Backup: 12 with 10,8 with 4,5,7 with 4,3 with 4,10 = $24
Leg 2 B Backup: 4,10,9,2 with 1 with 4,5,7 with 4,3 with 4,10 = $48
Leg 3 B Backup: 4,10,9,2 with 10,8 with 1 with 4,3 with 4,10 = $32
Leg 5 Backup: 4,10,9,2 with 10,8 with 4,5,7 with 4,3 with 7 = $48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 06:19 AM

Red Dog Sports
Oct 02 '20, 6:15 PM in 1d
Soccer | Avaí vs CRB
Play on: Draw +170 at Bovada

draw +170

AVAI 1

CRB 1

The free soccer play takes place on Friday in Brazil. Take the draw. They are expecting a low score (only 2 goals). I think it ends 1-1.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 06:47 AM

Al Cimaglia: Dayton Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 2, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
There are 14-races scheduled at Dayton Raceway this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 6 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Big Bad Arcster (8-1)-Was used hard from the 8-hole last time and faded. Was bet and that was the most aggressive drive in a while. Noble steers again and camera shy 6-year-old should be a good price.
2-Rojan's Way (9/2)-Raced well last week from post 10 and that was the 2nd start off a sick scratch. Drops and could get a nice trip at a square price.
6-Zeke (6-1)-Drops and should be a factor at this level. DTN record is a poor 1-20 but will use instead of the program chalk #5 who went off at 1-2 last time. The morning line favorite seeks 4th straight win and meets 4 new foes tonight.

Race 7

1-Nicol Shard N (6-1)-Took the long way around on 9/25 at this class and finished a close 3rd at 34-1. Now Tyler Smith takes a seat and that is a positive driver change. Has 2 wins in 8 starts here and could be a main player with a trip.
2-McMoe (5/2)-Took a picture last week in 2nd start at DTN and that was coming off a break in the previous start. Has taken 4 pictures in 17 starts this year, Miller should have in play and an encore is within reach.

Race 8

6-Cassius Lane (9/2) -Passed foes down the lane to finished 3rd in a needed start. Rucker trainee has been in the money in 3 of 4 races here with 1 win. Looking to be beat the program chalk #3 and will take a swing at a solid price.
7-Refined (4-1)-Is a perfect 1-1 at DTN and seeks 2nd straight win. The Morgan barn is rolling along at a 27%-win clip in last 30 days. This post makes it more of a challenge and should help the price.

Race 9

1-R Bazingga (5/2)-Makes 1st start for the Morgan barn and comes off a win. Figures to be in the mix but has skipped a week and is back in at the same tag.
2-Norm At Work (9/2)-Six-year-old made its debut at DTN last week and rallied after parked and racing wide. Moves in a couple of spots and could be better tonight after a start on the track.
5-Little Woody (8-1)-Was stung a bit off the gate and raced evenly in last start to finished 3rd. Gets a ++ driver change in Page who has won with him in the past. Has finished in the money 10 times in 21 starts here with 3 wins.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,2,6/1,2/6,7/1,2,5
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 06:49 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 10/2/20

October 2, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Master Ryan; 2-N. K. Rocket Man; 4-Count Alexei

Forecast: The rail is out 20 feet for this abbreviated turf sprint, and when the course is configured as such the inside posts that produce ground-saving trips have a major impact on results. Master Ryan is difficult to trust; the P. D’Amato-trained gelding has failed as the favorite in each of his last three outings and four times in seven career starts. The positive is that he’s been in the frame six of seven starts, has the benefit of the good rail draw, and has never taken a backward step according to his speed figures. Whether he’s worth his 2-1 morning line price may be another matter. Count Alexei always has been suspect under pressure in the final furlong – he blew a two length lead at a shorter trip at Del Mar last time out – but he makes his first start today as a gelding and shows a bullet three furlong blowout at Los Alamitos just a few days ago (:35 4/5, fastest of 20) to indicate the that improvement may be forthcoming. N. K. Rocket Man has the route to sprint angle that we like and actually ran better than the line shows when fourth sprinting in his debut two runs back. The Unusual Heat gelding switches to J. J. Hernandez, projects to enjoy a ground-saving trip, and appears to be the most dangerous of the closing types. At 6-1 on the morning line he’s worth including somewhere on your ticket.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Lionite; 6-Captain Scotty; 8-Posterize

Forecast: Here’s another spread race in rolling exotic play, a challenging $25,000 sprint with a few middle priced horses that could make it worthwhile. We’re going to try to beat the 2-1 morning line favorite Horse Greedy, who isn’t being raised in class by the J. Sadler barn following a victory at this level at Del Mar, has no history of winning back-to-back races, and is picking up a significant amount of weight (6 lbs.). You can include him on your ticket if you feel the need but we’ll look elsewhere. It’s entirely possible that Captain Scotty is a shell of the gelding that was good enough to win the Palos Verdes S.-G2 here in January. However, there are reasons to hope that he might snap back. The P. Miller-trained veteran plummets in class after returning from the East coast, picks up one of the barn’s go-to riders (A. Cedillo), shows a healthy series of workouts since arriving back home and catches a favorable pace scenario that should promote his pace-pressing style. First or second in four of five starts over the local main track, he could perk up in a big way under these favorable conditions. Lionite, back on dirt, dropping to a realistic level and switching to F. Prat, should draft into a comfortable second flight, stalking position and have his chance to tag the speed from the quarter pole home. He’s the “other” J. Sadler entrant in the race and a major contender off his Oaklawn Park spring form. One other to consider in rolling exotic play is Prioritize, a first-off-the-claim for D. O’Neill (22% with a strong ROI with this angle) and likely to enjoy a comfortable pace-stalking trip from his outside draw. A three-time winner over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Shackleford cut out the fractions but weakened to finish fifth in the same event Horse Greedy just won, but there’s a massive weight shift between the two in today’s race of 13 lbs. in his favor. He’s 6-1 on the morning line and probably is better than that.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: X
Single: 1-Parnelli

Forecast: Parnelli flashed excellent speed from the disadvantage rail post in a hot sprint at Del Mar last month before being worn down in the final stages by the highly promising Superman Shack in an excellent performance that makes him odds-on to graduate today. Stretching out to a mile, switching to grass and catching a below par field of maiden juveniles, the $500,000 Keeneland yearling purchase certainly projects as the controlling speed and should have little difficulty rolling all the way to the wire. The son of Quality Road is a logical, no-value, short priced rolling exotic single in a race that we’ll otherwise sit out.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:10 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Allie’s Pal; 10-Squared Steady

Forecast: Although she’s being raised in class from a maiden $50,000 claimer into maiden special weight company, Allie’s Pal is a strong fit based strictly on speed figures with the likelihood of improvement in her second career start in this modest state-bred affair for juvenile fillies. The J. Wong-trained daughter of Creative Cause displayed superior early speed (:21 2/5) in her debut before being worn down late while still winding up more than 10 lengths clear of the others, and with a recent bullet three furlong drill (:36 1/5, fastest of 11) last week she should be very hard to catch today. Squared Steady is worth including as well in rolling exotic play, though she’s considerably slower on speed figures than our top pick and hails from a barn that has poor stats with second-time starters. Still, the daughter of Square Eddie goes from the rail to the outside, was fractious in the gate in her only outing before displaying decent early speed and then stuck around long enough to hit the board in a similar affair at Del Mar in late August. M. Smith stays board, so there’s a decent possibility that she’ll produce a forward move today.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:44 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Colombian Gold; 4-A G Indy

Forecast: We’ll double the fifth race, a $40,000 claiming turf miler restricted to 3-year-old fillies. Columbian Gold has been a bit unlucky in her last pair, going down by a neck when second in each of those outings, both times with less than ideal trips. She retains F. Prat, is a prior winner over the Santa Anita turf course, shows two nice breezes at San Luis Rey Downs for P. Miller and should have enough pace up front to compliment her late-running style. A G Indy returned off a 10-month layoff to finish second in a $50,000 affair at Del Mar last month after getting tagged right on the line following a front-running trip and leading by four lengths at the furlong pole. The good news is that she had a right to need the race, has a history of improving with racing, and projects to enjoy a good stalking trip similar to the one that produced her maiden score last year over this course and distance.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:13 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Lil Richards Bello; 5-Arickaree

Forecast: This maiden state-bred sprint for older horses drew just six entrants, two of which should get the bulk of the play. Arickaree, off slowly, wide, and beaten just over a length when crossing the wire fourth in his debut in a similar spot at Del Mar in late August, seems likely to step forward off that bit of experience for the R. Baltas barn (19% with a flat-bet profit with this angle). The Southern Image gelding retains F. Prat, and if he breaks with his field today should be on or close to the pace throughout. Lil Richards Bello, as the 6/5 favorite in that same race, crossed the wire second but was subsequently disqualified back to fifth. The P. Eurton-trained gelding represents inside speed and could be tough to catch if he can shake loose early. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; Arickaree probably has more upside so we’ll press with extra tickets keying him on top.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:45 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Magical Gray; Majestic Gigi; 7-Miss Flawless

Forecast: The grass grab bag for older $40,000 claiming fillies and mares over a mile on turf drew a field of seven. None can be confidently tossed, so the best advice is to include as many as your budget allows. Majestic Gigi, a high-priced maiden claiming winner over the Santa Anita turf course two runs back, stretches out for the first time and has pedigree to handle the trip. Not particularly fast on speed figures but possibly the controlling speed if she wants to be, the daughter of Artie Schiller sports a bullet half mile main track workout (:46 4/5, fastest of 37) last week to have sharp and ready, so at let’s give her a slight edge on top at 5/2 on the morning line. Magical Gray surfaces in a seller for the first time after tackling tougher first-level allowance foes in her last three races with a modest degree of success. She’s winless in nine career starts over the Santa Anita turf – a negative stat that is difficult to ignore – but in a field without any effective closers she could find herself on or near the lead throughout and fire a big shot in first outing since May. Miss Flawless has low percentage connections (the barn is 1-for-43 this year) but she does have the ability to pass horses, and if a pace meltdown occurs and she gets the patient ride she requires the veteran French-bred mare might make some noise in the final furlong.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:15 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Don’t Blame Judy; 2-Velvet Queen; 3-Beguiled

Forecast: Here’s another contentious affair, a main track miler for entry-level allowance fillies and mares. Velvet Queen seems fairly solid while returning to dirt and stretching out to two-turns for the powerful R. Baltas/F. Prat team. Runner-up to Breeders’ Cup Distaff-bound Harvest Moon under these conditions two races back, the daughter of Animal Kingdom does her best work on the front end and given the projected pace scenario of this race she should be able to secure her preferred trip. Don’t Blame Judy exits a series of four recent stakes races and drops to where she belongs while trying dirt for the first time. As a daughter of Blame from a mare by El Corredor, she’s certainly bred much more for the main track than for grass (over which she’s run in each of 25 career starts) so with a drop in class and a switch in surface she has every right to produce a significant forward move. A similar case can be made for Beguiled, another with the first-time-on-dirt angle and with a pedigree that suggests she’ll enjoy this surface switch. The P. D’Amato-trained daughter of Orb, a one-run type that requires patient handling, probably moved too soon when looming a threat and then losing here punch in a similar affair at Del Mar last time out. A. Cedillo, who got to know her in that race, rides her back and hopefully learned something.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:45 PT Grade: C+ (Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 3-Shadow Sphinx; 4-Of Good Report; 8-Honos Man

Forecast: Shadow Sphinx disappointed when fading to finish 10th of 12 in a tougher optional/first-level allowance turf router at Del Mar in mid-August but this drop into a $32,000 claimer while retaining F. Prat could help him return to his proper form. A two-time winner over the local lawn, he’s most comfortable when held up with cover and allowed to produce a late run. In his most recent outing the veteran gelding was part of the pace and then folded up his tent when the pressure was turned on, so we’re hopeful that proper tactics will be employed today. Of Good Report seems a bit better than his 10-1 morning line price. The Twirling Candy gelding was victimized by a wide trip in the same race ‘Sphinx exits and should go much better in this easier spot. A prior winner over the local lawn and another that is most effective as a one-turn type, the V. Cerin-trained veteran gets a positive rider switch to V. Espinoza and has “live longshot” written all over him. Honos Man is a first-off-the-claim for P. Miller (36% with a powerful flat-bet profit with this angle) and is a “must use” on that angle alone. The lightly-raced son of Afleet Alex should draft into a comfortable second-flight position and have dead aim in the final furlong.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
RACE 8: Post: 5:01 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Ana Lisa; 5-Marilyn’s Smile

Forecast: Ana Lisa ran well over this course and distance when a sharp second with a career top speed figure two races back and vanned to Los Alamitos for easy pickings in a mixed-breed race that she won under wraps. A repeat of either one of her last two outings will make her tough to beat. Marilyn’s Smile, away for more than a year, returns waiver protected for the T. McCanna barn that has superior stats with layoff runners. First or second in four of five career starts over the Golden Gate Fields turf course, the daughter of Smiling Tiger is most effective as a late-running sprinter and with a decent pace up front should be heard from in the late stages.
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RACE 10: Post: 5:15 PT Grade: C+ (Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 3-Jan’s Reserve; 10-Fabozzi

Forecast: Five of the 11 entrants in this $12,500 claiming extended sprint for older horses exit the same race, a sprint for this price and at this distance at Del Mar last month. It really wasn’t much of a race, so let’s toss them all and concentrate on a couple of fresh faces. Jan’s Reserve nosedives from the $32,000 level and may have found his friends, though he’s winless in seven starts over the Santa Anita main track and is just 3-for-31 overall. On the positive side, the M. Puype-trained gelding picks up F. Prat and projects to enjoy a good stalking trip inside in a race that doesn’t have a whole lot of early zip in it. He’s more than fast enough on pure numbers to win if he has at least one good one left. Fabozzi is another class dropper that look dangerous in a moderate spot. He has the route-to-sprint, turf-to-dirt angles that should promote his chances, and the M. Glatt-trained gelding shows two strong races over the Santa Anita main track plus two recent easy breezes to have him on edge. The son of Sydney’s Candy projects to inherit a nice stalking spot outside and then be ready to pounce when called upon.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 9: Post 5:32 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Take Me for a Spin; 4-Slam Dunk Sermon; 6-Foothill

Forecast: This is a better than par race for first-level allowance sprinters over five and one-half furlongs on the all-weather main track. Southern California shipper Foothill is a fit on numbers based on his grass sprint races and if he can transfer his form to the Tapeta surface he can pull off a mild surprise. The son of Vronsky likes to settle and kick home and given that type of ride from F. Alvarado the S. McCarthy-trained gelding may bet up in time at 9/2 on the morning line. Take Me for a Spin is a first-time gelding and likely the quickest in the field, so the Old Topper gelding form the high percentage J. Won barn may be the one to beat, though his speed figures need some improvement. He was beaten as the choice when fourth in a similar spot in mid-August in what has proven to be a productive race; after a bit of freshening he could easily bounce back. Slam Dunk Sermon earned a career top figure over this track and distance two weeks ago and if the quick turnaround doesn’t have a negative effective the S. Specht-trained gelding could be dangerous right back. All three should be considered in the Golden Hour Pick-4.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 06:51 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #2

#7 Shanny Go Nanny	Price player was a decent 5th on debut turf sprinting here in June for a Martin barn that rarely cranks them, and while the layoff isn't ideal, there's no one to fear here, and she's bred to love the main track; thinking she's live.
#4 Wishes and Dreams	Heavy hitter is best of the proven runners, and a repeat of the Spa 3rd last time wins this, but you wonder if she can reproduce it, since it was definitely a lot better than what she's done in the pace; plenty scary, but no lock.
#6 Ain't None Lucky	Tricky read didn't fire as the chalk behind the 4 and now goes off the claim for Nevin, which is only a 6% angle, and former trainer Gaudet is as sharp as they come in the Midlantic, which further clouds matters; tread lightly.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 7, which offers plenty of risk-reward in a race there for the taking, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5, and to kick off the early Pk4 as well, since she won't have to improve much to give a group like this a big scare, and a win would add some value to both sequences as well.

Belmont Park - Race #5

#4 Bobbyfromthepalm	Class dropper didn't fire against better in the slop but should like this group a lot better, has the figures, and is 1-for-1 here too; look out.
#2 Daddy Knows	The chalk will get bet hard for Rice on the drop but yikes, she didn't run an inch when last seen in Feb., so there are concerns; trying to beat.
#3 Dealin' Stelen	Stretch runner was 5th in a very fast race for the level last time, and while this is a rise, the price will be right if you believe; can get a share.
Race Summary	That 5-1 ML on the pick would be plenty of value, as he's the class here, has a big recency edge on the 2, and doesn't have the form concerns either, so play him in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he should relish this much, much easier crew, and yet he likely won't even be favored.

Belmont Park - Race #8

#2 Ever Dangerous	Tactical sort has caught some good ones in his last two and held his own, still has plenty of upside off just four starts, drew well, and will offer plenty of value as well, so he could jump up on the class relief; upset special.
#5 Basquiat	The chalk for Brown got to the turf last time and was a good 3rd, with a much-improved figure as well, so he's going to be a handful here, but there are others who are close, and offer a lot more value too; second-best.
#11 Assiduously	The other Brown is another with the form to be a player, and he's second-best on figures, though this wide draw did him no favors, as he figures to be strung out and chasing for the majority of the way; mixed signals.
Race Summary	There's a lot to like about the 2, most notably getting away from a trio of graded stakes winners, and being a square price too, so play him in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would knock out a lot of tickets from both sequences.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 06:53 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Pimlico - Race #3

#8 Dirtyfoot	Has been a sharp claim, rattling off a couple of class-rising wins since adding blinkers for the new team, and he draws well to find another good spying trip with these.
#3 Phantom Ro	Has some tactical pace and can be in the mix early, and he has really turned things around for the new barn.
#6 Ray'swarrior	Positional pace looks for a fourth win in a row, and though he's the one to beat, he doesn't seem unbeatable in a decent spot at a short price.
Race Summary	Dirtyfoot can run in starters like this for quite some time after proving an excellent $5,000 claim at Laurel this summer. He's in super sharp form since addinig blinkers for these connections, and he's playable at something like the 7/2 ML price.

Pimlico - Race #8

#9 Unaquoi	Stacks up nicely at this level and owns a win over the local footing. Think she'll be in line for a really nice tracking trip.
#2 Too Much Tip	Drops in class after trying stakes company last out, and she owns a few decent back turf efforts that might keep her in the mix with these.
#12 Why Now	Tactical speed should improve with the comeback race under her belt, and the move back to the turf will certainly work in her favor.
Race Summary	Unaquoi gets the edge in a competitive spot, as she has been in with some pretty tough groups over the last 18 months. 9/2 ML price would feel fair.

Pimlico - Race #11

#1 Cordmaker	Nearly landed this last year and comes in with form that suggests he can turn in another solid effort. He has been flashing a touch more tactical pace lately, and that might serve him well from the fence.
#8 Owendale	The clear one to beat from a class perspective, and he wasn't embarrassed by a very good By My Standards in the Alysheba on Derby Day. I wouldn't be too excited about a short price, though.
#9 Harpers First Ride	Handled the top choice when they met last time out, but he'll have to avoid being caught too wide into the turn. Chance.
Race Summary	Cordmaker might be able to get the right kind of trip from close range with his rail draw, and his only career try over the local footing produced that third-place effort in this race last year.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 06:54 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #4

#1 CAPTAIN NASH	Improved try chasing odds-on fave, today’s Best Bet.
#4 HEARTBEAT HILL	Won in return, discount latest from post 8 through :55.1 back half.
#8 FEELIN LUCKY CAM	Edged ‘Captain’ for third, draws outside.
Race Summary	Captain Nash raced off the helmet of the odds-on, runaway winner before fading in the stretch at a higher level. He could go non-stop on the class drop from the rail. Play 1-4 and 1-8 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4

#1 VILLAGE JOULES	Pair of recent thirds translate well in this field.
#4 BETTOR TRIX N	Best numbers, needed class drop, nearing $200k.
#10 TWIN B TIPSTER	Just missed as two-time beaten fave, starts from post 10.
Race Summary	Village Joules couldn’t stay with the favorites in the stretch three starts ago, held third again in a faster follow-up race, then was no factor against better last week. She has a good chance in here from the rail, so play 1-4 and 1-10 exactas.

Meadowlands - Race #10

#3 EXOTIC DANCE	Well-spotted to extend winning streak, can’t go beyond.
#1 CHASE YOU	Got up for third in faster division of split race at 29-1.
#6 TEAM KIWI N	Won in third U.S. start, could be rounding to another good race.
Race Summary	Exotic Dance won three in a row and 7 of 16 starts this year. She has tactical speed, draws a favorable post and is perfectly spotted to win again.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 06:55 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #4

#10 Euroexit	Showed speed in both starts and the experience of those two races gives him an edge; one to catch.
#2 J B's Legacy	Has some good works leading into his first start and looks like he could be a factor from the beginning.
#5 Sweet Baker	Bred to scoot and has good works to his credit; likely will pick up quite a bit of play in his debut.
Race Summary	Euroexit has the speed to put himself into the game at once and having two starts will come in handy against those that haven't been out.

Remington Park - Race #5

#4 Downtown Brown	Has been idle since January and was second in one of four starts here last year; has decent works and he should be able to handle the switch to turf.
#9 Aces Prince	Tired in stronger races and has worked very well for his first in 11 months; likely to be a pace factor.
#6 Cowboy Ridge	Is still a maiden after 20 races but has some races on his form that would make him very tough here.
Race Summary	Downtown Brown has battled for the lead in four of five races and runners from the Calhoun barn are usually worth a long look.

Remington Park - Race #6

#3 Into the Fire	Didn't break well but made up ground in both starts; Uncle Mo filly drops to a maiden-claiming tab and should move up significantly.
#7 Go Figure	Was heavily favored and lost by a head last time; Broberg charge has the experience to be troublesome and dug in more last time that she did in her two races prior.
#8 Bling Moon	Makes first start and her last two works were good; is a threat to get a piece of the trifecta or superfecta.
Race Summary	Into the Fire drops out of maiden special weights race, should show more speed on this class drop and the experience she's had can take her home late in the game.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 08:39 AM

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Cubs -1.5
2.	Gameday Network	NBA – Lakers -9.5
3.	VegasSI.com	NBA – Lakers over 216.5
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	MLB – Cubs -1.5
5.	Sports Action 365	NBA – Lakers -9.5
6.	Point Spread Report	NBA – Lakers over 216.5
7.	Lou Panelli	MLB – Cubs -1.5
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	MLB – Cubs -1.5
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	NBA – Lakers -9.5
10.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Lakers over 216.5
11.	Vincent Pioli	MLB – Cubs -1.5
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Lakers -9.5
13.	SCORE	NBA – Lakers over 216.5
14.	East Coast Line Movers	MLB – Cubs -1.5
15.	Tony Campone	NBA – Lakers -9.5
16.	Chicago Sports Group	NBA – Lakers over 216.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	MLB – Cubs -1.5
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Lakers -9.5
19.	South Beach Sports	NBA – Lakers over 216.5
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	MLB – Cubs -1.5
21.	NY Players Club	NBA – Lakers -9.5
22.	Fred Callahan	NBA – Lakers over 216.5
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	MLB – Cubs -1.5
24.	Michigan Sports	NBA – Lakers over 216.5
25.	National Consensus Report	NBA – Lakers -9.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 03:25 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 1	W-P-S / Daily Double / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $19,900 • Post: 6:00P
(RAIL AT 14 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE AUGUST 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500,IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE SEVENTY YARDS.)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * DANCINGWITHPAYNTER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD: Horse ran ks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WITCH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RAG TOP: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BOOMERANG MISS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	DANCINGWITHPAYNTER	3/1	4/1
3	BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD	6/1	7/1
2	WITCH	6/1	8/1
6	RAG TOP	15/1	9/1
9	BOOMERANG MISS	6/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	ARTIFUL MOVE	4	6/1	Front-runner	74	67	82.2	66.8	52.8
3	BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD	3	6/1	Front-runner	87	71	79.6	82.0	76.5
8	MOON CHANT	8	4/1	Front-runner	74	69	77.6	74.8	65.8
9	BOOMERANG MISS	9	6/1	Front-runner	78	72	61.0	74.3	67.8
2	WITCH	2	6/1	Stalker	80	75	67.8	72.4	62.4
7	NEW FOUND TREASURE	7	6/1	Trailer	76	66	63.6	69.4	54.9
6	RAG TOP	6	15/1	Trailer	76	74	57.6	73.4	62.4
5	DANCINGWITHPAYNTER	5	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	83	81	74.4	75.2	71.2
1	TEX MEE A KISS	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	62	58.6	65.8	51.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 03:28 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows

Prairie Meadows - Race 8	Win / Place / Show / Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Minimum) Superfecta (.10 Minimum) / Jackpot Super Hi 5 (.20 Minimum)
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 50 • Purse: $13,759 • Post: 9:11P
FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. UNUSUAL NATIVE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TIFFANY'S GAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equ ibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	TIFFANY'S GAL	3/1	2/1
7	UNUSUAL NATIVE	5/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	UNUSUAL NATIVE	7	5/1	Front-runner	60	38	19.8	19.8	9.8
3	TIFFANY'S GAL	3	3/1	Stalker	67	49	39.9	50.6	48.6
5	PRISMATIC	5	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	44	39	41.3	24.5	19.0
8	TIZAMISSILE	8	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	47	38	33.4	29.4	22.9
2	GETTIUP AND GO	2	30/1	Trailer	49	24	23.2	32.0	24.0
4	DELIGHT SURPRISE	4	4/1	Trailer	44	32	21.6	27.4	14.9
6	KYLIES COLLEGEFUND	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	20.7	25.3	12.3
1	D KELA SUNRISE	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	2.8	2.8	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 03:28 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 94

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 15 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MIDNIGHT DESTINY 7/2
# 1 UNPOSSIBLE 5/1
# 7 MALIBU ALEX 5/2

MIDNIGHT DESTINY is my choice. Wong has this gelding running well and is a solid choice based on the very good Equibase Speed Figures garnered in sprint races lately. Tough to pass on this gelding with Orozco in the irons. Has solid Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet here. UNPOSSIBLE - Has garnered formidable speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. MALIBU ALEX - Sharp dividends have been scored by players using this jockey and handler twosome recently. With a solid 92 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this outing.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 03:29 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Century Mile - Race #7 - Post: 10:15pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#3 PRESS GANG (ML=6/1)
#2 ROMAN STEEL (ML=5/1)

PRESS GANG - Jockey hops right back aboard after getting to know the mount by riding last out. That's always a green light. Gelding had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this. Don't often see a profitable ROI like +40. This rider/trainer duo has done well together over the last twelve months. ROMAN STEEL - When Cone gives Walcott a leg up on any racer, you sense that with their win pct you have at least a fighting chance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 WYE CROSS (ML=5/2), #7 TOMAHAWK EXPLORER (ML=4/1),

WYE CROSS - Not a value play to back the chalk when he continues to lose time and time again when favored. TOMAHAWK EXPLORER - The effort last out on September 6th probably won't hold up against tougher opponents when they turn for home.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 PRESS GANG on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-02-2020, 03:30 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#3 LIL CHITU (ML=6/1)

LIL CHITU - Jock hops up on after getting to know the magnificent animal by riding last race out. That's always a big time angle. Any front runner that is breaking from the inside has a shot on this track. Should jump out of the gate and get good position versus this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 FASTDRIVEN (ML=3/5), #1 MUSTA NEVER MET U (ML=5/1), #7 FORT SUMTER (ML=8/1),

FASTDRIVEN - This horse hasn't been on the track since September 4th. Not even any morning activity. MUSTA NEVER MET U - No wins for this vulnerable equine at Charles Town. FORT SUMTER - Doesn't seem to be in a cozy situation in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 LIL CHITU is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 2
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass