Saturday 10/3/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358413

    #46
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $71000 Class Rating: 84

    FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $24,600 AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000 FOR TWO YEAR OLDS UNDER INTERNATIONAL MEDICATION PROTOCOL. HORSES NOMINATED OR ENTERED TO COMPETE SHALL NOT BE ELIGIBLE TO RECEIVE

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 PICO D'ORO 3/1
    # 4 ULTIMATE BADGER 7/2
    # 5 TATE 7/2
    PICO D'ORO is my choice. Is a solid choice - given the 78 speed fig from his most recent race. Has a strong shot for this race if you like back class. Is worth thinking about and may be a bet - strong Speed Figures (78 average) at today's distance and surface recently. ULTIMATE BADGER - Is tough not to look at based on Speed Figures which have been decent - 77 avg - of late. Should be given consideration - I like the figs from the last contest. TATE - Looks respectable to be close to the front end at the first call.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358413

      #47
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Remington Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:59pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,800 Class Rating: 80

      Rating:

      #6 FORTY NINE MODEL (ML=4/1)


      FORTY NINE MODEL - Last time around the track on the sod, this animal was strong. Anything close in this race, and this one should win. Has the look of an overlay right here at odds of 4/1. Finished fifth in last race at Remington Park but was close at the finish. Ran last race out against a tougher field at Remington Park. The move down in class ranks should suit her well. You have to really like that most recent race speed rating, 73, which is the highest last race speed fig of this bunch.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #5 STALEMATE (ML=5/2), #4 HEIGHTEN (ML=5/1), #1 BROOKLYN BABY (ML=6/1),

      STALEMATE - Improbable for this horse to make an impact with no recent good showings in a sprint event. Hard to recommend any horse with deteriorating speed figures of 75/66/62. This pony ran a most unsatisfactory speed fig last time around the track. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely suffer defeat in today's race running that fig. HEIGHTEN - Hard to take this entrant at the odds after the result (eighth) in the last race. Not probable that the fig she notched on Sep 10th will be good enough in this race. BROOKLYN BABY - Tough for anyone who saw this horse in her last affair to bet on her today.

      GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FORTY NINE MODEL - My historical data says you can ignore the last race at Remington Park. Contested on the soft turf, this filly obviously didn't take to the going.





      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #6 FORTY NINE MODEL to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
      EXACTA WAGERS: 6 with [3,10]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Skip
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358413

        #48
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Pimlico



        10/03/20, PIM, Race 11, 5.36 ET
        10/03/20,PIM,11,1 3/16M [Dirt] 1:52:03 STAKES. Preakness Stakes. Grade 1. Purse $1,000,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. $10,000 to pass the entry box, starters to pay $10,000 additional. Supplemental nominations may be made in accordance with the rules, upon payment of $25,000, 60% of the purse to the winner, 20% to second, 11% to third, 6% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight 126 pounds for Colts and Geldings, 123 pounds for Fillies. The Preakness Stakes has been selected as one of the Breeders' Cup Win and You're In Challenge Races. A replica of the Woodlawn Vase will be presented to the winning ownerto remain his or her personal property.
        . . . .
        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
        100.0000 9 Authentic 9/5 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob EL 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        099.6096 7 Ny Traffic 15-1 Karamanos H Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. W 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        099.0423 3 Art Collector 5/2 Hernandez. Jr. B J Drury. Jr. Thomas SF 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        097.8693 4 Swiss Skydiver 6-1 Albarado R McPeek Kenneth G. 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        097.7780 5 Thousand Words(b+) 6-1 Geroux F Baffert Bob 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        097.6666 6 Jesus' Team 30-1 Toledo J D'Angelo Jose Francisc 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        097.0702 10 Pneumatic 20-1 Bravo J Asmussen Steven M. 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        096.9420 8 Max Player 15-1 Lopez P Asmussen Steven M. C 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        096.0894 11 Liveyourbeastlife 30-1 McCarthy T Abreu Jorge R. J 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        095.9677 2 Mr. Big News 12-1 Saez G Calhoun W. Bret 821 24.24 0.82/$1
        094.7517 1 Excession 30-1 Russell S
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358413

          #49
          Huddle Up Sports

          Free Play:
          Alabama -18
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358413

            #50
            Arthur Ralph

            SAT: SMU + +1
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358413

              #51
              The Last Call

              Saturday's Free Play: Kentucky Wildcats - 6 1/2
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358413

                #52
                Teyas Sports

                FREE PICK 10/3 CFB IOWA ST +7 1/2
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358413

                  #53
                  Vegas Steam Line

                  Your free winner for Saturday: BAYLOR -3 over West Virginia
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358413

                    #54
                    High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Late Saturday: Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders + 7
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358413

                      #55
                      John Anthony Sports

                      Free Selection: SAT

                      ARKANSAS +17
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358413

                        #56
                        Tony Sacco

                        Tony Sacco's Free Play for SATURDAY is on the

                        AUBURN +7.5
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358413

                          #57
                          Hollywood Anthony

                          Your SATURDAY Free Play from Hollywood Anthony

                          VIRGINIA +28.5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358413

                            #58
                            Paul Leiner

                            Preakness 10/2

                            Going for the bomb today in the Preakness. This horse has a legit shot at a great price.

                            Pimlico Race 11
                            #11 Live Your Beast Life $10 wps
                            $2 exacta box 11-9-8
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