Service Plays Saturday 10/3/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris:
5 Virginia Tech -11.5
3 West Virginia +3
4 Clemson - 28
3 Clemson 1st Half -17
7 Oklahoma/Iowa St 63o
3 Iowa St +7
6 SMU +2
4 Navy - 7
4 Middle Tennessee st +7
4 Charlotte +6.5
4 Auburn/UGA 44.5u
4 Teaser: Auburn +12.5/50.5u
2 TCU/Texas 63o
2 Texas AM/Alabama 52.5o
2 GA Southern/UL Monroe 49.5o
2 LSU/Vandy 51u
2 Southern Miss/North Texas 71.5o

[golden contender]

Rob V: Saturday Comp Play

Saturday Card has an Executive Level Tier 1 Play along with a 21-0 Rare 6* System play as well as an Early high noon 5*. Another Top Soccer Play is also going. College Comp Play below.

The College Football Comp Play is on V.Tech at 4:00 eastern. The Hokies flattened NC. ST last week despite being down 23 players. Today they take on a weak 0-3 Duke team and have 35 point home loss revenge. Duke has struggled to move the ball thus far. Tech should get some players back for this one and has more talent on both sides of the ball. Look for the Hokies to hammer Duke today. On Saturday another big headliner card is up with an Executive Level TIER 1 CFB Play, a rare 6* from a 21-0 system and 2 more Power System plays and a Huge Soccer Play. See us or on facebook to jump on. For the ACC Comp play. Go with Virginia Tech. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
12:03 AM

BAYLOR -150
BAYLOR @ WEST VIRGINIA | 10/03 | 12:00 PM EDT
I have Baylor winning over 70 percent of simulations, making this a money-line play. Look for a strong game from Charlie Brewer as the Bears post a solid victory under new coach Dave Aranda.

5-0 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS | +500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ralph Michaels (Cal Sports) - 5% - Vanderbilt +20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee
CFB GURU
12:14 PM

BAYLOR -3
BAYLOR @ WEST VIRGINIA | 10/03 | 12:00 PM EDT
I can’t figure out the love affair with West Virginia, and the world has seemingly disregarded the talent on Baylor’s roster. First-year coach Dave Aranda and his defense allowed just 4.3 yards per play in the opener against Kansas last week. Granted, it’s Kansas. But it’s not like Baylor is known as a defensive juggernaut. If that’s how Aranda is going to transform the Bears, it could be a championship recipe. After all, quarterback Charlie Brewer and the rest of that offense are known commodities. Take Baylor, lay those points and expect Brewer to have more of an impact on the scoreboard in a surprisingly high-scoring game.

6-3 IN LAST 9 CFB ATS PICKS | +265
6-0 IN LAST 6 BAYLOR ATS PICKS | +600

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FOOTBALL JESUS has TCU +pts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee

AUBURN +6.5
AUBURN @ GEORGIA | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:29 PM
Georgia quarterback Stetson Bennett IV has limited upside and I’ll believe that JT Daniels is going to play when I see it. Meanwhile, Auburn made tremendous halftime adjustments in the win over Kentucky. All Auburn has to do is get to 20 on the stout Georgia defense to not only cover, but win outright.

6-3 IN LAST 9 CFB ATS PICKS | +265
4-1 IN LAST 5 UGA ATS PICKS | +289

OKLAHOMA -7
OKLAHOMA @ IOWA ST. | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:28 PM
Really? We’re so down on the Sooners that we’re only going to lay a touchdown against an offensively-challenged Cyclones squad? Don’t buy into that trap. Sure, Oklahoma’s defense is dreadful. But I’m not going to believe that the Cyclones suddenly figured it out after gaining just 423 yards and a 3 of 11 performance on third downs against lowly TCU.

6-3 IN LAST 9 CFB ATS PICKS | +265
10-2 IN LAST 12 OKLA ATS PICKS | +775

3-1 IN LAST 4 IOWAST ATS PICKS | +186

SMU +2.5
MEMPHIS @ SMU | 10/03 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:26 PM
It seems like Memphis hasn’t played in a year and SMU has dropped 50 or more points in each of the last two games. Will the Tigers defense have enough to slow down a Mustangs offense led by Shane Buechele and a bevy of talented skill players? Nope. The absence of Kenny Gainwell will come back to haunt the Tigers.

6-3 IN LAST 9 CFB ATS PICKS | +265
2-1 IN LAST 3 MEMP ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jody Demling

Preakness Stakes

Has called the winner of the Preakness Stakes a whopping nine times in the past 15 years.

He has picked the winner of a six of his last eight races: the Saudi Cup, Gotham Stakes, Rebel Stakes, Louisiana Derby, Florida Derby and Belmont Stakes.

DEMLING'S WAGERS

$2 EXACTA 3 with ALL ($20)

$1 EXACTA 4,9 with 2,3,4,5,8,9,10 ($12)

$0.50 TRIFECTA 3 with 4,8,9 with ALL ($13.50)

$0.10 SUPERFECTA 3 with 4,8,9 with 2,4,5,8,9 with ALL ($9,60)

$0.10 SUPERFECTA 4,8,9 with 3 with 2,4,5,8,9 with ALL ($9.60)

Just in case Authentic is the real deal

$0.10 SUPERFECTA 9 with 2,3,4,5,8 with 2,3,4,5,8 with ALL ($16)

Here's a look at Demling's projected Preakness Stakes leaderboard:

—1. Art Collector (5-2) - Yes, he would have been my pick for the Kentucky Derby. He looked sensational in training and doesn't look like he's taken a step backwards since he's returned to the track. I think he's the best horse in the field.

—2. Swiss Skydiver (6-1) - She was second in the Kentucky Oaks and second the only time she faced the boys - the Blue Grass Stakes. I think she has a legit shot to win this race but likely comes up a little short again.

—3. Authentic (9-5) - Trainer Bob Baffert is 5-for-5 when trying to win the Derby-Preakness double with a horse. I love the way this one never gives up, but it's a lot to ask to come back after that performance in the Derby less than a month ago.

—4. Max Player (15-1) - He was third in the Belmont Stakes and fifth in the Kentucky Derby; the only horse that will appear in all three races and he'll finish in the top five again.

—5. Mr. Big News (12-1) - Made a huge move to finish third at long odds in the Derby; can't see him repeating that effort in here.

—4. Thousand Words (6-1) - Not a big fan of how he acted in the paddock at the Derby with hardly any fans around; trainer Bob Baffert said they are putting a small set of blinkers on him but I'm just not as high on him as some others.

—7. Pneumatic (20-1) - One of three in the race for trainer Steve Asmussen; was fourth in the Belmont and won the Pegasus Stakes. Has been pointing for this race.

—8. Excession (30-1) - Literally, a horse I have no idea what to do with? Was second to Nadal in the March 14 Rebel Stakes at 83-1 but then had surgery to remove a chip in his knee and is making his first start back. Has some talent but a comeback in the Preakness?

—9. NY Traffic (15-1) - Ran second to Authentic in the Haskell but was then eighth in the Derby; don't see him as a factor in this one either.

—10 Jesus' Team (30-1) - Seems to like to get a small piece of the earnings in big races he's run in, but would need a major step forward with this bunch.

—11. Liveyourbeastlife (30-1) - Showed improvement in running second in the Jim Dandy, but that was the same day at the Kentucky Derby and not against a very tough field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

TEXAS -11.5
TCU @ TEXAS | 10/03 | 12:00 PM EDT
3:03 PM
I think the opening number at -13 was more appropriate than the current number at -11.5 at William Hill. Sam Ehlinger, Keaontay Ingram and the Longhorns should put up at least 35 points against this TCU defense. Look for a late score to give Texas the cover as I have them -14 at home in Austin.

UNDER 61.5
OLE MISS @ KENTUCKY | 10/03 | 4:00 PM EDT
2:51 PM
The SEC still hasn't ruled on the eligibility of Joey Gatewood for Kentucky. Until that happens, I love the Under in this game with Terry Wilson under center for Kentucky. I make the total in this game just 53 points as I think Kentucky keeps the ball on the ground just enough to melt the clock. Take the Under.

BAYLOR -3
BAYLOR @ WEST VIRGINIA | 10/03 | 12:00 PM EDT
2:38 PM
I get that it's a road game, but I don't get all of the love for West Virginia in this spot. I make Baylor -6 on the road under head coach Dave Aranda. I think the market will be a little slow to adjust for the defensive improvements that I think we see under Aranda. Charlie Brewer's experience will come in handy here as the Bears come away with a road win. Lay it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
3:36 PM

TEXAS -11.5
TCU @ TEXAS | 10/03 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Frogs historically have been a thorn for Texas, including last year when they ended the Longhorns' thin Big 12 title hopes. But this is a tough spot for a TCU club that is a little undermanned by its standards and facing a Texas team that narrowly escaped a disastrous upset loss at Texas Tech last week. The Longhorns might still struggle with Oklahoma next week, but they should be focused and poised for the dress rehearsal. Look for Sam Ehlinger and friends to put up plenty of offense and pull away.

6-1 IN LAST 7 CFB PICKS | +490
15-3 IN LAST 18 TEXAS ATS PICKS | +1170

4-1 IN LAST 5 TCU ATS PICKS | +296

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 7:46 PM

MISS. STATE -17.5
ARKANSAS @ MISS. STATE | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
MSU coach Mike Leach has brought the Air Raid offense to the hidebound SEC, which remains as run-minded as any major conference. It will take awhile for Leach’s peers to catch up, and it certainly will not happen soon. The Bulldogs must avoid a letdown from their mega-upset of LSU. Here is guessing that, after QB KJ Costello’s 623-yard masterpiece, they cannot wait to take the field again. The Razorbacks have dropped 20 league games in a row straight-up and, after stunning Georgia last weekend with an opening 91-yard TD drive, mustered just 189 more yards and three points.

8-7 LAST 15 CFB SIDES | +30
3-1 IN LAST 4 ARK ATS PICKS | +195

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 8:05 PM

OLE MISS +6
OLE MISS @ KENTUCKY | 10/03 | 4:00 PM EDT
It's not easy to trust a team with a defense as poor as Mississippi's, but I just don't see how this Kentucky offense can make enough plays to cover the spread here. Even if the Wildcats defense gets stops, it's not going to stop the Rebels entirely. Plus, after failing to cover for the boosters last week, you know it'll be a priority for Lane Kiffin this weekend.

6-3-1 IN LAST 10 CFB ATS PICKS | +270
2-1 IN LAST 3 UK ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

FLORIDA -18
SOUTH CAROLINA @ FLORIDA | 10/03 | 12:00 PM EDT
10:16 AM
Florida QB Kyle Trask got off to a great start last week against Ole Miss, thrusting himself into the Heisman Trophy race. With the way the Gators' passing game looked, I struggle to see how the Gamecocks will be able to match up. While South Carolina's defense looked decent against Tennessee, Florida is a totally different animal in that regard. Plus, the Gators are much better than Tennessee defensively.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +360
9-5 IN LAST 14 FLA ATS PICKS | +350

3-0 IN LAST 3 SC ATS PICKS | +300

CLEMSON -28
VIRGINIA @ CLEMSON | 10/03 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:12 AM
Clemson comes into this game with an extra week of rest and preparation. Its offense should be able to make plays consistently against a Virginia defense that was a bit shaky versus Duke. With the way the Tigers' offense can put up points, their defensive performances tend to get overshadowed. I believe it will be tough for Virginia to find the consistency on offense it will need to keep pace with Clemson.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +360
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 CLEM ATS PICKS | +364

VANDERBILT +20.5
LSU @ VANDERBILT | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
10:07 AM
What I saw from LSU last week against Mississippi State was an offensive line and quarterback that had difficulty handling pressure. Vanderbilt's defensive line, led by NFL prospect Dayo Odeyingbo, gave Texas A&M fits last weekend. The Commodores' defense will keep them in this game. While I don't trust Vanderbilt's offense enough to pull off the upset, I do trust it enough to cover the spread.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +360
6-2-1 IN LAST 9 LSU ATS PICKS | +380

3-1 IN LAST 4 VANDY ATS PICKS | +186

AUBURN +6.5
AUBURN @ GEORGIA | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
10:01 AM
What an amazing comeback last week by the Georgia Bulldogs. It was on the strength of a defense led by star S Richard LeCounte, who made a pair of interceptions, that they knocked off Arkansas. However, it was not lost on me that the Bulldogs' offense looked completely out of whack and inconsistent. Auburn has the better QB in this game in Bo Nix, and its offense was able to kick it into gear in the second half against Kentucky. I'm trusting the Tigers.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +360
11-6 IN LAST 17 UGA ATS PICKS | +445

GA. SOUTHERN -20
GA. SOUTHERN @ UL-MONROE | 10/03 | 7:00 PM EDT
9:52 AM
A very good spread option team meets a defense that has struggled to stop the run this season. This is just a bad matchup for UL-Monroe, which does have experience in playing the option because of its matchup against Army earlier in the year. But in that game, it wasn't pretty for the defense. Add in the fact that Georgia Southern QB Shai Werts can throw the football well, and it makes the offense a quadruple option instead of a triple one. Bad news for the Warhawks.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +360
5-0 IN LAST 5 GAS ATS PICKS | +500

NAVY -7
NAVY @ AIR FORCE | 10/03 | 6:00 PM EDT
9:46 AM
Navy did a fantastic job of coming back against Tulane last time out, overcoming a 24-point deficit to win. The Midshipmen admitted their blowout loss to BYU in the season opener was due to their lack of tackling leading up to the game. I foresee the same problems for Air Force, which will be playing its first game. It will be doing so without a host of key players who opted out of the season when it looked as if the Mountain West Conference wouldn't be playing football.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +360
10-6-1 IN LAST 17 NAVY ATS PICKS | +340

3-1 IN LAST 4 AF ATS PICKS | +190

ALABAMA -17.5
TEXAS A&M @ ALABAMA | 10/03 | 3:30 PM EDT
9:39 AM
I like this spread for Alabama. This is a much more manageable point spread against an SEC opponent. Offensively, the Aggies struggled versus Vanderbilt, but the Commodores offense couldn't capitalize on the added possessions. With the way Alabama's offense looked against a solid Missouri defense, don't expect the team to mismanage bonus possessions.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +360
3-0 IN LAST 3 BAMA ATS PICKS | +300

3-1 IN LAST 4 TXAM ATS PICKS | +190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jonathon Kinchen

Horses

Overview
This is a very interesting edition of the Preakness Stakes. Kentucky Derby upsetter Authentic looks to win the final leg of the Triple Crown and will face two significant new challengers: Blue Grass Stakes winner Art Collector and Kentucky Oaks runner-up Swiss Skydiver.

Analysis
I was 100 percent prepared to pick 3 Art Collector (5-2) in the Preakness. He missed the Kentucky Derby because of a minor issue and has trained with no problems since then. But the draw did him no favors. Leaving from the No. 3 post, he will be under the gun from the outset because Derby winner 9 Authentic (9-5) is to his outside. Authentic is tactical, fast and accomplished, and Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez will be able to dictate what happens and how the race unfolds from the No. 9 post.

I see these two opening up on the field; they're the best two horses. And based on the draw, I'm going to give the edge to Authentic.

I'm not falling for anyone else. I think 2 Mr. Big News (12-1) took advantage of a quick pace in the Derby to finish third, and I don't see how he will turn the tables on Authentic.

5 Thousand Words (6-1) adds blinkers, which is strange since he wasn't going to run with blinkers in the Derby before he had to be scratched. Trainer Bob Baffert hasn't been successful with adding blinkers in big races like this.

7 Ny Traffic (15-1) was handled by Authentic already in the Haskell and Derby.

8 Max Player (15-1) seems like a plodder.

10 Pneumatic (20-1) and 11 Liveyourbeastlife (30-1) are not fast enough.

Wagering strategy
As I said, I think Authentic and Art Collector are the two best horses. I predict these two will pull away from the field, and I give the slight edge to Authentic. I will leverage that opinion by playing these two in exactas and not speculate with trfiectas and superfectas since my opinion is less certain with possible third- and fourth-place finishers..

Wager
$70 exacta 9 with 3 ($70)
$30 exacta 3 with 9 ($30)

Total: $100