Service Plays Saturday 10/3/20

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• Marco D'Angelo
  4% (144) ALABAMA -18
  Alabama didn’t miss a beat in their season opener last week as they put up 38 points in an easy 38-19 win. It was 28-3 at the half before Alabama put the 2nd unit in for the 4th quarter. Note Alabama was outscored 13-3in 4th as Missouri was still playing their 1st string trying to get something going on offense. This week Alabama won’t be so gracious calling off the dogs so quickly. Texas A&M was not impressive last week only scoring as a 31.5 point favorite in a 17-12 win. Now one might say that they didn’t want to show anything for this weeks game or you can say that this Texas A&M offense isn’t that good and QB Kellen Mond is just overrated. I’ll go with the latter as last week he was just 17 of 28 for 189 yards. Alabama QB Mac Jones was 18 of 24 for 249 yards before Saban pulled the starters. I don’t see the Texas A&M defense slowing him down and I don’t see Kellen Mond having a lot of success this week against this Baja defense. My numbers have Alabama winning 41-17. TAKE ALABAMA as my 4% SEC GAME OF THE WEEK.
  
• 4% BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK
  Game: (125) Memphis at (126) SMU
  Date/Time: Oct 3 2020 3:30 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Memphis 0.0 (-110)
  
  4% (125) MEMPHIS (P)
  The knee-jerk reaction here is to jump on 3-0 SMU vs 1-0 Memphis in a pick the winner situation as most will look and say SMU has 3 games under their belt while Memphis only has 1 game. I don’t see that as a disadvantage and here is why. Memphis played that game back on September 5th. After that win they had to cancel two games due to Covid cases. Although it wasn’t planned with the extra time off they got to work on the things they needed to improve on from that first game. Memphis comes in here fresh while SMU will be playing their 4th game in 4 weeks. You have to be alarmed at the way the SMU defense has played thus far. SMU although they have scored a lot of points (146 points in 3 games) the defense has been bad and the competition has not been tough. SMU allowed over 400 yards of offense to Texas St in Week 1 and then in Week 2 North Texas put up over 500 yards of offense. Memphis’ offense is better than both of those two. This is a big game in Conference Play and I like the road team to get the job done. TAKE MEMPHIS as my 4% CFB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK.

[COLOR=#FFFFFF !important]ALL HORSE RACING PLAYS[/COLOR]

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Marco D'Angelo
PREAKNESS SELECTIONS
Game:
Date/Time: Oct 3 2020 5:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: To be announced
Play Rating: 4%
Play: ART COLLECTOR

Preakness Selections 2020

TOP CHOICE - #3 ART COLLECTOR - Win/Place Bet
Art Collector was going to be my pick for The Kentucky Derby but a minor injury forced him to scratch from the Derby. He has been training like an absolute beast leading up to this race. He will sit just off the front runners waiting to pounce at the top of the stretch. Authentic will not get an uncontested trip in the Preakness like he got in the Kentucky Derby as I expect Art Collector to go by him and the filly Swiss Skydiver.

Long Shot #10 Pneumatic - Win/Place/Show Bet
This is my long shot horse as I think Pneumatic is sitting on a Big Race. His running style will sitting just off of Art Collector and will be closing in the stretch off of a fast early pace. The connections of this horse bypassed the Derby to point to this race. Has the perfect racing style to pull the upset and has been improving with every start.

***Suggested Wager For every $5 you wager on #3 Art Collector to Win/Place bet $2 on #10 Pneumatic to Win/Place/Show
Trifecta Wagers Total Bets = $246
$1 Trifecta 3-9-10 with 3-9-10-8-4 with 3-9-10-8-4-7-5 = $60
50 Cent Trifecta 3-9-10-8-4 with 3-9-10 with 3-9-10-8-4-7-5 = $30
$1 Trifecta 3 with 9-10-8-4 with ALL = $36
50 Cent Trifecta 9-10-8-4 with 3 with ALL = $18
$1 Trifecta 3 with ALL with 9-10-8-4 = $36
50 Cent ALL with 3 with 9-10-8-4 = $18
$3 Trifecta 3 with 9-10 with 9-10-8-4-7-5 = $30
$1 Trifecta 3 with 9-10-8 with 9-10-8-4 = $9
$1 Trifecta 9-10-8 with 3 with 9-10-8-4 = $9

Exacta Wagers Total Bets = $146

$25 Exacta Key 3 with 9-10 = $50
$10 Exacta Key 9-10 with 3 = $20
$1 Exacta Box 3-9-10-8-4 = $20
$5 Exacta Key 9 with 3-10-8-4 = $20
$5 Exacta Key 10 with 3-9-8-4 = $20
$2 Exacta Key 3-10-8-4 with 9 = $8
$2 Exacta Key 3-9-8-4 with 10 = $8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling

35 UNCC
30 over Tx, KY
25 UNC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

IOWA ST. +7
OKLAHOMA @ IOWA ST. | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
12:00 AM
My model actual likes Iowa State to win this game, so you're getting solid value with the Cyclones at this number. After losing to Louisiana in the season opener, Iowa State earned a very professional win at TCU last week. Now the Cyclones face an Oklahoma team that's looking for answers after losing to Kansas State and is hitting the road for the first time. Take the points and consider the moneyline as well.

5-0 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS | +500
5-0 IN LAST 5 OKLA ATS PICKS | +500

4-0 IN LAST 4 IOWAST ATS PICKS | +400

TEXAS -11.5
TCU @ TEXAS | 10/03 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:54 PM
Last week's scare at Texas Tech was the best thing that could've happened to the Longhorns. They came way with many things to work on--tackling and special teams breakdowns, among others--but still won. Previous Texas teams would've lost that game. Now they return to Austin to face a TCU team that lost at home to Iowa State. In addition, quarterback Sam Ehlinger gets back his top receiver, Jake Smith, who should have a big game. My model says Texas covers almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting good value with this number.

5-0 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS | +500
5-0 IN LAST 5 TCU ATS PICKS | +500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

high noon Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GambinoTips

UK : Premier League
Everton - Brighton
Total Goals : 2 or 3
Kurs : 2.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betinvest99

Holland : Eredivisie
Venlo - Den Haag
BTTS : YES

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Stone

LA Tech +24
Alabama -17.5
Vanderbilt +20.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chuck Edel

Texas A&M +18
North Carolina -14
North Carolina/Boston College UNDER 55
Western Kentucky/MTSU OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Krackomberger

South Carolina at (3) FloridaF u 57 (108)
ARKANSAS ST -3 (129)
Memphis -2.5 (125)
Georgia Southern -18 (181)

[king Louie 5th]

El diablo picks
Tennessee
Baylor

VEGAS LOU
SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Millionaires - auburn

No limit- Kansas st

Perfect Play - UNC

INNER CIRCLE- SMU

Pinnacle/ Miss St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nelly's

2* #126 SMU +1 over Memphis 2:30 PM CT
1* #139 UTSA +20.5 over UAB 11:30 AM CT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

NORTH CAROLINA -13.5
NORTH CAROLINA @ BOSTON COLLEGE | 10/03 | 3:30 PM EDT
9:50 AM
The Heels come into this game ranked 12th but have played just one game and should be more than ready to go on Saturday. BC has two wins, but those wins were against an 0-3 Duke team and Texas State. UNC QB Sam Howell threw 38 TD passes last year and should have a big day passing the rock. UNC is the play.

OKLAHOMA -7
OKLAHOMA @ IOWA ST. | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
9:44 AM
The Sooners come into this game off a tough loss last week against Kansas State and haven't lost back-to-back regular season games since 1999. They have dominated this series winning 20 of the last 21 meetings, including 24 straight in Ames, and 13 of the last 15 meetings have been decided by double digits. Plain and simple: the Sooners can't afford to lose the rest of the way. Look for them to pull off a big win.

4-1 IN LAST 5 OKLA ATS PICKS | +289

OVER 62.5
OKLAHOMA @ IOWA ST. | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
9:24 AM
The Sooners are a dangerous offensive team averaging 41.5 points per game and should be able to move the football against a Cyclones defense that allows 29.5 per game. Oklahoma turned the ball over five times last week in its loss to Kansas State but moved the ball at will against a pretty good defense. The Sooners defense is prone to giving up big plays. The Over is 7-1 the last eight meetings. Look for plenty of points.

3-0 IN LAST 3 OKLA O/U PICKS | +300

AUBURN +6.5
AUBURN @ GEORGIA | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
9:15 AM
Georgia struggled against Arkansas and will have its hands full with a very good Auburn team that is led by dual-threat QB Bo Nix who is getting better each start. Nix has thrown an Auburn-record 218 passes without an interception. Georgia isn't saying who will be under center, but whoever is at QB will face a very aggressive Tigers defense that is going to put pressure on the QB. I think the Tigers have a great shot to win this game outright.

MISS. STATE -17.5
ARKANSAS @ MISS. STATE | 10/03 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:15 PM
The first game of the Mike Leach era went very well with a huge upset win over LSU. Mississippi State is hoping to avoid any kind of letdown in the first home game. The Bulldogs came out firing just like we would expect under Leach, with K.J. Costello leading the way. The Stanford transfer passed for over 600 yards and five TDs in just his first game under center. He should eat up an Arkansas team that was smashed by Georgia last week. Feleipe Franks, a Florida transfer, was picked off twice. The Razorbacks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall while the Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS their last eight games as a home favorite.

ALABAMA -17.5
TEXAS A&M @ ALABAMA | 10/03 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:54 PM
There is no love lost between these two teams and head coaches. Look for Nick Saban to put on a coaching clinic in this game. The Crimson Tide took their foot off the gas last week vs. Missouri in a 38-19 victory and Saban wasn't happy about it. Look for Alabama to play hard all in all four quarters here. The Aggies come into this game after Vanderbilt nearly upset them last week when they were 30.5 point favorites. Texas A&M has dropped seven straight meetings and most of the matchups weren’t even close. Alabama is 5-0 ATS in its last five games following a ATS loss.

2-1 IN LAST 3 TXAM ATS PICKS | +89

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

#116 6% TENNESSEE (-11-) Noon ET
#118 4% WEST VIRGINIA (+3) Noon ET
#126 4% SMU (+1) 3:30 PM ET
#158 3% MISSISSIPPI STATE (-17) 7:30 PM ET
#160 NORTH TEXAS (-1-) 7:30 PM ET
#124 4% OVER 62- Iowa State 7:30 PM ET
#126 3% OVER 73- SMU 3:30 PM ET
#130 5% OVER 64- Coastal Carolina Noon ET
#142 4% OVER 62- Texas Noon ET