Service Plays Monday 10/5/20

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MILLER LOCKS
Monday 10/5/2020 Picks

4:07 PM EST MLB
HOUSTON ASTROS VS. OAKLAND ATHLETICS

PICK: HOUSTON ASTROS (+114)

RISK: 11 UNITS

7:05 PM EST NFL
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +10.5 (+103)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:07 PM EST MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES VS. TAMPA BAY RAYS

PICK: NEW YORK YANKEES (-142)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:50 PM EST NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -6 (-102)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:50 PM EST NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

PICK: OVER 56 (-109)

RISK: 11 UNITS

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Sportsline Computer

MLB

Oakland -132

[rocky57]

H&H Sports (NFL) - Triple Dime Green Bay Packers -5.5 (Diamond Sportsbook)

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Alan Harris

8* MLB GOY

The New York Yankees will look to take a 1-0 lead in their AL Divisional Playoff series with the Tampa Bay Rays when the two teams meet at Petco Park in San Diego, CA on Monday night. Gerrit Cole (1-0, 2.57 ERA, 0.86 WHIP) will get the start for the Yankees and he will be opposed by Blake Snell (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.53 WHIP), who is scheduled to get the call on the hill for the Rays. The Yankees have posted a 10-3 record in their last thirteen games following a win and they have gone an excellent 13-3 in their last sixteen playoff games where they were listed as the favorite. They have also won 25 of their last 37 games where they faced a left-handed starter and they are an impressive 76-37 in their last 113 games where they faced an AL East Division rival. The Rays, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have lost nine of their last twelve Divisional Round playoff games. Throw in the fact that the Yankees are 7-3 in their last ten in that same divisional spot, that they have won 36 of their last 51 versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower, and the fact that their bats seem to have woken up after they scored 22 runs in their two wins over Cleveland and we're going to lay the price with them here to get the win in San Diego on Monday evening.

Yankees -145

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Vegas Shark

BIG Yankees ML + Chiefs ML
BIG Packers -6

Chiefs -10
Yankees -1.5

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InkBets biggest nfl all season

NFL: New England Patriots +11.5 @ 1.909/-110 (4 Units)

-The idea that Bill Belichick is getting 11.5 points in any game is borderline incomprehensible. Sure, he's going against the half a billion dollar man and greatest arm talent QB we've ever seen in Mahomes.. but that is a LOT of points.

Everybody is ruling the Pats out of this game even more now that Cam is out.. but a 4.5 point adjustment feels drastic to me. Brian Hoyer is by no means good, but if there is ANY team that his mediocre arm could do well in -- it's the Patriots. Cam to Hoyer is not worth a 4.5 point adjustment to me. Aaron Rodgers to Deshone Kizer was 7 points to the line and that skill disparity is MUCH higher than this one.

The Patriots have a secondary that counters the Chiefs better than most. They sit at 11th ranked defense for passing yards allowed per game and they've already faced the MVP front runner in Russell Wilson who they managed to hold to a modest 288 yards, his least impressive game of the season.

Chiefs scheduling here holds some weight to my decision as well. They're now slotted to play 3 games in the next 10 days, and the last one is on the road @ Buffalo being the hardest of the stretch. You'd have to imagine they will attempt to preserve energy at any point possible.

By no means am I trying to sell the Patriots outright win -- but given the New England system, the 4.5 market adjustment from Cam OUT to Hoyer IN is an overreaction. They are the ONLY team a mediocre QB could work for, and now Belichick has had an additional day to prepare for that situation. Pats stay inside the 11.5

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J.R. STEVENS
VIP PICKS (NFL - GAME OF THE MONTH)
[279] Atlanta +7/ML +230

VIP PICKS (NFL)
[281] New England +11/ML +430

*Buy half point if necessary
*Play ML for half your normal amount when listed

VIP PICKS (MLB)
[901] NY Yankees -145/RL -1.5 (+115)
[903] Houston +125/ALT RL -1.5 (+200)

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Cal Sports

Game: (281) New England Patriots at (282) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Oct 5 2020 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1Q Total Under 10.0 (-125)

FIRST QUARTER UNDER 10
Did you know that the last 11 KC reg season games the 1Q total? has gone UNDER 10 nine times and pushed twice?
Fell Belichick will have a conservative game plan early and run often.

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Bet2survive

Astros ML
Yankees ML
Falcons +6

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A1 Locks

Yanks ML

Packers ML

Oakland A's ML

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Tom Stryker

16-3 ATS NFL CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK
Chiefs

21-4 ATS & 11-0 ATS NFL PRIMETIME MAIN EVENT
Packers

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Kevin Scott

Monday, October 5:

OVER 7 - YANKEES-RAYS @ 8:07 EST

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The Whale Picks
$15K ALDS Pick
NYY/TB o7(-110)

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Gavazzi

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5% MNF GOY on the PACKERS

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Tom Fornelli

UNDER 56
ATLANTA @ GREEN BAY | 10/05 | 9:00 PM EDT
1:32 PM
This is a game between two offenses that have scored a bunch of points and two defenses that have allowed nearly as many. So of course I'm going to be on the Under. Things have to balance out soon, and on a windy night in Lambeau Field, it starts tonight.

5-0-1 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS | +500
3-1 IN LAST 4 GB O/U PICKS | +191

NEW ENGLAND +10.5
NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY | 10/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
1:31 PM
I don't want to be found guilty of overthinking things. Last week the Chiefs were 3.5-point dogs to Baltimore and it was common sense to take Patrick Mahomes getting points. Well, this week a Bill Belichick team is getting 10.5 points. Brian Hoyer, yeah, but Bill Belichick is getting 10.5 points.

5-0-1 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS | +500
3-1 IN LAST 4 NE ATS PICKS | +182

TAMPA BAY +130
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 10/05 | 8:07 PM EDT
1:29 PM
These two teams played 10 times during the regular season and Tampa won eight of the meetings. So when I see Tampa as the dog with their ace on the mound, I'm not passing up that value.