R.J. White
CLEVELAND +1.5
INDIANAPOLIS @ CLEVELAND | 10/11 | 4:25 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:18 PM
I think the wrong team is favored here. That Colts defense has looked awesome, but Indy's schedule has been pretty suspect. The Browns just scored 49 on the Cowboys, and before you remind me how bad the Cowboys defense is, they had actually been solid against the run heading into that game. The Browns O-line is just dominant right now, which makes me worry less about injuries at running back. Meanwhile, the Colts offense is not impressive at all, ranking 22nd in points per drive, 30th in third-down success rate and 28th in red-zone success rate. If that strong Browns D-line can get some pressure on Philip Rivers, I think this is game over, especially with the Colts ranking 32nd in yards per carry.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +90
25-15-1 IN LAST 41 IND ATS PICKS | +819
13-9-2 IN LAST 24 CLE ATS PICKS | +307
ARIZONA -7
ARIZONA @ N.Y. JETS | 10/11 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:15 PM
So this line was Cardinals -8 on the lookahead, and the Jets lost their starting quarterback ... so now it's -7? What kind of sense does that make? You can only explain it if you think the struggling Cardinals offense from last week is indicative of future performance, but they know they got too cute going horizontal instead of vertical. That shouldn't be an issue against this porous Jets secondary, and I'm expecting a big game out of the Arizona offense. I don't expect a whole lot from Joe Flacco, even if the rest of the offense is starting to get healthy. Cards get right here with a big win.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +90
3-1 IN LAST 4 ARI ATS PICKS | +180
4-3 IN LAST 7 NYJ ATS PICKS | +59
OVER 54
JACKSONVILLE @ HOUSTON | 10/11 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:13 PM
I think firing Bill O'Brien could open up the Houston offense and the team in general, as it was clear he lost the locker room by his failed Earl Thomas addition. But the Texans defense has been awful, and I expect Gardner Minshew to come in and score points. But the Jaguars defense is also terrible, so why won't this game go over? These pair of defenses rank near the bottom of the league in points per drive and DVOA while allowing about 30 points per game. Against two solid offenses, it seems to me we should expect about 30 from each.
6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL O/U PICKS | +270
4-3 IN LAST 7 JAC O/U PICKS | +69
CLEVELAND +1.5
INDIANAPOLIS @ CLEVELAND | 10/11 | 4:25 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:18 PM
I think the wrong team is favored here. That Colts defense has looked awesome, but Indy's schedule has been pretty suspect. The Browns just scored 49 on the Cowboys, and before you remind me how bad the Cowboys defense is, they had actually been solid against the run heading into that game. The Browns O-line is just dominant right now, which makes me worry less about injuries at running back. Meanwhile, the Colts offense is not impressive at all, ranking 22nd in points per drive, 30th in third-down success rate and 28th in red-zone success rate. If that strong Browns D-line can get some pressure on Philip Rivers, I think this is game over, especially with the Colts ranking 32nd in yards per carry.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +90
25-15-1 IN LAST 41 IND ATS PICKS | +819
13-9-2 IN LAST 24 CLE ATS PICKS | +307
ARIZONA -7
ARIZONA @ N.Y. JETS | 10/11 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:15 PM
So this line was Cardinals -8 on the lookahead, and the Jets lost their starting quarterback ... so now it's -7? What kind of sense does that make? You can only explain it if you think the struggling Cardinals offense from last week is indicative of future performance, but they know they got too cute going horizontal instead of vertical. That shouldn't be an issue against this porous Jets secondary, and I'm expecting a big game out of the Arizona offense. I don't expect a whole lot from Joe Flacco, even if the rest of the offense is starting to get healthy. Cards get right here with a big win.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +90
3-1 IN LAST 4 ARI ATS PICKS | +180
4-3 IN LAST 7 NYJ ATS PICKS | +59
OVER 54
JACKSONVILLE @ HOUSTON | 10/11 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:13 PM
I think firing Bill O'Brien could open up the Houston offense and the team in general, as it was clear he lost the locker room by his failed Earl Thomas addition. But the Texans defense has been awful, and I expect Gardner Minshew to come in and score points. But the Jaguars defense is also terrible, so why won't this game go over? These pair of defenses rank near the bottom of the league in points per drive and DVOA while allowing about 30 points per game. Against two solid offenses, it seems to me we should expect about 30 from each.
6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL O/U PICKS | +270
4-3 IN LAST 7 JAC O/U PICKS | +69

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