Tuesday 10/6/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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WNBA

Tuesday, October 6

Trend Report

Las Vegas @ Seattle
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Las Vegas is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Seattle
Seattle is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
Seattle is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

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MLB public betting, line movement for October 6
Patrick Everson

Mookie Betts and the Dodgers open their NLDS against the Padres in Game 1 Tuesday night. With San Diego's starter not set, most books didn't post a line on this game Monday night.

MLB betting odds are posted and getting action for the Tuesday schedule, with all four divisional series on the field. The Los Angeles Dodgers open their NLDS against the NL West rival San Diego Padres, while the New York Yankees look to take a 2-0 ALDS lead on the Tampa Bay Rays.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s games.

MLB line movement

Top-seeded Los Angeles swept away the Milwaukee Brewers in two games in the wild-card round, capped by a 3-0 win Thursday. San Diego needed all three games against the St. Louis Cardinals, notching a wild 11-9 win in Game 2 Thursday and a 4-0 shutout in Game 3 Friday.

By late Monday night, the Padres still hadn’t set their starter, so most sportsbooks hadn’t posted a line for this 9:38 p.m. ET Game 1 in Arlington, Texas. Check back Tuesday for updates, and keep in mind that the four league division series are at neutral sites.

New York hammered Tampa Bay 9-3 in Game 1 of their ALDS Tuesday, capped by a ninth-inning grand slam from Giancarlo Stanton. FanDuel opened Tampa Bay a -116 favorite for Game 2 and moved to -124, with New York +108 for an 8:10 p.m. ET start at San Diego’s Petco Park.

The Houston Astros rolled over the Oakland Athletics 10-5 in Game 1 of their ALDS Tuesday. For Game 2, Oakland opened -114 and the line then dipped to a -108 pick 'em for a 4:37 p.m. ET first pitch at Dodger Stadium.

Back in the NLDS, the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves open the day with a 2:08 p.m. ET Game 1 in Houston. Both teams advanced from the wild-card round with two-game sweeps, Miami over the Chicago Cubs and Atlanta over the Cincinnati Reds. FanDuel opened Game 1 at Atlanta -205/Miami +176 and moved to -200/+174.

MLB public betting

Early moneyline bettors at FanDuel expect the Yankees to prevail, with 79 percent of tickets and 66 percent of money on the Pinstripes through Monday night. Astros-A’s is two-way play, with 53 percent of tickets/54 percent of money on Oakland, and Marlins-Braves is two-way as well, with Atlanta attracting 52 percent of bets and the money split 50/50.

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905NY YANKEES -906 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 6-14 SU (-11.5 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

907HOUSTON -908 OAKLAND
HOUSTON is 21-33 SU (-15.7 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

909MIAMI -910 ATLANTA
MIAMI is 22-7 SU (12.8 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

911SAN DIEGO -912 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 35-22 SU (11.3 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

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MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 6

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NY YANKEES (35 - 27) vs. TAMPA BAY (42 - 20) - 8:10 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-2 (+7.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
TANAKA is 11-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 0.921.
His team's record is 14-7 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-10. (+0.4 units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GLASNOW is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

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HOUSTON (31 - 31) vs. OAKLAND (38 - 25) - 4:37 PM
FRAMBER VALDEZ (L) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 7-3 (+3.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
VALDEZ is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MANAEA is 3-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.186.
His team's record is 4-9 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.6 units)

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MIAMI (33 - 29) vs. ATLANTA (37 - 25) - 2:08 PM
SANDY ALCANTARA (R) vs. MAX FRIED (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 136-93 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 119-72 (+37.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ATLANTA is 175-121 (+41.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 59-41 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FRIED is 33-9 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 21-6 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 18-3 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 33-29 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 21-19 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ALCANTARA is 12-10 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 35-47 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 (-0.2 Units) against MIAMI this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

SANDY ALCANTARA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ALCANTARA is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

MAX FRIED vs. MIAMI since 1997
FRIED is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.13 and a WHIP of 1.633.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (39 - 24) vs. LA DODGERS (45 - 17) - 9:38 PM
KYLE DAVIES (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 28-13 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 46-34 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in road games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 6-4 (-0.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

KYLE DAVIES vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
DAVIES is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.34 and a WHIP of 1.845.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BUEHLER is 4-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.36 and a WHIP of 0.727.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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MLB

Tuesday, October 6

Best-of-5 series

American League
Houston (1-0) vs Oakland (@ Los Angeles)
Valdez is 3-0, 0.98 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 7-4 in his starts, 4-2 on the road.
— Over is 7-2 in his last eight starts
— Valdez threw five shutout innings in his first playoff start LW.
— He is 0-1, 2.25 in three career games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Houston won their first three playoff games.
— Astros are in the playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won the ’17 World Series.
— Houston is 12-23 on the road this season.
— Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games.

Manaea is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 7-4 in his starts, 3-3 on the road.
— Over is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— He allowed four runs in two IP in his first postseason start., in LY’s Wild Card game vs Tampa Bay
— Manaea is 3-5, 3.27 in 13 career starts vs Houston.

— A’s are 2-2 in the playoffs; they gave up four unearned runs in decisive 6th inning Monday.
— Oakland is in playoffs for 3rd year in row, 6th time in nine years.
— A’s are 14-15 on the road this season.
— Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

— A’s are 7-4 vs Houston this season.

New York (1-0) vs Tampa Bay (@ San Diego)
Garcia is 3-2, 5.24 in his first six MLB starts.
— New York is 4-2 in his starts, 1-2 on the road.
— Over is 4-1-1 in his starts this season.
— This is his first postseason start, his first start against the Rays.

— New York scored 31 runs in their first three playoff games.
— New York is in the playoffs for 4th year in a row.
— New York is 14-18 on the road this season.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Glasnow is
— Rays are 10-2 in his starts, 5-1 on the road.
— Over is 7-4-1 in his starts this season.
— Glasnow is 1-2, 5,54 in three career playoff starts.
— He is 1-2, 3.70 in five career starts vs New York.

— Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games overall.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 20-12 away from home this season.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

— Tampa Bay won eight of 11 games with New York this season.

National League
Miami vs Atlanta (@ Houston)
Alcantara is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 6-2 in his starts, 4-0 away from home.
— His last four starts went under the total.
— Alcantara allowed one run in 6.2 IP in his first playoff start, at Wrigley last week.
— He is 0-0, 2.41 in three career starts vs Atlanta.

— Marlins won five of their last six games; they allowed one run in their sweep of Chicago last week.
— Miami is in the playoffs for first time since 2003.
— Marlins are 20-14 away from home this season.
— Miami is 7-12 vs lefty starters this year.
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

Fried is 7-0, 1.99 in 12 starts this year; he was 0-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Miami.
— Braves are 11-1 in his starts, 5-0 away from home.
— Over is 6-3-1 in his last ten starts.
— Fried threw seven shutout innings in his first playoff start LW; he had given up five runs in six relief stints (6.1 IP) in previous years.
— He is 0-1, 5.13 in six career starts vs Miami.

— Braves won seven of last ten games; they didn’t allow a run in their sweep of Cincinnati last week.
— Atlanta is in the playoffs for third year in a row.
— Braves are 16-14 away from home.
— Over is 5-3 in Atlanta’s last eight games.

— Braves went 6-4 against Miami this season.

San Diego vs Los Angeles (@ Arlington)
Davies is 0-2, 5.29 in his last four starts; he was 0-2, 3.46 vs LA this season.
— Padres are 9-4 in his starts, 5-2 away from home.
— Under is 7-6 in his starts, 3-4 on road.
— Davies allowed four runs in three IP in two playoff games (1 start).
— He is 3-3, 2.37 in eight career starts against the Dodgers.

— San Diego won five of its last six games.
— Padres are in playoffs for first time since 2006.
— San Diego is 16-12 away from home.
— Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Buehler is 0-0, 4.02 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 8-1 in his starts, 3-1 away from home.
— Under is 6-3 in his starts, 4-1 in his last five.
— He is 4-0, 1.36 in five career starts vs San Diego.
— Buehler is 1-1, 2.90 in seven career playoff starts.

— Dodgers are 45-17 this year; they won their last six games.
— LA is in playoffs for 8th year in a row; they haven’t won a World Series since 1988.
— Los Angeles is 22-8 away from home.
— Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

— Dodgers are 6-4 vs San Diego this season.

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MLB

Tuesday, October 6

Trend Report

Miami @ Atlanta
Miami
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

Houston @ Oakland
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 16 games
Oakland
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
Oakland is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games on the road
NY Yankees is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

San Diego @ LA Dodgers
San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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NL Divisional Series Cheat Sheet
Kevin Rogers

The Wild Card round is over as the 16-team field has been sliced in half to eight squads seeking a World Series title. No team will have home-field advantage the rest of the way as the four remaining series will be played at neutral sites in California and Texas.

The divisional playoff round in the National League will take place in Arlington and Houston. NL East rivals Atlanta and Miami will square off at Minute Maid Park, while NL West foes Los Angeles and San Diego hook up at Globe Life Park.

#1 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. #4 San Diego Padres
at Globe Life Park, Arlington

LAD: 45-17 SU, 27-28-7 O/U
SD: 39-24 SU, 30-31-2 O/U

Series Price

Los Angeles -280
San Diego +240

Series Schedule

Game 1 - Tuesday, Oct. 6 - 9:38 p.m. ET (FS1)
Game 2 - Wednesday, Oct. 7 - TBD (FS1 or MLB)
Game 3 - Thursday, Oct. 8 - (FS1 or MLB)
Game 4 - Friday, Oct. 9 - (If Necessary)
Game 5 - Saturday, Oct. 10 - (If Necessary)

The Dodgers owned the best fifth winning percentage in a season in Major League history at .717 and didn't disappoint in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. Los Angeles easily eliminated Milwaukee in two games, capped off by a 2-0 shutout in the clinching contest. Clayton Kershaw delivered eight shutout innings and struck out 13 batters as the three-time Cy Young winner is returning to elite form with the Dodgers winning eight of his last nine starts.

The Padres were one of two teams pushed to three games in the Wild Card round (Athletics the other). San Diego overcame a loss in the opener and a 4-0 deficit in Game 2 to beat St. Louis, 11-9 to force a decisive third game at Petco Park. The Padres used nine pitchers to pull off a 4-0 shutout of the Cardinals in Game 3 and win a playoff series for the first time since capturing the 1998 National League pennant.

Padres' star shortstop Fernando Tatis, Jr. hit .444 against the Cardinals, including two monster home runs in the Game 2 comeback win. San Diego's pitching staff is still depleted heading into the NLDS with in-season acquisition Mike Clevinger dealing with an arm injury. Clevinger (3-2, 3.02 ERA) hopes to return against the Dodgers, while Dinelson Lamet (3-1, 2.09 ERA) is sidelined with a biceps injury.

The Dodgers are obviously the team to beat this postseason although Los Angeles has won eight straight NL West titles and has not captured a World Series title in this span. L.A. has lost three times in the NLDS since 2014, including an exit in this round last season in five games to eventual champion Washington.

These two NL West squads have never faced each other in the playoffs, as the Padres are only the second division opponent the Dodgers have ever played in the postseason (swept Arizona in 2017 NLDS). Los Angeles won six of 10 regular season meetings with San Diego, while the Padres were limited to two runs or fewer in four of the six defeats.


#2 Atlanta Braves vs. #6 Miami Marlins
at Minute Maid Park - Houston

ATL: 37-25 SU, 32-25-5 O/U
MIA: 33-29 SU, 32-29-1 O/U

Series Price

Atlanta -300
Miami +250

Series Schedule

Game 1 - Tuesday, Oct. 6 - 2:38 p.m. ET (FS1)
Game 2 - Wednesday, Oct. 7 - TBD (FS1 or MLB)
Game 3 - Thursday, Oct. 8 - (FS1 or MLB)
Game 4 - Friday, Oct. 9 - (If Necessary)
Game 5 - Saturday, Oct. 10 - (If Necessary)

It's no surprise the Braves are in the NLDS, although it is Atlanta's first postseason series victory since 2001 after knocking out light-hitting Cincinnati in two games of the Wild Card round. However, Miami continued its shocking run to the Divisional Round after picking up a pair of road wins over NL Central champion Chicago.

The Braves have dealt with plenty of injuries to their starting pitching staff this season, but Atlanta shut out Cincinnati in a pair of wins in the Wild Card round over a 22-inning span. Following a 1-0 triumph in 13 innings of the series opener, the Braves broke out the bats late in a 5-0 blanking of the Reds to secure the franchise's first advancement in the playoffs in nearly 20 years.

The Marlins weren't expected to do much in the competitive NL East this season, then things got complicated when a COVID-19 outbreak happened less than a week into the season. But Miami overcame that issue and basically stayed above the .500 mark for most of the season to clinch a playoff berth for the first time since winning the World Series in 2003. The Marlins limited the Cubs to one run in a two-game sweep at Wrigley Field to improve to 5-1 in their last six games overall with all five victories coming as a substantial underdog.

On their way to their first-ever championship in 1997, the Marlins knocked off the Braves in the NLCS in the only playoff matchup in franchise history. Atlanta put together a 6-4 record against Miami this season, which included taking three of four at Truist Park late in the season. The Braves dropped 29 runs on the Marlins in a 20-run blowout on September 9, but the 'under' went 5-4-1 in the 10 meetings.

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MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 6

Miami @ Atlanta

Game 909-910
October 6, 2020 @ 2:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Alcantara) 17.487
Atlanta
(Fried) 16.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-200
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+170); Over

Houston @ Oakland

Game 907-908
October 6, 2020 @ 4:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Valdez) 16.289
Oakland
(Manaea) 13.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-105); Over

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay

Game 905-906
October 6, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Garcia) 17.827
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 16.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-125
8
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+105); Under

San Diego @ LA Dodgers

Game 911-912
October 6, 2020 @ 9:38 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(TBD) 15.839
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 18.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-155
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-155); Under

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Miami w/Alcantara +180 over Atlanta

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday October 6, 2020

10/06 05:10 PM PT / 8:10 PM ET

MLB (905) NEW YORK YANKEES VS (906) TAMPA BAY RAYS

Take: over

Reason: The New York Yankees are healthy for the first time all season and it's showed here in the playoffs as their bats have been on fire. The TB Rays kept them down most of the night on Monday as the score was 4-3 Yankees heading into the top of the 9th. However, the Yankees bats once again exploded in the 9th for five runs. The Yankees take a 1-0 lead in this best of five series. The Rays can ill afford to go down 0-2 in this series and will turn to Tyler Glasngow in game two. Glasnow was 5-1 for the Rays this year with a 4.08 ERA. Glasnow has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last three starts. The Yankees Deivi Garcia will toe the rubber on Tuesday. Garcia was 3-2 this year with a 4.98 ERA. Garcia hasn't pitched that well of late, allowing 10 earned runs over his last 9 2/3 innings. This is the spot for the Rays to take a win against a Yankee pitcher in Garcia that has struggled of late. Your free play for Tuesday is on the OVER.

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: SAN DIEGO/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 8 runs

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Totals4U Tuesday's Free Selection: Las Vegas/Seattle over 160 1/2

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Roz Wins

Roz's TUESDAY, OCTOBER 6, 2020
Free Pick
906. Rays -1.17 (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)

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Atlantic Sports

Tuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Atlanta Braves NLDS Series - 300

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#1 Sports

Tuesday's Free Play: Las Vegas Aces + 8 1/2