Saturday 10/10/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-05-2020, 09:30 PM

Free Winners for Saturday, October 10th 2020 from THE LEGEND!
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
TCU @ Kansas St
TIME: 4:00 PM EST
PICK: UNDER 53.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-05-2020, 09:31 PM

Saturday, October 10th, 2020 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Tennessee @ Georgia
TIME: 3:30 PM EST
PICKS: UNDER 45

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-05-2020, 09:32 PM

GAMEDAY NETWORK
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNER
SATURDAY 10/10/20
Temple @ Navy
Time: 6:00 PM EST
Free Pick: UNDER 47

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-05-2020, 09:33 PM

VEGAS SPORTS INSIDERS
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Arkansas @ Auburn
TIME: 4:00 PM EST
PICK: UNDER 51

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-05-2020, 09:34 PM

Sports Action 365
FREE WINNER
PLAY Texas Tech @ Iowa St OVER 62.5, GAME TIME 3:30 PM EST

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2020, 11:56 PM

College Football Odds This Week: Opening Lines & Odds Movement
Patrick Everson

The Red River Rivalry resumes Saturday when Sam Ehlinger and Texas take on Oklahoma at the Cotton Bowl. FanDuel opened Oklahoma -2.5 and moved to -1.5 by Monday afternoon.

College football odds for Week 6 are on the betting board and already getting action, with a few key games dotting the schedule. No. 1 Clemson plays host to No.7 Miami under the Saturday night lights, and No. 12 Tennessee travels to No. 3 Georgia.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 6 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

College football Week 6 odds

These are the current College football Week 6 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of September 28.

(7) Miami at (1) Clemson odds

Opening line
Clemson -16, Over/Under 65.5

Why the line moved
Clemson is already down to -14.5 on Monday night at FanDuel, where early bettors are jumping on the underdog. Miami is taking 73 percent of tickets and money on the spread, and the Hurricanes have even greater support on the moneyline, at 77 percent of bets/97 percent of dollars. And the total plunged from 65.5 to 60.5 Monday, despite a large majority of tickets and money on the Over.

(18) Virginia Tech at (9) North Carolina odds

Opening line
North Carolina -3.5, Over/Under 60.5

Why the line moved
This line was volatile early, jumping from Tar Heels -3.5 to -6.5 in a matter of minutes Sunday, then receding to -4.5 by lunch hour Monday. Through Monday night, Carolina is taking 62 percent of tickets and 54 percent of money on the spread. The total went from 60.5 to 61.5, then fell to 57.5 Monday afternoon, and it looks like there's some sharp play here: 75 percent of tickets are on the Over, but 63 percent of money is on the Under.

(12) Tennessee at (3) Georgia odds

Opening line
Georgia -14, Over/Under 44.5

Why the line moved
By Monday afternoon, Georgia had already dialed down to -12.5 at FanDuel on two-way action. Through Monday night, Tennessee is taking 57 percent of bets, while Georgia is getting 58 percent of dollars.

(22) Texas vs Oklahoma Odds

Opening line
Oklahoma -2.5, Over/Under 70.5

Why the line moved
The eye-popping total stands out most for the neutral-site rekindling of the Red River Rivalry, at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. The total is already up to 72.5 at FanDuel, with 89 percent of bets and 97 percent of money on the Over. On the spread, Oklahoma is down to -1.5 Monday night, although early tickets and money are both running about 2/1 on the Sooners.

Texas Tech at (24) Iowa State Odds

Opening line
Iowa State -13.5, Over/Under 62.5

Why the line moved
Iowa State is down a point to -12.5 at FanDuel, and betting splits through Monday night indicate why: 62 percent of tickets and 53 percent of dollars are on Texas Tech. And early moneyline bettors apparently expect a letdown from the Cyclones, who as 7-point home underdogs upended Oklahoma 37-30 on Saturday. Texas Tech is attracting 54 percent of moneyline bets and 98 percent of moneyline cash.

(2) Alabama at Ole Miss odds

Opening line
Mississippi +23.5, Over/Under 73.5

Why the line moved
Big favorite Alabama is up a point Monday to -24.5 at FanDuel, with ticket count 2/1 and money 4/1 in favor of the Crimson Tide. And, like Oklahoma-Texas, a huge total already has heavily tilted action to the Over, at 87 percent of tickets and 98 percent of money through Monday.

Arkansas at (13) Auburn odds

Opening line
Auburn -15.5, Over/Under 51.5

Why the line moved
Auburn is up to -16.5 Monday night at FanDuel, taking 58 percent of early tickets and 66 percent of early money on the spread. The total is already down to 48.5, thanks to 83 percent of tickets/92 percent of money showing on the Under.

Missouri at (16) LSU odds

Opening line
LSU -18.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
Louisiana State is already up 2 points at FanDuel, sitting at -20.5 Monday night. Sixty-three percent of bets are on the Tigers, but money is closer to two-way, with LSU garnering 54 percent of early cash.

(3) Florida at (20) Texas A&M odds

Opening line
Texas A&M +5.5, Over/Under 57.5

Why the line moved
Early bettors don't think much of A&M's home field, with Florida taking more than 90 percent of early point-spread tickets and money. That prompted FanDuel to move the Gators to -7.5 early Monday, before moving back to -6.5.

Florida State at (5) Notre Dame odds

Opening line
Notre Dame -21.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
Notre Dame is down a point Monday night to -20.5 at FanDuel, but the Fighting Irish are taking 87 percent of early tickets and 94 percent of early dollars. Similarly, the total is down 2 points to 51.5, despite the Over attracting 83 percent of bets and 85 percent of cash.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2020, 11:57 PM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 5
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games.

Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first weekend of October in college football.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Florida (-15½) 38, South Carolina 24

This game was tie 14-14 well into the second quarter but the Gators would score the next 24 points to lead 38-14 with just under five minutes to go in the third quarter. South Carolina would earn a long field goal at the end of the third and then got an early fourth quarter interception.

A pass interference call put the Gamecocks in range to score again and while they had to convert two 4th downs before cashing in, they eventually delivered to cut the margin to 10 points with just over 10 minutes remaining. Florida wouldn’t threaten while South Carolina would convert two more 4th downs to compile 74 yards on its final drive but without adding points.

West Virginia (+2) 27, Baylor 21

Baylor scored with just over a minute remaining to force overtime with a 14-14 tie in a rare defensive battle in the Big XII. Turnovers were a factor in keeping points off the board more than great defense however. In overtime West Virginia went first and opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 rather than kicking field goal, with that decision paying off with a touchdown on the next play.

Baylor scored on its first play to match the Mountaineers at 21-21. The 2nd OT drive for Baylor lasted just one play as well with Charlie Brewer intercepted. West Virginia needed only four plays to find the end zone to complete the minor upset, posting a solid production edge but surviving four turnovers.

TCU (+10½) 33, Texas 31 (62)

The Horned Frogs delivered another upset in this series but there was late drama for many on the total with a price that swung anywhere from 59½ to 63½ depending when and where it was played. In a back-and-forth 4th quarter the Frogs went up by four with four minutes to go putting the scoring at 62.

Texas appeared ready to take the lead but would eventually fumble on 1st-and-goal from the TCU 1-yard-line to wind up still short on the scoreboard.

TCU was in a dangerous position but got a huge run on 3rd-and-7 for some breathing room. TCU would face a 4th down still pinned deep and opted to take a safety after running the clock out, putting the scoring from 62 to 64.

SMU (-2) 30, Memphis 27

SMU went from the underdog to the favorite in this game and that shift appeared accurate with a 24-3 edge early in the second quarter. Memphis would rally with back-to-back long touchdown drives and a 56-yard field goal before halftime to trail by only four. SMU would have to settle for a short field goal on its first possession in the second half and Memphis was able to tie the game with an 87-yard touchdown drive completed late in the third.

SMU appeared poised to go back in front, but the Mustangs fumbled in the red zone. The offenses disappeared from there with each team having consecutive punts.

Memphis eventually crossed midfield with under three minutes to go but Brady White fumbled on a sack and SMU was able to convert a 3rd-and-11 to set-up a field goal with nine seconds left.

Kansas State (+1) 31, Texas Tech 21

Kansas State led 17-7 late in the third quarter, flipped from a slight favorite to a closing line underdog coming off last week’s big win over Oklahoma. Texas Tech put together back-to-back long touchdown drives to lead 21-17 with 11 minutes to go but Kansas State needed only three plays to go back in front with a 24-21 edge at the 10-minute mark.

The Red Raiders were a threat to answer but Henry Colombi was intercepted in the end zone. Both teams had to punt on subsequent possessions and facing 3rd down with just over two minutes remaining Kansas State connected for a 70-yard touchdown to put the game away.

Texas Tech had a significant yardage edge in a game where both teams had to replace their injured starting quarterbacks.

Florida Atlantic (-5) 21, Charlotte 17

The Owls trailed 10-0 at halftime but scored three touchdowns in a span of just over six minutes in the third quarter to lead 21-0. Charlotte would convert a 4th down and add a touchdown early in the fourth quarter to trail by only six and then stopped FAU going for it on 4th-and-1 in the red zone.

Looking for a late score to win the 49ers reached the FAU 16-yard-line in the final minute but took back-to-back sacks and came a few yards short on 4th-and-15 to end the game.

Iowa State (+7½) 37, Oklahoma 30

Looking to bounce back from last week’s upset the Sooners had a 17-6 lead not even 20 minutes into this game. Iowa State would complete a long drive before halftime to stay in it and then was in front by the end of the third quarter 23-20.

The Sooners appeared to get it together scoring the first 10 points of the final frame to lead by seven on a spread that bounced between 7 and 7½. A huge kickoff return for the Cyclones changed that equation and after a pass interference call Iowa State was in the end zone to tie the game.

Oklahoma and new quarterback Spencer Rattler looked rattled with an ugly drive that included a penalty and a sack and the Sooners had to punt with six minutes to go and the score tied.

The Cyclones took full advantage of their rising momentum with a four-play touchdown drive to lead by seven. Oklahoma would have a new set of downs with about a minute to go from the Iowa State 34 but for the second straight week, Rattler suffered a late interception as the Sooners are now 0-2 in the Big XII.

Western Kentucky (-7) 20, Middle Tennessee State 17

This game was tied at 10-10 at halftime and the Hilttoppers took a 13-10 lead late in the third quarter with a 53-yard field goal. A productive MTSU drive across midfield ended in a punt for a touchback and after matching 3-and-outs Tyrrell Pigrome led a great drive for Western Kentucky taking more than six minutes off the clock in a 13-play effort.

A 4th down conversion was included as Pigrome eventually connected for a touchdown pass to put the Hilltoppers up 10 and past the favorite spread with six minutes remaining.

Asher O’Hara and the Blue Raiders have disappointed this season but after getting a 4th down conversion via penalty and another on an O’Hara rush, the Bluer Raiders punched in the spread-stealing score with just over two minutes to go.

LSU (-21) 41, Vanderbilt 7

LSU rebounded with a 21-7 edge at halftime but the underdog stayed in the game as the Tigers settled for two 3rd quarter field goals, leading by 20.

Another field goal seemed possible before Myles Brennan hit a 29-yard touchdown strike to put the Tigers past the number. Vanderbilt was in position to answer reaching the LSU 6-yard-line with a new set of downs but on 2nd down Ken Seals was intercepted in a crushing blow for those taking the points. With relative ease and still throwing often with a big lead, LSU went down the field to make it a 41-7 game, where the final score held, keeping a total of right around 50 just ‘under’ as well.

Georgia Southern (-18½) 35, UL-Monroe 30

Neither the spread or the total was impacted with a wild finish in this Sun Belt clash but it was a noteworthy final few seconds, and surely a few people had attractive moneyline tickets on the big underdog. Georgia Southern led 35-17 late in the third but back-to-back scores put the Warhawks within five, missing a PAT on the first of those two touchdowns.

Down five, UL-M would have the ball back with about two minutes remaining and Colby Suits would lead the team into scoring range. He converted a 4th-and-6 with his legs and then on the game’s final play he scampered to the goal line stopped just short.

Time ticked away and the offense wasn’t able to clock it in time to continue while no review was called for.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2020, 11:57 PM

307MISSISSIPPI ST -308 KENTUCKY
MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

309DUKE -310 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog since 1992.

311PITTSBURGH -312 BOSTON COLLEGE
PITTSBURGH is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

313NC STATE -314 VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

315E CAROLINA -316 S FLORIDA
E CAROLINA is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road dog of <=7 since 1992.

317MIAMI -318 CLEMSON
MIAMI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

319VIRGINIA TECH -320 N CAROLINA
N CAROLINA is 47-26 ATS (18.4 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

321TENNESSEE -322 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home games after an ATS win since 1992.

323OKLAHOMA -324 TEXAS
TEXAS are 44-25 ATS (16.5 Units) in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

325TEXAS TECH -326 IOWA ST
TEXAS TECH is 29-13 ATS (14.7 Units) after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.

327ALABAMA -328 OLE MISS
OLE MISS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

329ARKANSAS -330 AUBURN
ARKANSAS are 26-13 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game since 1992.

331MISSOURI -332 LSU
LSU is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

333FLORIDA -334 TEXAS A&M
FLORIDA is 57-33 ATS (20.7 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

337S CAROLINA -338 VANDERBILT
VANDERBILT is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

339TEXAS ST -340 TROY
TROY is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after going under the total since 1992.

341LA MONROE -342 LIBERTY
LA MONROE is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

343UTSA -344 BYU
BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

347TEMPLE -348 NAVY
TEMPLE is 23-7 ATS (15.3 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game. since 1992.

349MIDDLE TENN ST -350 FLA INTERNATIONAL
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

351UTEP -352 LOUISIANA TECH
UTEP is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) on the road when the total is 52.5-56 since 1992.

353FLORIDA ST -354 NOTRE DAME
FLORIDA ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when the total is 49.5-56 in the last 3 seasons.

355CHARLOTTE -356 NORTH TEXAS
NORTH TEXAS are 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

357MARSHALL -358 W KENTUCKY
MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. poor kickoff return teams, less than 19 yards per return since 1992.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2020, 11:58 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 6

Saturday, October 10

LA-Monroe @ Liberty

Game 341-342
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
54.452
Liberty
78.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 24
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 19
60
Dunkel Pick:
Liberty
(-19); Under

South Carolina @ Vanderbilt

Game 337-338
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
94.910
Vanderbilt
73.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 21 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 12
49
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(-12); Under

Virginia Tech @ North Carolina

Game 319-320
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
88.648
North Carolina
101.684
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 13
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 5 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-5 1/2); Over

Florida @ Texas A&M

Game 333-334
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
101.337
Texas A&M
98.867
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 2 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 6 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(+6 1/2); Over

Coastal Carolina @ LA-Lafayette

Game 363-364
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
00.000
LA-Lafayette
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina

Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
N/A

Texas @ Oklahoma

Game 323-324
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
99.432
Oklahoma
93.557
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 6
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 2 1/2
70
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+2 1/2); Over

NC State @ Virginia

Game 313-314
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC State
79.524
Virginia
97.070
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 17 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 9 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-9 1/2); Under

Duke @ Syracuse

Game 309-310
October 10, 2020 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
79.365
Syracuse
84.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 5
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 1 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+1 1/2); Over

The Citadel @ Army

Game 359-360
October 10, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
The Citadel
49.826
Army
87.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 38
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 31 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(-31 1/2); Over

Mercer @ Jacksonville St

Game 000-000
October 10, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mercer
47.228
Jacksonville St
55.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville St
by 8 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville St
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
N/A

TX-San Antonio @ Brigham Young

Game 343-344
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
66.373
Brigham Young
107.820
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 41 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 33
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-33); Under

Texas Tech @ Iowa State

Game 325-326
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
79.603
Iowa State
99.062
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 19 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 13
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-13); Under

Tennessee @ Georgia

Game 321-322
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
96.346
Georgia
113.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 17
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 14
45
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-14); Under

Central Arkansas @ Arkansas St

Game 361-362
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
62.097
Arkansas St
83.261
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 21
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 17
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-17); Under

Texas State @ Troy

Game 339-340
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
71.425
Troy
81.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 9 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 7
61
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-7); Over

Middle Tennessee St @ FIU

Game 349-350
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
61.776
FIU
74.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 12 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 5
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(-5); Under

Florida Atlantic @ Southern Miss

Game 345-346
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
79.693
Southern Miss
80.913
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 1
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 3 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+3 1/2); Over

Arkansas @ Auburn

Game 329-330
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
91.839
Auburn
98.830
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 7
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 16 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(+16 1/2); Under

Pittsburgh @ Boston College

Game 311-312
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
89.605
Boston College
81.828
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 8
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-4 1/2); Over

Kansas State @ TCU

Game 335-336
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
96.067
TCU
94.368
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 1 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 10
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+10); Under

Temple @ Navy

Game 347-348
October 10, 2020 @

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
77.700
Navy
80.122
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 2 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+3); Over

Alabama @ Mississippi

Game 327-328
October 10, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
113.583
Mississippi
95.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 18 1/2
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 24
71
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi
(+24); Over

East Carolina @ South Florida

Game 315-316
October 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
68.879
South Florida
70.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 2
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 4
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+4); Over

Mississippi St @ Kentucky

Game 307-308
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
93.098
Kentucky
94.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 3
57
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(+3); Under

Florida State @ Notre Dame

Game 353-354
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
83.212
Notre Dame
100.285
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 17
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 21
54
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+21); Over

Marshall @ Western Kentucky

Game 357-358
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
90.637
Western Kentucky
75.101
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 15 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 5
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(-5); Under

UTEP @ Louisiana Tech

Game 351-352
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
67.591
Louisiana Tech
78.502
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 11
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 15
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(+15); Under

Miami-FL @ Clemson

Game 317-318
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
94.486
Clemson
117.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 23
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 15
64
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-15); Under

Charlotte @ North Texas

Game 355-356
October 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
70.354
North Texas
70.708
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Texas
Even
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 2 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(+2 1/2); Over

Missouri @ LSU

Game 331-332
October 10, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
86.736
LSU
112.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 25 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 20
54
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-20); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2020, 11:58 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 1) at KENTUCKY (0 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (0 - 4) at SYRACUSE (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (3 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (2 - 1) at VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (0 - 2) at S FLORIDA (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (3 - 0) at CLEMSON (3 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) at N CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (2 - 0) at GEORGIA (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
GEORGIA is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
GEORGIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (1 - 2) vs. TEXAS (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (1 - 2) at IOWA ST (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (2 - 0) at OLE MISS (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
ALABAMA is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ALABAMA is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (1 - 1) at AUBURN (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (0 - 2) at LSU (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (2 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (2 - 1) at TCU (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 180-143 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 180-143 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 135-95 ATS (+30.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 168-125 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 132-93 ATS (+29.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 75-47 ATS (+23.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (0 - 2) at VANDERBILT (0 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (1 - 3) at TROY (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (0 - 4) at LIBERTY (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (3 - 1) at BYU (3 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 0) at SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 3) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (0 - 0) at NAVY (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 184-136 ATS (+34.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 184-136 ATS (+34.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 102-63 ATS (+32.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 166-121 ATS (+32.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 116-77 ATS (+31.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEMPLE is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEMPLE is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 4) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (3 - 1) at LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 138-175 ATS (-54.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
UTEP is 138-175 ATS (-54.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
UTEP is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
UTEP is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (1 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (0 - 2) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (2 - 0) at W KENTUCKY (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
MARSHALL is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
W KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2020, 11:59 PM

NCAAF

Week 6

Trend Report

Saturday, October 10

South Carolina @ Vanderbilt
South Carolina
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing at home against South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games at home

Texas @ Oklahoma
Texas
Texas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas

Virginia Tech @ North Carolina
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
Virginia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech

Louisiana-Monroe @ Liberty
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Texas State @ Troy
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Troy
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas State

North Carolina State @ Virginia
North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games on the road
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games

Duke @ Syracuse
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Duke's last 15 games
Syracuse
Syracuse is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 7 games

The Citadel @ Army
The Citadel
The Citadel is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The Citadel is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
Army
Army is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Texas Tech @ Iowa State
Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
Iowa State
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
Iowa State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech

Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Central Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games at home

Texas-San Antonio @ Brigham Young
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Brigham Young is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

Tennessee @ Georgia
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Georgia's last 11 games

Florida @ Texas A&M
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games

Arkansas @ Auburn
Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games when playing Auburn
Auburn
Auburn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas
Auburn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas

Kansas State @ Texas Christian
Kansas State
Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games when playing Kansas State

Florida Atlantic @ Southern Miss
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Miss's last 10 games
Southern Miss is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

Middle Tennessee @ Florida International
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Florida International
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida International
Florida International
Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games when playing Middle Tennessee

Pittsburgh @ Boston College
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Alabama @ Mississippi
Alabama
Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Alabama is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Alabama
Mississippi is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Alabama

Temple @ Navy
Temple
Temple is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Navy
Temple is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Navy
Navy
Navy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

East Carolina @ South Florida
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Florida
South Florida
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
South Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina

Mississippi State @ Kentucky
Mississippi State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 7 games on the road
Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kentucky
Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games
Kentucky is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Texas El Paso @ Louisiana Tech
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Marshall @ Western Kentucky
Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
Marshall is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games when playing Marshall

Miami-FL @ Clemson
Miami-FL
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami-FL's last 5 games when playing Clemson
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Miami-FL's last 21 games on the road
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Clemson is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games

Florida State @ Notre Dame
Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida State's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 7 games
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Charlotte @ North Texas
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
North Texas
North Texas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 7 games at home

Missouri @ Louisiana State
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Missouri's last 8 games
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
Louisiana State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-08-2020, 12:00 AM

Tech Trends - Week 6
Bruce Marshall

Week 6 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 8 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Saturday, Oct. 10

MISSISSIPPI STATE at KENTUCKY (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)

Rebels coach Mike Leach made bright debut at Miss State.
Remember he was only 4-11 ATS his previous 15 vs. line at Wazzu.
Also, he lost last week vs. Arkansas.
Leach though is 15-8 as an underdog last 23 in role with WSU & MSU.
Home team has won and covered last five meetings.
Mark Stoops was 6-2 vs. points at Lexington in 2019 before last week’s loss to Ole Miss.

Tech Edge: Slight to Kentucky, based on series home trends.

DUKE at SYRACUSE (ACC, 12:30 p.m.)

Head coach David Cutcliffe lost this game 49-6 to ‘Cuse LY.
One of his worst efforts with Duke.
Cutcliffe now on 9-15-2 ATS skid.

Tech Edge: Syracuse, based on recent Duke woes.

PITT at BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC, 4:00 p.m.)

Panthers were 4-1 vs. line as visitor in 2019.
BC 2-0 as dog for Hafley, 16-5-1 as short since 2017.
Last year’s meeting was first since 2004 when both still in Big East!

Tech Edge: Slight to Boston College, if underdog, based on extended trends.

NC STATE at VIRGINIA (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)

Even after win at Pitt, NCS 3-11 spread skid since early 2019.
Wolfpack also no covers eight of last nine away from home.

Tech Edge: Virginia, based on NCS woes.

EAST CAROLINA at SOUTH FLORIDA (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

USF has won last five outright in series and 4-1-1 last six vs. line against ECU.
But Bulls only 4-8 vs. spread last 12 at Tampa.
Note Pirates on 6-2 uptick as underdog since mid 2019 for coach Mike Houston.

Tech Edge: Slight to East Carolina, based on recent team trends.

MIAMI-FL. at CLEMSON (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

Canes hot 3-0 SU and vs. line to begin 2020.
Note Dabo has won last two vs. Miami by combined 96-3 score (2015 & 2017 ACC title game).
Though Clemson has failed to cover mountainous numbers first three this season, Dabo was 11-4 vs. line laying mostly big points last year.
And was 19-5-1 vs. spread last 25 entering this season.
Dabo had also covered seven straight as ACC host before non-cover vs. Virginia.

Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on Dabo trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)

UNC coach Mack Brown 5-0 SU, 4-1 vs. line last five since late 2019.
Tar Heels have lost last four SU in series though it took 6 OTs last season.
V-Tech head coach Justin Fuente 4-0 as dog with Hokies in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Virginia Tech, based on team and series trends.

TENNESSEE at GEORGIA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)

Vols on an 8-game SU win streak (and 8-2 last ten vs. line).
UT has lost last 3 SU vs. Georgia and not closer than 26 in any of those games.
Jeremy Pruitt has covered five straight as 'dog for Vols.
Dawgs just 1-5 as Athens chalk in 2019 before win over Auburn last week.

Tech Edge: Tennessee, based on recent trends.

OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS at Dallas (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)

UT coach Tom Herman 3-0 vs. line in reg season vs. Oklahoma.
He’s 16-4 as a dog since 2015 at Houston.
Longhorns have covered six straight in reg season vs. Sooners.
OU just 10-18-1 last 29 on board.

Tech Edge: Texas, based on team and series trends.

TEXAS TECH at IOWA STATE (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

Matt Campbell’s ISU 4-11 last 15 as chalk.
Campbell 1-3 vs. line last four after facing OU, but is 4-0 SU and vs. line against Texas Tech.
Coach Matt Wells just 3-5 as dog with Red Raiders.

Tech Edge: Iowa State, based on series trends.

ALABAMA at OLE MISS (ESPN, 6:00 p.m.)

Nick Saban is 20-0 SU against former assistants.
Lane Kiffin 1-1 vs. line with Rebs after 10-4 mark last year vs. spread at FAU.
Saban 62 PPG last 3 vs. Ole Miss, though only 2-1 vs. line those games.
'Bams just 5-7 last 12 as SEC visiting chalk.
Rebs were 5-1-1 as 'dog last year for Matt Luke and 1-1 in role thus far with Kiffin.

Tech Edge: Slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS at AUBURN (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)

Auburn coach Gus Malzahn has won and covered last four in this special rivalry (for him).
All of those wins by 31 or more.
Malzahn 8-3 last 11 as reg season chalk.

Tech Edge: Auburn, based on series trends.

MISSOURI at LSU (ESPN, 9:00 p.m.)

Even in championship 2019 season, LSU only 2-2 as Baton Rouge SEC chalk, now 2-4 last six in role.
Tigers coach Eli Drinkwitz now 4-1 as dog (3-0 App, 1-0 Mizzou) since last year at App State, and 10-6 overall vs. spread.
This is the first meeting since 2016.

Tech Edge: Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.

FLORIDA at TEXAS A&M (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

After covering 13 of his first 16 with Aggies, head coach Jimbo Fisher has now dropped 8 of last 12 on board with A&M.
Dan Mullen, meanwhile, is 6-2 vs. spread as SEC visitor since taking over Gators in 2018.

Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends.

KANSAS STATE at TCU (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)

Horned Frogs are 5-15-1 as Fort Worth chalk since 2016, and have lost and failed to cover 4 of last 5 vs. K-State.
Wildcats coach Chris Klieman 7-2 as 'dog since 2019 with Cats.
K-State Now 22-7 as dog since 2016 dating to the last years of the Bill Snyder era.

Tech Edge: Kansas State, based on team and series trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at VANDERBILT (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)

Since arriving in Columbia, coach Will Muschamp has owned Vandy, winning and covering all four with SC vs. Dores.
Vandy coach Derek Mason 4-11 spread slump since late 2018.

Tech Edge: South Carolina, based on series trends.

TEXAS STATE at TROY (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)

Much-improved Texas State has been more active than most teams and improving vs. number (3-1), also has covered last four as dog since late 2019.
Troy on 5-11 reg season spread skid (5-9 for Lindsey) though Trojans have won and covered last three in series.

Tech Edge: Texas State, based on recent trends.

ULM at LIBERTY (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)

Things not going well at ULM, 0-4 SU and1 1-3 vs. line, now 9-20 vs. points since late 2017 for coach Matt Viator.

Tech Edge: Liberty, based on team trends.

UTSA at BYU (ESPN2, 2:30 p.m.)

Note UTSA has covered 7 of last 8 as dog since mid 2019.
Coach Kalani Sitake off quickly in 2020 at 3-0 for BYU but remember just 4-9 vs. line last season.

Tech Edge: UTSA, based on team trends.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at SOUTHERN MISS (Stadium, 4:00 p.m.)

FAU finally made debut on Oct. 3 after 10-4 vs. line for Lane Kiffin last year.
Though after non-cover vs. Charlotte, coach Willie Taggart just 8-14-1 vs. spread since 2018 at FSU and now FAU.
USM won at UNT last week, breaking six-game SU and spread skid.

Tech Edge: FAU, based on recent trends.

TEMPLE at NAVY (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)

Owls were 3-0 SU, 2-0-1 vs. line against Mids from 2016-18.
Note Navy 3-0-1 vs. line last four years after facing Air Force and has covered 6 of last 7 in Annapolis.
Owls were 8-5 vs. line for coach Rod Carey LY but only 2-4 outside of Philly and yet to play in 2020!

Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on team trends.

MTSU at FIU (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)

Home side has covered last four in this series.
Brent Stockstill, however, is 8-5 vs. line last 13 as visitor (1-1 in 2020) for MT.
FIU coach Butch Davis only 2-5 as chalk since last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Florida International, based on series home trends.

UTEP at LA TECH (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)

UTEP 3-1 SU (2-2 vs. line), taking advantage of soft early slate.
Remember Miners were 10-25-1 vs. spread previous three seasons.
Road team has also covered last four in series.
Skip Holtz was 3-7 as Ruston chalk in 2017-18 but 3-2 in role LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to Louisiana Tech, based on extended trends.

FLORIDA STATE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 7:30 p.m.)

Noles skidding 13-26-1 vs. line since 2017 (0-2 TY).
Also 4-10 as underdog since 2017.
Irish 6-3 vs. spread at South Bend since 2019, also on 6-1 uptick vs. points.

Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on recent trends.

CHARLOTTE at NORTH TEXAS (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)

UNT on 5-19 skid last 24 vs. spread since mid 2018.
49ers however only 3-5 vs. spread last eight away from home.

Tech Edge: Slight to Charlotte, based on recent UNT negatives.

MARSHALL at WESTERN KENTUCKY (Stadium, 7:30 p.m.)

Series has slanted to WKU, which has covered last six meetings.
Though Hilltoppers on 0-4-1 spread skid since late 2019.
Herd is 11-4 last 15 as dog.

Tech Edge: Western Kentucky, based on series trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-10-2020, 04:09 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

October 10, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, there is a 16-race card set to go at Northfield Park and the headliners are state bred 2-year-olds competing in the Ohio Fair Championships. The $1 Early Pick 4 begins is Race 7 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

2-Designers Specs (1/1)-Is a perfect 13-13 and has raced at Nfld one time before tonight. Hasn't trotted faster but than 158.3 but may have to do so to keep the unbeaten streak alive.
4-Boujee Girl (3-1)-Winner of 7 races in 12 starts has a 159 mark at DTN. Shows only one break and appears to have the best chances of knocking off the chalk.

Race 8

2-Shehitthehighnote (3-1)-Comes off a sharp win starting in the 2nd tier. Competitive filly has won 14 of 32 starts and should be in the mix versus this crew.
6-Tiny Bit Of Sky (12-1)-Has been used hard in last 2 starts at Dela and has the gate speed to get a close up seat. Filly likes to win and has taken pictures in 15 of 43 starts.
7-Treasurethosechips (7-1)-Has won 2 of 5 starts at Nfld and comes off a win here on 10/3. Like #6, knows how to win notching victories in 13 of 31 starts.

Race 9

2-Electric Ridge (9/5)-Drops and fits better with this group. Has taken a 156.2 mark at Nfld, winner of 6 of 18 this year should be a player.
3-Cell Service (7-1)-Was a winner in first start for new barn, right here on 10/6. Will probably need a lifetime best to win tonight, but will take a shot the upswing continues at a nice price.

Race 10

5-Mr Ds Rock (2-1)-At Nfld on 10/6 got on the engine and didn't look back to win. Pet Rock 3-year-old will be difficult to beat if gets the top and controls the pace. Last score was in a quick 152.1.
6-Cody Hanover (7/2)-This is the other possibility in what appears to be a 2-horse race. Has shown a 151.3 race time. Could be right behind #5 and catch a nice pocket trip. Does have a 0-3 record at Nfld but that could change tonight.

$1 Early Pick 4

2,4/2,6,7/2,3/5,6
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-10-2020, 04:12 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 10/10/20

October 10, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Star Sailor; 7-Gator Shining

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: Star Sailor has been preparing for his debut at Los Alamitos so he’s “out of sight, out of mind” with regards to workout evaluations, but the son of Union Rags did bring $275,000 as a yearling so he’s obviously an attractive individual and highly-regarded. The J. Sadler barn has solid stats with first-timer starters, many of whom run better than their a.m. times might indicate, so with “go to” jockey U. Rispoli taking the call let’s put him on top in this maiden special weight sprint on grass for juveniles. Gator Shining, a $45,000 purchase at the OBS April sale where he previewed very nicely in :21 2/5 under mild urging only, ships up from San Luis Rey Downs for R. Baltas, another trainer that has good stats with debut runners. The son of Noble Mission certainly is bred for grass, so at 4-1 on the morning line he has to be included in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:36 PT Grade: B
Single: 5-Big Mama Sue

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: Big Mama Sue showed some moxie in her debut in late July at Del Mar, lacking early speed but then finishing strongly but too late before galloping out in front in a highly-rated maiden claiming dash. She was subsequently scratched a few weeks later so this will be her first outing in about 10 weeks, but her recent work tab looks healthy and at this extended sprint trip in a five-runner affair the daughter of Mr. Big should be capable of producing a winning late kick. Additionally, the P. Aguirre-trained filly is comfortably drawn outside and makes a favorable jockey switch to J. J. Hernandez, so as the co-second choice at 5/2 on the morning line we’ll make her a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:07 PT Grade: X
Single: 5-Flat Out Joy

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: Flat Out Joy is listed at 4/5 on the morning line in this $40,000 maiden claiming sprint for older fillies and mares, and while there’s no value at that price the R. Ellis-trained 4-year-old really has little to beat. This will be her second start off a long layoff – she appeared to be a short horse when fourth in straight maiden company at Del Mar in August – and with that race under her belt coupled with a warranted class drop into a seller she really shouldn’t miss the opportunity. It a race that we’ll otherwise pass, we’ll make the daughter of Flat a short-priced rolling exotic single.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:40 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Over Attracted; 7-Leggs Galore; 8-Dulce

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: We’ll spread the first leg of the Pick-6, a state-bred first-level allowance grass sprint for fillies and mares. Leggs Galore has improved dramatically since switching to turf and looks well-placed for another major effort after breaking her maiden and beating state-bred foes in a pair of solid performances at Del Mar. This is an open affair and clearly is a step up in class, but the lightly-raced daughter of Bayern is solid in the speed figure department and shows two recent bullet workouts over the local training track to have her on edge. Dulce, comfortably placed outside and likely to draft into a good stalking position, won her debut at Del Mar and then saw her Beyer speed figure improve 13 points when finishing a willing third vs. similar last month, both of those starts sprinting on grass. The daughter of Twirling Candy gets an extra half furlong to work with and should be doing her best work from the quarter pole home. Over Attracted is winless in three starts since being imported from France but she’s from a top flight barn, switches to top grass jockey U. Rispoli, and sports the always dangerous route to sprint angle along with a recent bullet workout. Look for the Kentucky-bred daughter of Atreides to be a dangerous late factor.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:11 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Miss Bennet; 6-Daniel the Dreamer

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: This restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares drew just six starters; we’ll try to survive and advance using just two. Miss Bennet, now in the N. French barn, adds blinkers for the first time and turns back from a couple route-races, so it’ll be interesting to see how she performs. On the positive side, her only victory was accomplished sprinting over the Santa Anita main track – yes, it almost two years ago – so maybe under these conditions she can snap to life. At 5-1 on the morning line and in a short field she looks to be worth a bit of a gamble at that price. Daniel the Dreamer, a dangerous shipper from Golden Gate Fields, makes her first start since being claimed by J. Wong (an astounding 35% with this angle) while returning to conventional dirt. Her runner-up effort over the Pleasanton main track two races back charts well with these, and with R. Gonzalez taking the call (34% with a powerful ROI with this barn) she’s the one to beat as the 2-1 morning line favorite.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:42 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Miss Megan; 4-A Melis; 8-Hotitude

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: This is a split of the fourth race, a state-bred grass sprint for fillies and mares. Miss Megan has been away since February but when last seen she was winning a similar affair on dirt and based on pedigree there’s no reason she can’t be just as effective on grass. There’s nothing flashy about her recent work tab, but at least it’s healthy and she does hail from a barn that is solid with comebackers, so let’s put her slightly on top at 5/2 on the morning line. Hotitude earned a career top number when third sprinting on grass at Del Mar in August and with another forward move today should be in the fray throughout. Given the moderate projected pace flow, the K. Mulhall-trained filly projects be on or near the lead throughout and have every chance. A Melis certainly is a major player despite a nearly two month layoff following a modestly-rated two-turn maiden win at Del Mar. Actually, she might be just as good if not better sprinting but will be making her first start on grass. If she can transfer her dirt form to the lawn, she’ll be right there.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:13 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Brittle and Yoo; 3-Lady On Ice

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: Five fillies and mares meet in this six furlong main track starter’s allowance affair with morning line favoritism (at 9/5) going to Brittle and Yoo. The daughter of Include returns to dirt (her preferred surface) after finishing third in a pair of grass dashes at Del Mar, and if she can negotiate a decent stalking trip from the rail the J. Sadler-trained filly should be capable of producing a winning late bid. Lady On Ice could find herself as the controlling speed in a race that projects to have a soft opening quarter mile. After breaking her maiden by more than five lengths in just her second career start last month at Del Mar, the R. Baltas-trained daughter of Archarcharch certainly has a room for further improvement, and with three nice drills in the interim she’s probably the one to fear most. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with a very slight edge on top to Brittle and Yoo.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:44 PT Grade: B (Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 1-Nardini; 4-Just Grazed Me

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: Just Grazed Me won last year’s renewal of the California Distaff H. but it’s a question whether she’s as good now and she was in 2019. The veteran mare went a bit stale last spring and was stopped on, but with more than four months off she could easily fire a big shot fresh. The work tab looks moderate but DRF reports that she had a sharp unrecorded drill last weekend, going five furlongs in company in 1:00 flat. Far superior to her rivals if she shows up with anything close to her best stuff, the P. D’Amato-trained daughter of Grazen is listed as the 6/5 morning line favorite. Bay Area shipper Nardini is lightly-raced, improving, and probably most effective as a late-running turf sprinter. She’ll need another significant forward move to win at this level but may have it in her, especially in a small field from a favorable inside draw, so at 8-1 on the morning line we’ll include her in our rolling exotics.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 8: Post 5:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Great Ulysses; 6-Pour On the Cole; 7-Boyson

Forecast: Southern California shipper Great Ulysses drops sharply in class and may have found his proper level in this restricted (nw-2) $12,5000 claimer over a mile. The Union Rags colt, who broke his maiden at first asking around two-turns at Indiana Downs, has sprinted in his last three outings and should be sharp on the stretch out in a race that he projects as the controlling speed. He may be worth a gamble at 10-1 on the morning line. Also worth including in your rolling exotics are Pour On the Cole, who is re-equipped with blinkers in his first-off-the-claim for J. Wong (an amazing 35% with this angle) and Boyson, a dangerous deep closer with good form over the local all-weather surface.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:15 PT Grade: B (Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick-4
Use: 2-Master Recovery; 3-Full Draw

(View Video Analysis)

Forecast: Full Draw, back sprinting, back on dirt, and finding weak band of bottom-rung maiden claimers, looks well-placed to earn his diploma as the logical 9/5 morning line favorite. The J. Sadler-trained gelding turned in a sharp recent five furlong workout (1:00 1/5) to have him right on edge, and with just four starts on his resume the son of Union Rags certainly has more right to step forward than most of the others in the field. Master Recovery removes blinkers in his first start since being gelded and could leave his previous form behind his first outing since June. The 3-year-old son of Bodemeister has been routing most of this career and has earned reasonably competitive speed figures for this level so with the drop back in trip he’s worth consideration at 6-1 on the morning line.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 8: Post 5:10 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Gambini; 3-Kenjilookslucky

Forecast: Del Mar shipper Gambini drops into a claimer for the first time and has recent speed figures that are better than par for this maiden $20,000 level. He’s guaranteed a good ground-saving trip from his inside draw and should be able to produce a winning late bid. Kenjilookslucky returned off a long layoff at Del Mar in maiden $20,000 sprint last month and was always far back, but the Lookin At Lucky gelding stretches out to what should be a much more comfortable distance while removing blinkers, so there’s reason to believe he’ll run considerably better in this spot. His only other outing – a straight maiden turf miler try at Ellis Park last year, wasn’t really all that bad. The C. Dollase-trained 3-year-old is a “must use” at 15-1 on the morning line.

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