Saturday 10/17/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

905ATLANTA -906 LA DODGERS
ATLANTA is 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) in road games in day games in the current season.

907HOUSTON -908 TAMPA BAY
HOUSTON is 28-36 SU (-12.8 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 5	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $15,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $15,840 • Post: 8:59P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 17, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 17, 2020 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT NECESSARY TO TAKE THIS RACE OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 5 FURLONG ON THE MAIN TRACK.).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BANANA THIEF: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. SUPERIOR 'S BOY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GETALOADOFTHIS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SPECTROLITE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GRAB THE MUNNY: Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days.
2	BANANA THIEF	9/2	5/1
8	SUPERIOR'S BOY	8/1	6/1
7	GETALOADOFTHIS	10/1	6/1
1	SPECTROLITE	15/1	10/1
6	GRAB THE MUNNY	3/1	10/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	FREE MUSIC	5	15/1	Front-runner	84	79	102.0	76.3	54.8
1	SPECTROLITE	1	15/1	Front-runner	90	83	101.0	85.0	76.5
12	COCO TIGER	12	20/1	Front-runner	92	91	95.4	84.8	70.3
9	TIZ A MELODY	9	6/1	Alternator/Front-runner	93	87	81.7	80.2	66.2
7	GETALOADOFTHIS	7	10/1	Stalker	86	87	84.6	89.4	85.4
8	SUPERIOR'S BOY	8	8/1	Trailer	91	91	88.6	91.2	81.7
11	MAN U	11	10/1	Trailer	94	79	73.0	74.5	62.5
6	GRAB THE MUNNY	6	3/1	Trailer	91	84	62.5	83.8	74.3
2	BANANA THIEF	2	9/2	Trailer	99	92	56.8	90.4	82.4
4	AGENT MCGEE	4	8/1	Trailer	91	77	46.1	79.8	65.3
3	IMMA WILD BLING	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	91	86	103.2	77.9	64.9
10	TALE OF A STORM	10	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	74	83.6	72.6	50.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park

Santa Anita Park - Race 9	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 Leg 1 of the $1 Golden Hour Pick 4
Stakes • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 109 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 5:15P
AUTUMN MISS S. - GRADE 3 (RAIL AT 10 FEET). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH IF MADE ON OR BEFORE THURSDAY, OCTOBER 8, 2020, CLOSED WITH 15 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $2,000 BY TIME OF ENTRY. ALL HORSES TO PAY $1,500 TO ENTER WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED. THE WINNER TO RECEIVE $60,000, $20,000 TO SECOND, $12,000 TO THIRD, $6,000 TO FOURTH AND $2,000 TO FIFTH. 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADED STAKES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 17, 2019, ALLOWED 2 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 17, 2020 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. GOING TO VEGAS is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WARREN'S SHOWTIME: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMas ter Power Rating. CROUGHAVOUKE (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GUITTY (FR): Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GOING TO VEGAS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
5	WARREN'S SHOWTIME	9/5	5/1
7	CROUGHAVOUKE (IRE)	7/2	5/1
4	GUITTY (FR)	4/1	6/1
6	GOING TO VEGAS	8/1	7/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	QUIET SECRETARY	2	10/1	Front-runner	87	90	113.9	86.5	73.0
3	NASTY	3	4/1	Front-runner	82	87	97.4	81.8	69.8
6	GOING TO VEGAS	6	8/1	Stalker	99	101	100.8	92.8	84.8
4	GUITTY (FR)	4	4/1	Trailer	101	98	90.6	100.8	95.3
5	WARREN'S SHOWTIME	5	9/5	Trailer	107	112	89.2	99.2	94.7
7	CROUGHAVOUKE (IRE)	7	7/2	Trailer	101	107	87.4	100.6	97.1
1	MIND OUT	1	8/1	Trailer	92	94	86.0	87.7	79.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Hour Wagers - Race #3 - Post: 5:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#2 SAVING SOPHIE (ML=8/5)
#5 SAVE THE STORY (ML=4/1)


SAVING SOPHIE - Ran a nice speed rating of 79 on Jun 21st. Followed it up with another speed rating of 78. Either effort is good enough to beat this bunch. Taking a trip down in class; has the capability to make her presence felt. Ellis has this race horse running well coming into today. Three strong Equibase speed figures in most recent events make me say this entrant is a solid contender. I like the fact that this filly's last speed rating, 78, is tops in this group. SAVE THE STORY - Don't often see a profitable ROI like +240. This jockey/conditioner tandem has done well together over the last 12 months. Getting a break of 8 lbs from last race at Del Mar. She should make the most of this advantage.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PRINCESS TALE (ML=5/1), #1 NICOLE GRACE (ML=8/1), #3 BAILATINO (ML=8/1),

PRINCESS TALE - Never really did much at all in the last race on Mar 21st. Hard to wager on in today's race. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this animal as a vulnerable contender. NICOLE GRACE - Don't think this mount is worth 8/1 in this clash. BAILATINO - Improbable that this animal will finish better than she did last time out when placing sixth. This filly recorded a speed rating in her last clash which probably isn't good enough in today's race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SAVING SOPHIE - I love betting on horses that have a big advantage over the rest of the field when it comes to the TM Power Rating. This one fits the bill.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 SAVE THE STORY to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 12 - Maiden Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $64300 Class Rating: 69

INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD ONTARIO SIRED MAIDENS OR TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES MAIDEN CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 VERY SAVVY 4/1
# 3 MITZI 8/1
# 2 ADMONISH 15/1

VERY SAVVY is my choice. Has been running quite well lately and will almost certainly be on or close to the front end early on. Has to be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. Could beat this field given the 65 Equibase Speed Figure earned in her last outing. MITZI - Players ought to feel comfortable with this choice given Bahen's recent returns at the window. ADMONISH - The average Equibase class figure alone makes this horse a key contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Cross Country Pick Four - Race #1 - Post: 4:24pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#2 HIPPIE COWGIRL (ML=5/1)
#12 MINER'S QUEEN (ML=12/1)
#3 THREE TIPSY CHIX (ML=6/1)


HIPPIE COWGIRL - Generally, I don't like to see a filly run against the boys like she did September 17th. Good to see she's back with her own sex today. Finished runner up, but easily runner-up over the third horse. Those types usually run well next time out. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this campaigner is meeting an easier bunch than last race out at Arlington. This pony coming off a good performance in the last month or so is a solid contender in my opinion. For my money, a bullet workout is the best indicator of readiness there is. Look at that last one - 49.0. Very impressive. MINER'S QUEEN - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Beschizza gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Asmussen. Looking at today's class rating, this racer is encountering an easier bunch than last time out at Kentucky Downs. This horse didn't run well on the soft turf in her last race at Kentucky Downs. You probably want to toss out that showing. THREE TIPSY CHIX - On board this horse on September 4th and Leparoux is back again in the irons in this race. You always have to be on the lookout for bankroll building jockey/handler combos; we have one right here. That recent bullet 49.6 work shows that this filly is ready for a top race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 WICKED BISOU (ML=4/1), #11 THINKING (ML=9/2), #4 MISS DIAL (ML=6/1),

WICKED BISOU - Doesn't seem to be in a cozy situation this time. THINKING - Tough for this closer horse to get up today. Without a hot pace to stir things up, the lone front speed is going to make it awfully hard to get the job done. MISS DIAL - Not the proper 'spot' in this event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - THREE TIPSY CHIX - This race horse is meeting a much easier group than in the last event on September 4th. Worth a wager today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #2 HIPPIE COWGIRL on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 HENDAYA 3/5
# 4 SUNFLOWER ROSE 15/1
# 7 FIFTEEN K 8/1

HENDAYA is my choice. Displays sound Equibase speed figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. Will likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the midpoint of the race. Is a solid contender - given the 58 speed figure from her most recent race. SUNFLOWER ROSE - Earning some nice paychecks in dirt sprint races. FIFTEEN K - Put up a decent Equibase Speed Figure last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

10/17/20, MTH, Race 4, 2.09 ET
10/17/20,MTH,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 CLAIMING. Purse $19,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since August 17 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $7,500, For Each $500 To $6,500 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Midnight Banker	3/1	Peterson F	Delgado Jose H.	TSFEL	143	39.16	1.31/$1
097.4866	2	Sheknowsthedrill	5/1	Gallardo A A	O'Connell Kathleen		310	35.81	1.07/$1
093.7174	5	Vinaigrette	6/1	Ferrer J C	Farro Patricia	J	310	35.81	1.07/$1
093.6922	6	Right Notion	5/2	Diaz. Jr. H R	Potts Wayne		310	35.81	1.07/$1
092.8926	4	Stamina Princess	8/1	Flores V J	Machado Antonio	C	66	43.94	1.50/$1
092.8804	1	The New Miami	3/1	Maragh R R	Stidham Michael	W	66	43.94	1.50/$1
091.6309	7	Ms. Genuine	10/1	Castillo I	Mazza Joseph W.		66	43.94	1.50/$1
089.7606	3	Valid Treasure	30/1	Gonzalez J L	Hogan William J		310	35.81	1.07/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.00, ROI 0.78/$1
. . . .
100.0000 8 Midnight Banker
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]BestSpeed

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Oct 17 '20, 1:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Atromitos Athinon vs Olympiacos
Play on: Olympiacos -303 at YouWager

1* Free Pick on Olympiacos -303

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Oct 17 '20, 1:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Army vs UTSA
Play on: UTSA +10 -113 at BMaker

1 Dimer on UTSA +10 -113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Oct 17 '20, 1:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Army vs UTSA
Play on: Army -7½ -104 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Army -7.5
This is a good time to ‘buy low’ on Army off a bad performance, and ‘sell high’ on UTSA off a great performance. Army is 4-1 this season with its only loss to Cincinnati, but it is coming off a shaky 14-9 win over The Citadel as a 31-point favorite.
UTSA has certainly overachieved this season with a 3-2 start. But keep in mind those three wins came against Texas State, Stephen F. Austin and Middle Tennessee. But they did hang with UAB and BYU in their last two games, including just a 20-27 loss to the Cougars as 34-point underdogs.
These teams have a common opponent in Middle Tennessee. Army crushed Middle Tennessee 42-0, while UTSA only beat them 37-35. I have no doubt Army is the superior team here and it’s not really even close, so we are getting the Black Knights at a bargain as only 7.5-point favorites due to last week’s results.
Army was not very good last year and still beat UTSA 31-13. They gained 340 rushing yards in that game and held UTSA to just 260 total yards. And UTSA only has one week to prepare for the triple-option, which is a big disadvantage. I also question their level of focus after coming so close to upsetting a ranked BYU team last week. It’s definitely a ‘hangover’ spot for the Roadrunners.
While both offenses have put up similar numbers, there’s a big difference between these teams on the defensive side of the football. Army gives up just 264 yards per game and 4.8 yards per play on the season. UTSA allows 452 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play.
UTSA has zero home-field advantage and is just 4-14-1 ATS in its last 19 home games. The Roadrunnders are 0-7 ATS in home games after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers over the last three seasons. UTSA is 1-8 ATS in home games off a road game over the last three years. Bet Army Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

Oct 17 '20, 2:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Louisville vs Notre Dame
Play on: Louisville +17 -110 at sportsbook

ASA FREE PLAY ON Louisville +17 over Notre Dame, Saturday at 2:30 PM ET - This line opened with the Irish favored by 14 and has been pushed all the way to -17. Not that we’re getting that extra value, we’re jumping on Louisville here. The Irish are 3-0 on the season but have yet to play a team with a pulse as the record of their opponents thus far is a measly 1-10 SU. We realize Louisville’s record isn’t good at this point but the fact is this will be the best team Notre Dame has played this year. Remember the Cardinals were 8-4 last year and won a bowl game vs Mississippi State and returned many of their key players this season. Turnovers have been the problem with Louisville currently at -8 TO ratio this season. Last week they had an embarrassing performance @ Georgia Tech losing big, however they actually outgained the Yellow Jackets but were -3 in turnovers. This is a desperate 0-3 team in ACC play that we think brings their best on Saturday. Just a few weeks ago Louisville played host to Miami FL and the Cards were +2.5 in that game. Now they are getting 17 POINTS from a Notre Dame team we have rated just 4 points higher that the Canes in our power ratings. This line is a huge overreaction to each team’s record at this point and we like Louisville to keep this game fairly close throughout.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Oct 17 '20, 2:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Louisville vs Notre Dame
Play on: Louisville +17 -110 at William Hill

Free Pick on Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Oct 17 '20, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Virginia vs Wake Forest
Play on: Virginia -115 at pinnacle

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB Rotation #121 Saturday Free Pick Virginia Cavaliers (-) @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 4 ET - Wake Forest has played only one game since mid-September and that was against Campbell which is an FCS program. The Demon Deacons now play their first FBS opponent since mid-September. That was a loss to NC State and I am projecting another loss here. Wake Forest has allowed an average of 41 points against FBS opponents this season. The Demon Deacons also have given up an average of 6 sacks per game this season when facing FBS opposition. The Cavaliers come into this game off an ugly loss versus NC State and I expect a bounce back this week. This is the first meeting between these teams since 2016 which also happened to be Mendenhall's first season as head coach for Virginia. The Cavs lost that game and it is payback time here for Mendenhall and the Cavaliers in this great situational spot. Free Pick VIRGINIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter

Oct 17 '20, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Texas A&M vs Mississippi State
Play on: Mississippi State +5½ -110 at William Hill

*3 Star Free Pick* The Texas A&M Aggies haven't been a consistent team under Jimbo Fisher. That is especially the case on the road. Kellen Mond can look great at times, but at other times he can look extremely ordinary.
Texas A&M is actually -0.12 yards per play on the season. The Aggies were fortunate to win last week at home against Florida. The Aggies special teams are a major weakness as well, and that will cost them a game or two this season.
Mississippi State is -9 in turnover margin this year. The Bulldogs are +1.20 yards per play this season. If they can be even decent in the turnover category, brighter days are coming for them. The 3-3-5 defense of Zach Arnett is doing a great job so far this year. They should make it tough on Texas A&M to run the ball here.
Mike Leach's team is in a nice bounce back spot here, while Texas A&M is coming off a big win over a highly ranked opponent. I'll grab the points with Mississippi State.